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MUR

Murray State 10 at Bowling Green 27

BGSU
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadMUR aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreMUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:12 · pass incomplete to Malik Honeycutt
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 153Home team on offense+25.3Garbage-time factor+6.8Score differential+10.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.4Pregame prior−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:47: Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK) — MUR win probability +9.3 pts (now 52%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:55: Damonta Witherspoon run for 6 yds for a TD (Aaron Baum KICK) — MUR win probability +19.4 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 9:25: Matt McDonald run for 1 yd for a TD (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +10.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 0:11: Nate Needham 36 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +13.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:05: Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith for 5 yds for a TD — BGSU win probability +8.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 0:00MUR 4th & 7 at MUR 28, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:24BGSU 4th & 11 at MUR 49, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:24MUR 4th & 13 at BGSU 45, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    48.4%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:03BGSU 4th & 7 at MUR 25, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−3.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:46MUR 4th & 5 at BGSU 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    41.9%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:12BGSU 4th & 23 at BGSU 12, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−4.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:11MUR 4th & 13 at MUR 37, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−3.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:38MUR 4th & 2 at BGSU 49, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:11BGSU 4th & 12 at MUR 18, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−3.6
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    60.3%−13.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:39MUR 4th & 13 at MUR 34, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−3.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:18BGSU 4th & 13 at BGSU 39, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:12MUR 4th & 1 at BGSU 16, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.9
    81% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2MUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:47BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    46.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:55MUR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:05BGSU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MURDrive 1INT
12 plays · -3 yds · 13:3954% → 52%
Q1 13:39
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
45.9%
Preston Rice pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
48.1%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the MurrS 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
48.0%
LaMartez Brooks run for a loss of 5 yards to the MurrS 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 29 yds · 11:4748% → 55%
Q1 11:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
47.7%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
55.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 6 yds to the MurrS 23Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+6
55.1%
Terion Stewart run for 6 yds to the MurrS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
55.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith for 10 yds to the MurrS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
55.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the MurrS 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.6%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 5 yds to the MurrS 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
52.2%
Preston Rice pass complete to Damonta WitherspoonSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-2
52.8%
Preston Rice sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 28Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+33
53.6%
Louis Halton punt for 38 yds MURRAY ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 7:2449% → 54%
Q1 7:24
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
49.2%
Matt Naranjo punt for 37 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
54.4%
pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
54.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 1 yd to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+12
53.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 12 yds to the MurrS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
55.0%
Nick Mosley run for 5 yds to the MurrS 43Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-6
55.0%
Matt McDonald sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the MurrS 49Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
53.7%
pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:2448% → 48%
Q1 3:24
4TH & 13
OPP 45
0
51.8%
Louis Halton punt for 40 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
52.8%
Rodney Castille run for 12 yds to the MurrS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
52.6%
Rodney Castille run for 2 yds to the MurrS 26Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+5
52.6%
Rodney Castille run for 5 yds to the MurrS 31Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+17
52.6%
Preston Rice pass incomplete to Jacob Bell, broken up by Devin Taylor BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Devin Taylor) to the MurrS 48Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
51.2%
Rodney Castille run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+5
50.9%
Rodney Castille run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
51.0%
Preston Rice pass incomplete to Jacob Bell, broken up by Davon FergusonSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-3
51.1%
Cortezz Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 45
0
52.5%
Preston Rice pass incomplete to Jacob Bell, broken up by Davon FergusonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 15:0054% → 70%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
53.5%
Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+10
53.4%
Matt McDonald run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
53.6%
pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-5
53.5%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Jaylen Smith) to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 10
0
53.5%
pass incomplete to Austin OsborneSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+17
52.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 17 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
53.8%
Taron Keith run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
54.7%
Nick Mosley run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
-1
54.9%
Nick Mosley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+43
57.5%
Nate Needham 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+6
69.0%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 6 yds to the MurrS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
70.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 19 yds to the MurrS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
71.0%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 1 yd to the MurrS 27Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+3
71.0%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the MurrS 24Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 24
-1
69.8%
Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:5550% → 49%
Q2 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
50.4%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 6 yds for a TD (Aaron Baum KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
57.0%
Jayden Stinson pass incomplete to LaMartez Brooks, broken up by Davon Ferguson for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Davon Ferguson) to the MurrS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
55.2%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 9 yds to the MurrS 49Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
52.9%
pass incomplete to Jacob BellSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+6
53.4%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
52.8%
Preston Rice run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+1
52.9%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+23
53.2%
Preston Rice pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for 23 yds to the BwGrn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
51.2%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+2
51.2%
Cortezz Jones run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+1
52.3%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
51.2%
Preston Rice run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8INT
3 plays · 16 yds · 5:3157% → 59%
Q2 5:31
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
56.9%
Matt McDonald pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
57.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 13 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
58.7%
Nick Mosley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 9FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:4648% → 50%
Q2 1:46
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+47
52.3%
Aaron Baum 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
52.1%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive holding (Blaine Spires) to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
50.8%
Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
51.2%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+9
51.5%
Preston Rice run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
49.6%
Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+4
49.6%
Preston Rice pass complete to Jake Saathoff for 4 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
50.4%
Preston Rice pass incomplete to Jake Saathoff, broken up by Darren AndersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 1:3355% → 56%
Q2 1:33
2ND & 16
OWN 19
-5
54.8%
Matt McDonald run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 21
OWN 14
-2
53.7%
Terion Stewart run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+9
53.1%
Matt Naranjo punt for 41 yds , LaMartez Brooks returns for 9 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
55.9%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding (Malone VanGorder) to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+4
55.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3247% → 47%
Q2 0:32
2ND & 31
OPP 47
+9
52.6%
DJ Williams run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+18
50.8%
Preston Rice pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for 18 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
49.2%
Preston Rice pass incomplete to Malik Honeycutt MURRAY ST Penalty, Offensive holding (DJ Jones) to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 20
OPP 36
-11
51.8%
Preston Rice sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 22
OPP 38
-15
53.2%
MURRAY ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Oistin Jones) to the MurrS 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 13:5558% → 78%
Q3 13:55
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-5
58.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith BOWLING GREEN Penalty, illegal shift (Jordan Anderson) to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.2%
Matt McDonald run for 1 yd for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
74.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 10 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
76.6%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+8
74.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 8 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+26
76.0%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 26 yds to the MurrS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
78.2%
Jhaylin Embry run for 16 yds to the MurrS 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
78.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 5 yds to the MurrS 9Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 9
0
78.2%
Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+5
76.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 5 yds to the MurrS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
78.2%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the MurrS 1Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
78.2%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 8:1134% → 31%
Q3 8:11
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
65.9%
Louis Halton punt for 26 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
67.3%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Devin Taylor) to the MurrS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
64.9%
Damonta Witherspoon run for a loss of 4 yards to the MurrS 36 MURRAY ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Jacob Frye) to the MurrS 36Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+1
67.5%
Preston Rice pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for 1 yd to the MurrS 37Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 37
0
68.6%
pass incomplete to Malik HoneycuttSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -22 yds · 6:0465% → 73%
Q3 6:04
4TH & 32
OWN 15
0
65.0%
Matt Naranjo punt for 42 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
75.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, illegal shift (Jordan Anderson) to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 20
OWN 27
0
74.2%
pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 20
OWN 27
-13
73.0%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (Cade Zimmerly) to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 33
OWN 14
+1
73.0%
Matt McDonald run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 4:3837% → 33%
Q3 4:38
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
63.3%
Louis Halton punt for 27 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
64.9%
Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
65.6%
pass incomplete to Jake SaathoffSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+8
67.0%
Preston Rice pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for 8 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 0:1180% → 82%
Q3 0:11
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+36
80.0%
Nate Needham 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
80.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 11 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
81.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Levi Gazarek for 9 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+4
82.5%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
82.5%
Matt McDonald run for 5 yds to the MurrS 49Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+33
82.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 33 yds to the MurrS 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
82.9%
Jaison Patterson run for 7 yds to the MurrS 9Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 9
-1
82.9%
Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 10Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 10
-8
82.0%
Matt McDonald sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the MurrS 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 17Uncategorized
9 plays · 7 yds · 15:0020% → 7%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
79.8%
Rodney Castille run for a loss of 3 yards to the MurrS 23Similar
Q4 12:39
4TH & 13
OWN 34
+11
85.0%
Louis Halton punt for 47 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 11 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+10
94.0%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive holding (Brock Horne) to the MurrS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
93.5%
Rodney Castille run for 2 yds to the MurrS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
93.5%
DJ Williams run for 2 yds to the MurrS 39Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
93.0%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
93.7%
Preston Rice pass incomplete to LaMartez Brooks, broken up by Sy DabneySimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 39
-5
94.7%
MURRAY ST Penalty, false start (Dylan Appleton) to the MurrS 34Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+8
92.8%
pass complete to Damonta Witherspoon to for 8 yds to the MurrS 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 9:1687% → 99%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
87.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 5 yds to the MurrS 17Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith for 5 yds for a TDSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+3
98.4%
Nick Mosley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
98.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 8 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+6
98.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the MurrS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
98.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 3 yds to the MurrS 42Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+20
98.4%
Nick Mosley run for 20 yds to the MurrS 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+7
98.5%
Jaison Patterson run for 7 yds to the MurrS 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
98.5%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the MurrS 7Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
98.5%
Matt McDonald run for 2 yds to the MurrS 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 19INT
5 plays · 33 yds · 5:585% → 3%
Q4 5:58
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
94.8%
Preston Rice pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
97.3%
Preston Rice pass complete to Jake Saathoff for 6 yds to the MurrS 29Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
97.0%
pass incomplete to Malik HoneycuttSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+27
97.1%
Preston Rice pass complete to Malik Honeycutt for 12 yds to the BwGrn 41 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Devin Taylor) to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.1%
pass incomplete to Rodney CastilleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 5:5297% → 98%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
96.7%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+12
96.7%
Nick Mosley run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
97.1%
Similar
Q4 3:18
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
97.3%
Matt Naranjo punt for 49 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
98.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 13 for a 1ST down MURRAY ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Darnel Victor) to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
98.4%
Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 43
-4
98.3%
Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 72 yds · 1:123% → 3%
Q4 1:12
4TH & 1
OPP 16
0
96.6%
pass incomplete to Malik HoneycuttSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-7
97.3%
Preston Rice sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the MurrS 5Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 5
+16
97.5%
Preston Rice pass complete to Jacob Bell for 16 yds to the MurrS 21Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+5
97.2%
Preston Rice pass complete to Cole McDowell for 5 yds to the MurrS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+24
97.2%
Preston Rice pass complete to Malik Honeycutt for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+10
97.2%
Preston Rice pass complete to Cole McDowell for 10 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
97.0%
Preston Rice pass incomplete to Malik Honeycutt for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Elijah Eberhardt) to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
96.2%
Preston Rice run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
96.2%
Preston Rice pass incomplete to LaMartez Brooks, broken up by Victor VazquezSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+5
96.8%
Preston Rice pass complete to DJ Ruff for 5 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:55
Damonta Witherspoon run for 6 yds for a TD (Aaron Baum KICK)
-19.4
FG · Q3 0:11
Nate Needham 36 yd FG GOOD
+13
TD · Q3 9:25
Matt McDonald run for 1 yd for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)
+10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com