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ILST

Illinois State 0 at Western Michigan 28

WMU
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadILST aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreILST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:19 · Kaleb Eleby run for 2 yds to the IllSt 15 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Pregame prior+11.9Home team on offense+25.0Score differential+16.6Garbage-time factor+8.5Blowout margin−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 6:35: Cole Mueller run for 1 yd to the IllSt 10 — ILST win probability +1.9 pts (now 21%) (top driver: ILST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:43: Sean Tyler run for 3 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) — WMU win probability +4.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00: run for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 19 — WMU win probability +1.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ILST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:40: Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 24 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) — WMU win probability +7.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:31: La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) — WMU win probability +3.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6ILST made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 8:31ILST 4th & 3 at ILST 24, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:42WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 20, up 7
    Close callPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:29WMU 4th & 4 at ILST 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    79.9%−0.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:12ILST 4th & 17 at WMU 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    20.4%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:56ILST 4th & 15 at ILST 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−2.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:18ILST 4th & 13 at ILST 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:25WMU 4th & 17 at WMU 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:31ILST 4th & 16 at ILST 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−1.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:19ILST 4th & 20 at ILST 16, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−1.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:19WMU 4th & 1 at ILST 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%−0.5
    80% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−1.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:44ILST 4th & 10 at ILST 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:02WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 44, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:25ILST 4th & 1 at ILST 20, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:43ILST 4th & 1 at WMU 40, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:43ILST 4th & 9 at WMU 37, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:58WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 44, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:27ILST 4th & 4 at ILST 18, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:38WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:43WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:40WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:31WMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2280% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
80.0%
Sean Tyler run for 11 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
80.0%
Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
80.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the WMich 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+6
80.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the IllSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+16
80.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 16 yds to the IllSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
80.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Anthony Torres for 8 yds to the IllSt 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+1
80.0%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the IllSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+2
80.0%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the IllSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
80.0%
Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the IllSt 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+10
80.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 10 yds to the IllSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0720% → 20%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
79.8%
Pha'leak Brown run for no gain to the IllSt 17Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
79.9%
Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to Jabari KheperaSimilar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 10
OWN 17
0
80.0%
ILLINOIS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
80.2%
JT Bohlken punt for 64 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3PUNT
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:4980% → 80%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
80.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 6 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+3
80.0%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q1 6:42
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
79.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 4INT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5220% → 20%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
79.6%
White,Nigel rush for 1 yard gain to the ISU40 (Fiske,Braden) PENALTY WMU Offside (Fiske,Braden) 5 yards from ISU39 to ISU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 5
OWN 44
+1
79.4%
Nigel White run for 1 yd to the IllSt 45Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
79.4%
Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to Austin NagelSimilar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-5
79.4%
PENALTY ISU False Start 5 yards from ISU45 to ISU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
79.8%
Bryce Jefferson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:2181% → 80%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
50
+4
80.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 4 yds to the IllSt 46Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
80.5%
Eleby,Kaleb pass incomplete to Tyler,Sean PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (Wilhoit,Kenton) 7 yards from ISU46 to ISU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
80.5%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the IllSt 37Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+4
80.5%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the IllSt 33Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
80.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the IllSt 33Similar
Q1 3:29
4TH & 4
OPP 33
0
80.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Bryce NunnellySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 5:1721% → 20%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
79.5%
Jalen Carr run for 13 yds to the IllSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
79.1%
Pha'leak Brown run for no gain to the IllSt 46Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
79.3%
Bryce Jefferson pass complete to Austin Nagel for 7 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+4
79.0%
Zeke Vandenburgh run for 4 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
78.9%
Bryce Jefferson pass complete to Jabari Khepera for 4 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-5
78.8%
PENALTY ISU False Start (Deming,Bryson) 5 yards from WMU39 to WMU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+16
78.6%
Bryce Jefferson run for 16 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
77.6%
Kevin Brown run for no gain to the WMich 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-5
77.8%
Bryce Jefferson sacked by Marshawn Kneeland for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 33
+2
79.1%
Jackson Waring run for 2 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 17
OPP 35
0
79.7%
JT Bohlken punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7FUMBLE
12 plays · 88 yds · 0:0080% → 81%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
79.5%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 7Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+10
79.4%
Sean Tyler run for 10 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
79.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Bryce NunnellySimilar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
79.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+24
79.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 24 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
80.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 16 yds to the IllSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
80.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 4 yds to the IllSt 35Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+2
80.7%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the IllSt 33Similar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+19
80.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 19 yds to the IllSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
80.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the IllSt 12Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+5
80.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to La'Darius Jefferson for 5 yds to the IllSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:3921% → 19%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
79.5%
Cole Mueller run for 1 yd to the IllSt 10Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
79.5%
Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to Joey LombardiSimilar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 9
OWN 10
-6
80.0%
Bryce Jefferson sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 6 yards to the IllSt 4Similar
Q2 4:56
4TH & 15
OWN 4
0
80.6%
JT Bohlken punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 2:1381% → 86%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+30
81.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Sean Tyler for 30 yds to the IllSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
81.5%
Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the IllSt 17Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+3
81.4%
Kaleb Eleby run for 3 yds to the IllSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
81.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 11 yds to the IllSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.2%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:2515% → 14%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.8%
Nigel White run for 1 yd to the IllSt 26Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
84.8%
Nigel White run for 4 yds to the IllSt 30Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-10
84.5%
Vandenburgh,Zeke rush for 7 yards gain to the ISU37, out of bounds PENALTY ISU Holding (Bussone,Peter) 10 yards from ISU30 to ISU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+2
85.2%
Bryce Jefferson run for 2 yds to the IllSt 22Similar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
85.9%
JT Bohlken punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:5387% → 85%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-7
86.7%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Zeke Vandenburgh for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 42Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 17
OWN 42
0
86.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Bryce NunnellySimilar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 17
OWN 42
0
85.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 17
OWN 42
0
84.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
86.5%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2913% → 12%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
87.3%
Cole Mueller run for 1 yd to the IllSt 10Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 10
0
87.4%
Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to Tanner TaulaSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 10
-5
87.6%
Bryce Jefferson sacked by Corvin Moment for a loss of 5 yards to the IllSt 5Similar
Q3 13:31
4TH & 16
OWN 5
0
88.4%
JT Bohlken punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:5189% → 96%
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
88.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
88.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the IllSt 43Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+7
88.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 7 yds to the IllSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
88.9%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the IllSt 44Similar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 18
OPP 44
+4
88.7%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the IllSt 40Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+10
88.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 10 yds to the IllSt 30Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+6
88.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 6 yds to the IllSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
96.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 24 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 2:214% → 4%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
95.8%
Bryce Jefferson pass complete to Jabari Khepera for 6 yds to the IllSt 20Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 16
OWN 20
+5
95.9%
Bryce Jefferson pass complete to Pha'leak Brown for 5 yds to the IllSt 25Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 11
OWN 25
-9
95.9%
Bryce Jefferson sacked by Matthew Stuckey for a loss of 9 yards to the IllSt 16Similar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 20
OWN 16
0
96.4%
JT Bohlken punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 60 yds · 5:4897% → 100%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+21
96.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 21 yds to the IllSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
96.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the IllSt 35Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+5
96.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the IllSt 30Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+4
96.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the IllSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
96.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the IllSt 24Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+7
96.7%
Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the IllSt 17Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 1
OPP 17
0
96.6%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the IllSt 17Similar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+2
96.3%
Kaleb Eleby run for 2 yds to the IllSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
96.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the IllSt 10Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+6
96.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the IllSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:470% → 0%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Nigel White run for 2 yds to the IllSt 23Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
99.8%
Bryce Jefferson run for 2 yds to the IllSt 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Bryce Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
JT Bohlken punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
99.7%
Eleby,Kaleb pass incomplete to Hall,Jaylen PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (Price,Braden) 15 yards from WMU23 to WMU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for no gain to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
99.8%
PENALTY WMU False Start (Gideon,Jacob) 5 yards from WMU38 to WMU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+7
99.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+4
99.8%
Kaleb Eleby run for 4 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q4 12:02
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Spencer DeForest at the IllSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to Bryson DemingSimilar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+5
99.9%
Cole Mueller run for 5 yds to the IllSt 16Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+4
99.9%
Bryce Jefferson pass complete to Tanner Taula for 4 yds to the IllSt 20Similar
Q4 10:25
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
99.9%
JT Bohlken punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
99.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 13 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 4 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+14
99.9%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 14 yds to the IllSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 12 yds · 3:220% → 0%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Bryce Jefferson pass complete to Cole Mueller for no gain to the WMich 49Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
99.9%
Bryce Jefferson pass complete to Mitchell Lewis for 8 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+1
99.9%
Pha'leak Brown run for 1 yd to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+2
99.9%
Tim McCloyn II run for 2 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.9%
Cole Mueller run for 1 yd to the WMich 37Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to Bryson DemingSimilar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to TreShawn WatsonSimilar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to Kacper RutkiewiczSimilar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
99.9%
ILLINOIS ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jarrell Jackson) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Mareyohn Hrabowski pass incomplete to Zahir Abdus-SalaamSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 2 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q4 3:58
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Spencer DeForest at the IllSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
99.9%
Kevin Brown run for 2 yds to the IllSt 14Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+4
100.0%
Kevin Brown run for 4 yds to the IllSt 18Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 4
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to Eric RogersSimilar
Q4 2:27
4TH & 4
OWN 18
0
100.0%
JT Bohlken punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 13 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
100.0%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:40
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 24 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)
+7.8
TD · Q2 2:43
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)
+4.7
TD · Q3 1:31
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com