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EMU

Eastern Michigan 55 at Bowling Green 24

BGSU
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:53 · Jake Julien punt for 35 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 105Home team on offense−32.9Score differential−16.7Garbage-time factor−5.8Pregame prior−6.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:08: Nate Needham 25 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +19.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:07: Ben Bryant run for 1 yd for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +11.1 pts (now 62%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:03: Chad Ryland 40 yd FG GOOD BOWLING GREEN Penalty, illegal formation. (Jayden George) to the BwGrn 23 — EMU win probability +7.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:02: Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +15.4 pts (now 19%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:05: Darius Boone Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +13.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 12:52EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 31, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:08BGSU 4th & 7 at EMU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    42.5%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:44EMU 4th & 2 at BGSU 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    54.3%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:20BGSU 4th & 6 at EMU 38, up 3
    Close callPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    46.3%−0.4
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:55BGSU 4th & 16 at BGSU 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:07EMU 4th & 1 at BGSU 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    47.2%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−9.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:35BGSU 4th & 9 at EMU 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    41.9%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:06BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 38, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:22BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 41, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:53EMU 4th & 12 at EMU 34, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−2.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:42BGSU 4th & 8 at EMU 46, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:57EMU 4th & 4 at BGSU 29, up 26
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:06BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 28, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 9:33BGSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:07EMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:02BGSU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    16.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:05EMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:58BGSU Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
19 plays · 9 yds · 12:5264% → 60%
Q1 12:52
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
35.6%
Jake Julien punt for 45 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
39.8%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 6 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+1
39.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+2
39.8%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 7:0839% → 43%
Q1 7:08
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
38.8%
Nate Needham 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
41.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 11 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
42.0%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, illegal motion (Jayden George) to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
41.8%
pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+8
41.7%
Terion Stewart run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+9
41.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 9 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
43.1%
Jamal Johnson run for 7 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 46
0
43.4%
pass incomplete to Austin OsborneSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+16
42.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 16 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
43.7%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+16
43.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 16 yds to the EMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
43.7%
Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
43.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 3 yds to the EMich 8Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
43.1%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Cavon Croom, broken up by Turan RushSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:4460% → 59%
Q1 3:44
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+1
40.1%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
41.8%
Jawon Hamilton run for 1 yd to the EMich 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
41.8%
Ben Bryant run for 4 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+5
41.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 5 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
41.0%
pass incomplete to Bryson CannonSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
41.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Zach Westmoreland for 4 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+4
40.9%
Ben Bryant run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:2041% → 44%
Q1 1:20
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
41.4%
Matt Naranjo punt for 38 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
43.1%
Taron Keith run for 7 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
43.4%
Terion Stewart run for 5 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
43.4%
Matt McDonald run for 9 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 33
-5
43.7%
Taron Keith run for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 15:0056% → 65%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
43.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 2 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST down Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 2 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST down Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 2 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST down Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 2 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST down Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 2 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST down Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 2 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST down pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+31
36.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 31 yds for a TDSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
34.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 1 yd to the BwGrn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6TD
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:2243% → 47%
Q2 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
42.6%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, off-side (Mikey Haney) to the EMich 5Similar
Q2 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
47.3%
Terion Stewart run for 5 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 9:5543% → 49%
Q2 9:55
4TH & 16
OWN 48
+42
43.3%
Matt Naranjo punt for 42 yds , Hassan Beydoun returns for no gain to the EMich 10 , Patrick Day returns for no gain to the EMich 10Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
50.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 4 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
50.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Levi Gazarek for 13 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
52.2%
Taron Keith run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+8
52.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 8 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+3
52.5%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
53.5%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Christian Sims) to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 49
-2
51.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 47
0
50.8%
pass incomplete to Austin OsborneSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 17
OWN 47
-5
49.3%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Jalen Grant) to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 22
OWN 42
+6
49.1%
Terion Stewart run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 6:0762% → 65%
Q2 6:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.0%
Ben Bryant run for 1 yd for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+25
36.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 25 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
35.3%
for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Davon Ferguson) to the BwGrn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
34.3%
Bryson Moss run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+6
34.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the BwGrn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
34.3%
Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
34.3%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, off-side (Ali Saad) to the BwGrn 4Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
34.3%
pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
35.3%
Bryson Moss run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9PUNT RETURN TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:3531% → 32%
Q2 3:35
4TH & 9
OPP 46
+42
31.0%
punt for no gain , David Carter Jr. returns for 42 yds for a TDSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
30.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 15 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
31.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith for 13 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
32.8%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Jayden George) to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 48
0
31.4%
pass incomplete to Taron KeithSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+6
31.1%
Matt McDonald run for 6 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
31.5%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Jhaylin Embry, broken up by Terry MyrickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:2831% → 30%
Q2 2:28
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-5
31.3%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Jeremiah Banks-Wall) to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
29.5%
Matt Naranjo punt for 23 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.2%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Cavon Croom, broken up by Peyton PriceSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
30.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 13 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
31.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 5 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
32.0%
pass incomplete to Austin OsborneSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
29.9%
pass incomplete to Cavon CroomSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:4973% → 82%
Q2 0:49
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+6
26.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
26.2%
pass incomplete to Samson EvansSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 18
OPP 23
+40
18.9%
Chad Ryland 40 yd FG GOOD BOWLING GREEN Penalty, illegal formation. (Jayden George) to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
19.2%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+28
19.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 28 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
18.3%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 24
-5
18.2%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Brian Dooley) to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+8
18.6%
Samson Evans run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-8
18.2%
Ben Bryant sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the BwGrn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12TD
1 play · 16 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
11.0%
Samson Evans pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 16 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 13:5622% → 14%
Q3 13:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
22.1%
Matt McDonald pass interceptedSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
13.6%
Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
14.4%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Alex Padgett) to the BwGrn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 12:4390% → 97%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
9.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 37 yds for a TDSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
3.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+12
3.3%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 11:2213% → 5%
Q3 11:22
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
13.0%
Matt Naranjo punt for 47 yds , Hassan Beydoun returns for no gain to the EMich 11Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
4.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 5 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+1
4.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
4.6%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin Osborne, broken up by Jose RamirezSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 7:5393% → 96%
Q3 7:53
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
7.5%
Jake Julien punt for 35 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
3.8%
Jawon Hamilton run for 5 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 16
0
3.8%
pass incomplete to Latrell FordhamSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+6
3.9%
Ben Bryant run for 6 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
3.8%
Jawon Hamilton run for 1 yd to the EMich 23Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+13
3.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 13 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
3.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 33Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+1
3.7%
Jawon Hamilton run for 1 yd to the EMich 34Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
3.8%
pass incomplete to Gunnar OakesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 5:0219% → 17%
Q3 5:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+44
14.0%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jhaylin Embry for 44 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
16.8%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+5
16.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith for 5 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+12
16.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 12 yds to the EMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
16.8%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the EMich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:0596% → 97%
Q3 2:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
3.6%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
3.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 18 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
3.4%
pass incomplete to Zach WestmorelandSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
3.5%
Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+13
3.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 13 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
3.3%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+8
3.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 8 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+30
3.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Zach Westmoreland for 30 yds to the BwGrn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 15:371% → 0%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
1.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 17 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
1.1%
Matt McDonald sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
1.0%
pass incomplete to Cavon CroomSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+14
1.0%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 14 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
1.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 2 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
1.3%
Matt Naranjo punt for 46 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
0.1%
pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
0.1%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Cavon Croom, broken up by Jose RamirezSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 8:57100% → 100%
Q4 8:57
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+47
0.4%
Chad Ryland 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
0.1%
Jawon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+16
0.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 16 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
0.1%
Ben Bryant run for 4 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+4
0.1%
Jawon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+2
0.1%
Samson Evans pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 2 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
0.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 9 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+7
0.1%
Jawon Hamilton run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
0.1%
Jawon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+3
0.1%
Jawon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
0.1%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 8:060% → 0%
Q4 8:06
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+25
0.2%
Matt Naranjo punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 45 , Hassan Beydoun returns for 25 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.1%
Nick Mosley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
0.1%
Tucker Melton pass incomplete to Jaedyn McKinstry, broken up by Freddie McGee IIISimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
0.1%
pass incomplete to Nick MosleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 4:13100% → 100%
Q4 4:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.2%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 5 yds for a TDSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
0.1%
Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
0.1%
pass incomplete to Dennis SmithSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+11
0.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Summers for 11 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
0.1%
Bryson Moss run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+5
0.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Summers for 5 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+19
0.1%
Samson Evans run for 19 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
0.1%
Bryson Moss run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q4 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
0.2%
Nick Mosley run for 9 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
0.1%
Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+20
0.1%
Terion Stewart run for 20 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
0.1%
Tucker Melton pass complete to Bryce Boyer for 21 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
0.1%
Nick Mosley run for 3 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+7
0.1%
Nick Mosley run for 7 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
0.1%
Nick Mosley run for 6 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
0.1%
pass incomplete to Bryce BoyerSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+14
0.1%
Nick Mosley run for 14 yds to the EMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q1 7:08
Nate Needham 25 yd FG GOOD
-19.4
TD · Q3 5:02
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)
+15.4
TD · Q3 2:05
Darius Boone Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
-13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com