Try the model
OHIO

Ohio 34 at Eastern Michigan 26

EMU
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2021 · Rynearson Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:20 · Jake Julien punt for 36 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 157Home team on offense−34.5Pregame prior+2.2Score differential−14.4Garbage-time factor−14.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−10.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 3:49: Chad Ryland 25 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +6.1 pts (now 52%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Chad Ryland 55 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +10.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:10: Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 5 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +15.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:54: Isiah Cox run for 20 yds for a TD, (Stephen Johnson KICK) — OHIO win probability +16.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:50: Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 66 yds for a TD, (Stephen Johnson KICK) — OHIO win probability +16.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:00OHIO 4th & 6 at EMU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    33.6%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:50EMU 4th & 1 at OHIO 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.6%−0.8
    58% to make
    Punt
    60.0%−2.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:27EMU 4th & 3 at OHIO 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    60.9%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    57.6%−3.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:34OHIO 4th & 4 at EMU 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.9%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    40.4%−5.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:40EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.6%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:49EMU 4th & 7 at OHIO 7, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−5.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:44OHIO 4th & 7 at EMU 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−6.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:01OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−1.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:59EMU 4th & 14 at EMU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−3.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:02EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.7%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:20EMU 4th & 19 at OHIO 38, down 14
    Close callPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−1.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    9.4%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:12OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:00OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:44EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:55OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:10EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:54OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:50OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:36EMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 1.7 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    10.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    8.9%−1.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3834% → 36%
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
65.8%
Armani Rogers run for 11 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
65.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
65.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+9
65.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Walton for 9 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
65.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 7
50
+13
65.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 13 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
65.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Adam LuehrmanSimilar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
65.1%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
65.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Chase CokleySimilar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+33
63.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 33 yds for a TD, (Stephen Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 2:5964% → 66%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
63.9%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+1
63.7%
Hassan Beydoun run for 1 yd to the EMich 10Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+22
63.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 22 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
63.5%
OHIO Penalty, Personal Foul (Tariq Drake) to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
63.7%
PENALTY EMU Delay Of Game (Bryant,Ben) 5 yards from OHI44 to OHI49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+37
63.2%
Samson Evans run for 37 yds to the Ohio 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
63.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 11 yds to the Ohio 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.0%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3935% → 39%
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
64.9%
Kurtis Rourke run for 35 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
61.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 40 yds for a TD, (Stephen Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4DOWNS
15 plays · 55 yds · 4:0862% → 60%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
61.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 10 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
61.7%
Jawon Hamilton run for 1 yd to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
61.2%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+21
60.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 21 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
61.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 5 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
61.7%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+4
61.1%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q1 3:50
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+2
60.5%
Ben Bryant run for 2 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
61.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 5 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
61.1%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+2
60.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 2 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 3
OPP 20
0
60.0%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5FG
18 plays · 76 yds · 7:2741% → 48%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
58.7%
Jake Neatherton run for 8 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+8
57.5%
Jake Neatherton run for 8 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
57.0%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the Ohio 37Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+15
56.9%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
55.6%
Armani Rogers run for 3 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+7
55.6%
Armani Rogers run for 7 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
54.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
54.7%
Kurtis Rourke run for 9 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
54.4%
Jake Neatherton run for 4 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
53.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Alec BurtonSimilar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
53.8%
Jake Neatherton run for 8 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+4
53.5%
Jake Neatherton run for 4 yds to the EMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
52.7%
Kurtis Rourke run for 3 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
52.2%
Kurtis Rourke run for 6 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+3
52.0%
Armani Rogers run for 3 yds to the EMich 4Similar
Q2 9:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
51.6%
Stephen Johnson 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6FG
15 plays · 68 yds · 5:1848% → 52%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
47.5%
Bryson Moss run for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
47.1%
Bryson Moss run for 3 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
45.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Samson Evans for 5 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
45.5%
Ben Bryant run for 3 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
46.5%
Ben Bryant run for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+9
46.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 9 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
46.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryson Moss for 5 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+15
46.4%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Tanner Knue for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Justin Birchette) to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+21
47.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 21 yds to the Ohio 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
46.9%
Bryson Moss run for 2 yds to the Ohio 8Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
46.6%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Zach WestmorelandSimilar
Q2 4:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
45.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 1 yd to the Ohio 7Similar
Q2 3:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
51.5%
Chad Ryland 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 2:5746% → 53%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
53.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 14 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+24
50.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 24 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+18
49.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Adam Luehrman for 8 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Terry Myrick) to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
48.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 15 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
47.1%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the EMich 11Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+2
46.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
48.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to De'Montre TuggleSimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
47.2%
Stephen Johnson 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 0:4445% → 56%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.5%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
44.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to I'Shawn Stewart for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
43.7%
Ben Bryant run for 9 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
44.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 5 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+15
42.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 15 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
44.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 8 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+55
55.5%
Chad Ryland 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3547% → 66%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
47.3%
Jawon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
47.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 12 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
49.1%
Jawon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+8
49.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 8 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
49.5%
Jawon Hamilton run for 9 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 1
OPP 39
-1
49.4%
Ben Bryant run for 9 yds to the Ohio 30 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Thomas Odukoya) to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+15
49.3%
PENALTY OHI Personal Foul (Houston,Bryce) 15 yards from OHI46 to OHI31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
50.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 7 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+19
50.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 19 yds to the Ohio 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
66.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 5 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5942% → 65%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
58.1%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 7 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
55.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 7 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
55.6%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
54.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 5 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+7
54.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 7 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
53.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Walton for 25 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
51.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sieh BanguraSimilar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
34.6%
Isiah Cox run for 20 yds for a TD, (Stephen Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11INT
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:3841% → 44%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
40.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 11 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
41.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 5 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
43.8%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+14
41.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 14 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
44.8%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
44.1%
Ben Bryant pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5663% → 64%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
36.8%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
37.1%
Armani Rogers run for 11 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
34.8%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
35.6%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 6 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+3
33.2%
run for 3 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
36.0%
Jack Wilson punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:4834% → 31%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
33.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 7 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 3
OWN 29
0
34.8%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+7
32.6%
Jawon Hamilton run for 7 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
33.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 16 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
36.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 3 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
36.4%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 7
OPP 45
-7
35.9%
Ben Bryant sacked by Will Evans for a loss of 7 yards to the EMich 48Similar
Q3 0:59
4TH & 14
OWN 48
0
31.0%
Jake Julien punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Javon Conner at the Ohio 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14TD
3 plays · 86 yds · 0:5668% → 86%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
32.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 11 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
30.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 9 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+66
14.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 66 yds for a TD, (Stephen Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
15 plays · 37 yds · 6:139% → 4%
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
9.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
8.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
8.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 4 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
8.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 6 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
8.5%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
7.7%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 11:02
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+4
7.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
6.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 11 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
6.8%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+13
6.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 13 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
7.8%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
6.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Samson Evans for 3 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 7
OPP 26
-12
5.8%
Ben Bryant sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the Ohio 38Similar
Q4 8:20
4TH & 19
OPP 38
0
4.1%
Jake Julien punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16PUNT
13 plays · 41 yds · 2:4894% → 97%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
5.8%
Armani Rogers run for 3 yds to the Ohio 5Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+23
5.6%
Armani Rogers run for 23 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
5.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 7 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+7
4.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 7 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
4.1%
PENALTY OHI False Start (Titsworth,Parker) 5 yards from OHI42 to OHI37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+7
4.3%
Armani Rogers run for 7 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+1
3.3%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the Ohio 45Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+2
3.3%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 9
OWN 43
+22
3.3%
Jack Wilson punt for 41 yds , Hassan Beydoun returns for 22 yds to the EMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 2:312% → 7%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
2.3%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan SummersSimilar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+14
2.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Summers for 14 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
2.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 10 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
1.6%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
1.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Samson Evans for 8 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+7
1.8%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
1.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Samson Evans for 3 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+11
1.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 11 yds to the Ohio 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
1.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 6 yds to the Ohio 3Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
6.9%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18Uncategorized
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4198% → 98%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
2.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+2
2.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+3
1.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
1.7%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:54
Isiah Cox run for 20 yds for a TD, (Stephen Johnson KICK)
-16.8
TD · Q4 14:50
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 66 yds for a TD, (Stephen Johnson KICK)
-16.4
TD · Q3 11:10
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 5 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)
+15.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com