Try the model
AKR

Akron 35 at Bowling Green 20

BGSU
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:28 · M.McDonald rushed to AKR 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by B.Wilson; J.Boateng at AKR 1.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Pregame prior+25.2Home team on offense+3.7Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor+1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:13: B.Hester rushed to BGN End Zone for 1 yards. B.Hester for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — AKR win probability +7.8 pts (now 24%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:52: Z.Gibson pass complete to BGN 1. Catch made by K.Mumpfield at BGN 1. Gain of 1 yards. K.Mumpfield for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — AKR win probability +12.0 pts (now 38%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:56: Z.Gibson pass complete to BGN 9. Catch made by K.Mumpfield at BGN 9. Gain of 9 yards. K.Mumpfield for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — AKR win probability +17.7 pts (now 58%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:25: Z.Gibson pass complete to BGN 21. Catch made by N.Ognenovic at BGN 21. Gain of 21 yards. N.Ognenovic for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — AKR win probability +15.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:08: M.McDonald pass complete to AKR 10. Catch made by T.Broden at AKR 10. Gain of 10 yards. T.Broden for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — BGSU win probability +7.9 pts (now 11%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6AKR made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 5:49BGSU 4th & 8 at AKR 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    81.2%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:26BGSU 4th & 2 at AKR 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.6%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    82.2%−0.4
    88% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−2.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:28BGSU 4th & 1 at AKR 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    80.8%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−4.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:31BGSU 4th & 5 at AKR 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    77.9%−4.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:10AKR 4th & 7 at BGSU 18, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−1.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−3.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:06AKR 4th & 4 at BGSU 28, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    33.9%−0.7
    60% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−7.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:37BGSU 4th & 20 at BGSU 27, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−4.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00BGSU 4th & 8 at AKR 49, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:59AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 36, up 15
    Close callPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:01AKR 4th & 13 at BGSU 42, up 15
    Close callWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%
    30% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:59BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:13AKR Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:52AKR Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:56AKR Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:25AKR Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:04AKR Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:08BGSU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0182% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
81.6%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 25. Catch made by T.Keith at BGN 25. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by A.Behm at BGN 32.Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
81.5%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for C.Sims.Similar
Q1 14:28
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
81.5%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 32. Catch made by A.Osborne at BGN 32. Gain of 7 yards. A.Osborne ran out of bounds.Similar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
81.3%
J.Embry rushed to BGN 47 for 8 yards. Tackled by A.Behm at BGN 47.Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+6
81.3%
J.Patterson rushed to AKR 47 for 6 yards. Tackled by M.Scott at AKR 47.Similar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
81.3%
M.McDonald pass complete to AKR 47. Catch made by T.Keith at AKR 47. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by A.Watts at AKR 44.Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
81.2%
N.Mosley rushed to AKR 40 for 4 yards. Tackled by C.Thomas; J.Boateng at AKR 40.Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+40
81.7%
M.McDonald pass complete to AKR 40. Catch made by T.Broden at AKR 40. Gain of 40 yards. T.Broden for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:5282% → 82%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
81.7%
J.Johnson rushed to AKR 49 for 6 yards. Tackled by R.McClain; M.Scott at AKR 49.Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+5
81.8%
J.Johnson rushed to AKR 44 for 5 yards. Tackled by A.Watts; R.Cochran at AKR 44.Similar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
81.8%
PENALTY on BGN-BGN, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+12
81.6%
J.Patterson rushed to AKR 37 for 12 yards. Tackled by R.McClain at AKR 37.Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+17
81.8%
J.Patterson rushed to AKR 20 for 17 yards. Tackled by C.Amankwaa at AKR 20.Similar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
81.8%
J.Embry rushed to AKR 18 for 2 yards. Tackled by M.Scott; A.Behm at AKR 18.Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
81.9%
N.Mosley rushed to AKR 18 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Boateng; Z.Morton at AKR 18.Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
81.7%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for T.Broden.Similar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
81.6%
N.Needham 35 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Carolan, Holder-M.Naranjo.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
81.0%
A.Williams rushed to AKR 29 for 1 yards. A.Williams FUMBLES, forced by D.Ferguson. Fumble RECOVERED by BGN-J.Anderson at AKR 29. Tackled by AKR at AKR 29.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4DOWNS
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:0482% → 82%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
82.2%
M.McDonald pass complete to AKR 29. Catch made by T.Keith at AKR 29. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by J.Kelly-Powell at AKR 18.Similar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
82.3%
J.Patterson rushed to AKR 13 for 5 yards. Tackled by A.Behm; D.Johnson at AKR 13.Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+1
82.3%
J.Patterson rushed to AKR 12 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Boateng; L.Hawkins at AKR 12.Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+2
82.1%
J.Patterson rushed to AKR 10 for 2 yards. Tackled by A.Behm; J.Boateng at AKR 10.Similar
Q1 3:26
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+9
81.8%
J.Patterson rushed to AKR 1 for 9 yards. Tackled by C.Amankwaa at AKR 1.Similar
Q1 3:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.4%
J.Patterson rushed to AKR 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Scott at AKR 1.Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.2%
J.Patterson rushed to AKR 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Behm; J.Kelly-Powell at AKR 1.Similar
Q1 2:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.9%
N.Mosley rushed to AKR 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Scott; Z.Morton at AKR 1.Similar
Q1 1:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.5%
M.McDonald rushed to AKR 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by B.Wilson; J.Boateng at AKR 1.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2418% → 18%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
81.6%
A.Williams rushed to AKR 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Porter; D.Brown at AKR 1.Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+3
81.6%
K.Nelson scrambles to AKR 4 for 3 yards. Tackled by A.Hawkins at AKR 4.Similar
Q1 0:04
3RD & 7
OWN 4
0
82.0%
K.Nelson pass INTERCEPTED at AKR 24. Intercepted by J.Anderson at AKR 24. Tackled by G.Qualls at AKR 24.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:3882% → 86%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
82.4%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for C.Sims.Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
82.4%
M.McDonald pass complete to AKR 32. Catch made by T.Keith at AKR 32. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by C.Amankwaa at AKR 27.Similar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+14
82.2%
M.McDonald pass complete to AKR 27. Catch made by A.Osborne at AKR 27. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by K.Dever at AKR 13.Similar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
82.7%
J.Patterson rushed to AKR 13 for 0 yards. Tackled by Z.Morton at AKR 13.Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+5
82.6%
M.McDonald pass complete to AKR 13. Catch made by T.Keith at AKR 13. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by A.Behm at AKR 8.Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
82.1%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for T.Broden.Similar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 5
OPP 8
0
86.3%
N.Needham 26 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Carolan, Holder-M.Naranjo.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:1515% → 24%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
84.7%
B.Hester rushed to AKR 36 for 6 yards. Tackled by B.Horne; A.Hawkins at AKR 36.Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+5
84.5%
K.Nelson pass complete to AKR 36. Catch made by B.Hester at AKR 36. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by D.Anders at AKR 41.Similar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
84.8%
K.Nelson pass complete to AKR 41. Catch made by M.Mathison at AKR 41. Gain of yards. M.Mathison for yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on AKR-M.Mathison, Illegal Motion, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+47
85.2%
K.Nelson pass complete to AKR 36. Catch made by G.Qualls at AKR 36. Gain of 47 yards. Tackled by S.Dabney at BGN 17.Similar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
83.7%
K.Nelson rushed to BGN 27 for -10 yards. K.Nelson FUMBLES, out of bounds.Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 20
OPP 27
0
84.4%
K.Nelson steps back to pass. K.Nelson pass incomplete intended for A.Williams.Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 20
OPP 27
+26
85.1%
K.Nelson pass complete to BGN 27. Catch made by A.Williams at BGN 27. Gain of 26 yards. Tackled by J.Anderson at BGN 1.Similar
Q2 6:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.8%
B.Hester rushed to BGN 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by B.Horne at BGN 1.Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.0%
B.Hester rushed to BGN End Zone for 1 yards. B.Hester for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8INT
10 plays · 56 yds · 4:3480% → 81%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
80.4%
N.Mosley rushed to BGN 26 for 6 yards. Tackled by C.Thomas at BGN 26.Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
80.5%
N.Mosley rushed to BGN 31 for 5 yards. Tackled by R.McClain; Z.Morton at BGN 31.Similar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
80.6%
J.Patterson rushed to BGN 37 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Boateng at BGN 37.Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+2
81.3%
J.Patterson rushed to BGN 39 for 2 yards. Tackled by M.Scott at BGN 39.Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+7
81.0%
J.Patterson rushed to BGN 46 for 7 yards. Tackled by M.Scott at BGN 46.Similar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
81.6%
M.McDonald scrambles to AKR 43 for 11 yards. Tackled by M.Scott at AKR 43.Similar
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
81.8%
M.McDonald pass complete to AKR 43. Catch made by A.Bench at AKR 43. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by M.Scott at AKR 28.Similar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
81.7%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald sacked at AKR 29 for -1 yards (J.Boateng)Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+5
81.7%
M.McDonald pass complete to AKR 29. Catch made by A.Osborne at AKR 29. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by A.Behm at AKR 24.Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 6
OPP 24
-17
81.1%
M.McDonald pass INTERCEPTED at AKR 12. Intercepted by T.Durant at AKR 12. Tackled by BGN at AKR 29.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9BLOCKED FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 1:0922% → 24%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+39
77.8%
B.Hester rushed to BGN 32 for 39 yards. Tackled by D.Ferguson at BGN 32.Similar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
74.2%
B.Hester rushed to BGN 27 for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Ferguson at BGN 27.Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
73.8%
K.Nelson steps back to pass. K.Nelson pass incomplete intended for G.Qualls.Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+6
74.9%
B.Hester rushed to BGN 21 for 6 yards. Tackled by D.Ferguson; S.Dabney at BGN 21.Similar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
73.7%
K.Nelson steps back to pass. K.Nelson pass incomplete intended for T.Brank.Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-8
73.8%
K.Nelson steps back to pass. K.Nelson sacked at BGN 29 for -8 yards (D.Anders)Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 18
OPP 29
+11
76.9%
K.Nelson pass complete to BGN 29. Catch made by K.Mumpfield at BGN 29. Gain of 11 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Anderson at BGN 18.Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 7
OPP 18
0
76.3%
C.Smigel 35 yard field goal attempt is blocked, Center-K.Bauman, Holder-K.Romenick. D.Taylor blocked the kick. recovered the blocked kick.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:0822% → 38%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
77.9%
B.Hester rushed to AKR 24 for -1 yards. Tackled by D.Ferguson at AKR 24.Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
78.1%
Z.Gibson pass complete to AKR 24. Catch made by M.Mathison at AKR 24. Gain of 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Ferguson at AKR 32.Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+48
77.8%
Z.Gibson pass complete to AKR 32. Catch made by K.Mumpfield at AKR 32. Gain of 48 yards. Tackled by S.Dabney at BGN 20.Similar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+19
73.7%
Z.Gibson pass complete to BGN 20. Catch made by T.Brank at BGN 20. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by B.Brand at BGN 1.Similar
Q3 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.7%
Z.Gibson pass complete to BGN 1. Catch made by K.Mumpfield at BGN 1. Gain of 1 yards. K.Mumpfield for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
67.2%
J.Patterson rushed to BGN 34 for 9 yards. J.Patterson FUMBLES, forced by J.Hooks. Fumble RECOVERED by AKR-J.Kelly-Powell at BGN 34. Tackled by BGN at BGN 34.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12TD
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:4538% → 58%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
61.8%
A.Williams rushed to BGN 30 for 4 yards. Tackled by B.Horne at BGN 30.Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
61.3%
Z.Gibson steps back to pass. Z.Gibson pass incomplete intended for A.Williams.Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+2
62.9%
A.Williams rushed to BGN 28 for 2 yards. Tackled by S.Dabney at BGN 28.Similar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+6
64.4%
Z.Gibson scrambles to BGN 22 for 6 yards. Tackled by A.Hawkins at BGN 22.Similar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
60.0%
Z.Gibson scrambles to BGN 12 for 10 yards. Tackled by D.Anders at BGN 12.Similar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
59.6%
A.Williams rushed to BGN 9 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Anders at BGN 9.Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
41.9%
Z.Gibson pass complete to BGN 9. Catch made by K.Mumpfield at BGN 9. Gain of 9 yards. K.Mumpfield for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:1048% → 42%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
47.8%
N.Mosley rushed to BGN 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by R.McClain; J.Boateng at BGN 28.Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
47.3%
N.Mosley rushed to BGN 31 for 3 yards. Tackled by A.Behm at BGN 31.Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
45.7%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 31. Catch made by A.Osborne at BGN 31. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by M.Snowden at BGN 37.Similar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
46.5%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for J.Patterson.Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
46.2%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for C.Sims.Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-10
44.3%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald sacked at BGN 27 for -10 yards (Z.Morton; J.Jarrett)Similar
Q3 6:37
4TH & 20
OWN 27
+31
42.4%
M.Naranjo punts 31 yards to AKR 42, Center-J.Carolan. C.Amankwaa returned punt from the AKR 42. C.Amankwaa FUMBLES. Fumble RECOVERED by AKR-S.Conroy at AKR 43. Tackled by BGN at AKR 43.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 3:4060% → 82%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
39.7%
B.Hester rushed to AKR 47 for 4 yards. Tackled by A.Hawkins at AKR 47.Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+22
39.0%
Z.Gibson pass complete to AKR 47. Catch made by K.Mumpfield at AKR 47. Gain of 22 yards. Tackled by S.Dabney at BGN 31.Similar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-8
36.5%
Z.Gibson steps back to pass. Z.Gibson sacked at BGN 39 for -8 yards (K.Brooks)Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 18
OPP 39
+5
35.0%
Z.Gibson pass complete to BGN 39. Catch made by T.Grimes at BGN 39. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by M.Sheppard; D.Taylor at BGN 34.Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 13
OPP 34
0
34.5%
Z.Gibson steps back to pass. Z.Gibson pass incomplete intended for T.Grimes. PENALTY on BGN-B.Horne, Defensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
32.7%
B.Hester rushed to BGN 21 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Anders; S.Dabney at BGN 21.Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+21
17.6%
Z.Gibson pass complete to BGN 21. Catch made by N.Ognenovic at BGN 21. Gain of 21 yards. N.Ognenovic for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:2024% → 22%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
23.5%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 25. Catch made by C.Sims at BGN 25. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by R.Cochran at BGN 33.Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+16
23.9%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 33. Catch made by T.Broden at BGN 33. Gain of 16 yards. T.Broden ran out of bounds.Similar
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
24.9%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 49. Catch made by C.Sims at BGN 49. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by A.Watts at AKR 49.Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
24.6%
N.Mosley rushed to AKR 49 for 0 yards. Tackled by C.Fann at AKR 49.Similar
Q3 0:04
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
23.5%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for T.Broden.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 49
+40
22.4%
M.Naranjo punts 40 yards to AKR 9, Center-J.Carolan. K.Mumpfield MUFFS catch. Fumble RECOVERED by AKR-K.Mumpfield at AKR 9. Tackled by BGN at AKR 9.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 5:4886% → 98%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
14.5%
B.Hester rushed to AKR 14 for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Anders at AKR 14.Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 5
OWN 14
-2
14.5%
B.Hester rushed to AKR 12 for -2 yards. Tackled by K.Brooks at AKR 12.Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+15
14.1%
Z.Gibson pass complete to AKR 12. Catch made by K.Mumpfield at AKR 12. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by J.Anderson; J.Burton at AKR 27.Similar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
12.7%
A.Williams rushed to AKR 34 for 7 yards. Tackled by D.Anders at AKR 34.Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+6
12.1%
A.Williams rushed to AKR 40 for 6 yards. Tackled by D.Ferguson; J.Brown at AKR 40.Similar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
10.9%
B.Hester rushed to AKR 42 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Taylor at AKR 42.Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+14
9.2%
Z.Gibson pass complete to AKR 42. Catch made by M.Mathison at AKR 42. Gain of 14 yards. M.Mathison ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
8.4%
B.Hester rushed to BGN 43 for 1 yards. Tackled by S.Dabney at BGN 43.Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+6
7.8%
Z.Gibson pass complete to BGN 43. Catch made by T.Brank at BGN 43. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by D.Neri at BGN 37.Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+37
2.2%
B.Hester rushed to BGN End Zone for 37 yards. B.Hester for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 0:413% → 11%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+23
2.7%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 22. Catch made by C.Croom at BGN 22. Gain of 23 yards. Tackled by R.Cochran at BGN 45.Similar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+45
2.9%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 45. Catch made by T.Broden at BGN 45. Gain of 45 yards. Tackled by C.Amankwaa at AKR 10.Similar
Q4 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
3.4%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for N.Mosley.Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
11.3%
M.McDonald pass complete to AKR 10. Catch made by T.Broden at AKR 10. Gain of 10 yards. T.Broden for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18BLOCKED PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5893% → 94%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
7.4%
A.Williams rushed to AKR 26 for -1 yards. Tackled by B.Horne; K.Brooks at AKR 26.Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+9
6.7%
Z.Gibson pass complete to AKR 26. Catch made by A.Williams at AKR 26. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by J.Anderson; D.Ferguson at AKR 35.Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+1
6.2%
A.Williams rushed to AKR 36 for 1 yards. Tackled by B.Horne at AKR 36.Similar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+21
5.7%
E.Slike punts yards to AKR 36, Center-K.Bauman. S.Dabney blocked the kick. D.Anders recovered the blocked kick. Tackled by AKR at AKR 15.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:509% → 8%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
9.2%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for A.Osborne.Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
9.2%
J.Patterson rushed to AKR 12 for 3 yards. Tackled by AKR at AKR 12.Similar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
8.0%
M.McDonald pass INTERCEPTED at AKR End Zone. Intercepted by J.Kelly-Powell at AKR End Zone. Tackled by BGN at AKR End Zone. PENALTY on BGN-J.Banks-Wall, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, declined.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:2497% → 98%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
3.2%
B.Hester rushed to BGN 39 for 13 yards. Tackled by D.Anders at BGN 39.Similar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
2.9%
B.Hester rushed to BGN 39 for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Hawkins at BGN 39.Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
2.2%
B.Hester rushed to BGN 39 for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Saad at BGN 39.Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+2
2.2%
Z.Gibson pass complete to BGN 39. Catch made by B.Hester at BGN 39. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by B.Horne at BGN 37.Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
2.2%
PENALTY on AKR-AKR, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 13
OPP 42
+2
2.2%
B.Hester rushed to BGN 40 for 2 yards. Tackled by A.Saad at BGN 40.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:523% → 4%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
3.1%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald sacked at BGN 37 for -3 yards (J.Jarrett)Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+3
2.8%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 37. Catch made by A.Osborne at BGN 37. Gain of 3 yards. Pushed out of bounds by T.Durant at BGN 40.Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+20
3.0%
M.McDonald pass complete to BGN 40. Catch made by C.Croom at BGN 40. Gain of 20 yards. Tackled by J.Kelly-Powell at AKR 40.Similar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
3.3%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for BGN.Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
3.2%
M.McDonald pass complete to AKR 40. Catch made by J.Patterson at AKR 40. Gain of 7 yards. J.Patterson ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
3.7%
M.McDonald steps back to pass. M.McDonald pass incomplete intended for T.Broden.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:56
Z.Gibson pass complete to BGN 9. Catch made by K.Mumpfield at BGN 9. Gain of 9 yards. K.Mumpfield for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-17.7
TD · Q3 2:25
Z.Gibson pass complete to BGN 21. Catch made by N.Ognenovic at BGN 21. Gain of 21 yards. N.Ognenovic for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-15.1
TD · Q3 12:52
Z.Gibson pass complete to BGN 1. Catch made by K.Mumpfield at BGN 1. Gain of 1 yards. K.Mumpfield for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com