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OHIO

Ohio 14 at Louisiana 49

UL
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2021 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:29 · Jonah Wieland punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 7Pregame prior+35.8Home team on offense−0.2Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:19: Montrell Johnson 6 Yd Run (Kenneth Almendares Kick) — UL win probability +3.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:26: O'Shaan Allison 25 Yd pass from Kurtis Rourke (Tristian Vandenberg Kick) — OHIO win probability +6.9 pts (now 19%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:00: Montrell Johnson 1 Yd Run (Kenneth Almendares Kick) — UL win probability +4.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:07: Montrell Johnson 1 Yd Run (Kenneth Almendares Kick) — UL win probability +5.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:37: Ty Walton 21 Yd pass from Kurtis Rourke (Tristian Vandenberg Kick) — OHIO win probability +8.0 pts (now 10%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 5 of 7OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:29OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:53OHIO 4th & 6 at UL 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:34OHIO 4th & 8 at OHIO 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:36UL 4th & 11 at UL 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:59OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 49, down 14
    Close callPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:08UL 4th & 19 at UL 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−1.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:35UL 4th & 7 at UL 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:14OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:07UL 4th & 1 at OHIO 1, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    89.6%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−6.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:02UL 4th & 7 at OHIO 32, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.5%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:19OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:51UL 4th & 1 at OHIO 1, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−6.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:45OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:15OHIO 4th & 22 at OHIO 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:15UL 4th & 8 at OHIO 33, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:54UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:19UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:26OHIO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:00UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:07UL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:37OHIO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:51UL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:04UL Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:48UL Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:2113% → 14%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
86.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 3 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+16
86.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 6 yds to the Ohio 30 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Mason Narcisse) to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.6%
Cameron Odom pass incomplete, broken up by Percy ButlerSimilar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
86.6%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+3
86.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 3 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
86.2%
Jonah Wieland punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 4:2686% → 87%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
86.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 3 yds to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+9
86.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 9 yds to the LaLaf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
86.0%
Chris Smith run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
85.8%
Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+46
86.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 46 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
85.9%
Levi Lewis run for 3 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
85.8%
Levi Lewis run for no gain to the Ohio 14Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+8
85.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 8 yds to the Ohio 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
85.4%
Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the Ohio 2Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.6%
John Stephens Jr. 2 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Kenneth Almendares Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3MISSED FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 4:5314% → 15%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
86.1%
Armani Rogers run for 16 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
85.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
85.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (Jourdan Quibodeaux) to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
85.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+9
85.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
85.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+4
84.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
85.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 1
OPP 9
-5
85.2%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (Christophe Atkinson) to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q1 2:53
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
85.2%
Stephen Johnson 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:2986% → 89%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
85.6%
Emani Bailey run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
85.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 3 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+12
85.5%
Emani Bailey run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
85.9%
Emani Bailey run for 6 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+12
85.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 12 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
85.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kaleb Carter for 16 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
85.9%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
85.9%
Levi Lewis run for 4 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+9
85.6%
Montrell Johnson run for 9 yds to the Ohio 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
89.0%
Montrell Johnson 6 Yd Run (Kenneth Almendares Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3212% → 12%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
87.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
87.9%
De'Montre Tuggle run for no gain to the Ohio 15Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
88.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Ty Walton, broken up by Dalvin HutchinsonSimilar
Q2 12:34
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
88.1%
Jack Wilson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4989% → 89%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-6
89.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 39 lat. to Peter LeBlanc for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 18
OWN 39
+4
89.0%
Levi Lewis run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 14
OWN 43
+3
88.8%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
88.5%
Rhys Byrns punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ty Walton at the Ohio 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:2912% → 12%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
87.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Ohio 17Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
88.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+8
88.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 8 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
88.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 19 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
87.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to James Bostic IIISimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
87.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+3
88.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 3 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q2 6:59
4TH & 5
OWN 49
+5
88.3%
Jonah Wieland punt for 43 yds , Eric Garror returns for 5 yds to the LaLaf 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4689% → 88%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+14
88.7%
Emani Bailey run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
88.8%
Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-19
89.0%
Levi Lewis sacked by TEAM for a loss of 19 yards to the LaLaf 12 LOUISIANA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 25
OWN 12
+6
88.4%
Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q2 5:08
4TH & 19
OWN 18
0
88.1%
Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ty Walton at the Ohio 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 2:3412% → 19%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
88.1%
Armani Rogers run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
87.7%
Armani Rogers run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+2
87.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+13
87.5%
Armani Rogers run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
80.6%
O'Shaan Allison 25 Yd pass from Kurtis Rourke (Tristian Vandenberg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:4684% → 84%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
84.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 11 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
84.5%
Levi Lewis run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
85.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Chris Smith, broken up by Will EvansSimilar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+3
84.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 3 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 2
OWN 44
-5
84.3%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
83.9%
Rhys Byrns punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ty Walton at the Ohio 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1516% → 15%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
84.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Ryan Luehrman, broken up by Cameron SolomonSimilar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
84.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to O'Shaan AllisonSimilar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
85.1%
Jack Wilson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12END OF HALF
12 plays · 64 yds · 1:0585% → 92%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
84.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Montrell Johnson for 15 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
85.7%
Levi Lewis run for 2 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+8
85.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 8 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
85.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 5 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+1
85.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 1 yd to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+14
84.8%
Montrell Johnson run for 14 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
85.4%
Levi Lewis run for 10 yds to the Ohio 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
85.4%
Levi Lewis run for 8 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.5%
Montrell Johnson 1 Yd Run (Kenneth Almendares Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:4390% → 97%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
90.4%
Montrell Johnson run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
90.4%
Levi Lewis run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
91.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kaleb Carter for 12 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+17
91.2%
Montrell Johnson run for 17 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+18
91.3%
Emani Bailey run for 18 yds to the Ohio 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
91.4%
Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the Ohio 3Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
91.5%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
91.2%
Montrell Johnson run for no gain to the Ohio 1Similar
Q3 10:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.6%
Montrell Johnson 1 Yd Run (Kenneth Almendares Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14FUMBLE
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:584% → 3%
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.2%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
96.3%
Armani Rogers run for 5 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+8
96.5%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Ty Walton for 8 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
96.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 8
50
+2
96.6%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+8
96.7%
Rogers, Armani pass pass intercepted by Bishop, Brandon at the ULLAFAYTTE40, Bishop, Brandon return 0 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE40, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE pass interference (Bishop, Brandon) 8 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIO.Similar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
96.7%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Kris Moncrief) to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
96.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Walton for 5 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+7
96.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Walton for 7 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
96.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Walton for 9 yds to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 1
OPP 3
-9
97.0%
Kurtis Rourke run for a loss of 9 yards to the LaLaf 12 Kurtis Rourke fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Bralen TrahanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15INT
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:5997% → 97%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
97.2%
Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+14
96.8%
Chris Smith run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.9%
Levi Lewis pass intercepted Alvin Floyd return for no gain to the LaLaf 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16TD
3 plays · 39 yds · 1:073% → 10%
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
97.5%
Ty Walton run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+16
97.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 16 yds to the LaLaf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
89.6%
Ty Walton 21 Yd pass from Kurtis Rourke (Tristian Vandenberg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17MISSED FG
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:2595% → 95%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
94.6%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+25
94.5%
Levi Lewis run for 25 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
94.8%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
94.8%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+3
94.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 3 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q3 1:02
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+49
94.5%
Kenneth Almendares 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:358% → 8%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
91.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
91.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Ryan Luehrman, broken up by Kris MoncriefSimilar
Q3 0:26
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
91.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Adam LuehrmanSimilar
Q3 0:19
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
92.2%
Jonah Wieland punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:1995% → 99%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
94.9%
Montrell Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+38
95.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 23 yds to the ULLAFAYTTE 41 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Birchette) to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
95.3%
Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+7
95.4%
Montrell Johnson run for 7 yds to the Ohio 17Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+9
95.3%
Montrell Johnson run for 9 yds to the Ohio 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
95.5%
Levi Lewis run for 7 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.7%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the Ohio 1Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Montrell JohnsonSimilar
Q4 11:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.8%
Montrell Johnson 1 Yd Run (Kenneth Almendares Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:541% → 1%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron Odom, broken up by Trey AmosSimilar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
98.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 3 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
98.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Javon ConnerSimilar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+4
98.9%
Jack Wilson punt for 41 yds , Eric Garror returns for 4 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 4:3399% → 100%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
98.8%
Emani Bailey run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+4
98.9%
Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
98.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 12 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
99.0%
Emani Bailey run for 8 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+23
99.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kaleb Carter for 23 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
99.1%
Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+6
99.1%
Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the Ohio 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
99.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Pearse Migl for 5 yds to the Ohio 9Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Chris Smith 9 Yd Run (Kenneth Almendares Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
99.9%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Sonny Hazard for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 24Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+8
99.9%
Armani Rogers pass complete to James Bostic III for 8 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Jake NeathertonSimilar
Q4 4:26
4TH & 7
OWN 32
-15
99.9%
OHIO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jay Amburgey) to the Ohio 17Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 22
OWN 17
+15
100.0%
Jonah Wieland punt for 46 yds , Dontae Fleming returns for 15 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:17100% → 100%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Terrence Williams for 1 yd to the Ohio 47Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+8
99.9%
Terrence Williams run for 8 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+4
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Jamal Bell for 4 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete, broken up by Kai CaesarSimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.9%
Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+1
100.0%
Chandler Fields run for 1 yd to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+20
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 20 yds to the Ohio 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
100.0%
John Stephens Jr. 13 Yd pass from Chandler Fields (Kenneth Almendares Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:330% → 0%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Jake Neatherton run for 3 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+2
100.0%
Jake Neatherton run for 2 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:37
Ty Walton 21 Yd pass from Kurtis Rourke (Tristian Vandenberg Kick)
-8
TD · Q2 2:26
O'Shaan Allison 25 Yd pass from Kurtis Rourke (Tristian Vandenberg Kick)
-6.9
TD · Q3 10:07
Montrell Johnson 1 Yd Run (Kenneth Almendares Kick)
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com