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WAG

Wagner 7 at Buffalo 69

BUF
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2021 · UB Stadium
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Win probability · BUF
modelBUF aheadWAG aheadconfidence bandkey playBUF scoreWAG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:44 · J.Brown punts 40 yards to BUF 33, Center-B.Noonan. Out of bounds.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior+47.1Home team on offense+2.6Score differential+0.8Blowout margin+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Garbage-time factor+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 15:00: J.Molinich rushed to WAG End Zone for 1 yards. J.Molinich for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — BUF win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:41: D.McDuffie rushed to WAG End Zone for 12 yards. D.McDuffie for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — BUF win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:18: R.Cook rushed to WAG End Zone for 6 yards. R.Cook for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — BUF win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BUF made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WAG made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:54WAG 4th & 9 at WAG 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:44WAG 4th & 20 at WAG 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:21BUF 4th & 1 at WAG 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:22WAG 4th & 5 at BUF 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:56BUF 4th & 6 at WAG 17, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:49WAG 4th & 9 at WAG 45, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:36BUF 4th & 2 at WAG 2, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:01WAG 4th & 8 at WAG 21, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:45BUF 4th & 5 at WAG 15, up 59
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:46WAG 4th & 2 at WAG 31, down 62
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:53WAG 4th & 4 at WAG 31, down 62
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BUF made the numbers' call on 9 of 9WAG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:25BUF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:21BUF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 15:00BUF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:41BUF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:18BUF Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:40BUF Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:13BUF Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:36BUF Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:27WAG Touchdown, down 56 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:48BUF Touchdown, up 61 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BUFDrive 1TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 0:3399% → 99%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
99.1%
K.Vantrease pass complete to BUF 26. Catch made by Q.Williams at BUF 26. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by G.Bryan at BUF 32.Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+5
99.1%
PENALTY on WAG-T.Leo, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
99.1%
K.Vantrease pass complete to BUF 37. Catch made by J.Ruiz at BUF 37. Gain of 63 yards. J.Ruiz for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:091% → 1%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
99.1%
G.Bryan rushed to WAG 11 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Washington at WAG 11.Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
99.0%
J.Frazier pass complete to WAG 11. Catch made by C.Collier at WAG 11. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by J.Patterson at WAG 11.Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 9
OWN 11
0
99.0%
J.Frazier steps back to pass. J.Frazier pass incomplete intended for WAG.Similar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 9
OWN 11
+11
99.0%
J.Brown punts 11 yards to WAG 22, Center-B.Noonan. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 3TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:2099% → 99%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.0%
K.Marks rushed to WAG 18 for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Passmore at WAG 18.Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+4
99.0%
K.Marks rushed to WAG 14 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Justice at WAG 14.Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 2
OPP 14
0
98.9%
K.Marks rushed to WAG 14 for yards. Tackled by WAG at WAG 14. PENALTY on WAG-T.Leo, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.0%
K.Marks rushed to WAG End Zone for 9 yards. K.Marks for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 3:341% → 1%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.0%
PENALTY on WAG-WAG, Illegal Substitution, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
99.0%
J.Frazier pass complete to WAG 20. Catch made by J.Lorick at WAG 20. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by D.Powell at WAG 27.Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
98.9%
J.Frazier rushed to WAG 33 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Patterson at WAG 33.Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
98.9%
J.Frazier rushed to WAG 37 for 4 yards. Tackled by A.Washington at WAG 37.Similar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.9%
C.Collier rushed to BUF 36 for yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Wright at BUF 36. PENALTY on WAG-WAG, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+1
98.9%
C.Collier rushed to WAG 28 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Folsom at WAG 28.Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 19
OWN 28
-7
98.9%
J.Frazier steps back to pass. J.Frazier sacked at WAG 21 for -7 yards (T.Riggins)Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 26
OWN 21
+6
98.8%
P.Hall rushed to WAG 27 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Patterson at WAG 27.Similar
Q1 7:44
4TH & 20
OWN 27
+40
98.8%
J.Brown punts 40 yards to BUF 33, Center-B.Noonan. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 5TD
18 plays · 67 yds · 7:3499% → 99%
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
98.8%
K.Vantrease pass complete to BUF 33. Catch made by D.Johnson at BUF 33. Gain of 9 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Jones at BUF 42.Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+3
98.8%
R.Cook rushed to BUF 45 for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Leo at BUF 45.Similar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.8%
R.Cook rushed to BUF 45 for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Crawley at BUF 45.Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
98.8%
K.Vantrease pass complete to BUF 45. Catch made by T.Borland at BUF 45. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by J.Justice at WAG 46.Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
98.8%
R.Cook rushed to WAG 44 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Tate at WAG 44.Similar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
98.8%
K.Marks rushed to WAG 40 for 4 yards. Pushed out of bounds by N.Barnett at WAG 40. PENALTY on BUF-D.Johnson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 16
OPP 0
+9
98.8%
K.Vantrease pass complete to BUF 50. Catch made by J.Ruiz at BUF 50. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by M.Ansell at WAG 41.Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+12
98.8%
K.Marks rushed to WAG 29 for 12 yards. Tackled by T.Passmore at WAG 29.Similar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
98.8%
R.Cook rushed to WAG 24 for 5 yards. Tackled by A.Lyons at WAG 24.Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
98.7%
R.Cook rushed to WAG 24 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Richardson at WAG 24.Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+4
98.7%
K.Vantrease pass complete to WAG 24. Catch made by J.Ruiz at WAG 24. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by T.Vallar at WAG 20.Similar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+2
98.6%
K.Marks rushed to WAG 18 for 2 yards. Tackled by A.Crawley, N.Barnes at WAG 18.Similar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
98.6%
R.Cook rushed to WAG 8 for 10 yards. Tackled by S.Quast at WAG 8.Similar
Q1 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
98.6%
R.Cook rushed to WAG 3 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Vallar at WAG 3.Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.5%
R.Cook rushed to WAG 1 for 2 yards. Tackled by S.Quast, J.Pierre-Louis at WAG 1.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.5%
PENALTY on WAG-T.Tate, Defensive Offside, 0 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
J.Molinich rushed to WAG End Zone for 1 yards. J.Molinich for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:341% → 1%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.9%
J.Frazier rushed to WAG 32 for 7 yards. ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
98.9%
M.Jones rushed to WAG 40 for 8 yards. Tackled by D.Powell, J.Patterson at WAG 40.Similar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.9%
J.Frazier steps back to pass. J.Frazier pass incomplete intended for N.Simmons.Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
98.9%
J.Frazier pass complete to WAG 40. Catch made by J.Little at WAG 40. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by J.Ingram, E.Brown at BUF 45.Similar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
98.9%
C.Collier rushed to BUF 44 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Folsom at BUF 44.Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+4
98.9%
J.Frazier rushed to BUF 40 for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Riggins at BUF 40.Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
98.9%
C.Collier rushed to BUF 40 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Williams, T.Riggins at BUF 40.Similar
Q2 12:22
4TH & 5
OPP 40
-20
98.9%
J.Brown rushed to WAG 40 for -20 yards. Tackled by C.Tate at WAG 40.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 7TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:3599% → 99%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.0%
K.Vantrease pass INTERCEPTED at WAG 31. Intercepted by A.Lyons at WAG 31. Tackled by BUF at WAG 40. PENALTY on WAG-A.Crawley, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
99.0%
D.McDuffie rushed to WAG 16 for 9 yards. Tackled by L.Lamar at WAG 16.Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+4
99.0%
D.McDuffie rushed to WAG 12 for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Means-Bowman at WAG 12.Similar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.4%
D.McDuffie rushed to WAG End Zone for 12 yards. D.McDuffie for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 8FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
99.5%
K.Vantrease pass complete to WAG 37. Catch made by J.Cuff at WAG 37. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by WAG at WAG 28.Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+7
99.2%
K.Marks rushed to WAG 21 for 7 yards. Tackled by E.Castorina, C.Davis at WAG 21.Similar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.5%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for T.Borland. PENALTY on BUF-BUF, Illegal Motion, 5 yards, declined. No Play. PENALTY on BUF-J.Fuzak, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+3
99.5%
K.Marks rushed to WAG 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by M.Bruce at WAG 28.Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 17
OPP 28
+11
99.5%
K.Vantrease pass complete to WAG 28. Catch made by J.Reef at WAG 28. Gain of 11 yards. Pushed out of bounds by G.Bryan at WAG 17.Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
99.5%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for T.Borland.Similar
Q2 6:56
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
99.5%
A.McNulty 35 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Riordan, Holder-E.Finegan.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 4:181% → 1%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.4%
P.Hall rushed to WAG 32 for 7 yards. Tackled by F.Weltz, M.Fuqua at WAG 32.Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
99.4%
J.Frazier pass complete to WAG 32. Catch made by J.Brown at WAG 32. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by M.Fuqua at WAG 38.Similar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.6%
J.Frazier rushed to WAG 41 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Williams at WAG 41.Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
99.6%
J.Frazier rushed to WAG 41 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Folsom at WAG 41.Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+20
99.6%
J.Frazier pass complete to WAG 41. Catch made by T.Simmons at WAG 41. Gain of 20 yards. Tackled by A.Abbas at BUF 39.Similar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.6%
J.Frazier steps back to pass. J.Frazier pass incomplete intended for T.Simmons.Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
99.6%
J.Frazier rushed to BUF 39 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Riggins, J.Patterson at BUF 39.Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 10
OPP 39
-6
99.6%
J.Frazier steps back to pass. J.Frazier sacked at BUF 45 for -6 yards (K.Wright; M.Michel)Similar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 16
OPP 45
+5
99.6%
PENALTY on WAG-WAG, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 21
OPP 0
+49
99.5%
J.Brown punts 49 yards to BUF 1, Center-B.Noonan. Downed by J.Justice.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 10TD
13 plays · 99 yds · 2:03100% → 100%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
99.7%
K.Vantrease rushed to BUF 5 for 4 yards. Tackled by S.Quast at BUF 5.Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+8
99.7%
K.Marks rushed to BUF 13 for 8 yards. Tackled by K.Jones at BUF 13.Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
99.7%
K.Vantrease pass complete to BUF 13. Catch made by Q.Williams at BUF 13. Gain of 11 yards. Pushed out of bounds by WAG at BUF 24.Similar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.7%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for J.Ruiz.Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 20
OWN 14
+32
99.7%
R.Cook rushed to BUF 46 for 32 yards. Tackled by B.Smaw at BUF 46.Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.7%
K.Vantrease pass complete to BUF 46. Catch made by R.Cook at BUF 46. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by B.Smaw, K.Jones at BUF 48.Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
99.7%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for Q.Williams.Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+5
99.7%
PENALTY on WAG-L.Lamar, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+9
99.7%
K.Vantrease pass complete to WAG 47. Catch made by K.Marks at WAG 47. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by N.Barnett at WAG 38.Similar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+32
99.7%
K.Vantrease pass complete to WAG 6. Catch made by Q.Williams at WAG 6. Gain of 32 yards. Tackled by K.Jones at WAG 6.Similar
Q2 0:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.8%
R.Cook rushed to WAG End Zone for 6 yards. R.Cook for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:110% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
PENALTY on BUF-BUF, Defensive Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+16
99.8%
J.Frazier pass complete to WAG 30. Catch made by N.Simmons at WAG 30. Gain of 16 yards. N.Simmons ran out of bounds.Similar
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.8%
PENALTY on WAG-X.Bryson, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 14:44
1ST & 15
OWN 41
-6
99.8%
J.Frazier steps back to pass. J.Frazier sacked at WAG 35 for -6 yards (T.Riggins)Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 21
OWN 35
0
99.8%
PENALTY on WAG-Z.Djurasevic, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 26
OWN 30
+15
99.8%
J.Frazier pass complete to WAG 45. Catch made by N.Simmons at WAG 45. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by BUF at WAG 45.Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
99.8%
J.Frazier steps back to pass. J.Frazier pass incomplete intended for J.Little.Similar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 9
OWN 45
+40
99.8%
J.Brown punts 40 yards to BUF 15, Center-B.Noonan. Q.Williams returned punt from the BUF 15. Pushed out of bounds by E.DeMayo at BUF 24.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 12TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:57100% → 100%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+37
99.8%
K.Vantrease pass complete to BUF 24. Catch made by Q.Williams at BUF 24. Gain of 37 yards. Tackled by WAG at WAG 39.Similar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.8%
K.Marks rushed to WAG 33 for 6 yards. Tackled by WAG at WAG 33.Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+10
99.8%
K.Vantrease pass complete to WAG 33. Catch made by D.Johnson at WAG 33. Gain of 10 yards. Pushed out of bounds by WAG at WAG 23.Similar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
99.8%
K.Marks rushed to WAG 18 for 5 yards. Tackled by WAG at WAG 18.Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 5
OPP 18
0
99.8%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for Q.Williams.Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+10
99.8%
K.Vantrease pass complete to WAG 18. Catch made by Q.Williams at WAG 18. Gain of 10 yards. Pushed out of bounds by WAG at WAG 8.Similar
Q3 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
99.8%
K.Marks rushed to WAG 3 for 5 yards. Tackled by WAG at WAG 3.Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
K.Marks rushed to WAG End Zone for 3 yards. K.Marks for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 13TD
1 play · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.9%
M.Myers pass complete to WAG 26. Catch made by M.Johnson at WAG 26. Gain of 26 yards. M.Johnson for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 14TD
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:09100% → 100%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
99.9%
R.Cook rushed to WAG 41 for 6 yards. Tackled by C.Davis at WAG 41.Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+1
99.9%
M.Washington rushed to WAG 40 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Justice at WAG 40.Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+8
99.9%
R.Cook rushed to WAG 32 for 8 yards. Tackled by K.Means-Bowman at WAG 32.Similar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
M.Myers steps back to pass. M.Myers pass incomplete intended for T.Borland. PENALTY on WAG-M.Bruce, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
99.9%
M.Myers rushed to WAG 18 for -1 yards. M.Myers FUMBLES, forced by. Fumble RECOVERED by BUF-M.Myers at WAG 18. Tackled by WAG at WAG 18.Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+16
99.9%
R.Cook rushed to WAG 2 for 16 yards. Tackled by C.Davis at WAG 2.Similar
Q3 2:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.9%
R.Cook rushed to WAG 3 for -1 yards. Tackled by J.Justice, K.Means-Bowman at WAG 3.Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.9%
M.Washington rushed to WAG 2 for 1 yards. Tackled by L.Lamar at WAG 2.Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
M.Myers steps back to pass. M.Myers pass incomplete intended for J.Gassett.Similar
Q3 1:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
D.McDuffie rushed to WAG End Zone for 2 yards. D.McDuffie for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
100.0%
L.Taylor steps back to pass. L.Taylor pass incomplete intended for WAG.Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-1
100.0%
M.Jones rushed to WAG 18 for -1 yards. Tackled by S.Dolac at WAG 18.Similar
Q3 0:46
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+3
100.0%
M.Jones rushed to WAG 21 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Powell at WAG 21.Similar
Q3 0:01
4TH & 8
OWN 21
+32
100.0%
J.Brown punts 32 yards to BUF 47, Center-B.Noonan. R.Cook returned punt from the BUF 47. Tackled by G.Bryan at WAG 27. PENALTY on BUF-BUF, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 16FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:16100% → 100%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
99.9%
M.Washington rushed to WAG 29 for 8 yards. Tackled by K.Jones at WAG 29.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+1
99.9%
M.Washington rushed to WAG 28 for 1 yards. Tackled by M.Ansell at WAG 28.Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+8
99.9%
M.Washington rushed to WAG 20 for 8 yards. Tackled by B.Smaw at WAG 20.Similar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
99.9%
M.Washington rushed to WAG 16 for 4 yards. Tackled by A.Thornton, B.Smaw at WAG 16.Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+1
99.9%
M.Washington rushed to WAG 15 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Justice at WAG 15.Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
99.9%
M.Myers steps back to pass. M.Myers pass incomplete intended for C.Burniston.Similar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 5
OPP 15
0
99.9%
J.Baltar 33 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Riordan, Holder-E.Finegan.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
100.0%
M.Jones rushed to WAG 26 for 3 yards. Tackled by A.Ricumstrict at WAG 26.Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
100.0%
L.Taylor rushed to WAG 26 for 0 yards. L.Taylor ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
L.Taylor rushed to WAG 31 for 5 yards. Tackled by E.Brown at WAG 31.Similar
Q4 10:46
4TH & 2
OWN 31
+48
100.0%
J.Brown punts 48 yards to BUF 21, Center-B.Noonan. R.Cook MUFFS catch. Fumble RECOVERED by WAG-J.Schmidt at BUF 13. Tackled by BUF at BUF 13.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 18TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:100% → 0%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
100.0%
L.Taylor steps back to pass. L.Taylor pass incomplete intended for J.Little. PENALTY on BUF-A.Abbas, Defensive Pass Interference, 9 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
100.0%
L.Taylor steps back to pass. L.Taylor pass incomplete intended for WAG.Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
L.Taylor rushed to BUF End Zone for 4 yards. L.Taylor for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 19TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 3:31100% → 100%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.9%
M.Washington rushed to BUF 37 for 6 yards. Tackled by X.Young at BUF 37.Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+16
99.9%
M.Washington rushed to WAG 47 for 16 yards. Tackled by C.Davis at WAG 47.Similar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+29
99.9%
T.Ahmed rushed to WAG 18 for 29 yards. Tackled by C.Davis at WAG 18.Similar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.9%
M.Washington rushed to WAG 14 for 4 yards. Tackled by A.Thornton at WAG 14.Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+1
100.0%
M.Washington rushed to WAG 13 for 1 yards. Tackled by M.Bruce at WAG 13.Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+7
100.0%
T.Ahmed rushed to WAG 6 for 7 yards. Tackled by A.Thornton at WAG 6.Similar
Q4 6:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
100.0%
T.Ahmed rushed to WAG End Zone for 6 yards. T.Ahmed for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
B.Anglin rushed to WAG 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by E.Black at WAG 26.Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
B.Anglin rushed to WAG 26 for 0 yards. Tackled by K.Woetzel at WAG 26.Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
B.Anglin rushed to WAG 31 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Wilkins, E.Black at WAG 31.Similar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+56
100.0%
J.Brown punts 56 yards to BUF 13, Center-B.Noonan. Q.Williams returned punt from the BUF 13. Tackled by J.Justice at BUF 25.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 21END OF GAME
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
M.Washington rushed to BUF 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by S.Quast, T.Richardson at BUF 27.Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
100.0%
M.Washington rushed to BUF 39 for 12 yards. Tackled by K.McLaurin at BUF 39.Similar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
100.0%
R.Razzano rushed to BUF 44 for 5 yards. Tackled by C.Davis at BUF 44.Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
T.Ahmed rushed to BUF 47 for 3 yards. Tackled by N.Gadson at BUF 47.Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+6
100.0%
T.Ahmed rushed to WAG 47 for 6 yards. Tackled by C.Calvin, M.Lopes at WAG 47.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:41
D.McDuffie rushed to WAG End Zone for 12 yards. D.McDuffie for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+0.5
TD · Q2 15:00
J.Molinich rushed to WAG End Zone for 1 yards. J.Molinich for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+0.4
TD · Q2 0:18
R.Cook rushed to WAG End Zone for 6 yards. R.Cook for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com