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USA

South Alabama 22 at Bowling Green 19

BGSU
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:38 · Matt Naranjo punt for 33 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Pregame prior−6.0Home team on offense+11.0Garbage-time factor+6.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Score differential+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:00: Kareem Walker run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 4 — BGSU win probability +10.7 pts (now 36%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:06: Diego Guajardo 41 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +7.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:16: Kareem Walker run for 1 yd for a TD — USA win probability +30.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:08: Matt McDonald pass complete to Andrew Bench for 33 yds for a TD — BGSU win probability +21.8 pts (now 53%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:39: Terrion Avery run for 13 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +26.3 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9USA made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 13:08USA 4th & 18 at USA 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:06BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:14USA 4th & 10 at USA 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:37BGSU 4th & 1 at USA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    21.2%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:50USA 4th & 2 at BGSU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    78.0%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    78.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:38BGSU 4th & 19 at BGSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−0.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:14USA 4th & 4 at BGSU 4, down 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.7%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:11BGSU 4th & 18 at USA 45, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    29.6%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:14USA 4th & 3 at USA 13, down 5
    Close callPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:01BGSU 4th & 23 at USA 40, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    37.1%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:15USA 4th & 4 at USA 48, down 5
    Close callPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:44BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 14, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−2.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:44BGSU 4th & 16 at USA 22, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−3.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−8.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:19USA 4th & 6 at USA 39, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:36BGSU 4th & 16 at BGSU 29, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−6.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:58USA 4th & 5 at USA 40, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:12USA 4th & 8 at USA 35, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−2.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:38BGSU 4th & 13 at USA 46, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−3.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    68.7%−4.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:00USA 4th & 8 at BGSU 36, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 19.5 ptsWent for it · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.4%−19.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    36.9%
    42% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−24.0
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1PUNT
14 plays · -8 yds · 13:0884% → 76%
Q1 13:08
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
16.5%
Jack Brooks punt for no gain for a SAFETYSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
23.0%
Jake Bentley sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 23Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-4
23.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 19Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-2
23.6%
Kareem Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2Uncategorized
4 plays · 0 yds · 12:0617% → 24%
Q1 12:06
4TH & 10
OWN 34
+6
16.8%
Matt Naranjo punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 15 , Caullin Lacy returns for 6 yds to the SAlab 15Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
23.3%
pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
23.9%
pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
23.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin OsborneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 11:1483% → 76%
Q1 11:14
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
17.5%
Jack Brooks punt for 23 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
23.1%
Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
23.1%
pass incomplete to Caullin Lacy SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) to the SAlab 15Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
23.6%
pass incomplete to Kareem WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 9:3719% → 25%
Q1 9:37
4TH & 1
OPP 29
0
18.5%
Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
25.0%
Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
0
25.3%
pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+2
24.8%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 32 yds · 7:5081% → 78%
Q1 7:50
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
18.9%
pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
22.9%
Kareem Walker run for 4 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+20
22.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 20 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
21.9%
pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
22.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert, broken up by Davon FergusonSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+8
22.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 8 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 5:3820% → 23%
Q1 5:38
4TH & 19
OWN 30
0
19.8%
Matt Naranjo punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 14 , Caullin Lacy returns for no gain to the SAlab 14Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
24.3%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding (Jeremiah Banks-Wall) to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+2
23.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 2 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 18
OWN 31
+4
23.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 4 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 35
0
23.2%
pass incomplete to Jaedyn McKinstrySimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 14
OWN 35
-5
22.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7TD
2 plays · 97 yds · 0:0077% → 75%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
23.1%
Terrion Avery run for 1 yd to the SAlab 15Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
25.5%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8FG
13 plays · 40 yds · 15:0075% → 64%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
25.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 6 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
24.8%
Terrion Avery run for 6 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
24.9%
pass incomplete to Allen Dailey Jr.Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
25.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 5 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+24
24.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 24 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
23.6%
Terrion Avery run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+15
23.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (Diego Neri) to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
23.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 4 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+7
23.4%
Terrion Avery run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
23.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Cade SutherlandSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
23.4%
Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
25.0%
Diego Guajardo 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
35.7%
Kareem Walker run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9Uncategorized
8 plays · 37 yds · 11:1127% → 42%
Q2 11:11
4TH & 18
OPP 45
0
27.2%
Matt Naranjo punt for 39 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 7 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
43.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 5 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+26
43.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 26 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
45.0%
Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 38Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 38
-7
44.7%
Matt McDonald sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 45 run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 45Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 18
OPP 45
0
42.1%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin Osborne, broken up by Darrell Luter Jr. BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (CJ Rias) to the SAlab 45Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 18
OPP 45
0
42.1%
pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10PUNT
3 plays · 7 yds · 9:1468% → 58%
Q2 9:14
4TH & 3
OWN 13
+12
31.6%
Jack Brooks punt for 49 yds , Davon Ferguson returns for 12 yds to the BwGrn 25 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding (Patrick Day) to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+2
40.7%
Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SAlab 7Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 7
+6
41.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 6 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 5:0135% → 44%
Q2 5:01
4TH & 23
OPP 40
0
35.1%
Matt Naranjo punt for 40 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.2%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+18
42.0%
Matt McDonald run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (CJ Thompson) to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
44.0%
Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
43.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 3 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+26
42.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 26 yds to the SAlab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
45.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 2 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
45.9%
pass incomplete to Austin OsborneSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 25
-15
44.3%
Matt McDonald sacked for a loss of 15 yards to the SAlab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 1:1562% → 63%
Q2 1:15
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
38.0%
Jack Brooks punt for 42 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
39.8%
Kareem Walker run for 5 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+5
39.2%
Terrion Avery run for 5 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
39.5%
Terrion Avery run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 27Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 27
-1
40.0%
Jake Bentley sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 28Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+14
41.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 14 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
37.8%
Terrion Avery run for 4 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
36.5%
Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
36.6%
pass incomplete to Terrion AverySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4438% → 40%
Q2 0:44
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
38.4%
Matt Naranjo punt for 34 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
41.9%
Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+7
41.7%
Jhaylin Embry run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+2
40.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 2 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 19
-5
39.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Diego Neri) to the BwGrn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14FG
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0667% → 68%
Q2 0:06
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+41
32.6%
Diego Guajardo 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
32.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 9 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
32.2%
pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+16
32.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 16 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
31.3%
pass incomplete to Caullin LacySimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
31.6%
pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
37.3%
Matt McDonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16FG
8 plays · 53 yds · 11:4444% → 60%
Q3 11:44
4TH & 16
OPP 22
+40
43.8%
Nate Needham 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
59.0%
Matt McDonald run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
58.7%
Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+51
59.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 51 yds to the SAlab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
64.3%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the SAlab 15Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+3
64.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 3 yds to the SAlab 12Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 12
-10
62.5%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SAlab 22Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 16
OPP 22
0
60.2%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin Osborne, broken up by Tre YoungSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 10:1671% → 69%
Q3 10:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.2%
Kareem Walker run for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
36.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 15 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+51
33.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 42 yds to the BOWLGREEN 18 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (Billie Roberts) to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
31.1%
Kareem Walker run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 6Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
31.1%
Jake Bentley run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
31.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Caullin Lacy, broken up by Sy DabneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 9:0853% → 64%
Q3 9:08
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+33
52.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Andrew Bench for 33 yds for a TDSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+47
58.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 47 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
63.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
64.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 6:1950% → 46%
Q3 6:19
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
50.1%
Jack Brooks punt for 26 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.6%
pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.9%
Jake Bentley run for 2 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
57.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 8 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
54.4%
Kareem Walker run for 3 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
53.0%
Kareem Walker run for 1 yd to the SAlab 39Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
54.5%
pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 4:3651% → 57%
Q3 4:36
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
50.6%
Matt Naranjo punt for 59 yds , Cade Sutherland returns for no gain to the SAlab 9Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
59.4%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin Osborne BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (Terion Stewart) to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 25
OWN 20
+9
58.5%
Matt McDonald run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 16
OWN 29
0
58.3%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden, broken up by CJ ThompsonSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 16
OWN 29
0
56.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin OsborneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:5845% → 45%
Q3 0:58
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
55.3%
Jack Brooks punt for 35 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
56.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Lincoln Sefcik, broken up by Davon FergusonSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+6
56.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 6 yds to the SAlab 15Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+6
57.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 6 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
55.6%
pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+14
56.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 14 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
54.4%
Jake Bentley sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+9
56.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 9 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+2
54.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 2 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22INT
2 plays · 44 yds · 0:1064% → 59%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
64.1%
Jaedyn McKinstry pass interceptedSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
59.0%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith for 44 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 15:0044% → 21%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
55.6%
Kareem Walker run for 9 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 8
OWN 35
+2
59.8%
Jack Brooks punt for 45 yds , Davon Ferguson returns for 2 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+4
74.3%
Kareem Walker run for 4 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
75.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 8 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 41
-6
73.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Kareem Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
79.2%
pass incomplete to Lincoln SefcikSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 8:3871% → 82%
Q4 8:38
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
70.6%
Matt Naranjo punt for 33 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
75.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 3 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-5
75.7%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Jeremiah Banks-Wall) to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+24
74.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 24 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
77.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 2 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+11
77.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith for 11 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
82.7%
pass incomplete to Jamal JohnsonSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
78.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 4 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 39
-7
82.1%
Matt McDonald sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 25TD
15 plays · 87 yds · 1:3944% → 31%
Q4 1:39
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+13
55.8%
Terrion Avery run for 13 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
80.3%
Terrion Avery run for 4 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 17
-2
81.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 8 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive holding (Jalen Wayne) to the SAlab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
80.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 4 yds to the SAlab 19Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+4
81.3%
Terrion Avery run for 4 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
81.0%
Terrion Avery run for 12 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
80.8%
Terrion Avery run for 11 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
76.6%
Terrion Avery run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+11
74.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 11 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
73.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Terrion Avery for 5 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-3
69.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
75.4%
pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+20
78.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 20 yds to the BwGrn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
68.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Terrion AverySimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
69.5%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26FUMBLE
3 plays · -1 yds · 1:2172% → 87%
Q4 1:21
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+9
71.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 9 yds Matt McDonald fumbled, recovered by SAlab Quentin WilfawnSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
87.3%
Jhaylin Embry run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
86.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian SimsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 27Uncategorized
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0029% → 26%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
71.2%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
68.1%
Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+4
73.6%
Terrion Avery run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-73.6
TD · Q3 10:16
Kareem Walker run for 1 yd for a TD
-30.9
TD · Q4 1:39
Terrion Avery run for 13 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)
-26.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com