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NICH

Nicholls 24 at Louisiana 27

UL
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadNICH aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreNICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:56 · Craig Walker punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Pregame prior+25.4Home team on offense+6.3Score differential+1.6Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:00: Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dontaze Costly for 53 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST down — NICH win probability +3.4 pts (now 10%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:54: Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 46 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +2.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:36: Gavin Lasseigne 42 yd FG GOOD — NICH win probability +1.4 pts (now 12%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:03: Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 20 yds for a TD (Gavin Lasseigne KICK) — NICH win probability +5.5 pts (now 9%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:33: Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 6 yds for a TD (Gavin Lasseigne KICK) — NICH win probability +23.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 8NICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 8:20UL 4th & 12 at NICH 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:52NICH 4th & 13 at NICH 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:52UL 4th & 1 at NICH 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    92.3%−0.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:45UL 4th & 21 at NICH 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:03NICH 4th & 8 at UL 41, down 3
    Close callPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    11.4%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:27NICH 4th & 27 at NICH 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:14UL 4th & 7 at UL 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:36NICH 4th & 5 at UL 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−2.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:03UL 4th & 1 at UL 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:56NICH 4th & 14 at NICH 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:51UL 4th & 9 at UL 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−1.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:24NICH 4th & 1 at UL 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%−2.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−10.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:35UL 4th & 1 at UL 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    87.4%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:39NICH 4th & 3 at midfield, down 14
    Close callPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:29UL 4th & 11 at NICH 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    93.4%−3.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:10UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:54NICH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:54UL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:03NICH Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    6.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:33NICH Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    10.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    9.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:4695% → 95%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
94.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 18 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
94.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 5 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
94.8%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+5
94.8%
Chris Smith run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+27
94.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 27 yds to the NicSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
94.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 11 yds to the NicSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
94.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 14 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 2TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 12:046% → 10%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+65
94.4%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dontaze Costly for 65 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
94.3%
Julien Gums run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+21
93.8%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 21 yds for a TD (Gavin Lasseigne KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+53
90.3%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dontaze Costly for 53 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3FG
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:2694% → 93%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
50
+7
94.0%
Emani Bailey run for 7 yds to the NicSt 43Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+16
94.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 16 yds to the NicSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
94.0%
Levi Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 28Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+1
94.0%
Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the NicSt 27Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 10
OPP 27
-2
93.9%
Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NicSt 29Similar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 12
OPP 29
+46
93.4%
Kenneth Almendares 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:217% → 7%
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+26
93.4%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to David Mosley for 26 yds to the NicSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
93.3%
Julien Gums run for 1 yd to the NicSt 47Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+5
93.3%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
93.3%
Lindsey Scott Jr. sacked by Chauncey Manac and Jourdan Quibodeaux for 0 yards to the NicSt 43Similar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
93.0%
Craig Walker punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5PUNT
13 plays · 29 yds · 6:0793% → 91%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
92.8%
Chris Smith run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+1
92.8%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+6
92.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 6 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
92.9%
Levi Lewis run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+9
93.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 9 yds to the NicSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
93.0%
Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the NicSt 46Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+3
93.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Montrell Johnson for 3 yds to the NicSt 43Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+3
93.0%
Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the NicSt 40Similar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+4
92.9%
Montrell Johnson run for 4 yds to the NicSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
93.1%
Levi Lewis sacked by Zack Bernard for 0 yards to the NicSt 45Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 19
OPP 45
-2
91.3%
Chris Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the NicSt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 21
OPP 47
0
91.0%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 21
OPP 47
0
90.7%
Rhys Byrns punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 6PUNT
13 plays · 47 yds · 6:429% → 11%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
91.1%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 10 yds to the NicSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
91.1%
Julien Gums run for 2 yds to the NicSt 24Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+13
91.1%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dontaze Costly for 13 yds to the NicSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
90.9%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
91.0%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dontaze Costly for 6 yds to the NicSt 43Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+4
90.7%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 4 yds to the NicSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
90.6%
Lindsey Scott Jr. sacked by Zi'Yon Hill for 0 yards to the NicSt 38Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 19
OWN 38
+8
91.0%
John Carrington III run for 8 yds to the NicSt 46Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+11
91.0%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
90.5%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dontaze Costly for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+5
90.7%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 5 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
90.6%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
88.6%
Craig Walker punt for 40 yds, downed at the LaLaf 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7TD
5 plays · 99 yds · 2:0989% → 92%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+20
88.8%
Emani Bailey run for 20 yds to the LaLaf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-4
89.0%
Emani Bailey run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 14
OWN 17
+27
88.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 27 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
89.7%
LEWIS, Levi pass up the middle incomplete intended for LACY, Kyren thrown to the NSU22. PENALTY NSU Holding on MONROE, Jarius enforced 10 yards from the LA 44 to the NSU46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
92.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 46 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:279% → 8%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.4%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 4 yds to the NicSt 29Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
91.2%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+28
91.5%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 28 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
90.6%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+10
90.7%
GUMS, Julien rush to the left for a gain of 11 yards to the LA 32 (SOLOMON, Cameron), out of bounds. PENALTY NSU Holding on BURKHALTER, P.J. enforced 10 yards from the LA 43 to the NSU47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 20
OWN 47
-10
91.2%
SCOTT, Lindsey scrambles up the middle for a gain of 8 yards to the LA 45 (BISHOP, Brandon). PENALTY NSU Holding on JOSEPH, Jair enforced 10 yards from the NSU47 to the NSU37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 30
OWN 37
0
91.4%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 30
OWN 37
+3
91.6%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 3 yds to the NicSt 40Similar
Q2 3:27
4TH & 27
OWN 40
0
91.7%
Craig Walker punt for 38 yds, downed at the LaLaf 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1391% → 91%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
91.4%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-1
91.3%
Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+4
90.9%
Levi Lewis run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q2 2:14
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Rhys Byrns punt for 47 yds , K.J. Franklin returns for no gain to the NicSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 10FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 1:389% → 12%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
90.6%
Julien Gums run for 4 yds to the NicSt 47Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+8
90.4%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
89.8%
Lindsey Scott Jr. sacked by Mason Narcisse for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 15
50
+1
90.6%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 1 yd to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 14
OPP 49
+19
90.9%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 19 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
89.2%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 3 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
89.0%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+2
89.8%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Julien Gums for 2 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
88.4%
Gavin Lasseigne 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:3090% → 89%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
89.7%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
89.5%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+9
88.9%
Chris Smith run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
89.3%
Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds, fair catch by K.J. Franklin at the NicSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
89.0%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the NicSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 4:0411% → 11%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.0%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for no gain to the NicSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.1%
John Carrington III run for 1 yd to the NicSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+25
89.5%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 25 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
87.7%
Julien Gums run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
87.7%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+10
88.2%
SCOTT, Lindsey scrambles up the middle for a gain of 12 yards to the LA 35 (BISHOP, Brandon). PENALTY NSU Holding on HILL, Mikhail enforced 10 yards from the LA 47 to the NSU43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 43
+4
89.2%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 4 yds to the NicSt 47Similar
Q3 10:56
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
88.6%
Craig Walker punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:0588% → 88%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
88.4%
Chris Smith run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+12
88.5%
Chris Smith run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
88.7%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
88.6%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:56
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
88.1%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
87.9%
Rhys Byrns punt for 54 yds, downed at the NicSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 83 yds · 5:2713% → 15%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
87.5%
Julien Gums run for 1 yd to the NicSt 15Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
87.7%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+17
88.3%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 17 yds to the NicSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
87.0%
John Carrington III run for 1 yd to the NicSt 33Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+26
87.2%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Lee Negrotto for 26 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
85.6%
Dontaze Costly run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+34
85.6%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 34 yds to the LaLaf 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
84.4%
Julien Gums run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
84.4%
Julien Gums run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
83.6%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q3 3:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
84.6%
Julien Gums run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:4988% → 88%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+19
87.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 19 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
88.1%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+7
88.0%
Montrell Johnson run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+2
87.7%
Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q3 1:35
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
87.7%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the LaLaf 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 17INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:5217% → 8%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
82.9%
John Carrington III run for no gain to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
92.5%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass intercepted for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:046% → 6%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
93.9%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 18 yds to the NicSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
93.8%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
93.9%
Julien Gums run for 3 yds to the NicSt 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+4
93.8%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:39
4TH & 3
50
0
93.9%
Craig Walker punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19FG
16 plays · 72 yds · 4:1096% → 97%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
96.0%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
95.9%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+15
95.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 15 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.1%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+31
96.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 31 yds to the NicSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
96.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 7 yds to the NicSt 30Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+10
96.3%
Chris Smith run for 10 yds to the NicSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-15
96.3%
LEWIS, Levi pass to the left incomplete intended for LACY, Kyren thrown to the NSU10. PENALTY LA Pass Interference on LACY, Kyren enforced 15 yards from the NSU20 to the NSU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 25
OPP 35
+24
96.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 24 yds to the NicSt 11Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 1
OPP 11
0
96.3%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+3
96.2%
Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the NicSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
96.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Pearse Migl for 7 yds to the NicSt 1Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-10
96.3%
LEWIS, Levi pass to the right complete for 1 yard to LACY, Kyren caught at the NSU0 and advanced to the NSU0, End of Play. PENALTY LA Holding on GILLIE, AJ enforced 10 yards from the NSU1 to the NSU11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
96.3%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
96.2%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
97.4%
Kenneth Almendares 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 20TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:263% → 9%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.3%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Lee Negrotto for 2 yds to the NicSt 27Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
97.3%
NICHOLLS ST Penalty, Illegal Snap on ROUSSEL, Evan enforced (Evan Roussel) to the NicSt 22Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+12
97.4%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 12 yds to the NicSt 34Similar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
97.2%
John Carrington III run for 1 yd to the NicSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
97.2%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 5 yds to the NicSt 40Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
97.3%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 4 yds to the NicSt 44Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
97.3%
Julien Gums run for 3 yds to the NicSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
97.3%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 15 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
97.2%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 16 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
96.8%
John Carrington III run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+20
91.3%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 20 yds for a TD (Gavin Lasseigne KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21FUMBLE
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:4395% → 96%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
95.2%
Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NicSt 46Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+6
95.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 6 yds to the NicSt 40Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+13
95.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Montrell Johnson for 13 yds to the NicSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
95.3%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-3
96.2%
Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NicSt 30Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+30
96.0%
Levi Lewis run for 30 yds to the NicSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 22TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 1:455% → 31%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+25
95.4%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 25 yds to the NicSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
94.3%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
94.4%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dontaze Costly for 11 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
94.0%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 5 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+22
93.6%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 22 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
93.1%
Lindsey Scott Jr. run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
69.5%
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 6 yds for a TD (Gavin Lasseigne KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+30.5
TD · Q4 0:33
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 6 yds for a TD (Gavin Lasseigne KICK)
-23.6
TD · Q4 5:03
Lindsey Scott Jr. pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 20 yds for a TD (Gavin Lasseigne KICK)
-5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com