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WYO

Wyoming 50 at Northern Illinois 43

NIU
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 13 yds to the Wyom 1 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 105Home team on offense−15.3Pregame prior−11.1Score differential−10.3Garbage-time factor−4.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:50: Isaiah Neyor run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +12.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:48: Harrison Waylee run for 75 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +11.5 pts (now 16%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:35: Harrison Waylee run for 14 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +30.2 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 4:56: Clint Ratkovich run for 3 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +34.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:35: Sean Chambers 9 Yd Run (Sean Chambers Pass to Isaiah Neyor for Two-Point Conversion) — WYO win probability +42.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WYO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:48NIU 4th & 21 at NIU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:57WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:11NIU 4th & 3 at WYO 28, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.4%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−3.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:15WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00NIU 4th & 29 at NIU 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−3.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00NIU 4th & 4 at WYO 14, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    18.2%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−5.4
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:18WYO 4th & 1 at NIU 10, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.1%−1.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:58WYO 4th & 25 at WYO 10, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−5.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 0:53NIU 4th & 10 at WYO 46, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%
    23% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6WYO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:16WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:27WYO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:21WYO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:18NIU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:12WYO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:31NIU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    23.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:50WYO Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:34NIU Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    6.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:48NIU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.8%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:35NIU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 4:56NIU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−1.9
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 1:35WYO Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    79.6%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    80.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:4471% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
29.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+24
29.1%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 24 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
29.1%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Treyton WelchSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
29.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+7
29.1%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Alex Brown for 7 yds to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
29.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+7
29.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+7
29.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
29.1%
Titus Swen run for 22 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:2330% → 30%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
29.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the NoIll 15Similar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
29.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the NoIll 15Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 16
OWN 15
0
29.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 16
OWN 15
-5
29.4%
Rocky Lombardi sacked by Victor Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 10Similar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 21
OWN 10
0
29.5%
Matt Ference punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:2171% → 73%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
50
+6
29.3%
Titus Swen run for 6 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
50
+6
29.3%
Titus Swen run for 6 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+11
29.3%
Titus Swen run for 11 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
27.1%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 33 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4INT
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:1028% → 28%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
27.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+21
27.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Messiah Travis for 21 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
28.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
28.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+14
28.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 14 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
28.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Liam Soraghan for 7 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+2
28.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 2 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+1
28.3%
Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
28.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:1574% → 74%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
26.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
26.2%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Treyton WelchSimilar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+10
26.4%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 10 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
26.2%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Alex BrownSimilar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
26.2%
Titus Swen run for no gain to the Wyom 48Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
26.4%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah NeyorSimilar
Q1 2:57
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
26.1%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:4626% → 29%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
26.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Harrison WayleeSimilar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
26.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+18
26.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 18 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
27.1%
Rocky Lombardi run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 8
50
+15
27.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 15 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
27.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
27.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Fabian McCray for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+2
27.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 2 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q1 0:11
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+46
28.6%
John Richardson 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:4572% → 73%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
28.3%
Isaiah Neyor run for 8 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
28.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
27.7%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 5 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
27.7%
WYOMING Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
27.9%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Ayden EberhardtSimilar
Q2 13:15
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
27.4%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:4228% → 27%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
27.7%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NoIll 14Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
27.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
27.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9TD
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:1274% → 82%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
26.3%
Chambers,Sean pass incomplete to Eberhardt,Ayden PENALTY NIU Pass Interference (Rogers,Eric) 15 yards from NIU22 to NIU07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
18.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0322% → 29%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
21.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
21.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 30Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
21.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Harrison Waylee for 6 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
21.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 9 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-1
22.5%
Rocky Lombardi sacked by Cole Godbout for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 44Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+52
22.3%
Clint Ratkovich run for 52 yds to the Wyom 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
22.1%
Clint Ratkovich run for 3 yds to the Wyom 1Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.4%
Clint Ratkovich run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:0673% → 84%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
26.9%
Sean Chambers run for 8 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+2
26.3%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
26.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 12 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
26.2%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah NeyorSimilar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
26.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+7
25.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
24.8%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 9 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
24.8%
Trey Smith run for no gain to the NoIll 22Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+3
24.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
14.1%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 19 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
16.0%
PENALTY NIU Personal Foul (Kennedy,Michael) 15 yards from WYO35 to WYO50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 6 yds · 3:1219% → 16%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
18.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
50
+1
20.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the Wyom 49Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-5
20.2%
PENALTY NIU False Start (Rudolph,Trayvon) 5 yards from WYO49 to NIU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+7
19.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 7 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 21
OWN 39
-10
18.6%
Lombardi,Rocky rush for 13 yards gain to the WYO48 (Weber,Rome) PENALTY NIU Holding (Cox,Marques) 10 yards from NIU39 to NIU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 31
OWN 29
+2
16.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 29
OWN 31
0
15.6%
Matt Ference punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:2915% → 25%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
15.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
15.4%
PENALTY WYO Offside (Holt,Ravontae) 5 yards from NIU29 to NIU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
15.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
16.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+9
16.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 9 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
16.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+27
16.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 27 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
17.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Harrison WayleeSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
17.2%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the Wyom 20Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+6
16.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 6 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+13
16.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 13 yds to the Wyom 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.1%
Clint Ratkovich run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:4180% → 94%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
20.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wyom 36Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+9
20.3%
Sean Chambers run for 9 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
19.3%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 2 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+2
19.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+6
19.5%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 6 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+40
19.1%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 40 yds to the NoIll 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
18.6%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Joshua CobbsSimilar
Q3 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
6.5%
Isaiah Neyor run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15INT TD
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4712% → 2%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
11.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
12.0%
PENALTY NIU False Start (Richie,Tyrice) 5 yards from NIU29 to NIU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
1.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass intercepted for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:232% → 9%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
1.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 13 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
1.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+9
1.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 9 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
8.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 40 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 34 yds · 5:1596% → 97%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
4.1%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the NoIll 49Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+9
4.1%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 9 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+8
4.0%
Titus Swen run for 8 yds to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
4.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+4
3.9%
Sean Chambers run for 4 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+6
4.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
3.9%
Trey Smith run for 2 yds to the NoIll 17Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+4
3.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the NoIll 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+3
3.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the NoIll 10Similar
Q4 14:18
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+4
3.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the NoIll 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 86 yds · 1:304% → 16%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
4.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 7 yds to the NoIll 21Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+1
4.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 22Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+3
4.0%
Rocky Lombardi run for 3 yds to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
15.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 75 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · -11 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
9.5%
Sean Chambers run for 11 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
9.5%
Sean Chambers run for 11 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20TD
1 play · 14 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
39.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 14 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -15 yds · 2:3775% → 74%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
25.1%
Sean Chambers run for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
25.9%
PENALTY WYO False Start 5 yards from WYO25 to WYO20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
26.2%
Joshua Cobbs run for no gain to the Wyom 20Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-10
27.1%
Sean Chambers sacked by Devonte O'Malley for a loss of 10 yards to the Wyom 10 Sean Chambers fumbled, recovered by Wyom Sean Chambers , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
26.3%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the Wyom 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22TD
12 plays · 45 yds · 5:0236% → 65%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
35.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+5
34.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+12
34.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 12 yds to the Wyom 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
37.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the Wyom 28Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+6
37.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+4
33.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Mohamed Toure for 4 yds to the Wyom 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
36.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the Wyom 10Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+4
36.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the Wyom 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
36.7%
Clint Ratkovich run for 3 yds to the Wyom 3Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
71.4%
Clint Ratkovich run for 3 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
64.7%
PENALTY WYO Personal Foul 15 yards from NIU35 to NIU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:2141% → 92%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.6%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah NeyorSimilar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
58.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 18 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
54.1%
Titus Swen run for 8 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+4
52.5%
Trey Smith run for 4 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
52.6%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 10 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
50.8%
Trey Smith run for 1 yd to the NoIll 34Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+30
50.8%
pass incomplete for a 1ST down to Isaiah Neyor for 30 yds to the NoIll 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
50.5%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah NeyorSimilar
Q4 4:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
50.5%
PENALTY WYO Illegal Substitution 5 yards from NIU04 to NIU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
50.5%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Ayden EberhardtSimilar
Q4 1:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
8.3%
Sean Chambers 9 Yd Run (Sean Chambers Pass to Isaiah Neyor for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:347% → 6%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
7.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Mohamed ToureSimilar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
7.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+12
6.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 12 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
8.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Harrison WayleeSimilar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
8.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
7.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
6.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:5394% → 96%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
5.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
5.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
50
+7
4.0%
Sean Chambers run for 7 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:35
Sean Chambers 9 Yd Run (Sean Chambers Pass to Isaiah Neyor for Two-Point Conversion)
-42.2
TD · Q4 4:56
Clint Ratkovich run for 3 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)
+34.7
TD · Q4 12:35
Harrison Waylee run for 14 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)
+30.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com