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SJSU

San José State 3 at Western Michigan 23

WMU
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:02 · Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 17 yds to the SJSt 15 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Home team on offense+0.5Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Pregame prior+7.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:28: La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker Sampson KICK) — WMU win probability +5.3 pts (now 66%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 10:37: La'Darius Jefferson run for 7 yds to the SJSt 48 — WMU win probability +3.9 pts (now 69%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:52: Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 37 yds for a TD (Parker Sampson KICK) — WMU win probability +12.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 9:19: Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete — WMU win probability +4.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. PUNT · Q3 7:17: Will Hart punt for 30 yds, downed at the WMich 29 — WMU win probability +3.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:46WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:45SJSU 4th & 3 at WMU 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.8%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    41.1%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:02WMU 4th & 16 at SJSU 32, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.5%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    59.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    58.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:27SJSU 4th & 16 at SJSU 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:23WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:52WMU 4th & 4 at SJSU 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    67.9%−1.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:04SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 46, down 17
    Close callPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:18WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 47, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:53SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:19WMU 4th & 4 at SJSU 39, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    88.4%−1.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:17SJSU 4th & 19 at SJSU 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−3.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:22WMU 4th & 2 at SJSU 12, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    92.7%−0.6
    86% to make
    Punt
    89.1%−4.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:58SJSU 4th & 12 at SJSU 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:44WMU 4th & 19 at WMU 41, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−1.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:57WMU 4th & 7 at SJSU 13, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−2.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:32SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 25, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:13WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 20, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:13SJSU 4th & 24 at SJSU 43, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:59WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 13, up 20
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:53SJSU 4th & 23 at SJSU 28, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:18WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:28WMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:52WMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:1459% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
58.7%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
58.7%
Kaleb Eleby run for 9 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
58.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 2 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
58.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
58.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
58.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 3:0141% → 42%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
58.7%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 10 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
58.6%
STARKEL, Nick pass to the right incomplete intended for MILLER, Malikhi thrown to the SJS43. PENALTY WMU Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the WMU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
58.5%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+15
58.5%
BRADDOCK, Jermaine pass to the right incomplete intended for BRADDOCK, Jermaine broken up by JACKSON, Dorian at the WMU37. PENALTY WMU Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the WMU37 to the WMU22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
58.5%
Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 2
OPP 14
0
58.5%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the WMich 14Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 2
OPP 14
0
58.5%
Nick Starkel sacked by Ryan Selig and Ralph Holley for 0 yards to the WMich 15Similar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+32
58.3%
Matt Mercurio 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2758% → 61%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
58.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 18 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
58.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+8
58.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 8 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+2
58.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
59.0%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+17
59.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 17 yds to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
59.2%
TYLER, Sean rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the SJS25 (DARDEN, Hadari;ANE, E.J.). PENALTY Before the snap, SJS Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the SJS27 to the SJS22. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 5
OPP 22
+22
60.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 22 yds for a TD (Parker Sampson PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
60.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5TD
13 plays · 41 yds · 5:3461% → 66%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
60.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+10
60.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 10 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
60.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the SJSt 25Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 9
OPP 25
-2
60.9%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 11
OPP 27
0
60.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:02
4TH & 11
OPP 27
-5
59.7%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 32Similar
Q1 6:02
4TH & 16
OPP 32
+17
59.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 17 yds to the SJSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
60.9%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Christian Webb for 0 yards to the SJSt 22Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 17
OPP 22
-5
60.6%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 22
OPP 27
0
60.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 22
OPP 27
+24
60.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 24 yds to the SJSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
60.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 1Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0136% → 33%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
64.5%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+12
64.4%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
63.8%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
50
0
64.1%
Nick Starkel sacked by Ken Aguirre and Marshawn Kneeland for 0 yards to the SJSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 44
0
65.3%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 16
OWN 44
0
66.9%
Will Hart punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0466% → 65%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
65.9%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
66.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-5
65.4%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 20Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
65.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:23
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+23
65.0%
Nick Mihalic punt for 53 yds , Shamar Garrett returns for 23 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:4635% → 35%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
50
+5
64.9%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 5 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+8
64.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
64.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
64.7%
Nick Starkel sacked for 0 yards to the WMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 3:4569% → 80%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
68.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 7 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+5
68.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
68.7%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the SJSt 42Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+3
68.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+2
68.1%
Kaleb Eleby run for 2 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+37
80.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 37 yds for a TD (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:4821% → 20%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
78.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
77.5%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 34Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
78.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
78.0%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 8 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 2
OWN 47
-1
77.0%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 46Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
77.5%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:04
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
80.2%
Will Hart punt for 45 yds, downed at the WMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:4683% → 85%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
82.9%
Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+3
83.1%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
83.1%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Alii Matau) to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
83.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
83.5%
Kaleb Eleby run for no gain to the WMich 45Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+2
84.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 2 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
85.3%
Nick Mihalic punt for 47 yds, downed at the SJSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 38 yds · 1:0217% → 18%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
83.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 9Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+25
83.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 25 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
82.3%
Kairee Robinson run for 11 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
82.0%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
82.4%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 5:4117% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.3%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
83.6%
Nick Starkel sacked by Ralph Holley for 0 yards to the SJSt 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+15
83.9%
STARKEL, Nick pass to the left incomplete intended for BRADDOCK, Jermaine thrown to the SJS25. PENALTY WMU Pass Interference on JACKSON, Dorian enforced 15 yards to the SJS34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 27
OWN 17
+10
83.7%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offsides (Ryan Selig) to the SJSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 27
+10
83.9%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 10 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
85.9%
Will Hart punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 27Similar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
86.9%
Nick Starkel sacked by Ryan Selig for 0 yards to the SJSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14DOWNS
6 plays · 34 yds · 3:3485% → 90%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
85.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+15
85.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jay Lenard) to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
85.8%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+3
85.8%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+1
85.3%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the SJSt 39Similar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
89.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:0213% → 10%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
86.6%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 40Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+10
86.9%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
50
+1
86.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the WMich 49Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
86.5%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
86.8%
Nick Starkel sacked by Corvin Moment for 0 yards to the SJSt 41Similar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 19
OWN 41
0
90.0%
Will Hart punt for 30 yds, downed at the WMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 54 yds · 5:5591% → 93%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
91.2%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 12 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
91.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 10 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
91.6%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+12
91.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 12 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
91.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 8 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+3
91.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
91.7%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 5
OPP 15
0
91.7%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the SJSt 15Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+3
91.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Sean Tyler for 3 yds to the SJSt 12Similar
Q3 1:22
4TH & 2
OPP 12
0
93.4%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Rico Tolefree for 0 yards to the SJSt 17Similar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
92.8%
NEVENS, Tyler rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the SJS18 (HOLLEY, Ralph). PENALTY SJS Holding on STEVENS, Tyler enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the SJS17 to the SJS8. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:247% → 5%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 19
OWN 8
0
93.1%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 19
OWN 8
+18
93.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 18 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+4
93.4%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
93.4%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-2
93.6%
Kenyon Sims run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 28
0
93.8%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:58
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
94.7%
Will Hart punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:1495% → 96%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+30
95.0%
Sean Tyler run for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
50
+8
95.4%
Sean Tyler run for 8 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-10
95.5%
JEFFERSON, La'Darius rush to the right for no gain to the SJS42 (COBBS, Jordan). PENALTY WMU Holding on BROOKS, Mark enforced 10 yards from the SJS42 to the WMU48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+5
95.3%
Kaleb Eleby run for 5 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 7
OPP 47
-10
95.4%
ELEBY, Kaleb pass to the right complete for 35 yards to MOORE, Skyy caught at the SJS12 and advanced to the SJS12 (SHELTON, Nehemiah). PENALTY WMU Holding on CALIENDO, Mike enforced 10 yards from the SJS47 to the WMU43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 17
OWN 43
0
95.1%
Kaleb Eleby sacked for 0 yards to the WMich 43 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 19
OWN 41
0
95.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 36 yds , Shamar Garrett returns for no gain to the SJSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:504% → 4%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
95.9%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
95.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 8 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 2
OWN 31
-15
95.8%
run for a loss of 15 yards to the SJSt 16 fumbled, recovered by WMich Ryan SeligSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5797% → 99%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
96.5%
Kaleb Eleby sacked for 0 yards to the SJSt 18Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 12
OPP 18
+4
96.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 4 yds to the SJSt 14Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+1
96.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 1 yd to the SJSt 13Similar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+30
98.6%
Parker Sampson 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:251% → 1%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:32
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.0%
Will Hart punt for 58 yds , Bryce Nunnelly returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:1999% → 99%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
98.7%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 11Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+4
98.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 4 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+5
98.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Sean Tyler for 5 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q4 5:13
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
99.0%
Nick Mihalic punt for 38 yds, downed at the WMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 2:001% → 1%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-6
99.3%
Natano Woods pass complete to Gavyn Tobin for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 49Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 16
OPP 49
0
99.3%
Natano Woods sacked by Ralph Holley for 0 yards to the SJSt 46Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 21
OWN 46
0
99.3%
Natano Woods sacked by Ali Fayad for 0 yards to the SJSt 43Similar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 24
OWN 43
0
99.4%
Will Hart punt for 53 yds, downed at the WMich 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:1499% → 100%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
99.2%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the WMich 6Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+5
99.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 5 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+2
99.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the WMich 13Similar
Q4 1:59
4TH & 1
OWN 13
0
99.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 46 yds, downed at the SJSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:061% → 0%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
99.5%
WOODS, Natano pass to the right incomplete intended for HAMILTON, Isaiah thrown to the WMU12; QB hurried by HOLLEY, Ralph. PENALTY SJS Holding enforced 10 yards from the SJS41 to the SJS31. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+2
99.5%
Natano Woods pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 2 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 18
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Natano Woods pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 18
OWN 33
-5
99.6%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Natano Woods) to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 23
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Natano Woods pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 23
OWN 28
+17
99.6%
Kenyon Sims run for 17 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:52
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 37 yds for a TD (Parker Sampson KICK)
+12.1
TD · Q1 0:28
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker Sampson KICK)
+5.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 9:19
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com