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BALL

Ball State 45 at Western Michigan 20

WMU
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:32 · Nick Mihalic punt for 36 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Pregame prior+1.4Home team on offense−52.9Score differential−47.9Garbage-time factor−19.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:05: Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 21 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK) — BALL win probability +6.4 pts (now 28%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Jake Chanove 27 yd FG GOOD — BALL win probability +4.9 pts (now 35%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:13: Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 33 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK) — BALL win probability +22.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:00: Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 24 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK) — BALL win probability +15.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:35: run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK) — BALL win probability +11.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8BALL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:48BALL 4th & 24 at BALL 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:18BALL 4th & 12 at BALL 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:02WMU 4th & 1 at BALL 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    74.5%−0.8
    89% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:31WMU 4th & 3 at BALL 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.4%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−5.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:36BALL 4th & 4 at WMU 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:36WMU 4th & 9 at WMU 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−2.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:08WMU 4th & 9 at WMU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:43BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:44WMU 4th & 4 at BALL 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.0%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−10.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:18WMU 4th & 10 at BALL 43, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:56BALL 4th & 11 at BALL 48, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:23WMU 4th & 14 at WMU 17, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:32WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 29, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:08BALL 4th & 8 at BALL 37, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BALL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:49BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:03WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:35WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:05BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:13BALL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:00BALL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:35BALL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:23BALL Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
80.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jalen McGaughy for 75 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:4681% → 80%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.9%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
80.9%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q1 14:49
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
80.9%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
80.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
80.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 1 yd to the WMich 42Similar
Q1 14:49
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+4
80.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
80.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 8 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+21
80.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 21 yds to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
80.9%
Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the BalSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
80.9%
Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the BalSt 4Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+3
80.9%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
80.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the BalSt 1Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Mihalic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:1521% → 21%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
79.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 30 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
78.9%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
78.9%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
78.9%
Drew Plitt sacked for 0 yards to the BalSt 41Similar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 24
OWN 41
0
79.1%
Nathan Snyder punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 3:3679% → 81%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
78.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+2
78.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+9
78.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 9 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
78.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
78.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+30
78.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Anthony Torres for 30 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
79.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+22
79.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 22 yds to the BalSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
79.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 7 yds to the BalSt 2Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.3%
Kaleb Eleby run for 2 yds for a TD (Nick Mihalic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:1120% → 20%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
80.2%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+16
80.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 16 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
79.6%
Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+1
79.4%
Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the WMich 44Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 2
OPP 44
-10
79.5%
PLITT, Drew scrambles to the right for a gain of 19 yards to the WMU25 (MOMENT, Corvin), out of bounds. PENALTY BSU Holding enforced 10 yards from the WMU44 to the BSU46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 12
OWN 46
0
80.4%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:18
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
80.3%
Nathan Snyder punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6FUMBLE
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:4780% → 81%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
80.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
79.9%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+15
79.5%
BALL ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaylin Thomas) to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
80.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
80.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+3
80.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
80.9%
Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+1
81.0%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the BalSt 48Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
80.6%
Kaleb Eleby sacked for 0 yards to the WMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7TD
2 plays · 37 yds · 0:2622% → 28%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
78.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 16 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
71.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 21 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 6:3177% → 76%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
76.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 9 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+2
77.1%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
77.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+11
77.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 11 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
77.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the BalSt 16Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+3
77.1%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the BalSt 13Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+4
76.6%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the BalSt 9Similar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+2
75.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the BalSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
77.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the BalSt 5Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
77.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the BalSt 3Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
76.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the BalSt 3Similar
Q2 4:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
75.7%
Nick Mihalic 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:4825% → 28%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
74.7%
Donny Marcus run for 1 yd to the BalSt 27Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+21
74.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 21 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
72.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 11 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
72.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 11 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
71.7%
Donny Marcus run for 1 yd to the WMich 29Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
71.8%
Jayshon Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+5
72.7%
PLITT, Drew pass incomplete intended for LEZON, Ryan broken up by BARNES, Zaire at the WMU29. PENALTY WMU Offsides on BARNES, Zaire enforced 5 yards from the WMU29 to the WMU24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 4
OPP 24
0
72.3%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+34
72.2%
Jacob Lewis 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10PUNT
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:0074% → 72%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
74.1%
Kaleb Eleby run for 5 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
74.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 9
OWN 25
+30
71.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 56 yds , Justin Hall returns for 30 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11FG
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:3629% → 35%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
70.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 20 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
69.2%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+16
69.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 16 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
69.7%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-2
69.7%
Drew Plitt run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 17Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 17
+27
64.9%
Jake Chanove 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:5271% → 70%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
71.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 17 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
73.2%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+2
72.3%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
71.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
69.8%
punt blocked by blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2535% → 33%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
65.0%
Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+1
64.8%
Will Jones run for 1 yd to the BalSt 46Similar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
65.8%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 7
OWN 46
+25
67.4%
Nathan Snyder punt for 35 yds BALL ST Penalty, Kick Catch Interference enforced at the deadball spot for (TEAM) to the WMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:5970% → 74%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
69.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+8
69.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 8 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+6
70.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
71.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the WMich 43Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+12
71.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 12 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+27
72.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Anthony Torres for 27 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
73.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 14 yds to the BalSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
73.6%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the BalSt 4Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
73.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
72.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
74.3%
Nick Mihalic 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3128% → 56%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.0%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
72.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 11 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
70.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for no gain to the BalSt 36Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
71.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 5 yds to the BalSt 41Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+15
69.9%
Drew Plitt run for 15 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
68.4%
Carson Steele run for 11 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
67.2%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the WMich 33Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+33
44.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 33 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:0652% → 54%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
51.8%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Jack Sape for 0 yards to the WMich 20Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 14
OWN 20
+15
51.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 15 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
52.4%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 5 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+7
55.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 7 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
54.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass intercepted return for no gain to the WMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17TD
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:4659% → 76%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
41.0%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+9
39.8%
Justin Hall run for 9 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+1
41.0%
Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the WMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
39.2%
Drew Plitt run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 24Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+24
24.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 24 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:5226% → 26%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
26.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 11 yds to the WMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
26.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 6 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 4
OWN 25
0
26.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass intercepted return for no gain to the WMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19TD
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:2978% → 96%
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
22.0%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
22.1%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+9
22.5%
Drew Plitt run for 9 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offsides (Andre Carter) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
21.5%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
16.2%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+12
16.0%
Carson Steele run for 12 yds to the WMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
15.8%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the WMich 5Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
3.9%
run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:176% → 6%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
6.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 7 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+25
6.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 25 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
7.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
6.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
6.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
5.8%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Anthony Ekpe for 0 yards to the BalSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:2296% → 98%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
3.6%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-2
3.5%
Will Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 9
50
-2
3.6%
Will Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 48Similar
Q4 5:56
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
2.5%
Nathan Snyder punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22DOWNS TD
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:334% → 0%
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
3.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 8 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+3
3.9%
Kaleb Eleby run for 3 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
3.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
3.8%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Emeka Jillani for 0 yards to the WMich 17Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 14
OWN 17
0
3.7%
Jack Salopek pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 14
OWN 17
+1
0.2%
Kaleb Eleby run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:510% → 0%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.3%
Jack Salopek pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
0.3%
SALOPEK, Jack pass to the right complete for 17 yards to WILSON, Henry caught at the WMU42 and advanced to the WMU42 (WAHEE, J.T.), out of bounds. PENALTY WMU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on GIDEON, Jacob enforced 5 yards from the WMU25 to the WMU20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
0.2%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the WMich 21Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+8
0.2%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 8 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Nick Mihalic punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
0.2%
Donny Marcus run for 1 yd to the BalSt 36Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
0.2%
Donny Marcus run for no gain to the BalSt 36Similar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+1
0.2%
Donny Marcus run for 1 yd to the BalSt 37Similar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+5
0.1%
Nathan Snyder punt for 48 yds , Bryce Nunnelly returns for 5 yds to the WMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
0.1%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the WMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:13
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 33 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)
-22.9
TD · Q4 14:00
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 24 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)
-15
TD · Q4 9:35
run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)
-11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com