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M-OH

Miami (OH) 47 at Kent State 48

KENT
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2021 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.2KENT 44.2%Graham Nicholson 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 0 · Q1 13:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:00 · Graham Nicholson 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+23.0+11.50−11.5−23.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 7Home team on offense−0.2Pregame prior−6.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:54: Xavier Williams run for 79 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK) — KENT win probability +13.7 pts (now 70%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:03: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 24 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK) — M-OH win probability +14.9 pts (now 49%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:30: Xavier Williams run for 50 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK) — KENT win probability +20.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:03: Brett Gabbert run for 9 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK) — M-OH win probability +20.9 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. FG · Q4 0:04: Graham Nicholson 20 yd FG GOOD — M-OH win probability +27.8 pts (now 56%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 6M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 13:00M-OH 4th & 8 at KENT 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    51.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:43M-OH 4th & 4 at KENT 4, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.0%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    46.6%−2.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:38KENT 4th & 5 at M-OH 45, down 6
    Close callPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    45.0%−1.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:32M-OH 4th & 8 at KENT 8, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    52.7%−5.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:13M-OH 4th & 11 at M-OH 39, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00KENT 4th & 4 at M-OH 4, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.2%−1.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−12.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:48M-OH 4th & 9 at KENT 44, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    42.2%−1.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:39M-OH 4th & 5 at KENT 44, down 8
    Close callPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    28.9%−2.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:02KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 46, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−2.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:07KENT 4th & 3 at M-OH 20, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.9%−1.0
    75% to make
    Punt
    71.7%−12.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:18KENT 4th & 9 at M-OH 19, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    80.8%−5.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:37KENT 4th & 1 at M-OH 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    69.1%−6.9
    83% to make
    Punt
    50.4%−25.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:04M-OH 4th & 2 at KENT 2, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.0%−4.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−36.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:37KENT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:31M-OH Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:06KENT Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:54KENT Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:03M-OH Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:30KENT Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:03M-OH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.2%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:3644% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the KntSt 26Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
44.0%
Dustin Crum pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2456% → 56%
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
43.9%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
43.9%
Kenny Tracy run for 1 yd to the KntSt 18Similar
Q1 14:24
3RD & 11
OPP 18
+3
44.0%
Brett Gabbert run for 3 yds to the KntSt 15Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
44.2%
Graham Nicholson 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:2344% → 47%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
44.2%
Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
44.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 10 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
44.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 9 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 1
OWN 47
-3
44.4%
Dustin Crum sacked by Ivan Pace Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 44Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+10
44.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 10 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
44.9%
Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+11
44.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 11 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
45.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
45.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+2
45.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 2 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+17
46.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 17 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 4:4853% → 53%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
46.6%
Davis,Kevin rush for 3 yards gain to the MIA34 (Musolino,AJ) PENALTY KSU Offside (Davis,Saivon) 5 yards from MIA31 to MIA36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 5
OWN 36
+9
46.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 9 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
46.3%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+9
46.2%
Kevin Davis run for 9 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
46.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+26
46.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 26 yds to the KntSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
45.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 3 yds to the KntSt 15Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+6
45.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 6 yds to the KntSt 9Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+4
46.1%
Kevin Davis run for 4 yds to the KntSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
45.9%
Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the KntSt 5Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
45.9%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Brett ColemanSimilar
Q1 9:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
46.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the KntSt 4Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
47.1%
Graham Nicholson 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5INT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:4448% → 49%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
48.0%
Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
48.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Xavier Williams for 16 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
48.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 8 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+11
49.1%
Dustin Crum run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
49.1%
Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 13
OPP 41
0
48.6%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 13
OPP 41
0
49.3%
Dustin Crum pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:2852% → 59%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+33
48.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 33 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
46.9%
Kevin Davis run for 8 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+7
46.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 7 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
46.8%
Kevin Davis run for 4 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+19
41.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 19 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 1:4744% → 44%
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
44.1%
PENALTY KSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from KSU26 to KSU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+14
43.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 14 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+15
45.0%
Xavier Williams run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
50
+5
45.5%
Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
45.8%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
45.5%
Xavier Williams run for no gain to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
44.1%
Josh Smith punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8FG
14 plays · 81 yds · 5:0657% → 63%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
42.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+10
42.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 10 yds to the MiaOh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
42.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
42.2%
Kevin Davis run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
41.4%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
41.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+8
41.8%
Kevin Davis run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+8
40.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 8 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
40.6%
Kevin Davis run for 4 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+39
40.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 39 yds to the KntSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
40.0%
Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the KntSt 7Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
40.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack ColdironSimilar
Q2 11:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
40.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 1 yd to the KntSt 8Similar
Q2 7:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
36.8%
Graham Nicholson 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 4:2039% → 52%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
39.3%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 14 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
40.1%
Collin Schlee run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+5
40.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
41.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 5 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+7
42.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 7 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
42.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+3
42.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
42.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 11
OPP 16
0
42.2%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 11
OPP 16
+11
40.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 11 yds to the MiaOh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
41.0%
Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+1
41.2%
Collin Schlee run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q2 3:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
52.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:4656% → 53%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
44.3%
Kevin Davis run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
45.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Devon DorseySimilar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
46.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 11
OWN 39
+4
47.3%
Dom Dzioban punt for 38 yds , Nykeim Johnson returns for 4 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11FG
12 plays · 69 yds · 2:1348% → 56%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
47.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 2 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+9
47.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+38
48.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 38 yds to the MiaOh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
52.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 6 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+13
52.2%
Crum,Dustin pass incomplete to Abram,Keshunn, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MIA Pass Interference (Brown,Mike) 13 yards from MIA18 to MIA05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
52.2%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+7
51.7%
Bryan Bradford run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+5
49.7%
Crum,Dustin pass incomplete to Poke,Ja'Shaun PENALTY MIA Offside 5 yards from MIA12 to MIA07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
49.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
55.7%
Andrew Glass 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:0747% → 45%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
53.4%
Kevin Davis run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
51.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+15
52.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 30 yds to the KENTST 30 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Caleb Shaffer) to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
50.9%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Tyre SheltonSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
51.0%
Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the KntSt 44Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
51.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q3 12:48
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
54.9%
Dom Dzioban punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Nykeim Johnson at the KntSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13TD
3 plays · 91 yds · 0:5455% → 70%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
55.4%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 8 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+4
55.9%
Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the KntSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+79
69.6%
Xavier Williams run for 79 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:1033% → 32%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
66.7%
Gabbert,Brett pass incomplete to Sorenson,Jack PENALTY KSU Holding (Bolden,Nico) 10 yards from MIA41 to KSU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
65.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
66.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
65.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q3 10:39
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
67.7%
Dom Dzioban punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:3770% → 72%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+12
70.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 12 yds to the KntSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
70.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the KntSt 15Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
70.0%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the KntSt 15Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+15
69.0%
Crum,Dustin pass incomplete to Cephas,Dante PENALTY MIA Pass Interference (Weatherford,Sterling) 15 yards from KSU15 to KSU30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
70.6%
Crum,Dustin pass complete to Cephas,Dante for 10 yards to the KSU40 (Salopek,Matthew), out of bounds PENALTY KSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from KSU30 to KSU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+24
70.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 24 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
72.8%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Keshunn AbramSimilar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
72.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 9
50
-4
71.2%
Dustin Crum sacked by Kameron Butler for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 46Similar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
71.7%
Josh Smith punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:5930% → 49%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
70.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
70.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
68.9%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+14
69.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 14 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
67.7%
Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+2
65.5%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
66.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Keyon Mozee for 7 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+24
51.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 24 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3358% → 82%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
58.3%
Dustin Crum sacked by Ben Kimpler for a loss of 10 yards to the KntSt 15Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+23
57.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kris Leach for 23 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
59.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 7 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+5
61.7%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
50
+50
82.3%
Xavier Williams run for 50 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1723% → 22%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
76.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
77.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
78.1%
Brett Gabbert pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:0182% → 85%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
82.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+4
82.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 4 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+21
82.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 21 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
84.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
84.6%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+6
83.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 6 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+37
85.1%
Andrew Glass 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:4417% → 16%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
83.5%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
84.3%
Brett Gabbert pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5987% → 93%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
87.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Marquez CooperSimilar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
87.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
86.5%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Keshunn AbramSimilar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
92.6%
Andrew Glass 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 0:4410% → 11%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
89.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+18
89.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 18 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
89.0%
Gabbert,Brett pass incomplete to Sorenson,Jack PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (Miller,Montre) 15 yards from MIA36 to KSU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
88.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 49 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
84.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 70 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 24TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 1:1417% → 42%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
82.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 19 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
80.3%
Gabbert,Brett pass incomplete to Sorenson,Jack PENALTY KSU Holding (Hines,Elvis) 10 yards from KSU46 to KSU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
80.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+10
80.4%
Gabbert,Brett pass complete to Sorenson,Jack for 0 yards to the KSU36 PENALTY KSU Holding (Hines,Elvis) 10 yards from KSU36 to KSU26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
78.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 7 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+10
78.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 10 yds to the KntSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
57.6%
Brett Gabbert run for 9 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25DOWNS
11 plays · 58 yds · 5:2070% → 76%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
69.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 5 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+4
70.4%
Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
70.0%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
71.0%
Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the KntSt 35Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+41
69.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 41 yds to the MiaOh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
74.7%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+5
74.7%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+3
73.1%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+3
75.6%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 26FG
22 plays · 80 yds · 4:3333% → 56%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
67.1%
Brett Gabbert run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+6
67.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 6 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+3
66.0%
Kevin Davis run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
65.5%
Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
64.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+14
66.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 14 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
60.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 13 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
59.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 12 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
56.4%
Gabbert,Brett rush for 9 yards gain to the KSU18 (Pierre,Marvin) PENALTY MIA Holding (Holskey,Reid) 10 yards from KSU27 to KSU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 20
OPP 37
0
62.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Kenny TracySimilar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 20
OPP 37
+11
62.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 11 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+13
60.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 13 yds to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
56.3%
Brett Gabbert run for 7 yds to the KntSt 6Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+5
65.4%
Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.1%
Kenny Tracy run for 1 yd to the KntSt 2Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
65.4%
Kenny Tracy run for no gain to the KntSt 2Similar
Q4 0:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
71.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q4 0:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
44.4%
Graham Nicholson 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+58.9
FG · Q4 0:04
Graham Nicholson 20 yd FG GOOD
-27.8
TD · Q4 10:03
Brett Gabbert run for 9 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)
-20.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com