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WMU

Western Michigan 42 at Northern Illinois 21

NIU
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2021 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:49 · Nick Mihalic punt for 57 yds , Trayvon Rudolph returns for 6 yds to the NoIll 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Home team on offense−2.2Score differential−0.9Pregame prior−17.7Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:36: Clint Ratkovich run for 96 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +7.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:19: Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 50 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) — WMU win probability +6.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:42: Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 6 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) — WMU win probability +7.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:25: Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 29 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) — WMU win probability +9.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:53: Antario Brown run for 44 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +3.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 6:01NIU 4th & 11 at WMU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:49WMU 4th & 14 at WMU 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:06NIU 4th & 11 at NIU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:51WMU 4th & 12 at NIU 35, up 7
    Close callPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    66.7%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:42NIU 4th & 16 at NIU 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−1.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:25WMU 4th & 4 at NIU 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    78.2%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    73.7%−4.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:26WMU 4th & 2 at NIU 38, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−1.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:09NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:13WMU 4th & 6 at NIU 20, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−3.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:34NIU 4th & 19 at NIU 11, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−2.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:11NIU 4th & 14 at WMU 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:32WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:36NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:19WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:42WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:25WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:10WMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:53NIU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:06WMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:21NIU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:2429% → 30%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+47
29.0%
Jay Ducker run for 47 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
29.0%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
29.0%
Clint Ratkovich run for 1 yd to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+4
29.8%
Ethan Hampton run for 4 yds to the WMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 5:0070% → 71%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
29.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
29.6%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+8
29.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 8 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
29.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 16 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
29.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 8 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+3
29.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the NoIll 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
29.5%
Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+23
29.5%
Sean Tyler run for 23 yds to the NoIll 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
29.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the NoIll 4Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
29.5%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the NoIll 1Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Brett Borske for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:2730% → 30%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
29.9%
Ethan Hampton run for 9 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+9
30.3%
Jay Ducker run for 9 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
30.4%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 4 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 14
OWN 49
+3
30.0%
Ethan Hampton run for 3 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 11
OPP 48
0
30.0%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
29.8%
Matt Ference punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:1270% → 69%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
29.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 3 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
29.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the WMich 15Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 7
OWN 15
-7
30.1%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Devonte O'Malley for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 8Similar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 14
OWN 8
+6
30.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 57 yds , Trayvon Rudolph returns for 6 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4331% → 30%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
30.9%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+3
30.2%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+2
30.1%
Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 11
OWN 40
0
29.6%
Matt Ference punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 63 yds · 5:1570% → 70%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
30.2%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the WMich 3Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+10
30.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 10 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
30.1%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the WMich 14Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+3
30.2%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+36
30.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 36 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
28.8%
Sean Tyler run for 8 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+6
28.7%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 6 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
28.7%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the NoIll 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
28.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 35
0
29.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q2 11:51
4TH & 12
OPP 35
0
30.4%
Nick Mihalic punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Trayvon Rudolph at the NoIll 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7TD
1 play · 96 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+96
37.6%
Clint Ratkovich run for 96 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 1:1263% → 71%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+27
36.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 27 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
35.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 3
50
+50
28.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 50 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:3571% → 79%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
28.8%
Eleby,Kaleb pass incomplete to Crooms,Corey broken up by Brown,C.J. PENALTY NIU Pass Interference (Brown,C.J.) 15 yards from NIU36 to NIU21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
28.5%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the NoIll 18Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+12
28.5%
Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the NoIll 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
21.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 6 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 2:5723% → 22%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
23.4%
Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+9
23.8%
Jay Ducker run for 9 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
24.5%
Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 12
OWN 42
-5
24.0%
PENALTY NIU False Start 5 yards from NIU42 to NIU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 17
OWN 37
+1
23.2%
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the NoIll 38Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 16
OWN 38
0
23.2%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 16
OWN 38
+5
21.8%
Matt Ference punt for 46 yds , Bryce Nunnelly returns for 5 yds to the WMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 4:1778% → 91%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
21.9%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 4 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
21.8%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for no gain to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+26
21.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 26 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
20.3%
Eleby,Kaleb pass incomplete to Crooms,Corey PENALTY WMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from NIU49 to WMU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+6
20.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 6 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+13
20.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 13 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
20.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
20.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the NoIll 34Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+5
20.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Brett Borske for 5 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+29
9.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 29 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:2014% → 13%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
13.7%
Jay Ducker run for no gain to the NoIll 33Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
12.7%
Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:3490% → 92%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
9.7%
Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+22
9.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 22 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
9.2%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
9.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+5
9.5%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+1
8.4%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the NoIll 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1712% → 12%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
12.1%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 4 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+1
12.5%
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the NoIll 42Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
12.4%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
11.7%
Matt Ference punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 60 yds · 4:5693% → 95%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
7.3%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 8 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
7.3%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 1 yd to the WMich 29Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+25
7.4%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 25 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+22
6.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 22 yds to the NoIll 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
6.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the NoIll 21Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 7
OPP 21
-5
6.6%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Michael Kennedy for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 26Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 12
OPP 26
+6
6.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 6 yds to the NoIll 20Similar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 6
OPP 20
0
4.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:396% → 5%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
6.0%
Ethan Hampton sacked by Ryan Selig for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 12Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+1
6.0%
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the NoIll 11Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 19
OWN 11
0
5.9%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 19
OWN 11
0
5.4%
Matt Ference punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:2496% → 99%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
3.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the WMich 44Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+10
3.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 10 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+6
3.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 6 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
3.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 17 yds to the NoIll 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
3.5%
Sean Tyler run for 10 yds to the NoIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
3.5%
Corey Crooms run for 6 yds to the NoIll 7Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
3.5%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the NoIll 7Similar
Q3 0:14
3RD & 4
OPP 7
-5
2.4%
PENALTY WMU False Start 5 yards from NIU07 to NIU12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+12
0.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 12 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 45 yds · 0:071% → 4%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
0.7%
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the WMich 44Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+44
3.8%
Antario Brown run for 44 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19MISSED FG
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:414% → 3%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
4.2%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 9 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 1
OPP 18
0
4.3%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+5
4.2%
PENALTY WMU Offside 5 yards from WMU18 to WMU13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
4.2%
Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 15
OPP 18
-10
4.0%
Ethan Hampton sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 10 yards to the WMich 28Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 25
OPP 28
+11
3.8%
Jay Ducker run for 11 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q4 12:11
4TH & 14
OPP 17
+35
2.6%
John Richardson 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 2:0598% → 100%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+38
2.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 38 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
2.0%
Sean Tyler run for 16 yds to the NoIll 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+14
2.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 14 yds to the NoIll 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
0.3%
Sean Tyler run for 12 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:390% → 2%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
0.3%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Miles Joiner for 14 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
0.3%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+16
0.3%
Jay Ducker run for 16 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
2.3%
Antario Brown run for 41 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
12 plays · 73 yds · 8:1798% → 100%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
1.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 5
OWN 18
-5
1.6%
PENALTY WMU False Start 5 yards from WMU18 to WMU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+4
1.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+10
1.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 10 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+20
1.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 20 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
1.4%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 6 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+3
1.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+17
1.4%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 17 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
1.4%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 4 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+6
1.4%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 6 yds to the NoIll 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
1.4%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 4 yds to the NoIll 13Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 13
-1
0.4%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:25
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 29 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)
-9.6
TD · Q2 11:36
Clint Ratkovich run for 96 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)
+7.2
TD · Q2 8:42
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 6 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)
-7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com