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BUF

Buffalo 45 at Akron 10

AKR
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadBUF aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreBUF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:41 · Ethan Slike punt for 42 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Pregame prior−6.3Home team on offense−22.2Score differential−8.0Garbage-time factor−8.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:50: Dylan McDuffie run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK) — BUF win probability +2.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:16: Jonzell Norrils run for 74 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK) — AKR win probability +2.9 pts (now 22%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 6:57: Cory Smigel 35 yd FG GOOD — AKR win probability +3.3 pts (now 26%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:32: Kyle Vantrease run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK) — BUF win probability +9.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:18: Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dylan McDuffie for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK) — BUF win probability +3.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 7BUF made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:24AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:41BUF 4th & 4 at AKR 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    77.3%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:41AKR 4th & 17 at AKR 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:35BUF 4th & 6 at BUF 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:59BUF 4th & 5 at AKR 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    72.5%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:45AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:57AKR 4th & 3 at BUF 18, down 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.6%−0.5
    79% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:29BUF 4th & 6 at BUF 46, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:41AKR 4th & 14 at AKR 25, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:32AKR 4th & 11 at BUF 18, down 12
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.7 ptsWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%−1.7
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−4.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:00AKR 4th & 4 at BUF 23, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%−0.6
    70% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:00BUF 4th & 1 at AKR 27, up 12
    Close callWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.6%−0.5
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BUF made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 13:50BUF Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:32BUF Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
18 plays · 11 yds · 12:2420% → 27%
Q1 12:24
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
20.3%
Ethan Slike punt for 41 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
27.3%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Blake Hester for 1 yd to the Akron 26Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
27.2%
Blake Hester run for 3 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
26.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 8 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
27.7%
Blake Hester run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
27.5%
pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
26.8%
pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 40 yds · 9:4178% → 75%
Q1 9:41
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
21.6%
pass incomplete to Tyler StephensSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
26.4%
Dylan McDuffie run for 9 yds to the Buff 32Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+13
25.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dominic Johnson for 13 yds to the Buff 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
25.5%
Dylan McDuffie run for 12 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
25.2%
Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the Akron 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+3
25.3%
Dylan McDuffie run for 3 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+2
25.4%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 8:4122% → 27%
Q1 8:41
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
21.8%
Ethan Slike punt for 42 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for no gain to the Buff 28Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
27.7%
pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
27.5%
pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-7
26.9%
Zach Gibson sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 6:3577% → 74%
Q1 6:35
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
23.3%
Jackson Baltar punt for 58 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
26.3%
Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the Buff 32Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+5
26.1%
Dylan McDuffie run for 5 yds to the Buff 37Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+1
25.9%
Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the Buff 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
25.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Quian Williams, broken up by Charles AmankwaaSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
25.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Dominic Johnson BUFFALO Penalty, off-side (-5 Yards) to the Buff 43Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-1
25.4%
Dylan McDuffie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 42Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
25.8%
pass incomplete to Ron Cook Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5Uncategorized
4 plays · 17 yds · 4:2525% → 27%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-9
24.8%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the Akron 7Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
27.2%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-1
27.4%
DJ Irons run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 24Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+13
26.7%
DJ Irons run for 13 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 6FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 3:4376% → 76%
Q1 3:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
23.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Quian Williams for 4 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q1 2:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
24.1%
Alex McNulty 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
23.7%
Dylan McDuffie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 9Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
24.1%
pass incomplete to Quian WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4524% → 25%
Q1 0:45
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+2
24.3%
Ethan Slike punt for 34 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 2 yds to the Buff 40Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
25.4%
DJ Irons run for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
25.5%
DJ Irons run for 3 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-2
25.1%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 8TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 15:0076% → 81%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+45
24.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 45 yds to the Akron 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
23.7%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 13Similar
Q2 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
21.1%
Dylan McDuffie run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+3
19.0%
Dylan McDuffie run for 3 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+8
19.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Quian Williams for 8 yds to the Akron 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9TD
1 play · 74 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
22.3%
Jonzell Norrils run for 74 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 6:5726% → 29%
Q2 6:57
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
25.7%
Cory Smigel 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
26.4%
Blake Hester run for 1 yd to the Akron 18Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+10
26.3%
DJ Irons pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 10 yds to the Akron 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
26.7%
DJ Irons run for 14 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
28.1%
pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
27.2%
Blake Hester run for 1 yd to the Akron 43Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+19
26.4%
DJ Irons run for 19 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
29.3%
pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+7
29.2%
DJ Irons run for 7 yds to the Buff 31Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+6
29.0%
DJ Irons run for 6 yds to the Buff 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-8
30.6%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Buff 33Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 18
OPP 33
+5
29.1%
BUFFALO Penalty, illegal motion (5 Yards) to the Buff 38Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 23
OPP 38
+20
27.9%
DJ Irons pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 20 yds to the Buff 18Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
29.0%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 4:3281% → 84%
Q2 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
19.3%
Kyle Vantrease run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
17.8%
Dylan McDuffie run for 8 yds to the Buff 33Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
17.5%
Dylan McDuffie run for 6 yds to the Buff 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
17.0%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 15 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+26
16.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jake Molinich for 36 yds to the Akron 10 for a 1ST down BUFFALO Penalty, Offensive holding (Dominic Johnson) to the Akron 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
16.4%
Jamari Gassett run for 8 yds to the Akron 12Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+10
16.4%
Kyle Vantrease run for 10 yds to the Akron 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 0:5883% → 83%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
17.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 15 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
17.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 1 yd to the Buff 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
17.9%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 6 yds to the Buff 32Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
18.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 4 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
17.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Quian Williams for 6 yds to the Buff 42Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+5
16.9%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 5 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+26
16.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 26 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
16.4%
Kyle Vantrease run for 4 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+5
16.4%
Dylan McDuffie run for 5 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+3
16.7%
Dylan McDuffie run for 3 yds to the Akron 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:3919% → 19%
Q2 0:39
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+2
18.6%
Jonzell Norrils run for 2 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+20
18.2%
Jonzell Norrils run for 20 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-8
19.9%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 44Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 33
OWN 29
+18
18.3%
DJ Irons pass complete to Michael Mathison for 18 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
18.8%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 30Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 18
OWN 44
+15
18.6%
DJ Irons pass complete to Andre Williams BUFFALO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Akron 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 14TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 12:1384% → 90%
Q3 12:13
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+22
16.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dominic Johnson for 22 yds to the Akron 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
15.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dominic Johnson for 7 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
11.7%
Dylan McDuffie run for 6 yds to the Buff 33Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+9
11.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 9 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
10.9%
Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the Buff 46Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+22
10.8%
Dylan McDuffie run for 22 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
10.4%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
10.2%
pass incomplete to Trevor BorlandSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
10.2%
Ron Cook Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15Uncategorized
2 plays · -4 yds · 10:1818% → 15%
Q3 10:18
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-9
18.2%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the Akron 8Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
15.4%
DJ Irons run for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 21 DJ Irons fumbled, recovered by Akron Jonzell NorrilsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 16TD
3 plays · 8 yds · 9:2085% → 90%
Q3 9:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
15.5%
Jake Molinich run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
10.2%
Dylan McDuffie run for 6 yds to the Akron 2Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
10.2%
Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the Akron 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17INT
6 plays · 23 yds · 7:2819% → 17%
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
19.1%
DJ Irons pass interceptedSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
15.4%
Jonzell Norrils run for 12 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
16.0%
Jonzell Norrils run for 9 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
17.3%
pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
16.5%
DJ Irons run for 2 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
16.8%
pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 18TD
3 plays · 47 yds · 6:1886% → 90%
Q3 6:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
13.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dylan McDuffie for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+41
10.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Bernard Porter for 41 yds to the Akron 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
10.2%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19FUMBLE
10 plays · 70 yds · 1:3919% → 19%
Q3 1:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
19.2%
DJ Irons run for 5 yds to the Buff 20 DJ Irons fumbled, recovered by AkronSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
15.4%
Jonzell Norrils run for 4 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
15.8%
AKRON Penalty, false start (Tristian Brank) to the Akron 24Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
15.2%
Jonzell Norrils run for 10 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
15.7%
Jonzell Norrils run for 2 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
16.0%
DJ Irons run for 13 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
16.8%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Oran Singleton Jr. for a 1ST down BUFFALO Penalty, illegal use of hands (Daymond Williams) to the Buff 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+22
17.6%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 22 yds to the Buff 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
19.0%
DJ Irons run for 13 yds to the Buff 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
19.0%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Buff 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 15:0088% → 97%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
11.8%
Dylan McDuffie run for 10 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
11.7%
Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
11.8%
Kyle Vantrease run for 9 yds to the Buff 39Similar
Q4 12:29
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
11.9%
Jackson Baltar punt for 39 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
3.1%
Dylan McDuffie run for 3 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
3.1%
Mike Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the Buff 39Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+6
3.0%
Mike Washington run for 6 yds to the Buff 45Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+1
3.1%
Matt Myers pass complete to Trevor Borland for 1 yd to the Buff 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 10:4113% → 4%
Q4 10:41
4TH & 14
OWN 25
0
12.8%
Ethan Slike punt for 42 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
4.0%
DJ Irons run for 14 yds to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
4.3%
pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
4.0%
Jonzell Norrils run for 3 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-7
4.1%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 31 yds · 8:1493% → 97%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-9
7.1%
Mike Washington run for a loss of 9 yards to the Akron 48 Mike Washington fumbled, recovered by Akron Randy Cochran Jr.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
3.3%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+11
3.3%
Matt Myers pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 11 yds to the Buff 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
3.0%
Khamran Laborn run for 5 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+13
3.0%
Mike Washington run for 13 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 14 yds · 5:3713% → 6%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
12.8%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Konata Mumpfield, broken up by Mark Davis Jr.Similar
Q4 4:32
4TH & 11
OPP 18
+10
9.1%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the Buff 23 BUFFALO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Shaun Dolac) to the Buff 38Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
5.0%
Jonzell Norrils run for 11 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
5.5%
DJ Irons pass complete to Andre Williams for 12 yds to the Buff 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
7.4%
Jonzell Norrils run for 8 yds to the Buff 21Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 21
-2
7.4%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 23Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
6.4%
Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+6
5.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 6 yds to the Buff 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-1
7.3%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 18Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 18
0
5.8%
pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
3.1%
Mike Washington run for 11 yds to the Buff 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
3.0%
Mike Washington run for 15 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
2.9%
Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
2.9%
Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+6
3.0%
Mike Washington run for 6 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+2
3.2%
Mike Washington run for 2 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:32
Kyle Vantrease run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)
-9.7
FG · Q2 6:57
Cory Smigel 35 yd FG GOOD
+3.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com