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OHIO

Ohio 10 at Bowling Green 21

BGSU
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2021 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGSAFETYFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:59 · Nick Mosley run for 2 yds to the Ohio 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Pregame prior−4.9Home team on offense+7.7Garbage-time factor+3.1Score differential+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 8:14: Nate Needham 23 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +4.0 pts (now 32%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:47: Stephen Johnson 22 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +3.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:48: Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 14 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +11.3 pts (now 44%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 4:06: Nate Needham 43 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 56%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:03: Nate Needham 40 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +13.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00BGSU 4th & 1 at OHIO 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    34.5%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    34.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:14BGSU 4th & 5 at OHIO 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:27OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:36BGSU 4th & 10 at OHIO 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:36OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.6%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:07BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.4%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:47OHIO 4th & 6 at BGSU 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    56.9%−4.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:58BGSU 4th & 4 at OHIO 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.1%−0.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−4.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:44OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−3.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:20BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:40OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 47, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:19BGSU 4th & 11 at OHIO 30, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.3 ptsPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−1.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    48.9%
    56% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%−2.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:51OHIO 4th & 8 at OHIO 34, tied
    Numbers favored punt by 2.4 ptsWent for it · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.6%−2.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    53.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:06BGSU 4th & 7 at OHIO 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    42.0%−10.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:28OHIO 4th & 22 at OHIO 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−6.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:59BGSU 4th & 1 at OHIO 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    58.8%−6.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−21.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:03BGSU 4th & 9 at OHIO 22, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%−2.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    65.5%−14.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:47OHIO 4th & 12 at BGSU 33, down 8
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−2.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:19BGSU 4th & 15 at OHIO 21, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−2.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OHIO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 14:17OHIO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:48BGSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 6:4628% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
28.2%
Terion Stewart run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
28.2%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
28.2%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
28.2%
Matt McDonald run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+12
28.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 12 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
28.2%
Matt McDonald run for 5 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+4
28.2%
Nick Mosley run for 4 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
28.2%
Nick Mosley run for no gain to the Ohio 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+3
28.2%
Matt McDonald run for 3 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+31
28.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 31 yds to the Ohio 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
28.2%
Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the Ohio 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
28.2%
Nick Mosley run for 5 yds to the Ohio 4Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
28.2%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the Ohio 5Similar
Q1 8:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
32.3%
Nate Needham 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:4268% → 66%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
32.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+3
32.1%
Armani Rogers run for 3 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
32.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+16
33.8%
Jonah Wieland punt for 54 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 16 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5133% → 34%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
33.1%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+18
33.0%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 18 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
33.8%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the Ohio 49Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
33.7%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
33.1%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
33.8%
Matt Naranjo punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 5:1966% → 68%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
34.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 5 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+20
34.4%
Kurtis Rourke run for 20 yds to the Ohio 39 Kurtis Rourke fumbled, forced by Devin Taylor, recovered by Ohio for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
33.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+6
33.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 6 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+1
33.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 1 yd to the Ohio 48Similar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+45
34.0%
Kurtis Rourke run for 45 yds to the BwGrn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
34.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Alec Burton for 6 yds to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
34.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
31.8%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD (Stephen Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:0433% → 33%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
32.9%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
32.8%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+9
32.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 9 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
33.1%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
32.9%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+9
32.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 9 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+1
33.1%
Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6FG
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:2069% → 72%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
31.3%
Kurtis Rourke run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+8
30.6%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+17
30.6%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 17 yds to the BwGrn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
30.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Alec BurtonSimilar
Q2 12:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
30.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 6Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
31.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to De'Montre TuggleSimilar
Q2 8:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+22
28.2%
Stephen Johnson 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 3:5530% → 44%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
29.6%
Nick Mosley run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
30.8%
Nick Mosley run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+1
31.4%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 3
50
+5
31.2%
PENALTY OU Offside (Henderson,Bralen) 5 yards from BG 50 to OU 45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
31.7%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+11
31.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 11 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
32.5%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+19
32.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 19 yds to the Ohio 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
32.5%
Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the Ohio 14Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+14
43.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 14 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8INT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4863% → 61%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
37.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
37.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
39.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5545% → 43%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-8
44.8%
Matt McDonald sacked by Roman Parodie for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 39Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 18
OPP 39
+2
42.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith for 2 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 16
OPP 37
+12
41.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 12 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+43
42.9%
Nate Needham 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:1462% → 58%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
38.4%
Isiah Cox run for 1 yd to the Ohio 24Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-6
38.6%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Karl Brooks for a loss of 6 yards to the Ohio 18Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+7
39.9%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 7 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
41.8%
Jonah Wieland punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:2442% → 41%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
42.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 7 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
44.1%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
42.6%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin OsborneSimilar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 3
OWN 36
+6
41.1%
Matt Naranjo punt for 38 yds , Isiah Cox returns for 6 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
38.7%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:1162% → 60%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
37.9%
Kurtis Rourke run for 2 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+2
37.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 2 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+4
38.1%
Kurtis Rourke run for 4 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+2
39.7%
Jonah Wieland punt for 44 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 2 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 59 yds · 5:2144% → 46%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
43.8%
Nick Mosley run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+1
43.9%
Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+10
42.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith for 10 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
44.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+3
43.9%
Nick Mosley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+27
42.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jhaylin Embry for 27 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
47.7%
McDonald,Matt pass incomplete to Broden,Tyrone PENALTY OU Pass Interference (Gregory,John) 15 yards from OU 44 to OU 29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
48.5%
Jamal Johnson run for 1 yd to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
48.3%
Nick Mosley run for no gain to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 11
OPP 30
0
46.5%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin OsborneSimilar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 11
OPP 30
0
46.1%
Nate Needham punt for 30 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2857% → 54%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
43.4%
Jake Neatherton run for 12 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
42.5%
Jake Neatherton run for 2 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
42.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Ty WaltonSimilar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
44.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 8
OWN 34
+6
46.2%
Jonah Wieland run for 6 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4553% → 56%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
53.2%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Taron KeithSimilar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
53.1%
Taron Keith run for no gain to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+3
51.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 3 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q3 4:06
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+43
56.0%
Nate Needham 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:3246% → 40%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
54.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
55.1%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 13
OWN 25
-9
56.8%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Anthony Hawkins for a loss of 9 yards to the Ohio 16 Kurtis Rourke fumbled, recovered by Ohio Kurtis Rourke , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 22
OWN 16
+9
60.0%
Jonah Wieland punt for 43 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18DOWNS
11 plays · 47 yds · 4:2960% → 65%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
50
+4
60.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 4 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+3
60.6%
Taron Keith run for 3 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+10
59.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 10 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
61.8%
Taron Keith run for 6 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+9
63.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 9 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
63.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 6 yds to the Ohio 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+8
63.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 8 yds to the Ohio 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
63.7%
Nick Mosley run for 2 yds to the Ohio 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
63.7%
Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the Ohio 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
61.9%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q4 12:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+2
65.0%
Nick Mosley run for 2 yds to the Ohio 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19SF
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0438% → 37%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
61.9%
PENALTY OU False Start (Titsworth,Parker) 1 yard from OU 03 to OU 02. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+2
62.6%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 5:4566% → 88%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
66.1%
Taron Keith run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-5
67.5%
PENALTY BG False Start (Zimmerly,Cade) 5 yards from BG 32 to BG 27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+19
65.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 19 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
69.2%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Cavon CroomSimilar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
67.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 7 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+11
74.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith for 11 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
76.1%
Taron Keith run for 4 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
76.5%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+9
75.0%
Matt McDonald run for 9 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
76.5%
Jamal Johnson run for 1 yd to the Ohio 22Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+2
76.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 2 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+2
74.6%
Jamal Johnson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q4 7:03
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+40
87.8%
Nate Needham 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21INT
11 plays · 42 yds · 3:1615% → 12%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 6 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+25
83.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 25 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
80.6%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+7
81.8%
Kurtis Rourke run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+7
81.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 7 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
78.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+10
79.0%
Rourke,Kurtis pass incomplete to Cross,Miles PENALTY OU Holding (Atkinson,Christophe) 10 yards from BG 31 to BG 41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 20
OPP 41
0
82.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 20
OPP 41
+8
84.8%
Kurtis Rourke run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 12
OPP 33
0
88.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22FG
12 plays · 7 yds · 2:2894% → 98%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
93.7%
Taron Keith run for 2 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
94.2%
Taron Keith run for no gain to the Ohio 26Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+10
95.3%
Taron Keith run for 10 yds to the Ohio 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
95.8%
PENALTY BG False Start (Murphy,Jordan) 5 yards from OU 16 to OU 21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+2
95.7%
Taron Keith run for 2 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+2
96.3%
Taron Keith run for 2 yds to the Ohio 17Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 11
OPP 17
-4
96.0%
run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 21Similar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 15
OPP 21
+39
97.6%
Nate Needham 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23INT
7 plays · 51 yds · 1:193% → 4%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 6 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
97.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 10 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
97.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 23 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
96.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 9 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+3
95.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 3 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
96.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 7:03
Nate Needham 40 yd FG GOOD
+13.2
TD · Q2 4:48
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 14 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)
+11.3
FG · Q3 4:06
Nate Needham 43 yd FG GOOD
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com