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EMU

Eastern Michigan 10 at Central Michigan 31

CMU
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2021 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:51 · Luke Elzinga punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Pregame prior+2.8Home team on offense+25.5Score differential+12.1Garbage-time factor+12.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:00: Marshall Meeder 37 yd FG GOOD — CMU win probability +4.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:45: Marion Lukes 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Marshall Meeder Kick) — CMU win probability +7.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:08: Samson Evans 2 Yd Run (Chad Ryland Kick) — EMU win probability +11.4 pts (now 26%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:00: Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 21 — CMU win probability +4.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:19: JaCorey Sullivan 26 Yd pass from Daniel Richardson (Marshall Meeder Kick) — CMU win probability +7.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 13:32EMU 4th & 14 at EMU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:32EMU 4th & 14 at EMU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:44CMU 4th & 8 at EMU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    72.1%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:45EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:12CMU 4th & 3 at EMU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    71.4%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    71.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:32EMU 4th & 13 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:10EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 21, down 7
    Close callPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:11CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 9, up 7
    Close callPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:20EMU 4th & 10 at CMU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    23.7%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:20CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.4%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00CMU 4th & 9 at EMU 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−4.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:30CMU 4th & 20 at EMU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−2.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    80.3%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:05EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00CMU 4th & 1 at EMU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.5%−3.0
    58% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−9.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:12EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 43, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:51CMU 4th & 8 at EMU 41, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:35EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%−0.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:48CMU 4th & 3 at EMU 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−0.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−1.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:48EMU 4th & 17 at EMU 25, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:19EMU 4th & 5 at CMU 49, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:23CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 14:45CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:08EMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:19CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:55CMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:2829% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
71.4%
Ben Bryant sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
71.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 1 yd to the EMich 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
71.4%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
71.2%
Jake Julien punt for 22 ydsSimilar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
71.2%
Jake Julien punt for 22 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4871% → 71%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
71.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
71.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Remi SimmonsSimilar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
71.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Dallas DixonSimilar
Q1 12:44
4TH & 8
OPP 41
+10
71.0%
Luke Elzinga punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 17 , Hassan Beydoun returns for 10 yds to the EMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:5929% → 30%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
71.0%
Jawon Hamilton run for 9 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+7
70.9%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 7 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
70.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 6 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+3
70.8%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 1
OWN 42
0
70.8%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+2
70.4%
Preston Hutchinson run for 2 yds to the EMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3371% → 70%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
71.1%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
71.1%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the EMich 40Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+7
70.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 7 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 8:12
4TH & 3
OPP 33
0
70.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Joel WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:4030% → 30%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+20
69.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 20 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
69.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
69.5%
Darius Boone Jr. run for no gain to the CMich 44Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-6
69.6%
Ben Bryant sacked by Tyrece Woods Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:32
4TH & 13
50
+20
69.8%
Jake Julien punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 35 , Kalil Pimpleton returns for 20 yds to the CMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:0970% → 74%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
69.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Dallas DixonSimilar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
69.6%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 9 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
70.1%
Myles Bailey run for 1 yd to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
70.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 11 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
70.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 8 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+5
70.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
70.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 7 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+4
70.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
70.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 11 yds to the EMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
74.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 9 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7FUMBLE
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:0627% → 29%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
72.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 13 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
72.3%
Bryson Moss run for 2 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+11
72.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 11 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
71.6%
Bryson Moss run for 6 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+8
71.5%
Bryson Moss run for 8 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
71.0%
Bryson Moss run for 5 yds to the CMich 40 Bryson Moss fumbled, forced by Jacques Bristol, recovered by CMich Tyrece Woods Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8INT
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:5574% → 75%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
74.2%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
74.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+8
73.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 8 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
74.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 13 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
74.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
75.0%
Daniel Richardson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0727% → 26%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
73.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
73.3%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+5
73.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Samson Evans for 5 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q2 11:10
4TH & 1
OWN 21
0
74.2%
Jake Julien punt for 78 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5974% → 73%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
73.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the CMich 4Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+4
73.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the CMich 8Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+1
72.9%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 9Similar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 2
OWN 9
+3
72.6%
Luke Elzinga punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 48 , Hassan Beydoun returns for 3 yds to the CMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:5128% → 30%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
71.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 16 yds to the CMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
71.1%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
70.9%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+3
72.1%
Ben Bryant run for 3 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q2 7:20
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+50
69.8%
Chad Ryland 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12FG
22 plays · 56 yds · 7:2070% → 77%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 6 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
71.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
70.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
71.0%
Richardson,Daniel pass incomplete to Dixon,Dallas PENALTY CMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Raimann,Bernhard) 5 yards from CMU36 to CMU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+5
70.4%
Darius Bracy run for 5 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
70.7%
Darius Bracy run for 5 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+4
70.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q2 7:20
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+1
70.6%
Darius Bracy run for 1 yd to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
72.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 47Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+14
71.8%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 14 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
72.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 8 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+11
72.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 11 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
73.2%
Richardson,Daniel pass complete to Simmons,Remi for 3 yards loss to the EMU23 (Boone,Darius) PENALTY CMU Holding 10 yards from EMU20 to EMU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 20
OPP 30
+5
73.0%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 15
OPP 25
-5
72.5%
PENALTY CMU False Start (Raimann,Bernhard) 5 yards from EMU25 to EMU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 20
OPP 30
+8
72.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 8 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 12
OPP 22
+3
72.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the EMich 19Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+37
76.9%
Marshall Meeder 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 5:3316% → 26%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
84.0%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
84.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 5 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q3 14:41
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+8
83.8%
Bryant,Ben pass complete to Knue,Tanner for 8 yards to the EMU48 (Kent,Donte), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (Kent,Donte) 8 yards from EMU40 to EMU48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
83.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 13 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
82.8%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the CMich 39Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+19
82.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 19 yds to the CMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
81.8%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the CMich 19Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+13
81.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dennis Smith for 13 yds to the CMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
81.8%
PENALTY CMU Offside (Woods,Tyrece) 3 yards from CMU06 to CMU03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
81.8%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the CMich 2Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
81.8%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the CMich 2Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
74.4%
Samson Evans 2 Yd Run (Chad Ryland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14PUNT
17 plays · 35 yds · 6:3880% → 82%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
79.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
79.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
80.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 37Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+28
80.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 28 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
82.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the EMich 34Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+3
82.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 3 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+6
81.3%
Darius Bracy run for 6 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-15
82.3%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kalil Pimpleton) to the EMich 40Similar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
81.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 7 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+3
82.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
82.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-10
82.3%
Nichols,Lew rush for 12 yards gain to the EMU15, out of bounds PENALTY CMU Holding (Ferris,Tyden) 10 yards from EMU27 to EMU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 17
OPP 37
0
80.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 17
OPP 37
+3
80.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Darius Bracy for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 20
OPP 40
0
81.8%
Luke Elzinga punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:2521% → 19%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
78.8%
Bryson Moss run for 15 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
78.0%
Ben Bryant sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+12
78.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 12 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
76.5%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q3 0:05
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
81.0%
Jake Julien punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:4186% → 96%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
86.0%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+14
85.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 14 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
86.2%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
86.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+10
85.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 10 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
87.6%
Richardson,Daniel pass incomplete to Dixon,Dallas PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Paul,Jarrett) 15 yards from CMU47 to EMU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
87.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 8 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 30
0
88.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+1
87.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+1
86.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
88.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+26
95.9%
JaCorey Sullivan 26 Yd pass from Daniel Richardson (Marshall Meeder Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:076% → 5%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
94.1%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Targeting (15 Yards) to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
93.8%
PENALTY CMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Sturkey,Rolliann) 15 yards from EMU29 to EMU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
93.7%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 18
OWN 36
-5
94.2%
Ben Bryant sacked by LaQuan Johnson Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 23
OWN 31
+12
94.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 12 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 9:12
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
95.2%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2196% → 96%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
96.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 18 yds to the EMich 25 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jamezz Kimbrough) to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
96.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Remi SimmonsSimilar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
96.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
96.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Joel WilsonSimilar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
96.2%
Luke Elzinga punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:165% → 4%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
95.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 10 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
95.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 12 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
95.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-7
95.0%
Ben Bryant sacked by Daedae Hill for a loss of 7 yards to the EMich 31 Ben Bryant fumbled, recovered by EMich Ben Bryant , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+7
95.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Samson Evans for 7 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 4
OWN 38
+3
96.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 3 yds to the EMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:4797% → 97%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
97.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the EMich 38 Lew Nichols III fumbled, forced by Tariq Speights, recovered by CMichSimilar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+1
97.4%
Darius Bracy run for 1 yd to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+3
97.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+2
97.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the EMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:004% → 3%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.4%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
96.6%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 10
OWN 32
-7
96.7%
Ben Bryant sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 17
OWN 25
+10
97.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 10 yds to the EMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:5398% → 100%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
98.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+33
99.6%
Lew Nichols III 33 Yd Run (Marshall Meeder Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:321% → 0%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
99.5%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Samson EvansSimilar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+8
99.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 8 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.5%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
99.5%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 5 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
99.6%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.6%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the CMich 49Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
99.7%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the CMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:08
Samson Evans 2 Yd Run (Chad Ryland Kick)
-11.4
TD · Q4 11:19
JaCorey Sullivan 26 Yd pass from Daniel Richardson (Marshall Meeder Kick)
+7.5
TD · Q3 14:45
Marion Lukes 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Marshall Meeder Kick)
+7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com