Try the model
BALL

Ball State 38 at Eastern Michigan 31

EMU
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · Rynearson Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:04 · Lucas Borrow punt for 47 yds , Hassan Beydoun returns for no gain to the EMich 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingTime per score still needed
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 58Home team on offense−5.0Garbage-time factor−1.5Score differential−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.5Time per score still needed−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:31: Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +13.5 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q3 2:26: Chad Ryland 32 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +10.5 pts (now 35%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:44: Justin Hall run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) — BALL win probability +13.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:56: Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 41 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +21.2 pts (now 28%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:39: Samson Evans run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +26.6 pts (now 29%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BALL made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 8:21EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:05EMU 4th & 3 at BALL 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    40.1%−0.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−3.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:04BALL 4th & 18 at BALL 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−2.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:02BALL 4th & 7 at EMU 32, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.1%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:38BALL 4th & 1 at EMU 22, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.5%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    50.1%−5.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:26EMU 4th & 12 at EMU 23, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−2.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:26EMU 4th & 5 at BALL 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−9.7
    average punt
  8. Q4 2:06BALL 4th & 5 at EMU 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    81.6%−5.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:17EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 25, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4BALL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:15BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:11BALL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:56EMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:31EMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:44BALL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:56EMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.6%−0.6
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:43BALL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:39EMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.1%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1551% → 53%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
49.2%
Jayshon Jackson pass complete to Carson Steele for 26 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
49.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 10 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
49.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 10 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
49.2%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+5
49.2%
Hall,Justin rush for 0 yards to the EMU25 (Rush,Turan; Myrick,Terry) PENALTY EMU Offside (Coleman,Mikah) 5 yards from EMU25 to EMU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 1
OPP 20
0
49.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for no gain to the EMich 20Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+3
49.3%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
49.1%
Justin Hall run for 5 yds to the EMich 12Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+11
49.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 11 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.5%
Justin Hall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3648% → 47%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.1%
Darius Boone Jr. run for no gain to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
47.9%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+2
47.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 2 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 8:21
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
47.0%
Jake Julien punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Justin Hall at the BalSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3TD
15 plays · 68 yds · 4:5453% → 60%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
47.2%
Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the BalSt 31Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+9
47.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 9 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+5
46.8%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
46.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 7 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+15
45.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 15 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
45.4%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
45.4%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+15
45.4%
(05:19) Plitt,Drew pass incomplete to Tyler,Yo'Heinz broken up by Vaden,Russell PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Vaden,Russell) 15 yards from EMU30 to EMU15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
45.0%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Trevor HohltSimilar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
44.8%
Will Jones run for 7 yds to the EMich 8Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+7
44.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jordan Williams for 7 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for no gain to the EMich 1Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.2%
Drew Plitt run for no gain to the EMich 1Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.2%
Will Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:4941% → 47%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.8%
Jawon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
40.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 7 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
40.7%
Ben Bryant run for no gain to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
40.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 9 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 0:38
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+7
40.6%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
40.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 16 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
40.9%
Jawon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
40.9%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Jawon HamiltonSimilar
Q2 14:39
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+4
40.5%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+9
40.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 9 yds to the BalSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
40.1%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
40.0%
Jawon Hamilton run for 5 yds to the BalSt 12Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+10
39.2%
(13:05) Bryant,Ben pass incomplete to Beydoun,Hassan PENALTY BSU Pass Interference (Wahee,J.T.) 10 yards from BSU12 to BSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
47.2%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 5 yds · 3:3957% → 56%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
43.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 1 yd to the BalSt 29Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+8
43.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 8 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+4
42.4%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
41.6%
Will Jones run for 6 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+1
41.4%
Will Jones run for 1 yd to the BalSt 48Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-5
41.4%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Tyler,Yo'Heinz) 5 yards from BSU48 to BSU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-10
41.3%
(09:49) Plitt,Drew pass complete to Jones,Will for 7 yards to the BSU50 (Shine,Kempton) PENALTY BSU Holding (Todd,Anthony) 10 yards from BSU43 to BSU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 18
OWN 33
0
43.3%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q2 9:04
4TH & 18
OWN 33
0
43.6%
Lucas Borrow punt for 47 yds , Hassan Beydoun returns for no gain to the EMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
41.4%
Ben Bryant pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:4860% → 63%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
50
0
40.0%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 10
50
+1
40.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 1 yd to the BalSt 49Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+16
39.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 16 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
37.8%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
37.5%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
38.2%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+49
37.5%
Jacob Lewis 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 5:2635% → 53%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
35.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
35.2%
Jawon Hamilton run for 9 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
35.6%
Jawon Hamilton run for 10 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
36.0%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to J.B. MitchellSimilar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
35.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Jawon Hamilton for 7 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+5
35.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 5 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
35.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 11 yds to the BalSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
36.4%
Ben Bryant sacked by Bryce Cosby for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 33Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 15
OPP 33
0
35.4%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Gunnar OakesSimilar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 15
OPP 33
+18
33.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Zach Westmoreland for 18 yds to the BalSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
35.9%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
35.7%
Jawon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the BalSt 12Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+11
33.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 11 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.0%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the BalSt 1Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.0%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 0:4555% → 57%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
44.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+15
43.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 15 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
42.9%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+22
43.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 22 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
40.6%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
40.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+6
41.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Donny Marcus for 6 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+39
43.3%
Jacob Lewis 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10END OF HALF
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:2944% → 50%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
44.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Samson Evans for 10 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
44.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 9 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+3
46.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Zach Westmoreland for 3 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
48.8%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Samson EvansSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
47.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
50
-5
49.5%
Ben Bryant sacked by Anthony Ekpe for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:1943% → 40%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
42.5%
Ben Bryant run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
42.6%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 5 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
40.7%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Zach WestmorelandSimilar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
39.9%
Jake Julien punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:2861% → 71%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
38.6%
Drew Plitt run for no gain to the BalSt 28Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
38.9%
Will Jones run for 6 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+6
38.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 6 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
36.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
36.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
35.3%
Carson Steele run for 20 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
34.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jordan Williams for 19 yds to the EMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
33.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 1 yd to the EMich 11Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
29.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 11 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13FG
16 plays · 60 yds · 5:4429% → 35%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
29.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 8 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+3
30.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 3 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
29.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 12 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
31.2%
Jawon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+7
29.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 7 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
29.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 7 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+4
31.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
30.6%
Jawon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+7
28.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 7 yds to the BalSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
28.4%
Ben Bryant run for 1 yd to the BalSt 18Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-5
28.2%
Ben Bryant sacked by Clayton Coll for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 23Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 14
OPP 23
+9
25.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 9 yds to the BalSt 14Similar
Q3 2:26
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+32
35.4%
Chad Ryland 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3572% → 93%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
28.3%
Carson Steele run for 27 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
25.2%
Carson Steele run for 16 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
24.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+3
23.9%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
23.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 4 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q3 0:06
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+7
23.1%
Will Jones run for 7 yds to the EMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
20.8%
Carson Steele run for 6 yds to the EMich 4Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
19.7%
Justin Hall run for 2 yds to the EMich 2Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
7.4%
Justin Hall run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:418% → 28%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.6%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
7.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
7.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 12 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
7.7%
(12:34) Bryant,Ben pass incomplete to Cannon,Bryson PENALTY EMU Personal Foul (Sow,Sidy) 15 yards from EMU43 to EMU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 25
OWN 28
+22
7.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Latrell Fordham for 22 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 3
50
+1
7.9%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the BalSt 49Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+8
7.0%
Hassan Beydoun pass complete to Samson Evans for 8 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
28.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 41 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16TD
13 plays · 67 yds · 5:5377% → 98%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
22.7%
Carson Steele run for 11 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
19.6%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+7
17.4%
Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
16.3%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+2
16.0%
Will Jones run for 2 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+5
16.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 5 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
14.2%
Carson Steele run for 11 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
13.8%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+6
12.3%
Carson Steele run for 6 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
10.6%
Will Jones run for 5 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
2.5%
Carson Steele run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 1:482% → 29%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
1.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 8 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
1.8%
Samson Evans run for 8 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
1.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Samson Evans for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 1
50
+5
1.9%
PENALTY BSU Offside (Albright,Christian) 5 yards from EMU50 to BSU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
2.1%
(04:04) Bryant,Ben pass intercepted by Wahee,J.T. at BSU15 Wahee,J.T. return 11 yards to the BSU26 (Drummond,Dylan; Dooley,Brian) PENALTY BSU Holding 10 yards from BSU45 to BSU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
2.3%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
2.3%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+12
2.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Zach Westmoreland for 12 yds to the BalSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
2.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 13 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
2.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 8 yds to the BalSt 2Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
28.8%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18FG
10 plays · 5 yds · 0:2594% → 97%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
6.4%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+2
6.1%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 10
OPP 23
-10
6.4%
BALL ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 19
OPP 32
+9
6.5%
Justin Hall run for 9 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+5
8.1%
PENALTY EMU Offside 5 yards from EMU23 to EMU18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+36
3.5%
Jake Chanove 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:503% → 2%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
2.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 6 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
2.5%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+1
2.1%
Ben Bryant run for 1 yd to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+6
1.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 6 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
2.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Samson Evans for 3 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
2.1%
Ben Bryant pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20Uncategorized
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:2998% → 98%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
2.2%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 45Similar
Q4 0:16
2ND & 12
OWN 45
-1
2.2%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:39
Samson Evans run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)
+26.6
TD · Q4 10:56
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 41 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)
+21.2
TD · Q2 1:31
Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)
+13.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com