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TOL

Toledo 22 at Ball State 12

BALL
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadTOL aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreTOL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGFGFGFGFGFGSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:11 · Nathan Snyder punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Devin Maddox at the Toled 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Home team on offense−3.4Pregame prior−7.4Garbage-time factor−1.4Score differential−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:47: Dequan Finn run for 70 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) — TOL win probability +3.6 pts (now 64%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:26: Jake Chanove 29 yd FG GOOD — BALL win probability +6.8 pts (now 41%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 4:22: Thomas Cluckey 41 yd FG MISSED — TOL win probability +6.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 11:37: Jacob Lewis 47 yd FG GOOD — BALL win probability +7.8 pts (now 32%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:51: Thomas Cluckey 22 yd FG GOOD — TOL win probability +14.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 8 of 10TOL made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 11:13BALL 4th & 12 at TOL 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    40.5%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:54BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:28TOL 4th & 4 at TOL 19, up 4
    Close callPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:03BALL 4th & 2 at TOL 10, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    55% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.6%−0.6
    88% to make
    Punt
    38.2%−4.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:09TOL 4th & 1 at TOL 31, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    63.4%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:26BALL 4th & 6 at TOL 12, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    29.3%−6.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:07TOL 4th & 10 at TOL 47, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:11BALL 4th & 19 at BALL 42, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−3.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:17TOL 4th & 8 at BALL 45, up 5
    Close callPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    61.0%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:06BALL 4th & 9 at TOL 48, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:22TOL 4th & 11 at BALL 23, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−2.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−11.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:34BALL 4th & 19 at BALL 14, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−5.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:13TOL 4th & 5 at BALL 25, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.3%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    71.4%−6.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:13BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 34, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.8%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:37BALL 4th & 10 at TOL 30, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−3.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:51TOL 4th & 4 at BALL 4, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.1%−1.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    62.6%−16.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:34BALL 4th & 9 at BALL 20, down 8
    Close callPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:04TOL 4th & 3 at BALL 39, up 8
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.7
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    96.0%
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TOL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:30TOL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:47TOL Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:4737% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
37.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 12 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
37.3%
Drew Plitt sacked by Terrance Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+4
37.3%
Will Jones run for 4 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+35
37.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 35 yds to the Toled 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
37.3%
Will Jones run for 4 yds to the Toled 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
37.3%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the Toled 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 22
-10
37.3%
Plitt,Drew rush for 4 yards gain to the TOL18 (Hook,Maxen) PENALTY BSU Holding (Kaylor,Damon) 10 yards from TOL22 to TOL32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 32
+4
37.3%
Drew Plitt run for 4 yds to the Toled 28Similar
Q1 11:13
4TH & 12
OPP 28
+45
39.1%
Jacob Lewis 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 2TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:4361% → 62%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
39.1%
TOLEDO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Toled 31Similar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 14
OWN 31
0
39.1%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jerjuan NewtonSimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+69
38.3%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Maddox for 69 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:3638% → 39%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
38.3%
Will Jones run for 1 yd to the BalSt 26Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
38.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 5 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
38.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 9 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
38.7%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the BalSt 40Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
38.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 3 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
38.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
38.6%
Nathan Snyder punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Devin Maddox at the Toled 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2661% → 60%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
38.8%
Bryant Koback run for 3 yds to the Toled 16Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
38.7%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Bryce MitchellSimilar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+3
39.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 3 yds to the Toled 19Similar
Q1 6:28
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
39.6%
Bailey Flint punt for 39 yds , returns for no gain to the BalSt 41 Justin Hall return for 1 yd to the BalSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 5:2540% → 42%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
39.5%
Justin Hall run for 8 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+7
39.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 7 yds to the Toled 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
39.9%
Justin Hall run for 6 yds to the Toled 38Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+1
39.9%
Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the Toled 37Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+7
39.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 7 yds to the Toled 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
40.2%
Carson Steele run for 6 yds to the Toled 24Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+1
40.2%
Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the Toled 23Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+5
39.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jordan Williams for 5 yds to the Toled 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
40.2%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
40.2%
Will Jones run for 4 yds to the Toled 14Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+4
39.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the Toled 10Similar
Q1 1:03
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+27
42.0%
Jacob Lewis 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 6TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:1660% → 64%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
40.5%
Dequan Finn run for 8 yds to the Toled 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 39
-9
39.7%
Dequan Finn sacked by Jimmy Daw for a loss of 9 yards to the Toled 30Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+70
36.0%
Dequan Finn run for 70 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7FUMBLE
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:4835% → 36%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
35.2%
Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 26Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
35.2%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the BalSt 26Similar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+14
34.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 14 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
36.1%
Drew Plitt run for 4 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
36.5%
Plitt,Drew pass incomplete to Hohlt,Trevor PENALTY TOL Pass Interference (Barrow,Jackson) 5 yards from BSU44 to BSU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
36.6%
Will Jones run for no gain to the BalSt 49Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+14
36.2%
Drew Plitt run for 14 yds to the Toled 22 Drew Plitt fumbled, forced by Nate Givhan, recovered by Toled Jonathan JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 8DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4465% → 65%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
34.7%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Isaiah WinsteadSimilar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
34.8%
Jacquez Stuart run for 1 yd to the Toled 23Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+8
35.2%
Carter Bradley run for 8 yds to the Toled 31Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
34.7%
Bryant Koback run for no gain to the Toled 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9FG
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:4338% → 41%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
37.6%
Justin Hall run for 15 yds to the Toled 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
37.6%
Will Jones run for 2 yds to the Toled 18Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 12
OPP 18
+1
37.5%
Will Jones run for 1 yd to the Toled 17Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 11
OPP 17
0
36.4%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:28
4TH & 11
OPP 17
+5
33.9%
Chanove,Jake field goal attempt from 34 yards NO GOOD, clock 08:28 PENALTY TOL Offside (Mitchell,Quinyon) 5 yards from TOL17 to TOL12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:26
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
40.8%
Jake Chanove 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:1961% → 61%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
39.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 10 yds to the Toled 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
38.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Bryant Koback for 12 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
37.5%
Bryant Koback run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 7
50
0
37.2%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Bryce MitchellSimilar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 7
50
-3
37.7%
Carter Bradley sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 47Similar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
39.2%
Bailey Flint punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Justin Hall at the BalSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:5639% → 37%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
38.8%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+30
38.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 30 yds to the Toled 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
41.5%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
39.9%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 12
OWN 49
-7
39.0%
Drew Plitt sacked by Nate Givhan for a loss of 7 yards to the BalSt 42Similar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 19
OWN 42
0
36.7%
Nathan Snyder punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Devin Maddox at the Toled 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:5463% → 64%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
37.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 4 yds to the Toled 17Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+6
37.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Maddox for 6 yds to the Toled 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
36.9%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 20 yds to the Toled 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
35.3%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 10 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
34.9%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 2 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+11
34.9%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete pass complete to for 11 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
35.3%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Matt LandersSimilar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
36.3%
Bailey Flint punt for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13END OF HALF
16 plays · 61 yds · 1:1738% → 38%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
37.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 6 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
39.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 5 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
38.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+6
40.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jordan Williams for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
50
+5
40.9%
Plitt,Drew rush for 5 yards gain to the TOL45, End Of Play PENALTY TOL Illegal Substitution 5 yards from TOL50 to TOL45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 5
OPP 45
0
41.3%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Cody RudySimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
41.3%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Cody RudySimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+15
40.9%
Drew Plitt run for 15 yds to the Toled 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
41.0%
Will Jones run for 2 yds to the Toled 28Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-7
40.3%
Drew Plitt sacked by Jamal Hines for a loss of 7 yards to the Toled 35Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 15
OPP 35
+21
34.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 21 yds to the Toled 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
38.4%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
38.3%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 14INT
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:2065% → 68%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
35.0%
Bryant Koback run for 7 yds to the Toled 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
33.8%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Bryant Koback for 8 yds to the Toled 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
33.1%
Bryant Koback run for 6 yds to the Toled 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+13
33.1%
Bryant Koback run for 13 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
32.6%
Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-15
32.1%
Carter Bradley pass intercepted BALL ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jaylin Thomas) to the BalSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:3438% → 36%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
37.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 9 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+4
39.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the Toled 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
39.6%
Justin Hall run for 1 yd to the Toled 48Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
39.6%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
38.5%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
35.9%
Nathan Snyder punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Devin Maddox at the Toled 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 16FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 6:4465% → 75%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
34.6%
Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the Toled 10Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+5
34.9%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Bryant Koback for 5 yds to the Toled 15Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+5
36.0%
Finn,Dequan pass incomplete to Winstead,Isaiah PENALTY BSU Pass Interference (Anderson,Brett) 5 yards from TOL15 to TOL20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
34.4%
Dequan Finn run for 5 yds to the Toled 25Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+23
33.7%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 23 yds to the Toled 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
32.1%
Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 8
50
+12
31.8%
Bryce Mitchell run for 12 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
31.7%
Bryant Koback run for 3 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+13
30.5%
Bryant Koback run for 13 yds to the BalSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
30.5%
Dequan Finn run for 2 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+7
30.9%
Dequan Finn run for 7 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 5
OPP 17
-6
31.7%
Dequan Finn sacked by Bryce Cosby for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 23Similar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 11
OPP 23
+41
25.4%
Thomas Cluckey 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:4826% → 23%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
25.8%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+5
26.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Porter Haught for 5 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 10
OWN 23
-9
24.5%
Drew Plitt sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the BalSt 14Similar
Q3 2:34
4TH & 19
OWN 14
0
22.7%
Nathan Snyder punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Devin Maddox at the Toled 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 18FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:2178% → 79%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
21.8%
Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the Toled 48Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+10
21.8%
Bradley,Carter pass incomplete to Mitchell,Bryce PENALTY BSU Holding (Uzodinma,Amechi) 10 yards from TOL48 to BSU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
21.4%
Bryant Koback run for 5 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+7
21.2%
Carter Bradley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
19.0%
Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the BalSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+4
19.1%
Bryant Koback run for 4 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
19.5%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Devin MaddoxSimilar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
21.3%
Thomas Cluckey 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 2:3624% → 32%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
23.5%
Will Jones run for 5 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
24.2%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
24.3%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Stewart,Corey) 5 yards from BSU33 to BSU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
22.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 6 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
22.7%
Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+34
24.4%
Justin Hall run for 34 yds to the Toled 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
29.7%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Cody RudySimilar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
26.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Cody RudySimilar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
24.0%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Cody RudySimilar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
31.7%
Jacob Lewis 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 20FG
11 plays · 85 yds · 6:4073% → 91%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
27.5%
Bryant Koback run for 8 yds to the Toled 19Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 2
OWN 19
0
26.5%
Jacquez Stuart run for no gain to the Toled 19Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+46
28.4%
Jacquez Stuart run for 46 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
22.4%
Jacquez Stuart run for 10 yds to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
21.9%
Jacquez Stuart run for 1 yd to the BalSt 24Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+5
21.9%
Dequan Finn run for 5 yds to the BalSt 19Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+15
23.4%
Dequan Finn run for 15 yds to the BalSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
21.9%
Bryant Koback run for no gain to the BalSt 4Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
21.9%
Dequan Finn run for 2 yds to the BalSt 2Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
23.4%
Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the BalSt 4Similar
Q4 4:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
8.9%
Thomas Cluckey 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1213% → 11%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
13.2%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 12
OWN 17
-9
12.7%
BALL ST Penalty, Sideline Inteference (-9 Yards) to the BalSt 8Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 21
OWN 8
+12
11.6%
Drew Plitt run for 12 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
10.9%
Nathan Snyder punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Devin Maddox at the Toled 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 3:3093% → 97%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
7.2%
Bryant Koback run for 3 yds to the Toled 43Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
7.2%
Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the Toled 45Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+9
5.5%
Dequan Finn run for 9 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
5.0%
Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+2
3.3%
Dequan Finn run for 2 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+3
3.3%
Bryant Koback run for 3 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q4 0:04
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+1
3.0%
Bailey Flint punt for 38 yds , Justin Hall returns for 1 yd to the BalSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23Uncategorized
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
3.8%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Haught,Porter) 1 yard from BSU02 to BSU01. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 11
OWN 1
0
2.8%
Plitt,Drew pass complete to Tyler,Yo'Heinz for 3 yards to the BSU04, End Of Play. Toledo SAFETY, clock 00:00 PENALTY BSU Illegal Forward Pass. NO PLAY. for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 4:51
Thomas Cluckey 22 yd FG GOOD
-14.5
FG · Q4 11:37
Jacob Lewis 47 yd FG GOOD
+7.8
FG · Q2 8:26
Jake Chanove 29 yd FG GOOD
+6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com