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BALL

Ball State 12 at Wyoming 45

WYO
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:33 · Ralph Fawaz punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Justin Hall at the BalSt 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Home team on offense+31.5Score differential+25.0Pregame prior+6.9Blowout margin+9.7Garbage-time factor+11.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:46: Keyon Blankenbaker 50 Yd Interception Return (John Hoyland Kick) — WYO win probability +1.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:55: Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 1 yd for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +7.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:51: Dawaiian McNeely run for 16 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +6.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:17: Sean Chambers run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +4.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:04: Xazavian Valladay 1 Yd Run (John Hoyland Kick) — WYO win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7BALL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 14:01BALL 4th & 3 at BALL 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:41WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:27BALL 4th & 6 at BALL 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:42WYO 4th & 7 at BALL 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:09BALL 4th & 7 at midfield, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:35BALL 4th & 11 at BALL 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−1.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:52WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 20, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:39BALL 4th & 4 at WYO 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    16.9%−1.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    15.7%−2.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:39WYO 4th & 18 at WYO 42, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:20BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 10, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:33WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 42, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:04WYO 4th & 1 at BALL 1, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:44WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 28, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:54BALL 4th & 14 at BALL 45, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6BALL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:46WYO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:55WYO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:51WYO Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:17WYO Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:59BALL Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:04WYO Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:21BALL Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.6%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:35WYO Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5932% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
68.5%
Justin Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
68.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
68.5%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:01
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
68.4%
Nathan Snyder punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ayden Eberhardt at the Wyom 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:2068% → 68%
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
68.4%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 12 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
68.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+7
68.4%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 7 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
68.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Wyom 47Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
68.2%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1432% → 32%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
68.0%
Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
68.0%
Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
68.1%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
68.1%
Nathan Snyder punt for 36 yds, downed at the Wyom 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:4568% → 68%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
68.2%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 9 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+4
68.4%
Titus Swen run for 4 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+37
68.4%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 37 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
68.5%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
68.5%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the BalSt 7Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
68.4%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
68.4%
John Hoyland 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5INT TD
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:5632% → 31%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.4%
Drew Plitt sacked by Cole Godbout and Ravontae Holt for 0 yards to the BalSt 23Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
68.4%
Drew Plitt sacked by Ravontae Holt for 0 yards to the BalSt 21Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+19
68.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 19 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
67.9%
Carson Steele run for 8 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-50
69.3%
Keyon Blankenbaker 50 Yd Interception Return (John Hoyland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:3730% → 29%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
70.1%
Drew Plitt run for 10 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
69.9%
Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+10
69.8%
Will Jones run for 10 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
69.5%
Drew Plitt sacked by Solomon Byrd for 0 yards to the BalSt 45Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+5
69.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 7
50
0
69.6%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 7
50
0
71.1%
Nathan Snyder punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:1472% → 80%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
71.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+15
71.7%
Titus Swen run for 15 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
72.2%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
71.9%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Colin O'Brien for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
50
+33
72.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 33 yds to the BalSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
72.5%
Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the BalSt 10Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+9
73.1%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 9 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.3%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 1 yd for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 3:2021% → 19%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.1%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
78.9%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
78.7%
Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
78.8%
Drew Plitt sacked by Ravontae Holt for 0 yards to the BalSt 26Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+6
79.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 6 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+3
79.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 3 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q2 11:35
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
81.2%
Nathan Snyder punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Ayden Eberhardt at the Wyom 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4383% → 83%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
82.5%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+3
82.5%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
82.2%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 5
OWN 20
+17
82.7%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 50 yds , Justin Hall returns for 17 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:1319% → 18%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
81.0%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
80.9%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+10
80.8%
Drew Plitt run for 10 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
80.7%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
80.8%
Donny Marcus run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+3
80.8%
Drew Plitt run for 3 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 4
OPP 32
0
81.9%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:4885% → 92%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
84.7%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
84.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+35
84.3%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 35 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
85.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+15
85.1%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Trey Smith for 15 yds to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
92.0%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 16 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12FUMBLE
8 plays · 6 yds · 3:0910% → 9%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.5%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
90.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 6 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
90.1%
Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
90.1%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+10
90.0%
Justin Hall run for 10 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
89.9%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the BalSt 49Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
90.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jordan Williams for 4 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
91.3%
Drew Plitt sacked for 0 yards to the BalSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13TD
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:2594% → 98%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+20
93.7%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 20 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
93.8%
Sean Chambers run for 7 yds to the BalSt 4Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 3
OPP 4
0
93.6%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+3
93.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.7%
Sean Chambers run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14MISSED FG
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:063% → 3%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
97.2%
BALL ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Clayton Coll) to the Wyom 31Similar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+9
97.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 9 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+40
97.1%
Jake Chanove 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 4:2198% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
98.0%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 6 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
97.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
98.0%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Parker Christensen for 9 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+6
97.9%
Titus Swen run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
98.1%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
50
-2
98.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 48
0
98.1%
Sean Chambers sacked by Tavion Woodard for 0 yards to the Wyom 42Similar
Q3 10:39
4TH & 18
OWN 42
0
98.8%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:191% → 1%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
99.0%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the BalSt 10Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 7
OWN 10
0
99.0%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the BalSt 10Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 7
OWN 10
0
99.0%
John Paddock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 7
OWN 10
0
99.1%
Nathan Snyder punt for 53 yds , Ayden Eberhardt returns for no gain to the Wyom 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4799% → 99%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.2%
Titus Swen run for no gain to the Wyom 37Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.2%
Ayden Eberhardt run for 2 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+3
99.2%
Sean Chambers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
99.4%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Justin Hall at the BalSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18TD
16 plays · 87 yds · 5:341% → 2%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
99.3%
John Paddock pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 7 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+2
99.3%
John Paddock pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 2 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+3
99.3%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.3%
John Paddock pass complete to Chevy Brenson for 9 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.2%
Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.2%
Donny Marcus run for no gain to the BalSt 36Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.2%
John Paddock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+22
99.3%
John Paddock pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 22 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.2%
John Paddock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+11
99.2%
Carson Steele run for 11 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
99.1%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
99.1%
John Paddock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+15
99.1%
PADDOCK, John pass to the left incomplete intended for JACKSON, Jayshon thrown to the WYO3. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the WYO11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
99.1%
Will Jones run for 10 yds to the Wyom 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.2%
John Paddock run for no gain to the Wyom 1Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.1%
Will Jones 1 Yd Run (Jacob Lewis PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19DOWNS
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:5599% → 100%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.9%
WYOMING Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Wyom 20Similar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+8
98.9%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 8 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
99.0%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the Wyom 23Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+15
98.9%
BALL ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Brett Anderson II) to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+6
99.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
99.2%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Colin O'Brien for 17 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
99.2%
Sean Chambers run for 9 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+15
99.2%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 15 yds to the BalSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
99.2%
Sean Chambers run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 9 fumbled, recovered by Wyom Sean ChambersSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.2%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
99.2%
Sean Chambers run for 8 yds to the BalSt 1Similar
Q4 11:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Xazavian Valladay 1 Yd Run (John Hoyland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:430% → 0%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
John Paddock pass complete to Jordan Williams for 1 yd to the BalSt 26Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
99.9%
PADDOCK, John pass to the right incomplete intended for TYLER, Yo'Heinz thrown to the BSU37. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the BSU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.8%
John Paddock pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 4 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+11
99.8%
Will Jones run for 11 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
99.8%
John Paddock pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 9 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 1
OPP 35
0
99.8%
John Paddock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+13
99.8%
Carson Steele run for 13 yds to the Wyom 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
99.8%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the Wyom 19Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+19
99.8%
Carson Steele 19 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.7%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 28Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:44
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+9
99.7%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 41 yds , Justin Hall returns for 9 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-45
99.9%
Chad Muma 45 Yd Interception Return (John Hoyland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 3:410% → 0%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
John Paddock pass complete to Isaiah Dunnuck for no gain to the BalSt 25Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
John Paddock pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 6 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
99.9%
John Paddock pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 7 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
John Paddock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.9%
John Paddock pass complete to Dean Tate for 4 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+7
99.9%
John Paddock pass complete to Justin Hall for 7 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
John Paddock pass complete to Jalen McGaughy for 4 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+1
99.9%
Donny Marcus run for 1 yd to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
99.9%
John Paddock sacked by Easton Gibbs for 0 yards to the BalSt 45Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 14
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Nathan Snyder punt for 41 yds, downed at the Wyom 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:54100% → 100%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
99.9%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 6 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 3 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+9
99.9%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 9 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Jeremy Hollingsworth run for 2 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+5
100.0%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 5 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:55
Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 1 yd for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)
+7.2
TD · Q2 3:51
Dawaiian McNeely run for 16 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)
+6.8
TD · Q2 0:17
Sean Chambers run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com