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KENT

Kent State 31 at Western Michigan 64

WMU
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:01 · Nick Mihalic punt for 43 yds , Nykeim Johnson returns for 16 yds to the WMich 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Home team on offense+35.1Pregame prior+3.5Score differential+25.2Garbage-time factor+13.2Blowout margin+11.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 12:30: Nick Mihalic 26 yd FG GOOD — WMU win probability +5.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:05: Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 16 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK) — KENT win probability +8.4 pts (now 33%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 42%).
  3. TD · Q3 12:23: La'Darius Jefferson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic KICK) — WMU win probability +9.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:20: Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 26 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic PAT MISSED) — WMU win probability +7.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:07: Jaxson Kincaide run for 26 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic KICK) — WMU win probability +3.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6KENT made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 11:50WMU 4th & 1 at KENT 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    68.9%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:18WMU 4th & 8 at KENT 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    66.6%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:24KENT 4th & 27 at KENT 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:13KENT 4th & 18 at KENT 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−1.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:24WMU 4th & 1 at KENT 16, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    71.2%−1.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−5.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:30WMU 4th & 4 at KENT 8, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.7%−0.4
    90% to make
    Punt
    67.7%−5.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:45KENT 4th & 2 at WMU 45, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    21.5%−1.6
    25% to make
    Punt
    22.3%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:47KENT 4th & 9 at WMU 34, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    23.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:52WMU 4th & 7 at KENT 48, up 9
    Close callPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:01KENT 4th & 3 at WMU 3, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.8%−2.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−10.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:40KENT 4th & 12 at KENT 24, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:33KENT 4th & 27 at KENT 10, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−2.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:55KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 31, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:27KENT 4th & 6 at WMU 46, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:01WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 15, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:00KENT 4th & 1 at WMU 15, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:46KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 36, down 33
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8KENT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:01WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:22KENT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:15WMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:05KENT Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:23WMU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:20WMU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:07WMU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:39WMU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:08KENT Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:30WMU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:47KENT Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.2%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 3:33WMU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:3969% → 71%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
69.3%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 27Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+21
69.2%
Sean Tyler run for 21 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
69.3%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 43Similar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+9
69.1%
Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
69.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
69.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the KntSt 43Similar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+3
69.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
69.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 13 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
70.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 27 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:2830% → 32%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
70.0%
Nykeim Johnson run for 20 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
69.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+20
69.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 20 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
69.4%
Dustin Crum run for 11 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
69.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the WMich 12Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
67.8%
Dustin Crum run for 12 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 3:5169% → 69%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
68.6%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 26Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
68.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 8 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+11
68.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Anthony Torres for 11 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
68.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 8 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+14
68.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 14 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
69.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 18 yds to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
69.0%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
68.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Anthony TorresSimilar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
68.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
69.0%
Nick Mihalic 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:3431% → 30%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
68.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+15
68.6%
Crum, Dustin pass incomplete, PENALTY WESTMICH pass interference 15 yards to the WESTMICH49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTST.Similar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
67.9%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-7
68.0%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 44Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 17
OWN 44
-10
68.9%
Dustin Crum sacked by Ralph Holley for a loss of 10 yards to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 27
OWN 34
0
69.6%
Josh Smith punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5TD
1 play · 68 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
72.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 68 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:5228% → 27%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
71.7%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-5
71.7%
KENT ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 18Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 15
OWN 18
0
71.9%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 15
OWN 18
-3
72.2%
Dustin Crum sacked by Jake Moertl and Zaire Barnes for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 15Similar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 18
OWN 15
0
72.8%
Josh Smith punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 4:2873% → 79%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
72.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-5
73.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 41Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+34
72.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 34 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
73.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the KntSt 24Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 9
OPP 24
-5
73.5%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+12
73.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 12 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+1
73.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the KntSt 16Similar
Q2 14:24
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+2
72.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
73.9%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 5 yds to the KntSt 9Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+3
74.1%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the KntSt 6Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 2
OPP 6
-2
73.7%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 8Similar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+26
78.9%
Nick Mihalic 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 2:1623% → 33%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
76.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 14 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
76.3%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-2
76.6%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 45Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+10
77.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 10 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+9
76.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 9 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
76.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 5 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+15
75.9%
Xavier Williams run for 15 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
67.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 16 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 66 yds · 3:2372% → 76%
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
72.1%
Eleby, Kaleb pass incomplete, PENALTY KENTST pass interference 15 yards to the WESTMICH45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.Similar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
73.3%
Sean Tyler run for 15 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
73.6%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+15
73.6%
Eleby, Kaleb pass incomplete, PENALTY KENTST pass interference 15 yards to the KENTST22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.Similar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
73.8%
KENT ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
74.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 10 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
74.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the KntSt 1Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
74.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 4Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
76.1%
Nick Mihalic 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:2826% → 24%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
73.6%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
73.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 5 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+5
74.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
73.0%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-1
73.2%
Dustin Crum run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 36Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+2
74.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 2 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 9
OPP 34
0
75.9%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:5576% → 76%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
76.1%
KENT ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
77.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
77.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+3
76.8%
Kaleb Eleby run for 3 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 2
OPP 43
-5
76.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 48Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
75.6%
Nick Mihalic punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12END OF HALF
13 plays · 77 yds · 1:4524% → 29%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
75.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 6 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
75.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+12
76.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 12 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
74.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 3 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
74.4%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+9
75.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
50
+43
73.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 43 yds to the WMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
71.6%
Dustin Crum run for 4 yds to the WMich 3Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
71.9%
Dustin Crum run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 4Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
73.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the WMich 3Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
71.5%
Andrew Glass 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:1228% → 31%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+27
71.7%
Xavier Williams run for 27 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
50
-1
68.9%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 49 Xavier Williams fumbled, recovered by WMichSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 1:5176% → 86%
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
76.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+1
76.3%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the KntSt 43Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+19
75.7%
Sean Tyler run for 19 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
76.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+11
76.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 11 yds to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
86.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:1917% → 14%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
83.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 4 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+3
83.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 3
OWN 33
-9
84.2%
Dustin Crum sacked by Corvin Moment for a loss of 9 yards to the KntSt 24Similar
Q3 10:40
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
85.8%
Josh Smith punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 1:1487% → 95%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
86.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
86.7%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+15
86.7%
Eleby, Kaleb pass incomplete to Moore, Skyy, PENALTY KENTST pass interference 15 yards to the KENTST38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.Similar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
87.3%
Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
94.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 26 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -17 yds · 1:359% → 8%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
91.2%
Dustin Crum sacked by A.J. Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 22Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 15
OWN 22
-5
91.7%
KENT ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 17Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 20
OWN 17
0
91.9%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 20
OWN 17
-7
92.1%
Dustin Crum sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 10Similar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 27
OWN 10
0
92.1%
Josh Smith punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 0:5395% → 99%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
95.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+11
95.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 11 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
95.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
98.8%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 26 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:501% → 1%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.1%
Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the KntSt 31Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
99.1%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the KntSt 31Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
99.3%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
99.3%
Josh Smith punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 64 yds · 0:1099% → 100%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+64
99.5%
Sean Tyler run for 64 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.6%
Bryan Bradford run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 23Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+48
99.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Luke Floriea for 48 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
99.5%
Bryan Bradford run for 13 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.6%
Bryan Bradford run for no gain to the WMich 16Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 16 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:28100% → 100%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the WMich 36Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+11
99.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 11 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
99.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+12
99.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Anthony Torres for 12 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+33
99.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 33 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Mihalic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:470% → 0%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
99.8%
Collin Schlee run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.8%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Luke Floriea for 4 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Josh Smith punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
99.8%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 12Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+1
99.8%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 13Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+2
99.8%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 6
OWN 15
+16
99.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 43 yds , Nykeim Johnson returns for 16 yds to the WMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25TD
8 plays · 42 yds · 1:530% → 0%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
99.9%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Luke Floriea for 7 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+11
99.8%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Luke Floriea for 11 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
99.8%
Bryan Bradford run for 1 yd to the WMich 23Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+6
99.9%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Raymond James for 6 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 3
OPP 17
-3
99.8%
Bryan Bradford run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 20Similar
Q4 9:20
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+5
99.8%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WMich 15Similar
Q4 9:00
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+14
99.8%
Bryan Bradford run for 14 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Bryan Bradford run for 1 yd for a TD, (Collin Schlee pass to Hayden Junker for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 26TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 4:54100% → 100%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.7%
Kaleb Eleby run for 5 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+7
99.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
99.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+9
99.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 9 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
99.8%
Sean Tyler run for 20 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
99.8%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 26Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+1
99.8%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the KntSt 25Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.9%
Kaleb Eleby run for 25 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:240% → 0%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
99.9%
Collin Schlee run for 7 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Josh Smith punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 16 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
99.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 6 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+6
100.0%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 6 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
100.0%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:23
La'Darius Jefferson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic KICK)
+9.6
TD · Q2 10:05
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 16 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)
-8.4
TD · Q3 9:20
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 26 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic PAT MISSED)
+7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com