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EMU

Eastern Michigan 20 at Northern Illinois 27

NIU
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:54 · Matt Ference punt for 48 yds , Hassan Beydoun returns for 27 yds to the EMich 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Home team on offense+14.0Garbage-time factor+5.0Score differential+6.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Time remaining−0.8Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:10: Jaden Dolphin 59 Yd Interception Return (John Richardson Kick) — NIU win probability +9.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:37: Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 42 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +12.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:18: Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +15.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:14: Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 17 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +14.0 pts (now 34%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:12: Chad Ryland 31 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +5.4 pts (now 10%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:34EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:44NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 48, tied
    Close callWent for it · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:12EMU 4th & 12 at EMU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:54NIU 4th & 9 at EMU 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:27EMU 4th & 8 at NIU 16, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    16.3%−8.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:02NIU 4th & 7 at EMU 44, up 14
    Close callPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    71.1%−1.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:55EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:04EMU 4th & 9 at NIU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−3.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:54NIU 4th & 9 at NIU 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:02NIU 4th & 20 at EMU 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−2.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    82.8%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:15EMU 4th & 7 at NIU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    20.0%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−2.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:15NIU 4th & 3 at EMU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    83.3%−2.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    82.3%−3.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:25NIU 4th & 4 at EMU 7, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.6%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−5.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:12EMU 4th & 7 at NIU 13, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.1%−0.8
    85% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:41NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:10NIU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:37EMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:18NIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:14EMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2649% → 49%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
50.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-6
50.9%
Ben Bryant sacked by James Ester for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
50.9%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
51.3%
Jake Julien punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5051% → 51%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
51.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
51.3%
PENALTY EMU Offside (Merritt,Alex) 5 yards from NIU43 to NIU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
51.3%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the NoIll 48Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
51.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Fabian McCraySimilar
Q1 12:44
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
51.3%
Drew Cassens pass incomplete to Messiah TravisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · -18 yds · 0:4249% → 49%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
51.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 3 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-21
51.1%
Ben Bryant sacked by Lance Deveaux Jr. for a loss of 21 yards to the EMich 34 Ben Bryant fumbled, recovered by NoIll Raishein Thomas , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:2152% → 55%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
51.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+5
51.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Liam Soraghan for 5 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+4
51.8%
Rocky Lombardi run for 4 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
51.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
51.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+7
51.8%
Rocky Lombardi run for 7 yds to the EMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
51.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the EMich 5Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
55.0%
Rocky Lombardi run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:2946% → 44%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
54.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
54.0%
Jawon Hamilton run for 6 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
54.0%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to J.B. MitchellSimilar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
54.1%
Jawon Hamilton run for 6 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-8
53.8%
Ben Bryant sacked by Dillon Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
56.1%
Jake Julien punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tyrice Richie at the NoIll 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:1856% → 59%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
55.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+3
55.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+5
55.6%
PENALTY EMU Offside (Ramirez,Jose) 5 yards from NIU29 to NIU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
55.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+24
56.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 24 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
56.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 5 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+22
56.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Clint Ratkovich for 22 yds to the EMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
59.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the EMich 9Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
59.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tristen TewesSimilar
Q1 2:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
59.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Fabian McCraySimilar
Q1 1:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+28
59.3%
John Richardson 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7INT TD
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:4441% → 32%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.2%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
59.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 12 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
58.6%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+15
60.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 15 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
59.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
59.1%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Thomas OdukoyaSimilar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 6
OPP 44
-59
68.3%
Jaden Dolphin 59 Yd Interception Return (John Richardson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:3731% → 32%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
69.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd to the EMich 24Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+10
69.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Donivan Wright for 10 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
69.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 3 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
68.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to for no gain to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+45
69.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Darius Boone Jr. for 45 yds to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
67.5%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
67.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the NoIll 16Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
68.2%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 10:27
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+34
68.0%
Chad Ryland 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:2571% → 70%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
70.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+31
70.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 31 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
71.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+1
71.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
70.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q2 8:02
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
70.0%
Matt Ference punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0730% → 28%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
70.5%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Bryson CannonSimilar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
70.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
70.9%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan SummersSimilar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+11
72.1%
Jake Julien punt for 61 yds , Tyrice Richie returns for 11 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11FUMBLE
10 plays · 38 yds · 5:1071% → 77%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
71.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Liam Soraghan for 7 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+4
71.7%
Clint Ratkovich run for 4 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
72.4%
Clint Ratkovich run for 5 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
72.5%
Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+2
71.7%
Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+5
71.0%
PENALTY EMU Offside (Cameron,Luke) 5 yards from NIU48 to EMU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
72.6%
Clint Ratkovich run for 16 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
72.7%
Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+3
72.7%
Clint Ratkovich run for 3 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 11
OPP 32
+2
77.3%
Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds to the EMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12FG
12 plays · 25 yds · 1:4126% → 22%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
74.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Donivan Wright for 6 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+7
73.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 7 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
73.2%
Ben Bryant run for 4 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+1
72.5%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd to the NoIll 36Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+6
73.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 6 yds to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
71.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Donivan Wright for 3 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-2
73.3%
Ben Bryant sacked by Devonte O'Malley for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 29Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
76.2%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+47
78.2%
Chad Ryland 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
82.3%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:0679% → 79%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.8%
Clint Ratkovich run for 5 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
78.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 8 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
79.4%
Clint Ratkovich run for 1 yd to the NoIll 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
79.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trey UrwilerSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
78.6%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Illegal Shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 9
OWN 39
+27
79.2%
Matt Ference punt for 48 yds , Hassan Beydoun returns for 27 yds to the EMich 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 94 yds · 2:1720% → 35%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
80.0%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+45
80.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 45 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
77.0%
Darius Boone Jr. run for no gain to the NoIll 46Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
77.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Latrell Fordham for 4 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+42
65.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 42 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:1969% → 88%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
69.4%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+15
68.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 15 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
70.3%
Antario Brown run for 12 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
71.9%
Antario Brown run for 8 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+2
72.1%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
72.2%
Lombardi,Rocky pass incomplete to Travis,Messiah PENALTY EMU Roughing The Passer (Myrick,Terry) 15 yards from EMU41 to EMU26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
72.5%
Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+5
72.5%
Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
72.5%
Clint Ratkovich run for 1 yd to the EMich 15Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+13
72.5%
Antario Brown run for 13 yds to the EMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
72.5%
Rocky Lombardi run for no gain to the EMich 2Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
87.7%
Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0416% → 34%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
84.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Latrell Fordham for 11 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
83.0%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Latrell FordhamSimilar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
83.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 8 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+13
82.3%
Aaron Jackson run for 13 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
81.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+4
81.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+10
81.6%
Ben Bryant run for 10 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
80.2%
Bryant,Ben pass incomplete to Beydoun,Hassan PENALTY NIU Holding (Hansen,Jordan) 10 yards from NIU27 to NIU17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
66.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 17 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18PUNT
13 plays · 42 yds · 4:0578% → 82%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
77.5%
Antario Brown run for 9 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
78.6%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
77.8%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+6
81.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 6 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+6
82.5%
Clint Ratkovich run for 6 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
83.6%
Lombardi,Rocky pass incomplete to Rudolph,Trayvon PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Paul,Jarrett) 15 yards from NIU46 to EMU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
83.9%
Antario Brown run for 11 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
84.2%
Brown,Antario rush for 5 yards gain to the EMU23 (McGee,Freddie) PENALTY NIU Holding (Zschernitz,Logan) 10 yards from EMU28 to EMU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 38
0
83.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 38
0
83.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 38
0
82.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q4 13:02
4TH & 20
OPP 38
0
81.7%
Matt Ference punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:4722% → 21%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+27
78.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 27 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
75.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 15 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
74.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 2 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-8
74.6%
Ben Bryant sacked by Dillon Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 44Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 16
OPP 44
+9
78.1%
DJ Smith run for 9 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+8
78.9%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete pass complete to for 8 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20FG
17 plays · 58 yds · 6:5085% → 95%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
85.1%
Antario Brown run for 8 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
86.8%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NoIll 44Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
85.9%
Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
86.8%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+6
87.2%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
87.2%
Clint Ratkovich run for no gain to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
87.0%
Clint Ratkovich run for no gain to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+7
86.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 7 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+9
85.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 9 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
87.3%
Antario Brown run for 13 yds to the EMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
87.3%
Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+3
94.7%
Clint Ratkovich run for 3 yds to the EMich 8Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+1
94.7%
Clint Ratkovich run for 1 yd to the EMich 7Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+26
94.6%
John Richardson 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 2:184% → 8%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to DJ Smith for 11 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
95.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 16 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
95.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 4 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
95.0%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Bryson CannonSimilar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+13
95.2%
DJ Smith run for 13 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
94.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 15 yds to the NoIll 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
94.3%
DJ Smith run for 4 yds to the NoIll 12Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
94.3%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+1
95.0%
Ben Bryant run for 1 yd to the NoIll 13Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+31
89.6%
Chad Ryland 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
92.0%
Julien,Jake onside kickoff 14 yards to the EMU49 PENALTY EMU Offside 5 yards from EMU35 to EMU30. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -8 yds · 1:0697% → 97%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-4
96.9%
run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 44
-4
96.9%
run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:18
Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)
+15.2
TD · Q3 2:14
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 17 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)
-14
TD · Q3 10:37
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 42 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)
-12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com