Try the model
RMU

Robert Morris 0 at Central Michigan 45

CMU
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadRMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreRMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:01 · Tyler Pape pass complete to Ke'Andre Collins for 7 yds to the RbtMr 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior+4.7Home team on offense+34.4Score differential+21.1Blowout margin+13.0Garbage-time factor+14.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:00: — RMU win probability +1.0 pts (now 3%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:06: Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Hunter Buczkowski for 3 yds for a TD — CMU win probability +3.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:49: Jacob Sirmon pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 24 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK) — CMU win probability +1.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:37: Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 16 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK) — CMU win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:38: Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 6 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK) — CMU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7RMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 8:26CMU 4th & 1 at RMU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:41RMU 4th & 3 at CMU 49, down 6
    Close callPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:06CMU 4th & 2 at RMU 4, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.6%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:30RMU 4th & 8 at RMU 6, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00CMU 4th & 2 at RMU 23, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%−0.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:32RMU 4th & 6 at RMU 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:14RMU 4th & 9 at RMU 26, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:10RMU 4th & 5 at CMU 45, down 25
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:32RMU 4th & 3 at CMU 44, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:26CMU 4th & 15 at RMU 47, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:13RMU 4th & 2 at RMU 13, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:57CMU 4th & 5 at RMU 29, up 25
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:49RMU 4th & 6 at RMU 29, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:21CMU 4th & 9 at RMU 9, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:40RMU 4th & 2 at RMU 38, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:01CMU 4th & 10 at RMU 37, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:01RMU 4th & 9 at RMU 31, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:26CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:06CMU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:49CMU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:37CMU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 9 yds · 2:0098% → 98%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.3%
Quamir Jenkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the RbtMr 24Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
98.3%
Jaylon Brown run for 3 yds to the RbtMr 27Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
98.2%
Quamir Jenkins run for 7 yds to the RbtMr 34Similar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.1%
George Souders III punt for 8 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 42 yds · 12:4098% → 97%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
98.1%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 11 yds to the RbtMr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
98.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the RbtMr 29Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
98.0%
pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+8
98.0%
Lew Nichols III run for 8 yds to the RbtMr 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
97.9%
Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to JaCorey Sullivan, broken up by Sydney AudigerSimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
97.9%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 2 yds to the RbtMr 19Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+13
97.8%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Darius Bracy for 13 yds to the RbtMr 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
97.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the RbtMr 2Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the RbtMr 1Similar
Q1 8:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.7%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 4:413% → 4%
Q1 4:41
4TH & 3
OPP 49
+4
97.2%
George Souders III punt for 21 yds , Kalil Pimpleton returns for 4 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.4%
Quamir Jenkins run for 6 yds to the RbtMr 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
96.3%
Quamir Jenkins run for 1 yd to the RbtMr 32Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
96.4%
George Martin pass complete to Bryce Bevins for 12 yds to the RbtMr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
96.3%
Amir Jordan run for 2 yds to the RbtMr 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+4
96.3%
Amir Jordan run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
50
+1
96.2%
George Martin pass complete to Sam English for 1 yd to the CMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4DOWNS
10 plays · 64 yds · 0:0697% → 97%
Q1 0:06
4TH & 2
OPP 4
0
96.6%
Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.6%
pass incomplete to Dallas DixonSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+16
96.6%
Darius Bracy run for 16 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
96.7%
Myles Bailey run for 5 yds to the RbtMr 47Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+2
96.8%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 2 yds to the RbtMr 45Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+10
96.7%
Darius Bracy run for 10 yds to the RbtMr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+23
96.8%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 23 yds to the RbtMr 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-4
96.8%
Jacob Sirmon sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the RbtMr 16Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 16
+2
96.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the RbtMr 14Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 14
+10
96.7%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 10 yds to the RbtMr 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 15:004% → 7%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
96.5%
Amir Jordan run for 2 yds to the RbtMr 6Similar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 8
OWN 6
+17
96.4%
George Souders III punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the RbtMr 41 , Kalil Pimpleton returns for 17 yds to the RbtMr 23 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive holding (Rolliann Sturkey) to the RbtMr 41Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 6
-2
93.0%
Amir Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the RbtMr 4Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 4
+2
93.3%
Amir Jordan run for 2 yds to the RbtMr 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 41 yds · 8:0697% → 97%
Q2 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.1%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Hunter Buczkowski for 3 yds for a TDSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
96.7%
Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+10
96.6%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Remi Simmons for 10 yds to the RbtMr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
96.7%
Jacob Sirmon run for a loss of 1 yard to the RbtMr 32Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+6
96.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 6 yds to the RbtMr 26Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+3
96.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the RbtMr 23Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+4
96.3%
Jacob Sirmon run for 4 yds to the RbtMr 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
96.7%
Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the RbtMr 17Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+9
96.7%
Myles Bailey run for 9 yds to the RbtMr 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
96.7%
Darius Bracy run for 5 yds to the RbtMr 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 6:323% → 4%
Q2 6:32
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+18
96.7%
George Souders III punt for 46 yds , Kalil Pimpleton returns for 18 yds to the RbtMr 47 ROBERT MORRIS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jacob Wilson) to the RbtMr 42Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.9%
Quamir Jenkins run for 2 yds to the RbtMr 27Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
95.8%
George Martin pass complete to Quamir Jenkins for 2 yds to the RbtMr 29Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
95.9%
George Martin pass incomplete to Sam English, broken up by Alonzo McCoySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 4:4998% → 98%
Q2 4:49
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+24
97.8%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 24 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
98.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 14 yds to the RbtMr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
98.4%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 2 yds to the RbtMr 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+2
98.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the RbtMr 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 3:142% → 3%
Q2 3:14
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+8
97.6%
George Souders III punt for 54 yds , Kalil Pimpleton returns for 8 yds to the CMich 34 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (Trey Jones) to the CMich 14Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.3%
Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the RbtMr 24Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-5
97.4%
George Martin pass complete to Jordan Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the RbtMr 19Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+7
97.4%
Jordan Johnson run for 7 yds to the RbtMr 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 1:3799% → 99%
Q2 1:37
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+16
98.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 16 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+29
99.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Remi Simmons for 29 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.2%
Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+38
99.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 38 yds to the RbtMr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.2%
pass incomplete to Dallas DixonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
99.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to JaCorey Sullivan, broken up by Tavin HarvilleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:102% → 1%
Q2 0:10
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
98.4%
George Souders III punt for 45 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
98.8%
Quamir Jenkins run for 3 yds to the CMich 47Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
98.7%
Quamir Jenkins run for 2 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
98.7%
pass incomplete to Jackson MayerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.1%
Marion Lukes run for 5 yds to the RbtMr 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 11:3899% → 100%
Q3 11:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.3%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 6 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+20
99.6%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Marion Lukes for 20 yds to the RbtMr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
99.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the RbtMr 47Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+22
99.7%
Jacob Sirmon run for 7 yds to the RbtMr 40 for a 1ST down ROBERT MORRIS Penalty, personal foul (Tyren Cloyd) to the RbtMr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.7%
Darius Bracy run for 1 yd to the RbtMr 24Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+15
99.7%
Jacob Sirmon run for 15 yds to the RbtMr 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the RbtMr 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 31 yds · 9:321% → 1%
Q3 9:32
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
99.2%
George Souders III punt for 44 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
99.5%
Jaylon Brown run for 24 yds to the RbtMr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.5%
Amir Jordan run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
50
0
99.5%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
50
+6
99.5%
Jordan Johnson run for 6 yds to the CMich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 5:2699% → 100%
Q3 5:26
4TH & 15
OPP 47
0
99.4%
Luke Elzinga punt for 42 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.6%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Marion Lukes for 5 yds to the CMich 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
99.6%
Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
99.6%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 13 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.7%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 4 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+9
99.7%
Myles Bailey run for 9 yds to the RbtMr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.7%
Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Kenny Brewer III, broken up by Matthew LarksSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the RbtMr 39Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 39
-8
99.6%
Jacob Sirmon sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the RbtMr 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 3:131% → 1%
Q3 3:13
4TH & 2
OWN 13
0
99.4%
George Souders III punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
99.5%
Amir Jordan run for 3 yds to the RbtMr 8Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+2
99.5%
Amir Jordan run for 2 yds to the RbtMr 10Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 10
+3
99.5%
George Martin pass complete to Jaylon Brown for 3 yds to the RbtMr 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.6%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 20 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
99.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 15 yds to the RbtMr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
99.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 6 yds to the RbtMr 28Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+8
99.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 8 yds to the RbtMr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:03100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.7%
Myles Bailey run for 4 yds to the RbtMr 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+3
99.7%
Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the RbtMr 27Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 27
-2
99.7%
Daniel Richardson run for a loss of 2 yards to the RbtMr 29 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) to the RbtMr 29Similar
Q4 14:57
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+46
99.6%
Marshall Meeder 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 12:490% → 0%
Q4 12:49
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.6%
George Souders III punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.8%
George Martin run for a loss of 3 yards to the RbtMr 22Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
99.7%
Sam English run for 5 yds to the RbtMr 27Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.8%
Quamir Jenkins run for 2 yds to the RbtMr 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 9:21100% → 100%
Q4 9:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+28
99.7%
Marshall Meeder 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Levar GummsSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+17
99.9%
De'Javion Stepney run for 17 yds to the RbtMr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+30
99.9%
De'Javion Stepney run for 30 yds to the RbtMr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
99.9%
De'Javion Stepney run for 11 yds to the RbtMr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
99.9%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (Brayden Swartout) to the RbtMr 12Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Keegan CossouSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+1
99.9%
De'Javion Stepney run for 1 yd to the RbtMr 11Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+2
99.9%
Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the RbtMr 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 6:400% → 0%
Q4 6:40
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
99.7%
George Souders III punt for 31 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.8%
Jaylon Brown run for 10 yds to the RbtMr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.8%
Quamir Jenkins run for 5 yds to the RbtMr 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+3
99.8%
Quamir Jenkins run for 3 yds to the RbtMr 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:01100% → 100%
Q4 3:01
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+7
99.8%
Tyler Pape pass complete to Ke'Andre Collins for 7 yds to the RbtMr 30Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
De'Javion Stepney run for 4 yds to the CMich 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
De'Javion Stepney run for 4 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+24
99.9%
De'Javion Stepney run for 9 yds to the RbtMr 48 ROBERT MORRIS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (William Barber) to the RbtMr 37Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.9%
Jake Tafelski run for 5 yds to the RbtMr 32Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-5
99.9%
Ke'Andre Collins run for a loss of 5 yards to the RbtMr 37Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.9%
Tyler Pape pass complete to Jake Tafelski for 5 yds to the RbtMr 32Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 32
-5
99.9%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (Aarion Harvey) to the RbtMr 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:010% → 0%
Q4 1:01
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
99.8%
George Souders III punt for 26 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.8%
Quamir Jenkins run for 1 yd to the RbtMr 31Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24Uncategorized
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
De'Javion Stepney run for 5 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:06
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Hunter Buczkowski for 3 yds for a TD
+3.9
TD · Q2 4:49
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 24 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 1:37
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 16 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com