Try the model
ELON

Elon 10 at App State 44

APP
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadELON aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreELON score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:43 · Xavier Subotsch punt for 39 yds, downed at the ElonU 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 84Pregame prior+32.8Home team on offense+9.8Score differential+1.4Garbage-time factor+4.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 1:23: Skyler Davis 46 yd FG GOOD — ELON win probability +1.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 8:29: Chase Brice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +3.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:58: Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:47: McKinley Witherspoon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Skyler Davis KICK) — ELON win probability +1.9 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ELON has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:35: Camerun Peoples run for 18 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ELON made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 11:51ELON 4th & 9 at ELON 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:00ELON 4th & 3 at ELON 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:23ELON 4th & 7 at APP 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:41APP 4th & 9 at ELON 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:40ELON 4th & 20 at ELON 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:41APP 4th & 10 at APP 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:35ELON 4th & 6 at APP 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:43APP 4th & 6 at ELON 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    93.5%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:37ELON 4th & 2 at ELON 13, down 10
    Close callPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:37APP 4th & 4 at ELON 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    93.7%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−2.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:49ELON 4th & 8 at ELON 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:12APP 4th & 2 at APP 44, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:41ELON 4th & 16 at ELON 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:26ELON 4th & 3 at ELON 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:19APP 4th & 11 at ELON 11, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 5ELON made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:24APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:29APP Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:58APP Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:47ELON Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:35APP Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:39APP Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ELONDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:092% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.9%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 3 yds to the ElonU 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
97.9%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Jackson Parham for 6 yds to the ElonU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
97.9%
Davis Cheek pass complete to DJ Moyer for 5 yds to the ElonU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
97.9%
Davis Cheek sacked by D'Marco Jackson for 0 yards to the ElonU 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+3
97.9%
McKinley Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the ElonU 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
97.9%
Davis Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 9
OWN 40
+47
97.5%
Jeff Yurk punt for 47 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 88 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
97.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+50
97.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 50 yds to the ElonU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
97.6%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the ElonU 30Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+2
97.6%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the ElonU 28Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+28
97.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:543% → 3%
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
97.2%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Jackson Parham for 10 yds to the ElonU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.2%
Jaylan Thomas run for no gain to the ElonU 30Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+10
97.2%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Kortez Weeks for 10 yds to the ElonU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
97.2%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 7 yds to the ElonU 47Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
97.2%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for no gain to the ElonU 47Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
97.2%
Davis Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
96.7%
Jeff Yurk punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 1:3697% → 97%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+26
96.7%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 26 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
96.8%
Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+5
96.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 5 yds to the ElonU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
97.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 47 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 5FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 4:013% → 4%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
96.9%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Jackson Parham for 19 yds to the ElonU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
96.8%
Davis Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
96.8%
CHEEK, Davis pass to the left incomplete intended for WEEKS, Kortez thrown to the ELO50. PENALTY APP Pass Interference on CONE, Madison enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the ELO50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
50
+6
96.8%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Jordan Bonner for 6 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+12
96.7%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Caleb Ogunmola for 12 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
96.7%
McKinley Witherspoon run for 5 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
96.7%
McKinley Witherspoon run for no gain to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 5
OPP 27
-2
96.8%
Davis Cheek pass complete to McKinley Witherspoon for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 29Similar
Q1 1:23
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+46
95.7%
Skyler Davis 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:4296% → 96%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
95.8%
Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 22Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+4
95.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 4 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
95.4%
Camerun Peoples run for 11 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
95.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 17 yds to the ElonU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
95.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 2 yds to the ElonU 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+16
95.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 16 yds to the ElonU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
95.8%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
95.8%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+1
95.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the ElonU 27Similar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+44
95.7%
Chandler Staton 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 3:014% → 5%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.6%
Jaylan Thomas run for 5 yds to the ElonU 30Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+28
95.5%
Jaylan Thomas run for 28 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
95.3%
Davis Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-5
95.3%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Kortez Weeks for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 47Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 15
OPP 47
0
95.6%
Davis Cheek sacked by D'Marco Jackson for 0 yards to the ElonU 48Similar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 20
OWN 48
0
95.3%
Jeff Yurk punt for 38 yds, downed at the AppSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:5995% → 95%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
95.2%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
95.2%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the AppSt 28Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+15
95.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 15 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
95.5%
Nate Noel run for no gain to the AppSt 43Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
95.4%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
95.2%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+10
95.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 10 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
94.5%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bryson Daughtry at the ElonU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 36 yds · 5:065% → 7%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
94.6%
Jaylan Thomas run for 1 yd to the ElonU 16Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 9
OWN 16
-5
94.6%
ELON Penalty, False Start (Torrence Williams) to the ElonU 11Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+16
94.6%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Bryson Daughtry for 16 yds to the ElonU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
94.5%
ELON Penalty, False Start (Kortez Weeks) to the ElonU 22Similar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 15
OWN 22
-5
94.6%
ELON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ElonU 17Similar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 20
OWN 17
-1
94.6%
Jaylan Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the ElonU 16Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 21
OWN 16
+12
94.6%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Kortez Weeks for 12 yds to the ElonU 28Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+19
94.7%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Jordan Bonner for 19 yds to the ElonU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
94.1%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Jackson Parham for 4 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
94.0%
Davis Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
94.1%
Davis Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 6
OPP 49
+2
93.2%
Jeff Yurk punt for 41 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 2 yds to the AppSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 1:3494% → 95%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+16
93.5%
Nate Noel run for 16 yds to the AppSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
93.6%
Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
93.7%
ELON Penalty, Illegal Substitution ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
93.7%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+8
93.8%
Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the ElonU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
93.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ElonU 49Similar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+1
93.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 1 yd to the ElonU 48Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+20
93.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 20 yds to the ElonU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+45
94.9%
Chandler Staton 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 14:5495% → 94%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 15
OWN 47
0
94.5%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+3
94.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 12
50
+6
94.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 6 yds to the APP STATE 44 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cooper Hodges) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:43
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
93.9%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 39 yds, downed at the ElonU 5Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
93.5%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Anderson Hardy) to the AppSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:066% → 6%
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
94.2%
DJ Moyer run for a loss of 2 yards to the ElonU 3Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 12
OWN 3
+3
94.3%
Jaylan Thomas run for 3 yds to the ElonU 6Similar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 9
OWN 6
+7
94.5%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Bryson Daughtry for 7 yds to the ElonU 13Similar
Q3 11:37
4TH & 2
OWN 13
0
94.3%
Jeff Yurk punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:0894% → 98%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+27
94.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 27 yds to the ElonU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
94.5%
BRICE, Chase pass to the right incomplete intended for SUTTON, Corey thrown to the ELO28. PENALTY ELO Pass Interference on WINGARD, Shamari enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the ELO14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
94.5%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Anderson Hardy) to the ElonU 19Similar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+3
94.5%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the ElonU 16Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+4
94.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Mike Evans for 4 yds to the ElonU 12Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+4
94.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Nate Noel for 4 yds to the ElonU 8Similar
Q3 11:37
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+5
93.9%
Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the ElonU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
94.5%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the ElonU 2Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
94.5%
NOEL, Nate rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the ELO1 (ROGERS, Omar;JOHNSON, Josh). PENALTY ELO Offsides on MALONE, Jamir enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the ELO2 to the ELO1 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.6%
Chase Brice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 14INT
8 plays · 68 yds · 1:473% → 4%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
96.6%
Davis Cheek run for 1 yd to the ElonU 24Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+44
96.7%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Jackson Parham for 44 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
95.9%
Davis Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
96.0%
WITHERSPOON, McKinley rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the APP31 (JACKSON, D'Marco). PENALTY Before the snap, APP Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the APP32 to the APP27. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+18
95.8%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Kortez Weeks for 18 yds to the AppSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
95.8%
Davis Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
96.2%
Davis Cheek pass intercepted return for no gain to the ElonU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15TD
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:3998% → 99%
Q3 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
97.8%
Chase Brice run for 4 yds to the ElonU 1Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:021% → 1%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
98.8%
Malik Griffin run for 2 yds to the ElonU 25Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Davis Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Davis Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:49
4TH & 8
OWN 25
+7
98.9%
Jeff Yurk punt for 52 yds , Malik Williams returns for 7 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17FUMBLE
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2499% → 99%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.9%
Jahmir Smith run for no gain to the AppSt 30Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
98.9%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+11
98.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 11 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.2%
Chase Brice sacked for 0 yards to the AppSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 18TD
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:381% → 3%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
98.9%
Malik Griffin run for 2 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+1
98.8%
Malik Griffin run for 1 yd to the AppSt 34Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+27
98.9%
Davis Cheek pass complete to McKinley Witherspoon for 27 yds to the AppSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
98.7%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 5 yds to the AppSt 2Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.8%
Davis Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.9%
McKinley Witherspoon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Skyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2798% → 98%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
97.8%
Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
97.9%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-1
97.9%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 44Similar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
97.8%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 37 yds, downed at the ElonU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:313% → 2%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
97.3%
Davis Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
97.4%
Davis Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+6
97.4%
CHEEK, Davis pass to the left incomplete intended for DAUGHTRY, Bryson thrown to the ELO25. PENALTY APP Pass Interference on SMALL, Donte enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the ELO25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.3%
DJ Moyer run for 1 yd to the ElonU 26Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-3
97.3%
DJ Moyer run for a loss of 3 yards to the ElonU 23Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
97.4%
Davis Cheek sacked by D'Marco Jackson for 0 yards to the ElonU 19Similar
Q4 11:41
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
97.6%
Jeff Yurk punt for 31 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 1:0698% → 99%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
50
+9
98.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christian Wells for 9 yds to the ElonU 41Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+23
98.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 23 yds to the ElonU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.4%
Camerun Peoples run for 18 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:091% → 1%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.3%
DJ Moyer run for 2 yds to the ElonU 27Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.3%
DJ Moyer run for 2 yds to the ElonU 29Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.3%
Jaylan Thomas run for 3 yds to the ElonU 32Similar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.4%
Jeff Yurk punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 4:0799% → 100%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.4%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 6 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+5
99.5%
Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.5%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+5
99.5%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Eli Wilson for 5 yds to the ElonU 47Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+7
99.5%
Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the ElonU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+37
99.5%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Corey Sutton for 37 yds to the ElonU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
99.5%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 2 yards to the ElonU 5Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
99.5%
Jacob Huesman run for a loss of 6 yards to the ElonU 11Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
99.5%
Jacob Huesman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
99.9%
Chandler Staton 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 24FUMBLE
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
Malik Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the ElonU 24Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
100.0%
Malik Griffin run for 4 yds to the ElonU 28Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 2 yds to the ElonU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:03100% → 100%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
100.0%
Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the ElonU 27Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+10
100.0%
Anderson Castle run for 10 yds to the ElonU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
100.0%
Anderson Castle run for 9 yds to the ElonU 8Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+8
100.0%
Anderson Castle run for 8 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:390% → 0%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
100.0%
Jake Christman run for 8 yds to the ElonU 33Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
100.0%
Jake Christman run for 11 yds to the ElonU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:29
Chase Brice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)
+3.1
TD · Q3 0:47
McKinley Witherspoon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Skyler Davis KICK)
-1.9
TD · Q3 5:58
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com