Try the model
WMU

Western Michigan 21 at Eastern Michigan 22

EMU
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2021 · Rynearson Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:00 · Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 17 yds to the WMich 12 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+23.0+11.50−11.5−23.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Pregame prior−2.4Home team on offense−4.6Score differential−3.2Garbage-time factor−5.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:10: Sean Tyler 21 Yd Run (Parker Sampson Kick) — WMU win probability +12.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:47: Kaleb Eleby 1 Yd Run (Parker Sampson Kick) — WMU win probability +12.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:35: Hassan Beydoun 19 Yd pass from Samson Evans (Chad Ryland Kick) — EMU win probability +15.5 pts (now 37%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 7:21: Chad Ryland 31 Yd Field Goal — EMU win probability +10.8 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. FG · Q4 3:55: Chad Ryland 20 Yd Field Goal — EMU win probability +17.6 pts (now 68%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:26EMU 4th & 14 at EMU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:16EMU 4th & 15 at EMU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:22WMU 4th & 3 at EMU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    60.3%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00EMU 4th & 10 at WMU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:55EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:27WMU 4th & 11 at WMU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:07EMU 4th & 6 at WMU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−6.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:02WMU 4th & 10 at EMU 12, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−5.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:43EMU 4th & 3 at WMU 13, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.6%−0.5
    85% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−6.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:23EMU 4th & 4 at WMU 4, down 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.0%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−10.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:35EMU 4th & 2 at WMU 19, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    19.9%−1.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−7.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:38WMU 4th & 17 at WMU 30, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−5.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:00EMU 4th & 9 at WMU 29, down 5
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.0 ptsWent for it · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.4%−2.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    34.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    21.7%−12.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:21EMU 4th & 11 at WMU 13, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−6.4
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    16.4%−17.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:55EMU 4th & 2 at WMU 2, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−2.7
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.6%
    94% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−29.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:21EMU 4th & 1 at WMU 28, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    72.0%−6.9
    60% to make
    Punt
    50.9%−28.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 13:37WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:10WMU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:47WMU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:35EMU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2434% → 35%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
34.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 2 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
34.6%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Thomas OdukoyaSimilar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-6
34.7%
Ben Bryant sacked by Andre Carter for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
34.9%
Jake Julien punt for 46 yds, downed at the WMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 3:4865% → 63%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
35.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 18Similar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+4
35.1%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+17
35.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 17 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
35.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 6 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
35.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
50
-13
35.4%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the EASTMICH 48 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the WMich 37Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 23
OWN 37
-2
35.9%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 35Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 25
OWN 35
-8
36.3%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Mikey Haney for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 27Similar
Q1 9:38
4TH & 33
OWN 27
0
36.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 48 yds, downed at the EMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:1937% → 37%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.6%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
36.7%
Jawon Hamilton run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 21Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-1
36.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 20Similar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
36.5%
Jake Julien punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:4663% → 62%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
36.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 5 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
36.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+5
36.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
36.9%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+4
36.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Sean Tyler for 4 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+1
37.1%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the EMich 46Similar
Q1 4:22
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+56
37.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 46 yds for a touchback EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 43 yds · 4:0039% → 40%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
38.6%
Darius Boone Jr. run for no gain to the EMich 10Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+20
38.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 20 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
39.1%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 5
OWN 35
+5
39.7%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
40.2%
Samson Evans run for 9 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+4
40.8%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
41.2%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 3
OPP 40
-7
41.5%
Ben Bryant sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 47Similar
Q1 0:02
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
40.8%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
39.9%
Jake Julien punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:2361% → 67%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
39.3%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
39.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 2 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+74
33.5%
Skyy Moore 74 Yd pass from Kaleb Eleby (Parker Sampson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3634% → 33%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
33.7%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Thomas OdukoyaSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
33.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd to the EMich 23Similar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+7
33.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 7 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
33.2%
Jake Julien punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:2367% → 66%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
32.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 11 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
32.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 44Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
32.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
32.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q2 10:27
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
34.0%
Nick Mihalic punt for 46 yds, downed at the EMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 78 yds · 3:0834% → 39%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
33.5%
Jawon Hamilton run for 2 yds to the EMich 12Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+31
33.4%
Jawon Hamilton run for 31 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+25
34.8%
Jawon Hamilton run for 25 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
36.5%
Jawon Hamilton run for 5 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+11
36.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 11 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
36.7%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Thomas OdukoyaSimilar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+6
35.9%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 6 yds to the WMich 10Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+3
34.8%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the WMich 7Similar
Q2 7:25
4TH & 1
OPP 7
-5
33.9%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 12Similar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+30
38.9%
Chad Ryland 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10MISSED FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 3:5363% → 65%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
36.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 20 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
35.1%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+15
35.2%
Kaleb Eleby run for 5 yds to the EASTMICH 47 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
34.8%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 12 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
33.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 13 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
33.7%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
33.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 8
OPP 10
-10
34.7%
Eleby, Kaleb pass incomplete, PENALTY WESTMICH holding 10 yards to the EASTMICH20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 18
OPP 20
+8
35.6%
Kaleb Eleby run for 8 yds to the EMich 12Similar
Q2 3:02
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+29
35.4%
Nick Mihalic 29 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Carter StagnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11FG
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:1737% → 43%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+60
36.9%
Jawon Hamilton run for 60 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
41.2%
Jawon Hamilton run for 8 yds to the WMich 12Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 2
OPP 12
-1
41.1%
Jawon Hamilton run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 13Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
39.4%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+31
43.2%
Chad Ryland 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12END OF HALF
14 plays · 81 yds · 1:2760% → 64%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
40.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+4
40.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WMich 13Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+22
41.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 22 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
39.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Brett Borske for 21 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
36.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 1 yd to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+4
36.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+9
36.5%
Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
35.2%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Jose Ramirez for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+21
35.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 21 yds to the EMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4059% → 75%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
40.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 7 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
39.4%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
40.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 4 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+15
38.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Brett Borske for 15 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+18
38.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 18 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
37.4%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+21
24.9%
Sean Tyler 21 Yd Run (Parker Sampson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:3730% → 37%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
29.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 16 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
32.0%
Jawon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+18
32.1%
Ben Bryant run for 18 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
33.3%
Jawon Hamilton run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+21
33.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 21 yds to the WMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
33.3%
Jawon Hamilton run for 1 yd to the WMich 3Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
33.3%
Ben Bryant run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 4Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
31.6%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Samson EvansSimilar
Q3 8:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
36.6%
Chad Ryland 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:3367% → 85%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
33.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 13 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
31.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+29
30.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 29 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
29.0%
Moore, Skyy rush for 12 yards to the EASTMICH18, PENALTY WESTMICH illegal block 10 yards to the EASTMICH40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+8
30.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 8 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+15
29.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 15 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
28.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 7 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+4
27.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the EMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
27.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the EMich 2Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
27.4%
Kaleb Eleby run for 1 yd to the EMich 1Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.8%
Kaleb Eleby 1 Yd Run (Parker Sampson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:0220% → 37%
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
20.0%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+46
19.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dennis Smith for 46 yds to the EASTMICH 27 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
23.0%
Jawon Hamilton run for 8 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 2
OPP 19
-1
22.9%
Jawon Hamilton run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 20Similar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+1
21.3%
Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd to the WMich 19Similar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+19
36.8%
Hassan Beydoun 19 Yd pass from Samson Evans (Chad Ryland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:5170% → 68%
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Bryce NunnellySimilar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
30.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 12 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
28.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
29.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 4 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-11
28.0%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Mikey Haney for a loss of 11 yards to the WMich 30 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:38
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
32.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18FG
15 plays · 57 yds · 6:1434% → 50%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
34.2%
Ben Bryant run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+8
33.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 8 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+8
35.2%
Samson Evans run for 8 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
37.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 5
50
+4
38.8%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+16
38.4%
Jawon Hamilton run for 16 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
41.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 7 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 3
OPP 23
-6
44.3%
Jawon Hamilton run for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 29Similar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
41.4%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Tanner Knue, broken up by Jake MoertlSimilar
Q4 9:00
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+17
37.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 17 yds to the WMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
44.5%
Jawon Hamilton run for 2 yds to the WMich 10Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
44.6%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Gunnar OakesSimilar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 8
OPP 10
-3
38.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Samson Evans for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 13Similar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+31
49.7%
Chad Ryland 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3262% → 62%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
38.4%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+10
38.2%
Kaleb Eleby run for 10 yds to the WMich 41 Kaleb Eleby fumbled, forced by Turan Rush, recovered by EMich Russell Vaden IVSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20FG
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:4354% → 68%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
54.4%
Jawon Hamilton run for 11 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+22
57.8%
Jawon Hamilton run for 22 yds to the WMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
57.9%
Jawon Hamilton run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 11Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+8
56.3%
Ben Bryant run for 8 yds to the WMich 3Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
50.1%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the WMich 2Similar
Q4 3:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
67.7%
Chad Ryland 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:2639% → 40%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
60.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+17
60.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 17 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
59.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-5
55.7%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 36Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
60.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass intercepted Michael Smith Jr. return for no gain to the WMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
9 plays · 8 yds · 1:4975% → 86%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
74.7%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+3
78.1%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+1
76.5%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the WMich 28Similar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+1
79.7%
Ben Bryant run for 1 yd to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
83.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 28Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 11
OPP 28
-1
85.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 3:55
Chad Ryland 20 Yd Field Goal
+17.6
TD · Q3 0:35
Hassan Beydoun 19 Yd pass from Samson Evans (Chad Ryland Kick)
+15.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com