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WIU

Western Illinois 21 at Ball State 31

BALL
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2021 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadWIU aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreWIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:27 · Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Pregame prior+42.9Home team on offense+2.4Garbage-time factor+0.7Score differential+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:58: Tony Tate run for 1 yd for a TD (Mason Laramie KICK) — WIU win probability +7.4 pts (now 16%) (top driver: WIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:17: Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 75 yds for a TD (Mason Laramie KICK) — WIU win probability +8.8 pts (now 18%) (top driver: WIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:41: Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 48 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK) — BALL win probability +7.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:33: Carson Steele run for 37 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK) — BALL win probability +4.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:19: Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 3 yds for a TD (Mason Laramie KICK) — WIU win probability +3.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: WIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 9WIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:41WIU 4th & 6 at WIU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:10BALL 4th & 2 at BALL 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:29WIU 4th & 7 at WIU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:27WIU 4th & 1 at BALL 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:27BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:47BALL 4th & 13 at BALL 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:09WIU 4th & 5 at WIU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:21BALL 4th & 19 at WIU 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:42WIU 4th & 5 at WIU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:53BALL 4th & 9 at BALL 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:48WIU 4th & 13 at WIU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:56BALL 4th & 1 at WIU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    85.2%−1.9
    25% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:07WIU 4th & 8 at BALL 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    12.1%−0.3
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:39BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:12BALL 4th & 7 at WIU 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    90.4%−1.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:05WIU 4th & 1 at WIU 24, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:07WIU 4th & 1 at BALL 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−0.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−3.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:50BALL 4th & 1 at WIU 18, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%−0.6
    79% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:24BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:58WIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:29BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:17WIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:41BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:33BALL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:19WIU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:193% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.7%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Tony Tate for 2 yds to the WIll 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
96.7%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WIll 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
96.7%
Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Dallas DanielsSimilar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
96.5%
Adam Fellner punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3197% → 96%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
96.5%
Justin Hall run for 1 yd to the BalSt 17Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+8
96.5%
Will Jones run for 8 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+1
96.5%
Will Jones run for 1 yd to the BalSt 26Similar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
96.2%
Nathan Snyder punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tony Tate at the WIll 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:414% → 4%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
96.2%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WIll 31Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
96.2%
Ludovick Choquette run for no gain to the WIll 31Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
96.2%
Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Dallas DanielsSimilar
Q1 10:29
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
95.9%
Adam Fellner punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:0596% → 96%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
95.9%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
95.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 7 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+5
95.9%
Drew Plitt run for 5 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
96.0%
Will Jones run for 5 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+2
96.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 2 yds to the WIll 49Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+49
96.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 49 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:514% → 5%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
95.9%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the WIll 10Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
95.9%
Connor Sampson pass incomplete, broken up by Nic Jones for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
95.7%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Gaej Walker for 5 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
95.7%
Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Jaylen ReedSimilar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+4
95.8%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Gaej Walker for 4 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+3
95.3%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Tony Tate for 3 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:4096% → 95%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
95.6%
Justin Hall run for 4 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
95.7%
Donny Marcus run for 4 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
95.6%
Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the BalSt 44Similar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+1
95.6%
Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
95.7%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
95.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 13
OWN 42
0
95.1%
Nathan Snyder punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tony Tate at the WIll 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:385% → 5%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
95.0%
Myles Wanza run for 6 yds to the WIll 24Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+7
94.9%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Ludovick Choquette for 7 yds to the WIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
94.9%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the WIll 31Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
95.0%
Connor Sampson run for 5 yds to the WIll 36Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
95.0%
Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Dennis HoustonSimilar
Q1 0:09
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
94.7%
Adam Fellner punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Justin Hall at the BalSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
13 plays · 34 yds · 2:3995% → 94%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
94.7%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
94.7%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+10
94.6%
Plitt,Drew sacked for loss of 6 yards to the BSU25 (Preston,Eryk) PENALTY WIU Holding (Francisco,Akil) 10 yards from BSU31 to BSU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
94.9%
Will Jones run for 8 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 49
0
94.9%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+8
94.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the WIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
94.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 14 yds to the WIll 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
95.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 6 yds to the WIll 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
95.0%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 23
-15
94.9%
Plitt,Drew pass complete to Hall,Justin for 3 yards to the WIU20 (Francisco,Akil) PENALTY BSU Chop Block 15 yards from WIU23 to WIU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 19
OPP 38
0
94.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q2 12:21
4TH & 19
OPP 38
0
93.8%
Drew Plitt punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WIll 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:396% → 6%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
94.1%
Myles Wanza run for 7 yds to the WIll 12Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+1
94.1%
Myles Wanza run for 1 yd to the WIll 13Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 2
OWN 13
+2
94.2%
Connor Sampson run for 2 yds to the WIll 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
94.1%
Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Dennis HoustonSimilar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
94.1%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Mason Sikes for 5 yds to the WIll 20Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
94.2%
Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Tony TateSimilar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
93.9%
Adam Fellner punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Justin Hall at the BalSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4994% → 94%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
94.0%
Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 47Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
93.9%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
93.6%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
93.6%
Nathan Snyder punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tony Tate at the WIll 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 11TD
16 plays · 96 yds · 6:556% → 16%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
94.1%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 7 yds to the WIll 11Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+10
93.9%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Dallas Daniels for 10 yds to the WIll 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
93.9%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Gaej Walker for 10 yds to the WIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
93.7%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 5 yds to the WIll 36Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+21
93.5%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 21 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
93.2%
Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Nathan KarsjensSimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
93.3%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Dallas Daniels for 5 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 5
OPP 38
0
93.2%
Sampson,Connor pass incomplete PENALTY WIU Holding offsetting BSU Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+7
93.2%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Dallas Daniels for 7 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
92.9%
Tony Tate run for no gain to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
92.9%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Jaylen Reed for no gain to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+8
92.3%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Dallas Daniels for 8 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+6
91.9%
Laramie,Mason field goal attempt from 39 yards NO GOOD, clock 02:31 PENALTY BSU Illegal Formation (Ward,Jordan) 6 yards from BSU23 to BSU17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
91.2%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 16 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.9%
Tony Tate run for 1 yd for a TD (Mason Laramie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
88.2%
WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Lawson,Michael at BSU35, End Of Play PENALTY UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jalen Powe) to the BalSt 35Similar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
88.2%
WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Lawson,Michael at BSU35, End Of Play PENALTY UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jalen Powe) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
88.2%
WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Lawson,Michael at BSU35, End Of Play PENALTY UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jalen Powe) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:5715% → 14%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
50
-3
84.7%
Connor Sampson sacked by Tavion Woodard for a loss of 3 yards to the WIll 47Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 13
OWN 47
-7
86.0%
Connor Sampson sacked by Tavion Woodard for a loss of 7 yards to the WIll 40Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 20
OWN 40
+7
86.2%
Myles Wanza run for 7 yds to the WIll 47Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
86.4%
Adam Fellner punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:4887% → 86%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
86.9%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Rudy,Cody). NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
86.9%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Turner,Jaylen). NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
86.3%
Drew Plitt run for 4 yds to the BalSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:2787% → 91%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
86.9%
Will Jones run for 14 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
87.9%
Justin Hall run for 5 yds to the WIll 49Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
88.1%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the WIll 46Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+1
87.9%
Will Jones run for 1 yd to the WIll 45Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+1
87.2%
Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the WIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
88.2%
Donny Marcus run for 4 yds to the WIll 40Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+10
88.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 10 yds to the WIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
88.5%
Donny Marcus run for 9 yds to the WIll 21Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 1
OPP 21
0
88.5%
Donny Marcus run for no gain to the WIll 21Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+21
91.1%
Will Jones run for 21 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
81.6%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 75 yds for a TD (Mason Laramie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:3184% → 92%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
83.6%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+4
83.8%
Will Jones run for 4 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+14
84.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 14 yds to the WIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
91.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 48 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:2611% → 11%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
89.2%
Myles Wanza run for 8 yds to the WIll 25Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+8
88.8%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 8 yds to the WIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
88.9%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Ludovick Choquette for 5 yds to the WIll 38Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+23
88.1%
Ludovick Choquette run for 23 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
87.7%
Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Nathan KarsjensSimilar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
87.7%
Myles Wanza run for 2 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
87.9%
Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Ludovick ChoquetteSimilar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
88.7%
Connor Sampson punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:2891% → 90%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
90.7%
Will Jones run for 1 yd to the BalSt 3Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+2
90.7%
Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 5Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+15
90.2%
Plitt,Drew pass incomplete PENALTY WIU Pass Interference (Francisco,Akil) 15 yards from BSU05 to BSU20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
90.9%
Justin Hall run for 4 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
91.0%
Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
90.6%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Donny MarcusSimilar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
89.8%
Nathan Snyder punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Michael Lawson at the WIll 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
87.4%
Connor Sampson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:2192% → 92%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
91.7%
Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+11
91.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 11 yds to the WIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
92.0%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-5
92.0%
PENALTY BSU False Start 5 yards from WIU46 to BSU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+3
91.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Donny Marcus for 3 yds to the WIll 48Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+5
91.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 5 yds to the WIll 43Similar
Q3 0:12
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
91.9%
Lucas Borrow punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Michael Lawson at the WIll 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5511% → 10%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
88.7%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Nathan Karsjens for 4 yds to the WIll 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+5
88.6%
Myles Wanza run for 5 yds to the WIll 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 24
0
88.5%
Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Nathan KarsjensSimilar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
90.3%
Adam Fellner punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Justin Hall at the BalSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:3292% → 97%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
91.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 1 yd to the BalSt 34Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
91.9%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+15
91.5%
WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (JJ Ross) to the WIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
92.9%
Will Jones run for 7 yds to the WIll 37Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+37
97.2%
Carson Steele run for 37 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 50 yds · 5:264% → 4%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.9%
Myles Wanza run for 1 yd to the WIll 26Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+16
95.9%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 16 yds to the WIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
95.7%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 13 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
95.6%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Ludovick Choquette for 9 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+2
95.4%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 2 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
95.1%
Connor Sampson run for 7 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
94.9%
Ludovick Choquette run for no gain to the BalSt 27Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+2
95.4%
Ludovick Choquette run for 2 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 1
OPP 25
0
96.4%
Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Dallas DanielsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 25FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 4:1797% → 99%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.4%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
97.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 9 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
97.6%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+33
97.6%
Carson Steele run for 33 yds to the WIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
97.7%
Will Jones run for 5 yds to the WIll 22Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+3
97.7%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the WIll 19Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+1
97.7%
Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the WIll 18Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+35
98.8%
Jake Chanove 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 26TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:312% → 5%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Connor Sampson pass incomplete to Daniel BenderSimilar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.5%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Ludovick Choquette for 9 yds to the WIll 34Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+22
98.4%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 22 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
98.3%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Dallas Daniels for 9 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+34
97.9%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Daniel Bender for 34 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+2
97.9%
Ludovick Choquette run for 2 yds to the BalSt 3Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.4%
Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 3 yds for a TD (Mason Laramie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 1:1997% → 97%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
96.9%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIll 43Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 43
-1
96.7%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:17
Connor Sampson pass complete to Dennis Houston for 75 yds for a TD (Mason Laramie KICK)
-8.8
TD · Q3 8:41
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 48 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)
+7.5
TD · Q2 1:58
Tony Tate run for 1 yd for a TD (Mason Laramie KICK)
-7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com