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BALL

Ball State 31 at Akron 25

AKR
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2021 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG+1.1AKR 13.6%C. Smigel 27 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 3 · Q1 4:08
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:08 · C. Smigel 27 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Pregame prior−37.6Home team on offense−0.5Garbage-time factor−0.4Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:54: J. Hall run for 25 yds for a TD, (J. Chanove KICK) — BALL win probability +31.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:41: D. Plitt pass,to Y. Tyler for 9 yds for a TD, (J. Chanove KICK) — BALL win probability +7.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:17: Z. Gibson pass,to T. Brank for 9 yds for a TD, (C. Smigel KICK), (C. Smigel KICK), (C. Smigel KICK) — AKR win probability +10.6 pts (now 17%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:00: Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 37 yds to the BalSt 9 for a 1ST down — BALL win probability +11.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:57: Z. Gibson pass to M. Mathison for 57 yds for a TD, (Z. Gibson Pass to K. Mumpfield for Two-Point Conversion) — AKR win probability +10.0 pts (now 15%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 6 of 6BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 8:16AKR 4th & 21 at AKR 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:39BALL 4th & 14 at BALL 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:08AKR 4th & 8 at BALL 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:38BALL 4th & 3 at AKR 47, up 11
    Close callPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:48AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:00BALL 4th & 4 at AKR 47, up 11
    Close callPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:12AKR 4th & 5 at BALL 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    14.6%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:39AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:57AKR 4th & 24 at AKR 11, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−2.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:41BALL 4th & 5 at AKR 45, up 18
    Close callPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    94.7%−1.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:43BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 28, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:06BALL 4th & 8 at AKR 13, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    80.5%−7.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:54BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:50BALL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:41BALL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:17AKR Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 3:2311% → 12%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
10.8%
Zach Gibson run for 5 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+13
10.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 13 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
11.0%
AKRON Penalty, false start (Alex Robarge) to the Akron 44Similar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+5
11.0%
Jonzell Norrils run for 5 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-1
11.8%
Zach Gibson sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 43Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
11.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 11
OWN 43
-5
11.9%
AKRON Penalty, false start (Ronald Jackson Jr.) to the Akron 38Similar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 16
OWN 38
-5
11.9%
AKRON Penalty, false start (Shawn Naim) to the Akron 38Similar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 21
OWN 33
0
12.0%
Ethan Slike punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
21 plays · 18 yds · 3:1191% → 89%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
9.4%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
9.7%
Drew Plitt run for 5 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
9.9%
pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-10
10.0%
BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Corey Stewart) to the BalSt 25Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 20
OWN 25
0
10.0%
pass incomplete to Trevor HohltSimilar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 20
OWN 25
+22
10.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 22 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
10.0%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
10.1%
Drew Pitt run for 4 yards to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-8
10.6%
Drew Plitt sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the BalSt 43Similar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 14
OWN 43
+10
10.8%
Nathan Snyder punt for 40 yds , Oran Singleton Jr. returns for 10 yds to the Akron 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 5:5489% → 87%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
11.3%
J. Hall run for 25 yds for a TD, (J. Chanove KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
13.1%
Carson Steele run for 12 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
12.7%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-9
12.7%
Justin Hall run for 1 yd to the BalSt 45 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Corey Stewart) to the BalSt 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 35
+6
13.3%
Carson Steele run for 6 yds to the BalSt 41Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+34
13.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 34 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4FG
6 plays · 55 yds · 5:5413% → 16%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
12.5%
pass incomplete to Tristian BrankSimilar
Q1 4:08
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
13.6%
C. Smigel 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+31
15.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 31 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+22
16.4%
Jonzell Norrils run for 22 yds to the BalSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
16.4%
pass incomplete to Tristian BrankSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+2
16.0%
Jonzell Norrils run for 2 yds to the BalSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:1084% → 88%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
16.4%
Jayshon Jackson run for 9 yds to the Akron 19 Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST down Jayshon Jackson run for 9 yds to the Akron 19 Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST down Jayshon Jackson run for 9 yds to the Akron 19 Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
11.9%
D. Plitt pass,to J. Hall for 13 yds for a TD, (J. Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
13.6%
Zach Gibson sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 12:5214% → 15%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
13.7%
J. Norrils run for 25 yds for a TD, (C. Smigel KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
13.7%
Jonzell Norrils run for 5 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
14.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Jonzell Norrils for 15 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+30
14.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 30 yds to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 10:3887% → 87%
Q2 10:38
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
12.6%
Nathan Snyder punt for 37 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
13.1%
Carson Steele run for 0 yards to the BalSt 33Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
13.2%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall, broken up by Charles AmankwaaSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+13
13.5%
Drew Plitt run for 13 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
12.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 3 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
12.5%
pass incomplete to Carson SteeleSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+4
12.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jordan Williams for 4 yds to the Akron 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 7:4812% → 13%
Q2 7:48
4TH & 5
OWN 29
+9
12.3%
Ethan Slike punt for 45 yds , Justin Hall returns for 9 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
13.6%
Jonzell Norrils run for 14 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
13.7%
Jonzell Norrils run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 22Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+5
13.6%
Jonzell Norrils run for 5 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+2
13.2%
Jonzell Norrils run for 2 yds to the Akron 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 6:0087% → 88%
Q2 6:00
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
13.3%
Nathan Snyder punt for 35 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
13.1%
Carson Steele run for 12 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
12.5%
Justin Hall run for 0 yards to the BalSt 47Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
12.5%
Carson Steele run for 6 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
12.5%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall, broken up by A.J. WattsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11DOWNS
12 plays · 53 yds · 2:1214% → 15%
Q2 2:12
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+4
13.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 4 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
13.6%
Jonzell Norrils run for 4 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+17
13.7%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nik Ognenovic for 17 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
14.0%
pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
13.9%
Jonzell Norrils run for 8 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+2
14.3%
Jonzell Norrils run for 2 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
14.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 3 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+2
14.6%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+8
14.5%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
15.2%
pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
15.1%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 5 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
14.9%
pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 0:3288% → 88%
Q2 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
12.3%
C. Steele 5 Yd pass from D. Plitt for a TD, (J. Chanove Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
13.1%
pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
13.2%
Carson Steele run for 8 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+4
12.8%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
12.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 16 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
12.3%
pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
12.3%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson, broken up by Charles AmankwaaSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+27
12.4%
Drew Plitt run for 27 yds to the Akron 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
12.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 5 yds to the Akron 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 13:3913% → 13%
Q3 13:39
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
13.2%
Ethan Slike punt for 46 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
13.7%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Andre Williams for 5 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
14.1%
Jonzell Norrils run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 28Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
12.9%
pass incomplete to Tony Grimes Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14TD
15 plays · 74 yds · 6:4194% → 97%
Q3 6:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
5.7%
D. Plitt pass,to Y. Tyler for 9 yds for a TD, (J. Chanove KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
3.8%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+22
3.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
50
-5
3.5%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (Yo'Heinz Tyler) to the BalSt 45Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+4
3.5%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+10
3.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 10 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+10
3.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Cody Rudy for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, Defensive holding (Corey Thomas Jr.) to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
3.4%
Carson Steele run for 6 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+2
3.3%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+3
3.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 3 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
3.3%
pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+8
3.4%
Drew Plitt run for 8 yds to the Akron 12Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+9
3.4%
Carson Steele run for 9 yds to the Akron 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
3.3%
Carson Steele run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 4Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
3.3%
Carson Steele run for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 3:577% → 6%
Q3 3:57
4TH & 24
OWN 11
0
7.0%
Ethan Slike punt for 39 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
5.7%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Tristian Brank for 9 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
6.1%
Jonzell Norrils run for 0 yards to the Akron 29Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
6.1%
AKRON Penalty, false start (Brycen Yarmo) to the Akron 29Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-10
5.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding (Ryan Beckman) to the Akron 19Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-8
5.6%
Zach Gibson sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:4196% → 97%
Q3 2:41
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
4.3%
Nathan Snyder punt for 35 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
3.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 1 yd to the Akron 49Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+4
3.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 4 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
3.5%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler, broken up by Charles AmankwaaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 15:006% → 6%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
5.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 6 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+8
5.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Tristian Brank for 8 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
5.7%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Andre Williams for 12 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
6.0%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+11
6.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 11 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
6.4%
Anthony Williams run for 0 yards to BalSt 46Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
6.3%
pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
17.0%
Z. Gibson pass,to T. Brank for 9 yds for a TD, (C. Smigel KICK), (C. Smigel KICK), (C. Smigel KICK)Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+37
5.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 37 yds to the BalSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 12:4387% → 95%
Q4 12:43
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
13.3%
Nathan Snyder punt for 45 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
5.2%
Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 26Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
5.2%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
5.4%
pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 9:5715% → 11%
Q4 9:57
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+57
15.4%
Z. Gibson pass to M. Mathison for 57 yds for a TD, (Z. Gibson Pass to K. Mumpfield for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
6.0%
Jonzell Norrils run for 3 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+7
6.4%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Jonzell Norrils for 7 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
6.8%
Zach Gibson run for 4 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
7.3%
BALL ST Penalty, off-side (Bryce Cosby) to the Akron 46Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-3
8.1%
Jonzell Norrils run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 43Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
11.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20FG
8 plays · 48 yds · 7:0683% → 94%
Q4 7:06
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
17.1%
Jake Chanove 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
6.6%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+32
6.8%
Carson Steele run for 32 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
6.0%
Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the Akron 25Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+10
6.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, Defensive holding (A.J. Watts) to the Akron 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
6.0%
D. Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
6.0%
Will Jones run for 2 yds to the Akron 13Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
6.2%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jalen McGaughy, broken up by Charles AmankwaaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21FUMBLE
12 plays · 54 yds · 1:3229% → 26%
Q4 1:32
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+11
28.9%
Zach Gibson run for 11 yds to the BalSt 20 Zach Gibson fumbled, recovered by AkronSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
17.4%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+8
17.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 8 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
19.6%
AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding (Ronan Chambers) to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+10
16.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 10 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
18.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Tristian Brank for 6 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+6
21.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 6 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
22.6%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the BalSt 42Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+16
22.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Anthony Williams Jr. for 16 yds to the BalSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
29.9%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 11 yds to the BalSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
29.8%
Jonzell Norrils run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 17Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+6
26.4%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Tristian Brank for 6 yds to the BalSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22Uncategorized
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:4991% → 93%
Q4 0:49
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
9.0%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
7.2%
Carson Steele run for 16 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
7.0%
Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 5:54
J. Hall run for 25 yds for a TD, (J. Chanove KICK)
-31.8
TD · Q4 0:00
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 37 yds to the BalSt 9 for a 1ST down
-11.2
TD · Q4 14:17
Z. Gibson pass,to T. Brank for 9 yds for a TD, (C. Smigel KICK), (C. Smigel KICK), (C. Smigel KICK)
+10.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com