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CMU

Central Michigan 30 at Ohio 27

OHIO
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:11 · Jonah Wieland punt for 20 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorDefense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Pregame prior−8.4Home team on offense−2.3Garbage-time factor−0.5Defense timeouts−0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:44: Armani Rogers 4 Yd Run (Stephen Johnson Kick) — OHIO win probability +8.0 pts (now 51%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:44: De'Montre Tuggle 2 Yd Run (Stephen Johnson PAT failed) — OHIO win probability +13.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:05: Kalil Pimpleton run for 7 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK) — CMU win probability +15.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:57: Sieh Bangura run for 40 yds for a TD, (Isiah Cox pass to Adam Luehrman for Two-Point Conversion) — OHIO win probability +37.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:55: Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 28 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK) — CMU win probability +30.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9CMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:44OHIO 4th & 14 at CMU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    40.1%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:26OHIO 4th & 2 at CMU 12, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.5%−0.7
    86% to make
    Punt
    33.3%−4.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:09CMU 4th & 12 at CMU 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:11OHIO 4th & 9 at CMU 34, down 4
    Close callPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    41.3%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:01CMU 4th & 16 at OHIO 16, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−5.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:34CMU 4th & 9 at OHIO 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−6.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:22CMU 4th & 8 at CMU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−1.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:22OHIO 4th & 1 at CMU 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    52.2%−4.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−3.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:18OHIO 4th & 13 at CMU 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−2.8
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−8.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 49, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    43.8%−5.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:57OHIO 4th & 1 at CMU 40, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    40.6%−7.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−7.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:06CMU 4th & 8 at OHIO 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−3.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−13.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:38OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:34OHIO 4th & 17 at OHIO 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−2.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3CMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:25CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:44OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:44OHIO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:05CMU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:57OHIO Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    68.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:55CMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.4%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:0338% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
38.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-5
38.0%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+8
38.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 8 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+18
38.0%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Cameron Odom for 18 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
39.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4262% → 61%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
38.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
38.5%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 7
OPP 43
-10
38.8%
Daniel Richardson pass intercepted return for no gain to the Ohio 43 OHIO Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Ohio 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3MISSED FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:3139% → 40%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+39
39.0%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Miles Cross for 39 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
39.3%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Gage Kreski) to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
39.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 9 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+5
39.5%
Armani Rogers run for 5 yds to the CMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
40.6%
Armani Rogers sacked by Devonni Reed for 0 yards to the CMich 31Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 15
OPP 31
0
40.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for no gain to the CMich 31Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 15
OPP 31
+1
39.7%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Ty Walton for 1 yd to the CMich 30Similar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 14
OPP 30
+47
40.0%
Stephen Johnson 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 3:1961% → 64%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
38.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 7 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+3
38.3%
Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
38.2%
Daniel Richardson run for 5 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
38.1%
Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+47
38.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 47 yds to the Ohio 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
37.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the Ohio 3Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
36.0%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:5236% → 39%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
36.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+11
36.1%
Armani Rogers run for 11 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
36.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 1
50
+3
37.1%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
37.1%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Cameron Odom for 17 yds to the CMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
37.6%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 10 yds to the CMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
37.6%
Jake Neatherton run for 6 yds to the CMich 14Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 4
OPP 14
-3
37.6%
Jake Neatherton run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 17Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+5
37.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the CMich 12Similar
Q1 0:26
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+29
39.4%
Stephen Johnson 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:5160% → 59%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
39.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 2 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
39.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kenny Brewer III for 6 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
39.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the CMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
39.0%
Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 36
0
39.9%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 36
0
40.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
41.1%
Luke Elzinga punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 46 yds · 1:5839% → 40%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+45
39.2%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Cameron Odom for 45 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
42.1%
De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 36Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+2
41.2%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
41.5%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 9
OPP 34
0
40.2%
Jonah Wieland punt for 20 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:1064% → 62%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+36
35.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 36 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
50
0
34.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 10
50
+10
34.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 10 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
34.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+14
33.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Levar Gumms for 14 yds to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
33.3%
Myles Bailey run for 4 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+13
33.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 13 yds to the Ohio 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
36.7%
RICHARDSON, Daniel pass to the left complete for 5 yards to PIMPLETON, Kalil caught at the OHI0 and advanced to the OHI0, TOUCHDOWN CMU, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY CMU Pass Interference on NICHOLS, Lew enforced 15 yards to the OHI20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
+2
36.9%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
0
37.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+2
38.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the Ohio 16Similar
Q2 7:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+34
38.1%
Marshall Meeder 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1741% → 51%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
40.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 8 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
41.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
41.1%
ROGERS, Armani pass to the right incomplete intended for ODOM, Cameron thrown to the CMU46. PENALTY CMU Pass Interference on KENT, Donte enforced 15 yards to the CMU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
42.9%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 7 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+25
43.1%
Armani Rogers run for 10 yds to the CMich 32 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Alonzo McCoy) to the CMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
43.5%
Jake Neatherton run for 5 yds to the CMich 12Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 5
OPP 12
-4
43.0%
Armani Rogers run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 16Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+12
41.9%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 12 yds to the CMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
43.0%
Isiah Cox pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
51.0%
Armani Rogers 4 Yd Run (Stephen Johnson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 2:0855% → 58%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
44.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 16 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
43.1%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 36Similar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+4
44.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 4 yds to the CMich 40Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+23
44.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 23 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
43.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+15
42.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 15 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
41.8%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+1
42.2%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the Ohio 17Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
43.6%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+35
41.6%
Marshall Meeder 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
40.5%
Phillip Cole run for 1 yd to the Ohio 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12INT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:0261% → 60%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
39.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+26
38.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 26 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
36.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
36.8%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Rodney Mathews for 0 yards to the CMich 47Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 17
OWN 47
0
40.0%
Daniel Richardson pass intercepted return for no gain to the CMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 0:5844% → 59%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
44.4%
ROGERS, Armani pass up the middle incomplete dropped by COX, Isiah thrown to the CMU34. PENALTY CMU Roughing the Passer on HAIRSTON, Troy enforced 15 yards from the CMU45 to the CMU30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
45.6%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 14 yds to the CMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
45.5%
Armani Rogers run for 14 yds to the CMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
59.1%
De'Montre Tuggle 2 Yd Run (Stephen Johnson PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:2248% → 45%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
52.1%
NICHOLS, Lew rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the CMU31 (DRAKE, Tariq;WOOD, Jeremiah). PENALTY CMU Holding on GOEDEKE, Luke enforced 10 yards from the CMU25 to the CMU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
52.3%
Marion Lukes run for 5 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
52.8%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
53.9%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Bernhard Raimann) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:22
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+13
55.3%
Luke Elzinga punt for 36 yds , Javon Conner returns for 13 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15FG
12 plays · 24 yds · 6:0456% → 61%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
50
-2
55.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 48Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+4
53.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+7
54.0%
Armani Rogers pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 7 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q3 10:22
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+4
53.1%
Armani Rogers run for 4 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
56.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
56.4%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+8
55.1%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Miles Cross for 8 yds to the CMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-15
56.4%
QB Keeper ROGERS, Armani rush to the right for no gain to the CMU23 (WHITESIDE, Justin). PENALTY OHI Face mask on ROGERS, Armani enforced 15 yards from the CMU23 to the CMU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 25
OPP 38
+1
54.9%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the CMich 37Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 24
OPP 37
+11
54.3%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 11 yds to the CMich 26Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 13
OPP 26
0
53.8%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:18
4TH & 13
OPP 26
+44
60.8%
Stephen Johnson 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1339% → 61%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
61.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Remi Simmons for 30 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
56.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+11
56.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 11 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
54.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 10 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
53.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 7 yds to the Ohio 17Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+5
53.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the Ohio 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
53.6%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+3
53.6%
Daniel Richardson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 7Similar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
38.6%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 7 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:0243% → 79%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
43.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+2
43.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
42.3%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
40.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
44.5%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Chase Cokley for 3 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
42.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the CMich 46Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-5
41.1%
Armani Rogers pass intercepted return for no gain to the CMich 46 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offsides (Thomas Incoom) to the CMich 41Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+1
41.4%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the CMich 40Similar
Q4 11:57
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+40
79.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 40 yds for a TD, (Isiah Cox pass to Adam Luehrman for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18FG
7 plays · 48 yds · 1:4629% → 40%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
71.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 6 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+26
69.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 26 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
67.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 14 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
64.9%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
64.8%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
68.0%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:06
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+40
60.5%
Marshall Meeder 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:2868% → 63%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.8%
Armani Rogers sacked by Justin Whiteside and Tico Brown for 0 yards to the Ohio 21Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+1
67.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the Ohio 22Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+16
65.8%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 16 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
70.1%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-2
69.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 36Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+7
66.8%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 7 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 6:38
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
74.2%
Jack Wilson punt for 40 ydsSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
63.2%
RICHARDSON, Daniel pass up the middle incomplete intended for DIXON, Dallas broken up by KEMENI, Pierre at the CMU33. PENALTY OHI Face mask on KEMENI, Pierre enforced 15 yards from the CMU17 to the CMU32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 2:4338% → 78%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
61.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+26
60.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 26 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
56.0%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+5
53.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+2
55.9%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
52.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+28
22.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 28 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:2134% → 21%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.5%
Armani Rogers run for no gain to the Ohio 25Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
32.6%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Cameron Odom for 8 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
33.5%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-15
31.5%
OHIO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the Ohio 18Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
20.8%
Jonah Wieland punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 4 yds · 2:2585% → 98%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
14.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+2
13.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+3
13.2%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
4.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-1
3.1%
Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 45Similar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
2.5%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the Ohio 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:57
Sieh Bangura run for 40 yds for a TD, (Isiah Cox pass to Adam Luehrman for Two-Point Conversion)
+37.8
TD · Q4 3:55
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 28 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)
-30.5
TD · Q3 1:05
Kalil Pimpleton run for 7 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)
-15
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com