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NIU

Northern Illinois 47 at Kent State 52

KENT
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2021 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+11.1KENT 80.3%Rocky Lombardi pass complete toTrayvon Rudolph for 34 yds for a TD(Two-Point Conversion failed )AWAY 27 - HOME 38 · Q3 8:32
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:32 · Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 34 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Home team on offense+10.3Pregame prior+4.9Garbage-time factor+1.2Score differential+4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Time remaining+1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:35: Jay Ducker run for 5 yds for a TD (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +10.6 pts (now 49%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:32: Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 34 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — KENT win probability +11.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:19: Jay Ducker run for 30 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — NIU win probability +10.6 pts (now 17%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:00: Clint Ratkovich run for 5 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK) — NIU win probability +24.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:07: Clint Ratkovich run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK) — NIU win probability +25.2 pts (now 34%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 4 of 7NIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:29KENT 4th & 12 at NIU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:05NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:47KENT 4th & 3 at NIU 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    58.9%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:47NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.0%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:10KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:39NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:01KENT 4th & 16 at NIU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−1.8
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:49NIU 4th & 12 at NIU 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−1.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:40NIU 4th & 14 at NIU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−2.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:51KENT 4th & 1 at NIU 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    63.6%−1.0
    80% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−6.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00NIU 4th & 10 at KENT 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:00NIU 4th & 5 at KENT 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    28.5%−1.8
    32% to make
    Punt
    29.3%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:32NIU 4th & 10 at KENT 34, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.5%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    26.9%
    47% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:02KENT 4th & 5 at NIU 43, up 11
    Close callPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    80.7%−1.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:06NIU 4th & 19 at NIU 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−2.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:35KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 44, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:17NIU 4th & 4 at KENT 16, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%−0.9
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−4.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:21NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:49NIU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:45KENT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:03KENT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:35NIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:21KENT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:38KENT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:10KENT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:19NIU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    13.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    12.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:00NIU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 7:17KENT Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 5:07NIU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.1%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:3337% → 38%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
62.7%
Jay Ducker run for 5 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+15
62.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Miles Joiner for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
50
+14
62.7%
Jay Ducker run for 14 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
61.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 36 yds for a TD (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:5162% → 62%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
62.3%
PENALTY KSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from NIU46 to KSU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 15
OWN 49
0
62.2%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Keshunn AbramSimilar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+3
62.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 12
OPP 48
0
62.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
61.6%
Josh Smith punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2438% → 39%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
61.8%
Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the NoIll 16Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+2
61.7%
Mason Blakemore run for 2 yds to the NoIll 14Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
61.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q1 11:05
4TH & 8
OWN 14
+9
61.3%
Matt Ference punt for 44 yds , Nykeim Johnson returns for 9 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1862% → 61%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
61.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
61.6%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 8
OPP 47
-5
61.4%
PENALTY KSU False Start (Whaley,Zach) 5 yards from NIU47 to KSU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+10
61.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 10 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
60.9%
Josh Smith punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5FUMBLE
16 plays · 65 yds · 8:3040% → 45%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
60.5%
Tyrice Richie run for no gain to the NoIll 20Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
60.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 8 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
60.5%
Clint Ratkovich run for 1 yd to the NoIll 29Similar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+2
60.7%
Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
60.4%
Mason Blakemore run for 3 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+2
60.3%
Mason Blakemore run for 2 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+18
60.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
50
+1
60.0%
Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd to the KntSt 49Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+7
60.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 7 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+2
60.1%
Rocky Lombardi run for 2 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
60.0%
Jay Ducker run for 5 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+4
60.0%
Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+8
60.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 8 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-15
60.0%
Ducker,Jay rush for 2 yards gain to the KSU21 (Clark,Dean) PENALTY NIU Chop Block (Lippe,J.J.) 15 yards from KSU23 to KSU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 25
OPP 38
+4
60.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Mason Blakemore for 4 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 29
OPP 42
+27
55.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 27 yds Tyrice Richie fumbled, forced by Nico Bolden, recovered by KntSt Nico BoldenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:0756% → 56%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
56.2%
Xavier Williams run for 8 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+4
56.6%
Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
56.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 8 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+6
57.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 6 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
57.3%
Xavier Williams run for 7 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
57.3%
Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
50
+3
57.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 3 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
55.7%
Josh Smith punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:3145% → 46%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
55.0%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NoIll 12Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+30
55.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 30 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
53.7%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+2
53.7%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
54.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q2 11:39
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
54.2%
Matt Ference punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nykeim Johnson at the KntSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 1:3854% → 57%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
54.1%
Xavier Williams run for 9 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+10
55.4%
Xavier Williams run for 10 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+43
55.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 43 yds to the NoIll 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
57.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Ja'Shaun PokeSimilar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+1
57.1%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the NoIll 17Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 11
OPP 17
-5
56.0%
PENALTY KSU False Start (Kuduk,Bill) 5 yards from NIU17 to NIU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 16
OPP 22
0
55.0%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q2 10:01
4TH & 16
OPP 22
+39
57.0%
Andrew Glass 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
48.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 75 yds for a TD (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 0:5949% → 61%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
49.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 9 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+4
50.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
50.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 7
50
+42
50.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 42 yds to the NoIll 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
60.5%
Dustin Crum run for 8 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5643% → 43%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.0%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
57.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Clint RatkovichSimilar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
57.3%
Matt Ference punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 0:4659% → 67%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
58.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+17
58.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 17 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
66.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 27 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:2836% → 49%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
63.7%
Clint Ratkovich run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
63.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Miles JoinerSimilar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
64.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 11 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
63.0%
Clint Ratkovich run for 1 yd to the NoIll 36Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
63.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+5
64.3%
PENALTY KSU Offside (Williams,Leon) 5 yards from NIU36 to NIU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+7
62.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 7 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
61.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
62.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+11
62.8%
Rocky Lombardi run for 11 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+36
61.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Messiah Travis for 36 yds to the KntSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
50.8%
Jay Ducker run for 5 yds for a TD (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:1056% → 67%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
55.5%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-5
57.2%
Crum,Dustin pass complete to Abram,Keshunn for 8 yards to the KSU50 (Gandy,Jordan) PENALTY KSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from KSU42 to KSU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+14
55.2%
Xavier Williams run for 14 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
57.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 10 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
66.9%
Dustin Crum run for 39 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:4136% → 34%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
64.1%
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
64.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
65.4%
Ference,Matt punt 51 yards to the KSU23 Johnson,Nykeim return 15 yards to the KSU38 (Prophete,Jashon) PENALTY NIU Illegal Formation 5 yards from NIU26 to NIU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+4
65.7%
Matt Ference punt for 48 yds , Nykeim Johnson returns for 4 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 1:0264% → 76%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
64.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 28 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
66.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 11 yds to the NoIll 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
67.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the NoIll 18Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 2
OPP 18
0
67.4%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Keshunn AbramSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+1
66.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the NoIll 17Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+13
65.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the NoIll 8 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, Face Mask (4 yards) (Makhi Nelson-Douglas) to the NoIll 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
76.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kris Leach for 4 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 0:3826% → 27%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
73.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 7 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+18
72.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Clint Ratkovich for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
50
+17
71.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 17 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
69.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
69.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
70.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jay DuckerSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+51
72.7%
John Richardson 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 1:5073% → 75%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
72.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 5 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
73.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 4 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+4
73.2%
Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
74.1%
Xavier Williams run for 11 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
74.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 20 yds to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
74.6%
Xavier Williams run for 11 yds to the NoIll 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
74.6%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Aaron HackettSimilar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
75.2%
Nykeim Johnson run for 14 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19TD
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:2830% → 20%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
69.9%
Rocky Lombardi run for 2 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+5
69.5%
Rocky Lombardi run for 5 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+3
69.3%
Rocky Lombardi run for 3 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
68.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
69.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 5 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
69.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 5
OPP 41
+7
70.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Miles Joiner for 7 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
67.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
67.5%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+3
69.2%
Rocky Lombardi run for 3 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 8:32
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+34
80.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 34 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:2983% → 82%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
83.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+5
83.2%
Crum,Dustin pass intercepted by Dolphin,Jaden at NIU02 Dolphin,Jaden return 0 yards to the NIU02 (Abram,Keshunn) PENALTY NIU Offside (Thomas,Dillon) 5 yards from NIU46 to NIU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+2
83.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
82.6%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Ja'Shaun PokeSimilar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
82.0%
Josh Smith punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:5619% → 16%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
80.9%
Mason Blakemore run for no gain to the NoIll 17Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
81.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tristen TewesSimilar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+21
82.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 21 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
79.8%
Lombardi,Rocky pass complete to Ducker,Jay for 21 yards to the KSU41 (Sherald Jr.,Keith) PENALTY NIU Holding (Cox,Marques) 10 yards from NIU38 to NIU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+5
80.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Liam Soraghan for 5 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 15
OWN 33
0
81.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 15
OWN 33
-4
82.0%
Rocky Lombardi sacked by Adin Huntington for a loss of 4 yards to the NoIll 29Similar
Q3 4:06
4TH & 19
OWN 29
0
84.4%
Matt Ference punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nykeim Johnson at the KntSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:5685% → 95%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
84.5%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+19
84.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 19 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
85.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+2
85.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+3
84.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
94.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 36 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:517% → 17%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 1 yd to the NoIll 24Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+13
93.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 13 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
93.0%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+11
93.0%
Jay Ducker run for 11 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
94.1%
Jay Ducker run for 10 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
94.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 9 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+30
83.5%
Jay Ducker run for 30 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:3889% → 92%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
88.8%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+2
88.8%
Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+12
88.3%
Xavier Williams run for 12 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
89.5%
Williams,Xavier rush for 2 yards gain to the KSU44 (Thomas,Raishein) PENALTY KSU Holding (Monnin,Nathan) 10 yards from KSU42 to KSU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+4
88.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 4 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 16
OWN 36
+8
88.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 8 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
88.8%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Xavier WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:35
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
91.6%
Josh Smith punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 25TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 2:359% → 35%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
91.4%
Jay Ducker run for 8 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 2
OWN 34
0
90.4%
Jay Ducker run for no gain to the NoIll 34Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+14
90.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 14 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
90.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 12 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
90.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+10
90.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Messiah Travis for 10 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
89.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 16 yds to the KntSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
89.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jay DuckerSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+9
89.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 9 yds to the KntSt 5Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
65.0%
Clint Ratkovich run for 5 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 26TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 0:4182% → 95%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
82.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 14 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
84.1%
Dustin Crum run for 13 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
94.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 36 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 27TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 2:108% → 34%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+28
92.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 28 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
91.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tristen TewesSimilar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+20
91.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 20 yds to the KntSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
90.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tristen TewesSimilar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
90.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 6 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 4
OPP 16
0
91.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Messiah TravisSimilar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+8
91.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Messiah Travis for 8 yds to the KntSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
90.4%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the KntSt 6Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
90.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jay DuckerSimilar
Q4 7:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
91.1%
KENT ST Penalty, Targeting (Khalib Johns) to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.9%
Clint Ratkovich run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 28END OF 4TH QUARTER
15 plays · 87 yds · 5:0684% → 95%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
84.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KntSt 9Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+46
84.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 46 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
87.7%
KENT ST Penalty, Chop Block (-15 Yards) to the KntSt 45Similar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 20
OWN 45
+6
86.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+12
89.8%
Dustin Crum run for 12 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+2
91.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
92.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+10
92.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 10 yds to the NoIll 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
92.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 11 yds to the NoIll 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
95.5%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 6Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
95.3%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:07
Clint Ratkovich run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)
-25.2
TD · Q4 8:00
Clint Ratkovich run for 5 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)
-24
TD · Q3 8:32
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 34 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com