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SFPA

Saint Francis 15 at Eastern Michigan 35

EMU
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2021 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadSFPA aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreSFPA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:01 · P.Hutchinson rushed to STF 42 for 3 yards. Tackled by H.Brown; B.Noel at STF 42.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 67Pregame prior+35.1Home team on offense+11.6Score differential+5.6Garbage-time factor+3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:25: S.Evans rushed to STF End Zone for 1 yards. S.Evans for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — EMU win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:20: J.Hamilton rushed left end to STF End Zone for 2 yards. J.Hamilton for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — EMU win probability +1.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:01: M.DeShields rushed to EMC End Zone for 3 yards. M.DeShields for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — SFPA win probability +2.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: SFPA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:15: S.Evans rushed to STF End Zone for 4 yards. S.Evans for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — EMU win probability +2.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:29: D.Boone rushed to STF End Zone for 4 yards. D.Boone for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — EMU win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7SFPA made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 10:29SFPA 4th & 7 at SFPA 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:24SFPA 4th & 2 at SFPA 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:25SFPA 4th & 8 at EMU 27, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:59EMU 4th & 3 at SFPA 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:01SFPA 4th & 3 at EMU 3, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:00EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.4%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:01EMU 4th & 1 at SFPA 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−0.7
    25% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:40SFPA 4th & 5 at SFPA 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:44SFPA 4th & 1 at SFPA 47, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:11SFPA 4th & 5 at SFPA 48, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:22EMU 4th & 14 at EMU 11, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:28EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 27, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:25SFPA 4th & 1 at EMU 40, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:05EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 43, up 20
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:45SFPA 4th & 3 at SFPA 35, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:21EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 18, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:26SFPA 4th & 3 at EMU 40, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SFPA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 6:17EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:25EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:20EMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:01SFPA Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:15EMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:29EMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:06SFPA Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1INT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:1298% → 97%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.5%
D.Boone rushed right tackle to EMC 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Galloway at EMC 27.Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
97.5%
D.Boone rushed right tackle to EMC 30 for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Stott; K.Galloway at EMC 30.Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
97.4%
PENALTY on STF-J.Ramil, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
97.4%
P.Hutchinson rushed to EMC 37 for 2 yards. Tackled by M.Magalei; T.Stott at EMC 37.Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
97.3%
P.Hutchinson pass complete to EMC 37. Catch made by D.Drummond at EMC 37. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by C.Massie at EMC 41.Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+6
97.2%
P.Hutchinson pass complete to EMC 41. Catch made by H.Beydoun at EMC 41. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by J.Heiple at EMC 47.Similar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
97.2%
D.Boone rushed up the middle to STF 46 for 7 yards. Tackled by M.Foray; T.Stott at STF 46.Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+3
97.2%
D.Boone rushed right tackle to STF 43 for 3 yards. Tackled by M.Magalei; J.Brown at STF 43.Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
97.1%
P.Hutchinson pass INTERCEPTED at STF 2. Intercepted by R.Crittenden at STF 2. Tackled by EMC at STF 2.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:033% → 3%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
97.1%
J.Russell steps back to pass. J.Russell pass incomplete intended for STF.Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+3
97.1%
M.DeShields rushed left tackle to STF 5 for 3 yards. Tackled by A.Merritt; T.Rush at STF 5.Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 7
OWN 5
0
97.0%
J.Russell steps back to pass. J.Russell pass incomplete intended for J.McGrigg.Similar
Q1 10:29
4TH & 7
OWN 5
0
96.9%
J.Slaiby punts yards to EMC 35, Center-STF. D.Drummond returned punt from the EMC 35. Tackled by K.Williams at EMC 32. PENALTY on STF-STF, False Start, 3 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 2
OWN 2
+39
96.9%
J.Slaiby punts 39 yards to STF 41, Center-STF. D.Drummond returned punt from the STF 41. Tackled by W.O'Hara at STF 44.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 4:0497% → 97%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
97.0%
J.Hamilton rushed up the middle to STF 34 for 10 yards. Tackled by M.Foray; G.Reddick at STF 34.Similar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
96.9%
J.Hamilton rushed right tackle to STF 35 for -1 yards. Tackled by G.Reddick at STF 35.Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+4
96.8%
P.Hutchinson rushed to STF 31 for 4 yards. Tackled by M.Foray at STF 31.Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+8
96.6%
P.Hutchinson rushed to STF 23 for 8 yards. Tackled by M.Foray; I.White at STF 23.Similar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
96.6%
J.Hamilton rushed to STF 12 for 11 yards. Tackled by M.Foray at STF 12.Similar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
96.4%
J.Hamilton rushed to STF 9 for 3 yards. Tackled by B.Noel; M.Foray at STF 9.Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+8
96.3%
D.Boone rushed to STF 1 for 8 yards. Tackled by M.Foray; W.O'Hara at STF 1.Similar
Q1 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.7%
S.Evans rushed to STF End Zone for 1 yards. S.Evans for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 4FUMBLE
10 plays · 40 yds · 2:523% → 4%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.6%
M.DeShields rushed to STF 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by G.Trueman; M.Haney at STF 27.Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
96.5%
B.Lisenby rushed left tackle to STF 34 for 7 yards. Tackled by M.Lee at STF 34.Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+18
96.4%
J.Russell rushed up the middle to EMC 48 for 18 yards. Tackled by J.Jefferson at EMC 48.Similar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
96.3%
M.DeShields rushed up the middle to EMC 41 for 7 yards. Tackled by T.Myrick at EMC 41.Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+12
96.2%
J.Russell pass complete to EMC 41. Catch made by K.Summers at EMC 41. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by B.Bogan at EMC 29.Similar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
96.0%
M.DeShields rushed right tackle to EMC 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Peavy at EMC 27.Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
95.9%
J.Russell steps back to pass. J.Russell pass incomplete intended for K.Summers.Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
96.0%
J.Russell steps back to pass. J.Russell pass incomplete intended for J.McGrigg.Similar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 8
OPP 27
-8
96.1%
J.Russell steps back to pass. J.Russell sacked at EMC 35 for -8 yards (J.Ramirez) J.Russell FUMBLES, forced by J.Ramirez. Fumble RECOVERED by EMC-A.Merritt at EMC 35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:5196% → 97%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+44
96.2%
B.Bryant pass complete to EMC 35. Catch made by H.Beydoun at EMC 35. Gain of 44 yards. Tackled by S.Benjamin at STF 21.Similar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-7
96.3%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant sacked at STF 28 for -7 yards (Z.Schussler)Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 17
OPP 28
+8
96.1%
B.Bryant pass complete to STF 28. Catch made by D.Boone at STF 28. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by M.Magalei at STF 20.Similar
Q1 1:34
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+6
96.0%
B.Bryant rushed up the middle to STF 14 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Parks at STF 14.Similar
Q1 0:59
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+8
95.8%
B.Bryant pass short middle complete to STF 6. Catch made by H.Beydoun at STF 6. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by R.Crittenden at STF 6.Similar
Q1 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
96.0%
D.Boone rushed to STF 1 for 5 yards. Tackled by C.Beaty at STF 1. PENALTY on STF-STF, Illegal Formation, 3 yards, declined.Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.9%
S.Evans rushed to STF End Zone for 1 yards. S.Evans for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 6INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:364% → 4%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.5%
L.Armstead rushed left tackle to STF 24 for -1 yards. Tackled by E.Williams at STF 24.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
96.5%
J.Russell pass short right complete to STF 24. Catch made by B.Lisenby at STF 24. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by F.McGee at STF 34.Similar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.3%
J.Russell rushed right tackle to STF 36 for 2 yards. Tackled by E.Williams at STF 36.Similar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
96.3%
M.DeShields rushed right tackle to STF 40 for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Speights; T.Rush at STF 40.Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-1
96.3%
J.Russell pass short left INTERCEPTED at STF 46. Intercepted by R.Vaden at STF 46. Tackled by J.McGrigg at STF 45.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:1897% → 98%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+33
96.8%
B.Bryant pass deep left complete to STF 45. Catch made by D.Drummond at STF 45. Gain of 33 yards. Tackled by K.Galloway at STF 12.Similar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
96.8%
J.Hamilton rushed to STF 15 for -3 yards. Tackled by H.Brown; S.Cummings at STF 15.Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 13
OPP 15
+6
96.8%
J.Hamilton rushed left tackle to STF 9 for 6 yards. Tackled by T.Stott at STF 9.Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
96.7%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant pass incomplete intended for D.Drummond. PENALTY on STF-K.Galloway, Defensive Pass Interference, 7 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 12:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.9%
J.Hamilton rushed left end to STF End Zone for 2 yards. J.Hamilton for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 8TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 2:312% → 4%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+35
97.7%
J.Russell pass left complete to EMC 41. Catch made by K.Summers at EMC 41. Gain of 35 yards. Tackled by M.Lee at EMC 6.Similar
Q2 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
97.6%
J.Russell rushed up the middle to EMC 5 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Myrick at EMC 5.Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
97.6%
J.Russell steps back to pass. J.Russell sacked at EMC 10 for -5 yards (T.Myrick)Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
97.8%
M.DeShields rushed up the middle to EMC 3 for 7 yards. Tackled by M.Buschman at EMC 3.Similar
Q2 8:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.7%
M.DeShields rushed to EMC End Zone for 3 yards. M.DeShields for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9TD
19 plays · 91 yds · 6:3496% → 99%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
96.0%
D.Boone rushed left tackle to EMC 9 for 0 yards. Tackled by B.Noel; J.Esparza at EMC 9.Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+5
95.9%
PENALTY on STF-E.Bierals, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+11
96.0%
D.Boone rushed left tackle to EMC 25 for 11 yards. Tackled by M.Foray; J.Esparza at EMC 25.Similar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.0%
D.Boone rushed to EMC 36 for 11 yards. Tackled by M.Foray at EMC 36. PENALTY on EMC-EMC, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, declined.Similar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
96.0%
D.Boone rushed up the middle to EMC 42 for 6 yards. Tackled by M.Foray; J.Parks at EMC 42.Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
96.1%
D.Boone rushed up the middle to EMC 45 for 3 yards. Tackled by G.Reddick; J.Parks at EMC 45.Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
95.9%
J.Hamilton rushed up the middle to EMC 45 for 0 yards. Tackled by Z.Schussler at EMC 45.Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+1
95.7%
P.Hutchinson rushed to EMC 46 for 1 yards. Tackled by L.Crosby; J.Watkins at EMC 46. The Replay Official reviewed the first down and the play was upheld. Timeout #2 by STF.Similar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
96.0%
D.Boone rushed to EMC 49 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Heiple; J.Watkins at EMC 49.Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+4
95.9%
P.Hutchinson pass complete to EMC 49. Catch made by B.Cannon at EMC 49. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by G.Sanders at STF 47.Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+2
95.8%
D.Boone rushed to STF 45 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Stott; C.Kratee at STF 45.Similar
Q2 3:01
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+3
95.6%
P.Hutchinson rushed to STF 42 for 3 yards. Tackled by H.Brown; B.Noel at STF 42.Similar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
96.0%
P.Hutchinson pass complete to STF 42. Catch made by J.Delso at STF 42. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by G.Sanders at STF 37.Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
96.0%
P.Hutchinson steps back to pass. P.Hutchinson pass incomplete intended for D.Drummond.Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+7
95.8%
S.Evans rushed to STF 30 for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Parks at STF 30.Similar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.1%
P.Hutchinson steps back to pass. P.Hutchinson pass incomplete intended for D.Drummond.Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+28
96.1%
P.Hutchinson pass complete to STF 30. Catch made by D.Summers at STF 30. Gain of 28 yards. K.Summers ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
96.1%
S.Evans rushed to STF 4 for -2 yards. Tackled by B.Noel at STF 4.Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.5%
S.Evans rushed to STF End Zone for 4 yards. S.Evans for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:242% → 2%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
98.0%
J.Russell pass complete to STF 25. Catch made by B.Lisenby at STF 25. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by T.Myrick at STF 39.Similar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
97.9%
J.Russell steps back to pass. J.Russell pass incomplete intended for M.DeShields.Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
97.9%
J.Russell steps back to pass. J.Russell pass incomplete intended for STF.Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+5
98.0%
M.DeShields rushed to STF 44 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Myrick; J.Paul at STF 44.Similar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 5
OWN 44
+37
97.9%
J.Slaiby punts 37 yards to EMC 19, Center-T.Schmidt. Fair catch by D.Drummond.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:1098% → 98%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
98.4%
B.Bryant pass complete to EMC 19. Catch made by D.Drummond at EMC 19. Gain of 15 yards. Pushed out of bounds by G.Reddick at EMC 34.Similar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
98.4%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant pass incomplete intended for D.Drummond.Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-5
98.3%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant sacked at EMC 29 for -5 yards (T.Smith; I.White)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:162% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
J.Russell steps back to pass. J.Russell pass incomplete intended for J.McGrigg.Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.1%
M.DeShields rushed to STF 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by W.Scott; T.Myrick at STF 27.Similar
Q3 14:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
98.1%
J.Russell pass complete to STF 27. Catch made by K.Summers at STF 27. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by R.Daniel at STF 38.Similar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
98.0%
J.Russell pass complete to STF 38. Catch made by J.Tomb at STF 38. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by J.Hubbard; M.Smith at STF 45.Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
97.9%
J.Russell steps back to pass. J.Russell pass incomplete intended for J.Tomb.Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+2
97.9%
J.Russell rushed to STF 47 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Speights; J.Ramirez at STF 47.Similar
Q3 12:44
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+34
98.0%
J.Slaiby punts 34 yards to EMC 19, Center-T.Schmidt. Fair catch by D.Drummond.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 4:1198% → 100%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
98.4%
B.Bryant scrambles to EMC 25 for 6 yards. Tackled by B.Noel; S.Cummings at EMC 25.Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 4
OWN 25
-1
98.4%
J.Hamilton rushed to EMC 24 for -1 yards. Tackled by T.Stott at EMC 24.Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+14
98.3%
J.Hamilton rushed to EMC 38 for 14 yards. Tackled by G.Sanders at EMC 38.Similar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
98.5%
J.Hamilton rushed to EMC 45 for 7 yards. Tackled by M.Foray at EMC 45.Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+8
98.5%
J.Hamilton rushed to STF 47 for 8 yards. Tackled by T.Stott at STF 47.Similar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
98.5%
B.Bryant pass complete to STF 47. Catch made by I.Stewart at STF 47. Gain of 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by G.Sanders at STF 40.Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+2
98.5%
J.Hamilton rushed to STF 38 for 2 yards. Tackled by Z.Schussler; J.Heiple at STF 38.Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+7
98.5%
J.Hamilton rushed to STF 31 for 7 yards. Tackled by Z.Schussler at STF 31.Similar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
98.5%
B.Bryant pass complete to STF 31. Catch made by D.Summers at STF 31. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by W.O'Hara; K.Galloway at STF 24.Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
98.6%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant pass incomplete intended for D.Summers.Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+15
98.5%
B.Bryant rushed to STF 9 for 15 yards. Tackled by G.Sanders; J.Parks at STF 9. PENALTY on STF-G.Sanders, Offensive Facemask, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
D.Boone rushed to STF End Zone for 4 yards. D.Boone for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
J.Russell pass complete to STF 25. Catch made by S.Parks at STF 25. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by J.Ramirez at STF 26.Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+17
99.7%
B.Lisenby rushed to STF 43 for 17 yards. Pushed out of bounds by E.Williams at STF 43.Similar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.7%
J.Russell pass complete to STF 43. Catch made by M.DeShields at STF 43. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by EMC at STF 50.Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 3
OPP 0
-2
99.6%
M.DeShields rushed to STF 48 for -2 yards. Tackled by L.Cameron at STF 48.Similar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 5
OWN 48
+49
99.8%
J.Slaiby punts 49 yards to EMC 3, Center-T.Schmidt. Downed by STF.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:32100% → 100%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
99.8%
D.Boone rushed to EMC 6 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Heiple; W.O'Hara at EMC 6.Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+9
99.8%
D.Boone rushed to EMC 15 for 9 yards. Tackled by M.Foray; D.Majors at EMC 15.Similar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.8%
P.Hutchinson pass complete to EMC 15. Catch made by B.Cannon at EMC 15. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by W.O'Hara; T.McDonald at EMC 19.Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
99.8%
D.Boone rushed to EMC 22 for yards. Tackled by C.Beaty; I.White at EMC 22. PENALTY on EMC-M.Van Hoeven, Offensive Holding, 9 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+1
99.8%
P.Hutchinson rushed to EMC 11 for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Beaty; I.White at EMC 11.Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 14
OWN 11
0
99.8%
P.Hutchinson steps back to pass. P.Hutchinson pass incomplete intended for D.Summers.Similar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 14
OWN 11
+53
99.8%
J.Julien punts 53 yards to STF 36, Center-S.Bird. Downed by EMC. PENALTY on EMC-EMC, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 9:40100% → 100%
Q3 6:08
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
99.8%
J.Russell steps back to pass. J.Russell pass incomplete intended for B.Lisenby.Similar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
99.9%
D.Boone rushed to EMC 13 for 6 yards. Tackled by W.O'Hara; L.Ross at EMC 13.Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+5
99.9%
B.Bryant scrambles to EMC 18 for 5 yards. Tackled by S.Benjamin at EMC 18.Similar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.9%
D.Boone rushed to EMC 20 for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Noel; H.Brown at EMC 20.Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
D.Boone rushed to EMC 23 for 3 yards. Tackled by H.Brown at EMC 23.Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+4
99.9%
B.Bryant pass complete to EMC 23. Catch made by D.Summers at EMC 23. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by G.Sanders at EMC 27.Similar
Q4 11:28
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+47
99.9%
J.Julien punts 47 yards to STF 26, Center-S.Bird. Fair catch by J.McGrigg.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 9 yds · 3:560% → 0%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.8%
D.Horton rushed to STF 41 for 0 yards. Tackled by W.Scott; G.Trueman at STF 41.Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.8%
D.Horton rushed to STF 43 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Rush at STF 43.Similar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+8
99.9%
J.Russell scrambles to EMC 49 for 8 yards. Tackled by T.Speights at EMC 49.Similar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.9%
J.Russell pass complete to EMC 49. Catch made by D.Horton at EMC 49. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by L.Cameron at EMC 47.Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+4
99.9%
D.Horton rushed to EMC 43 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Manior at EMC 43.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
D.Horton rushed to EMC 40 for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Rush; J.Ramirez at EMC 40.Similar
Q4 14:25
4TH & 1
OPP 40
0
99.9%
D.Horton rushed to EMC 40 for yards. Tackled by T.Myrick; L.Cameron at EMC 40. PENALTY on STF-C.Graham, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 11
OPP 0
+43
99.9%
J.Slaiby punts 43 yards to EMC 7, Center-T.Schmidt. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 18TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 3:100% → 1%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
D.Horton rushed to STF 28 for 2 yards. Pushed out of bounds by F.McGee at STF 28.Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+8
99.9%
J.Sliwoski pass complete to STF 28. Catch made by K.Summers at STF 28. Gain of 8 yards. D.Summers ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
D.Horton rushed to STF 43 for 7 yards. Tackled by T.Speights at STF 43.Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-4
99.9%
D.Horton rushed to STF 39 for -4 yards. Tackled by T.Grant-Randall at STF 39.Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+51
99.9%
J.Sliwoski pass complete to STF 39. Catch made by K.Summers at STF 39. Gain of 51 yards. Tackled by T.Peavy at EMC 10.Similar
Q4 8:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
99.9%
D.Horton rushed to EMC 2 for 8 yards. Tackled by T.Grant-Randall; L.Cameron at EMC 2.Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.1%
J.Sliwoski rushed to EMC End Zone for 2 yards. J.Sliwoski for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:4099% → 99%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.1%
P.Hutchinson scrambles to EMC 20 for -5 yards. Tackled by W.O'Hara at EMC 20. PENALTY on STF-Y.Sugano, Unnecessary Roughness / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.2%
P.Hutchinson steps back to pass. P.Hutchinson pass incomplete intended for D.Summers.Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.2%
J.Hamilton rushed to EMC 34 for -1 yards. Tackled by T.Thompson; E.Bierals at EMC 34.Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+9
99.2%
P.Hutchinson scrambles to EMC 43 for 9 yards. Pushed out of bounds by I.White at EMC 43.Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+44
99.2%
J.Julien punts 44 yards to STF 13, Center-S.Bird. Fair catch by J.McGrigg.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:111% → 1%
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.5%
L.Armstead rushed to STF 17 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Ramirez; J.Paul at STF 17.Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+11
99.5%
J.Sliwoski pass complete to STF 17. Catch made by J.Tomb at STF 17. Gain of 11 yards. J.Tomb ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
99.4%
J.Tomb rushed to STF 35 for 7 yards. Tackled by M.McNeal at STF 35.Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 3
OWN 35
0
99.5%
J.Sliwoski steps back to pass. J.Sliwoski pass incomplete intended for D.Snyder.Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
99.5%
J.Sliwoski steps back to pass. J.Sliwoski pass incomplete intended for L.Armstead.Similar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+48
99.5%
J.Slaiby punts 48 yards to EMC 17, Center-T.Schmidt. J.Hubbard returned punt from the EMC 17. Tackled by K.Dyson at EMC 9.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 3:1099% → 99%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
99.3%
D.Boone rushed to EMC 15 for 6 yards. Tackled by W.O'Hara; C.Beaty at EMC 15.Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+4
99.3%
D.Boone rushed to EMC 19 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Heiple at EMC 19.Similar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
99.3%
D.Boone rushed to EMC 25 for 6 yards. Tackled by H.Brown at EMC 25.Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 4
OWN 25
0
99.4%
D.Boone rushed to EMC 29 for 0 yards. Tackled by S.Benjamin; B.Noel at EMC 29. PENALTY on EMC-M.Johnson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. PENALTY on EMC-D.Boone, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Offense, 7 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 21
OWN 8
+12
99.4%
P.Hutchinson pass complete to EMC 8. Catch made by L.Fordham at EMC 8. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by B.Noel at EMC 20.Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 9
OWN 20
-2
99.5%
B.Bryant rushed to EMC 18 for -2 yards. Tackled by H.Brown at EMC 18.Similar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 11
OWN 18
+40
99.4%
J.Julien punts 40 yards to STF 42, Center-S.Bird. J.McGrigg returned punt from the STF 42. Tackled by F.McGee at STF 42.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:461% → 1%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.5%
J.Sliwoski steps back to pass. J.Sliwoski pass incomplete intended for S.Parks.Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+11
99.5%
J.Sliwoski pass complete to STF 42. Catch made by D.Horton at STF 42. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by M.Haney; Q.Scandrett at EMC 47.Similar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.5%
J.Sliwoski steps back to pass. J.Sliwoski pass incomplete intended for D.Snyder.Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
99.5%
J.Sliwoski steps back to pass. J.Sliwoski pass incomplete intended for J.Tomb.Similar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+7
99.5%
J.Sliwoski pass complete to EMC 47. Catch made by D.Snyder at EMC 47. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by L.Cameron; M.Buschman at EMC 40.Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 3
OPP 40
-3
99.5%
J.Sliwoski steps back to pass. J.Sliwoski sacked at EMC 43 for -3 yards (D.Brooks)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:15
S.Evans rushed to STF End Zone for 4 yards. S.Evans for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+2.4
TD · Q2 8:01
M.DeShields rushed to EMC End Zone for 3 yards. M.DeShields for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-2.1
TD · Q2 12:20
J.Hamilton rushed left end to STF End Zone for 2 yards. J.Hamilton for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com