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AKR

Akron 14 at Toledo 49

TOL
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2021 · Glass Bowl
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Win probability · TOL
modelTOL aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playTOL scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:42 · Bailey Flint punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Konata Mumpfield at the Akron 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+27.3Home team on offense+14.9Score differential+6.8Garbage-time factor+5.4Blowout margin−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:27: Bryant Koback run for 2 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) — AKR win probability +0.3 pts (now 4%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:10: Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonzell Norrils for 3 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK) — AKR win probability +1.7 pts (now 8%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:43: Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for 23 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) — TOL win probability +2.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:29: Bryant Koback run for 44 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) — TOL win probability +2.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:51: Dequan Finn pass complete to Drew Rosi for 33 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) — TOL win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TOL made the numbers' call on 4 of 6AKR made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:19AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:19TOL 4th & 6 at AKR 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    95.3%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:36AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:18TOL 4th & 1 at TOL 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:52AKR 4th & 2 at TOL 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:28TOL 4th & 2 at TOL 31, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:11AKR 4th & 17 at AKR 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:42TOL 4th & 24 at TOL 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:10AKR 4th & 13 at AKR 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:28AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:51AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 45, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:16TOL 4th & 2 at AKR 49, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:30AKR 4th & 2 at TOL 43, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:17TOL 4th & 13 at AKR 48, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:42AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 35, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TOL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7AKR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:27TOL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:10AKR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:02TOL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:43TOL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:29TOL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:51TOL Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:47TOL Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:53AKR Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:24TOL Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:334% → 4%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
96.2%
Jonzell Norrils run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+4
96.3%
Kato Nelson run for 4 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
96.3%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
96.0%
Ethan Slike punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 2TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 3:5296% → 96%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
96.0%
FINN, Dequan pass up the middle complete for 15 yards to WINSTEAD, Isaiah caught at the TOL35 and advanced to the TOL39 (AMANKWAA, Charles;DURANT, Tyson). PENALTY Before the snap, TOL False Start on SCIURY, Vinny enforced 5 yards from the TOL24 to the TOL19. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+20
96.0%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for 20 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
96.0%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
96.0%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jamal Turner for 7 yds to the Toled 46Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+6
96.0%
Bryant Koback run for 6 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.0%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
96.0%
Bryant Koback run for 4 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
96.0%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 6
OPP 44
+15
96.0%
Dequan Finn run for 15 yds to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
96.0%
Devin Maddox run for 10 yds to the Akron 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+17
96.0%
Bryant Koback run for 17 yds to the Akron 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.7%
Bryant Koback run for 2 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:454% → 5%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
95.6%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 5 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
95.5%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+9
95.6%
Kato Nelson run for 9 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.5%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
95.6%
Kato Nelson sacked by Jamal Hines for 0 yards to the Akron 31Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
95.6%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 14
OWN 31
+5
95.6%
TOLEDO Penalty, Offsides (Troy Simon) to the Akron 36Similar
Q1 7:36
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+4
95.4%
Ethan Slike punt for 40 yds , Devin Maddox returns for 4 yds to the Toled 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1895% → 95%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
95.3%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
95.3%
Bryant Koback run for no gain to the Toled 28Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+9
95.3%
Dequan Finn run for 9 yds to the Toled 37Similar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
95.1%
Bailey Flint punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Konata Mumpfield at the Akron 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:265% → 5%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
95.1%
Kato Nelson run for no gain to the Akron 17Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+51
95.1%
Kato Nelson run for 51 yds to the Toled 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
94.9%
Jonzell Norrils run for 3 yds to the Toled 29Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+5
94.8%
Kato Nelson run for 5 yds to the Toled 24Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 2
OPP 24
0
94.9%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:52
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+1
94.6%
Jonzell Norrils run for 1 yd to the Toled 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2495% → 94%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
94.8%
Bryant Koback run for 6 yds to the Toled 29Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
94.8%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+2
94.7%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Bryant Koback for 2 yds to the Toled 31Similar
Q1 2:28
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
94.3%
Bailey Flint punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Konata Mumpfield at the Akron 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 3:186% → 8%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+50
94.4%
Jonzell Norrils run for 50 yds to the Toled 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
93.9%
Jonzell Norrils run for 2 yds to the Toled 20Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+5
93.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jr. Oran Singleton for 5 yds to the Toled 15Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+11
94.1%
Jonzell Norrils run for 11 yds to the Toled 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
93.4%
Jonzell Norrils run for 2 yds to the Toled 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
93.4%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 3Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
91.6%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonzell Norrils for 3 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 8TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 4:0192% → 93%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
92.4%
Micah Kelly run for 11 yds to the Toled 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
92.5%
Micah Kelly run for 6 yds to the Toled 43Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+5
92.8%
Micah Kelly run for 5 yds to the Toled 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
92.8%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
92.7%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Matt Landers for 7 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+5
92.8%
Dequan Finn run for 5 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
92.9%
FINN, Dequan pass to the right incomplete intended for LANDERS, Matt thrown to the AKR15. PENALTY AKR Pass Interference on OGBONNA, Chu enforced 15 yards to the AKR25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
93.0%
Bryant Koback run for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 30Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 15
OPP 30
0
92.7%
Dequan Finn sacked for 0 yards to the Toled 49Similar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 36
OWN 49
+51
93.0%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Bryant Koback for 51 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 4:477% → 8%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
93.0%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
92.8%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
93.0%
Kato Nelson run for 4 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
92.8%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+8
92.8%
Kato Nelson run for 8 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
92.7%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
92.5%
Kato Nelson sacked by Desjuan Johnson and Nate Bauer for 0 yards to the Akron 41Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 12
OWN 41
-5
93.0%
AKRON Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Bryce Wilson) to the Akron 36Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 17
OWN 36
0
93.2%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:11
4TH & 17
OWN 36
+26
92.4%
Ethan Slike punt for 41 yds , Devin Maddox returns for 26 yds to the Toled 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 10TD
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:2893% → 95%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
92.9%
Bryant Koback run for 7 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+5
92.9%
Bryant Koback run for 5 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
92.9%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
92.9%
Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+11
92.7%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jamal Turner for 11 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
93.0%
TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (Bryce Harris) to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+4
92.9%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for 4 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+4
92.7%
Jacquez Stuart run for 4 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+23
95.4%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for 23 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11END OF HALF
13 plays · 68 yds · 1:375% → 6%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
94.6%
Jonzell Norrils run for 4 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+1
94.4%
Jonzell Norrils run for 1 yd to the Akron 27Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+23
94.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
50
0
93.9%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 10
50
+9
94.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Tristian Brank for 9 yds to the Toled 41Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
94.0%
Kato Nelson run for 2 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
93.9%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+9
94.0%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jr. Oran Singleton for 9 yds to the Toled 30Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+23
93.6%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jr. Oran Singleton for 23 yds to the Toled 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
93.8%
Kato Nelson sacked by Jamal Hines for 0 yards to the Toled 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 4:1695% → 94%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
94.9%
Bryant Koback run for 6 yds to the Toled 33Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+9
95.0%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 9 yds to the Toled 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
95.1%
Dequan Finn run for 5 yds to the Toled 47Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+14
95.1%
Bryant Koback run for 14 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
95.1%
KOBACK, Bryant rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the AKR36 (AMANKWAA, Charles;BISCHOF, Brandon). PENALTY TOL Holding on LONG, Tyler enforced 10 yards from the AKR39 to the AKR49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 20
OPP 49
+4
95.1%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Matt Landers for 4 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 16
OPP 45
+2
95.0%
Micah Kelly run for 2 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q3 14:58
3RD & 14
OPP 43
0
94.8%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:58
4TH & 14
OPP 43
-5
94.5%
TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (Jonathan Jones) to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 14:58
4TH & 19
OPP 48
-5
94.5%
TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (Tycen Anderson) to the Toled 47Similar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 24
OWN 47
0
94.4%
Bailey Flint punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Konata Mumpfield at the Akron 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:326% → 5%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
94.4%
Jonzell Norrils run for 5 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 5
OWN 18
0
94.8%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 5
OWN 18
0
94.8%
Kato Nelson sacked by Justin Clark for 0 yards to the Akron 10Similar
Q3 9:10
4TH & 13
OWN 10
0
94.9%
Ethan Slike punt for 43 yds , Devin Maddox returns for no gain to the Toled 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 14TD
2 plays · 56 yds · 0:4196% → 98%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
95.6%
Bryant Koback run for 12 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
98.4%
Bryant Koback run for 44 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:562% → 2%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
98.2%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+13
98.2%
Kato Nelson run for 13 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
98.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonzell Norrils for 5 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
98.1%
Kato Nelson sacked by Jamal Hines and AJ Crider for 0 yards to the Akron 29Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
98.2%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
98.2%
Ethan Slike punt for 19 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 16TD
2 plays · 48 yds · 0:3799% → 100%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
98.5%
Bryant Koback run for 15 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.8%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Drew Rosi for 33 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:000% → 0%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Jonzell Norrils run for 3 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
99.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 10 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Tristian Brank run for no gain to the Akron 38Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.8%
Kato Nelson run for 4 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+3
99.8%
Kato Nelson run for 3 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 2:51
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Ethan Slike punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Devin Maddox at the Toled 12Similar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
99.8%
TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Toled 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 18TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+4
99.8%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Matt Landers for 4 yds to the Toled 11Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+2
99.8%
Micah Kelly run for 2 yds to the Toled 13Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+18
99.8%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 18 yds to the Toled 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.8%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Matt Landers for 6 yds to the Toled 37Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+36
99.8%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Matt Landers for 36 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
99.8%
AKRON Penalty, Offsides (Ryan Johnson) to the Akron 22Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 5
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
99.9%
TOLEDO Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on GURMAN, Vitaliy ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+22
99.9%
Isaiah Winstead 22 Yd pass from Dequan Finn (Thomas Cluckey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Jonzell Norrils run for 3 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+72
99.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonzell Norrils for 72 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:32100% → 100%
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.9%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for 11 yds to the Toled 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
Jacquez Stuart run for 4 yds to the Toled 35Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+8
99.9%
Jacquez Stuart run for 8 yds to the Toled 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
99.9%
TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Toled 38Similar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 15
OWN 38
-1
99.9%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 37Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 16
OWN 37
+14
99.9%
Jacquez Stuart run for 14 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Jacquez Stuart run for no gain to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
99.9%
Jonzell Norrils run for 8 yds to the Toled 43Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:30
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
99.9%
Micah Kelly run for 12 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
99.9%
Micah Kelly run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 48Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 13
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 13
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:17
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Bailey Flint punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:350% → 0%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
Josh Bryant run for 4 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
Joey Marousek pass complete to Shawn Naim for 3 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Joey Marousek pass complete to Shawn Naim for 3 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Joey Marousek pass complete to Jr. Oran Singleton for 5 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Joey Marousek pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Joey Marousek pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:42
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Ethan Slike punt for 52 yds , Adam Beale returns for 3 yds to the Toled 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 24TD
13 plays · 92 yds · 5:18100% → 100%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
99.9%
Willie Shaw III run for 9 yds to the Toled 17Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+4
99.9%
Willie Shaw III run for 4 yds to the Toled 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
99.9%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Thomas Zsiros for 15 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Tucker Gleason pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.9%
Willie Shaw III run for 1 yd to the Toled 37Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+15
99.9%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Willie Shaw III for 15 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
99.9%
Willie Shaw III run for 8 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+9
99.9%
Lamy Constant run for 9 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
99.9%
Lamy Constant run for 6 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+1
99.9%
Lamy Constant run for 1 yd to the Akron 24Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Lamy Constant for 4 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
99.9%
Lamy Constant run for 7 yds to the Akron 13Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+13
100.0%
Lamy Constant run for 13 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
Josh Bryant run for 2 yds to the Akron 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:29
Bryant Koback run for 44 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)
+2.9
TD · Q2 1:43
Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for 23 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q2 14:10
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonzell Norrils for 3 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)
-1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com