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KENT

Kent State 30 at Central Michigan 54

CMU
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2021 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Home team on offense+15.5Score differential+2.0Pregame prior+1.8Garbage-time factor+8.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:07: Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 19 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK) — CMU win probability +12.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:07: Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK) — CMU win probability +11.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:10: Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 51 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK) — KENT win probability +10.0 pts (now 27%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:44: Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 21 yds for a TD KENT ST Penalty, Face Mask (0 yards) (Zayin West) declined, (Marshall Meeder KICK) — CMU win probability +12.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:56: Lew Nichols III run for 12 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK) — CMU win probability +11.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6KENT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:04CMU 4th & 21 at KENT 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    58.3%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:20CMU 4th & 13 at CMU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:20KENT 4th & 10 at CMU 15, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.7%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    45.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:24KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00CMU 4th & 1 at KENT 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    46.5%−1.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    42.6%−5.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:16KENT 4th & 22 at KENT 23, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−3.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00KENT 4th & 8 at CMU 15, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−6.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:03KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 30, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00CMU 4th & 2 at KENT 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    81.9%−2.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:48KENT 4th & 1 at CMU 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−1.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:48CMU 4th & 1 at KENT 47, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.9%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:05CMU 4th & 10 at KENT 44, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:25KENT 4th & 19 at KENT 37, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 8:51KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:48KENT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:34CMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:31CMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:07CMU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    65.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    65.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:07CMU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:07CMU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:10KENT Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:44CMU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 0:35KENT Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    17.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    17.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 9:56CMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 4:01CMU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:5057% → 58%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
57.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
57.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 5 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+4
57.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
57.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 9 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+13
57.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 13 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
57.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
57.4%
Myles Bailey run for no gain to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-11
57.4%
Daniel Richardson sacked by A.J. Musolino for a loss of 11 yards to the KntSt 36Similar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 21
OPP 36
0
57.5%
Luke Elzinga punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:1343% → 45%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
57.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 9 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+1
57.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
57.5%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Ja'Shaun PokeSimilar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+13
57.5%
Dustin Crum run for 13 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
57.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 4 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+8
57.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 8 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
57.1%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
57.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+37
54.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kris Leach for 37 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2556% → 54%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
55.6%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Joel WilsonSimilar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
55.4%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 5 yds to the CMich 35Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+2
54.9%
Daniel Richardson run for 2 yds to the CMich 37 Daniel Richardson fumbled, forced by Adin Huntington, recovered by CMich Jamezz KimbroughSimilar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
54.3%
Luke Elzinga punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nykeim Johnson at the KntSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3246% → 52%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
54.4%
Ja'Shaun Poke run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
50
+6
53.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 6 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+7
53.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
53.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
53.6%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+5
53.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 5 yds to the CMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
53.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 11 yds to the CMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-6
53.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the CMich 11 KENT ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jack Bailey) to the CMich 21Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 16
OPP 21
+5
53.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the CMich 16Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 11
OPP 16
+1
53.8%
Ja'Shaun Poke run for 1 yd to the CMich 15Similar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+13
54.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 13 yds to the CMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
47.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2252% → 52%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
47.8%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Ja'Shaun PokeSimilar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
47.9%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
48.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Keshunn AbramSimilar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
48.2%
Josh Smith punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:5048% → 54%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
48.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 17 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
49.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+7
49.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 7 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
49.4%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the KntSt 42Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
49.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 8 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+2
49.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
47.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+6
47.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 6 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
47.4%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the KntSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+9
47.2%
Lew Nichols III run for 9 yds to the KntSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
47.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 13 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7FUMBLE
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:2850% → 52%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
49.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 18 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
48.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 3 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+5
48.5%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+9
47.9%
Dustin Crum run for 9 yds to the CMich 48 Dustin Crum fumbled, forced by Troy Hairston II, recovered by CMich Troy BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:2952% → 59%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
51.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
52.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+6
52.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 6 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
52.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 15 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
53.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+8
53.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 8 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+18
58.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 18 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:2747% → 49%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
53.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+15
51.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 15 yds Dante Cephas fumbled, forced by Alonzo McCoy, recovered by CMich Justin WhitesideSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 4:4955% → 68%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
55.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 17Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+8
55.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 8 yds to the CMich 25Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+3
54.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the CMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
55.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 6 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+9
57.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 9 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
57.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 44Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+20
57.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 20 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
58.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 6 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+13
59.0%
Lew Nichols III run for 13 yds to the KntSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
68.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 17 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:4438% → 34%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
62.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
60.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-12
63.9%
Dustin Crum sacked by Justin Whiteside for a loss of 12 yards to the KntSt 23Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 22
OWN 23
0
65.9%
Josh Smith punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12TD
2 plays · 48 yds · 0:0968% → 80%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+29
67.8%
pass incomplete for a 1ST down to Kalil Pimpleton for 29 yds to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
80.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 19 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13FG
16 plays · 58 yds · 1:0324% → 29%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
76.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-5
77.7%
PENALTY KSU False Start 5 yards from KSU30 to KSU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+10
78.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 10 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+3
77.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Raymond James for 3 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
77.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 9 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+20
76.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 20 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
75.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Raymond James for 6 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+10
75.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Raymond James for 10 yds to the CMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
75.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Raymond JamesSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
75.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Aaron HackettSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+2
76.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the CMich 15Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
71.2%
Andrew Glass 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:5329% → 27%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
71.5%
Crum,Dustin pass incomplete to Abram,Keshunn broken up by Sturkey,Rolliann PENALTY KSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from KSU21 to KSU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+7
71.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 7 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+7
71.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 7 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
71.1%
Xavier Williams run for no gain to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
73.0%
Josh Smith punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:5674% → 87%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
73.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+20
73.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Marion Lukes for 20 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
75.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 1 yd to the CMich 49Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+16
75.0%
Darius Bracy pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 16 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
75.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 11 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+23
75.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 23 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.9%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5416% → 27%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
83.8%
Dustin Crum run for 11 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
83.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+9
82.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 9 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
72.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 51 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:2178% → 91%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
77.6%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-10
77.1%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CMich 29Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+9
76.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Hunter Buczkowski for 9 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+10
76.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 10 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
78.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 10 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
78.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 18 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
79.0%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+21
91.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 21 yds for a TD KENT ST Penalty, Face Mask (0 yards) (Zayin West) declined, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
90.8%
PENALTY KSU Roughing The Passer 15 yards from CMU35 to CMU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:0913% → 21%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.6%
Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the KntSt 24Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
86.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
86.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 10 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
85.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+7
85.7%
Ja'Shaun Poke run for 7 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
85.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
84.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+6
85.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+24
84.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 24 yds to the CMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
83.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 3 yds to the CMich 12Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 7
OPP 12
-5
83.4%
Crum,Dustin rush for 0 yards to the CMU12 (Jones,Trey) PENALTY KSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from CMU12 to CMU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+11
84.1%
Dustin Crum run for 11 yds to the CMich 6Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+2
84.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the CMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
83.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kris Leach for 3 yds to the CMich 1Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 52 yds · 5:0485% → 97%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
85.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+7
85.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 7 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
84.9%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+4
83.9%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
85.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+7
85.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Remi Simmons for 7 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
85.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+4
85.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+8
84.9%
Lew Nichols III run for 8 yds to the KntSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
96.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 12 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:044% → 4%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
95.7%
KENT ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
95.9%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+16
96.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 16 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
95.6%
Xavier Williams run for 6 yds to the CMich 47Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+2
95.3%
Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+1
95.6%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the CMich 44Similar
Q4 7:48
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
96.2%
Xavier Williams run for no gain to the CMich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 3:4397% → 98%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
96.9%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the CMich 44Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
96.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+4
96.9%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q4 7:48
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+3
96.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
96.9%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the KntSt 45Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+1
96.9%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
97.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q4 4:05
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
98.2%
Luke Elzinga punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:361% → 1%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 5 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+11
99.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 11 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
99.4%
Dustin Crum sacked by Jacques Bristol for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 40Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 16
OWN 40
-3
99.5%
Dustin Crum sacked by Amir Siddiq for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 37Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 19
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 19
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Josh Smith punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.5%
Darius Bracy run for 4 yds to the CMich 26Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+21
99.6%
Darius Bracy run for 6 yds to the CMich 32 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Dean Clark) to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
99.6%
Darius Bracy run for 6 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+4
99.6%
Darius Bracy run for 4 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.7%
Darius Bracy run for no gain to the KntSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:07
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 19 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)
+12.3
TD · Q3 5:44
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 21 yds for a TD KENT ST Penalty, Face Mask (0 yards) (Zayin West) declined, (Marshall Meeder KICK)
+12.2
TD · Q4 9:56
Lew Nichols III run for 12 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)
+11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com