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BGSU

Bowling Green 7 at Miami (OH) 34

M-OH
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2021 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:01 · Matt Naranjo punt for 47 yds, downed at the MiaOh 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Pregame prior+13.7Home team on offense+33.1Score differential+30.9Garbage-time factor+8.9Blowout margin+14.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:31: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 63 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK) — M-OH win probability +3.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:26: Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK) — M-OH win probability +5.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Mason Lawler kickoff for 59 yds , Jalen Walker return for 11 yds to the MiaOh 17 — BGSU win probability +1.7 pts (now 10%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:43: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 83 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK) — M-OH win probability +6.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:29: Tyre Shelton run for 15 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK) — M-OH win probability +2.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 7 of 9BGSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 13:31BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:30M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:51BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:55M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:54M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:18BGSU 4th & 18 at BGSU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:46BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 37, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:39M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 46, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:41BGSU 4th & 11 at BGSU 20, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:52BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 41, down 6
    Close callPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:50M-OH 4th & 10 at BGSU 35, up 6
    Close callWent for it · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    82.8%
    45% to make
    Punt
    82.3%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:21BGSU 4th & 18 at BGSU 3, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−2.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:52BGSU 4th & 18 at BGSU 32, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−1.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:57BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 39, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:28M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 19, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:14BGSU 4th & 1 at M-OH 23, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−1.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.8%−4.2
    average punt
  17. Q3 5:25M-OH 4th & 15 at M-OH 43, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:01BGSU 4th & 19 at BGSU 12, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.2%−0.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:20M-OH 4th & 4 at BGSU 25, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:18BGSU 4th & 4 at M-OH 41, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:45M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 44, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:42BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:29M-OH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:31M-OH Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:26M-OH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:43M-OH Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:29M-OH Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1810% → 11%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
89.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 4 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
89.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jamal Johnson for no gain to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
89.3%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Jamal JohnsonSimilar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
89.3%
Matt Naranjo punt for 39 yds, downed at the MiaOh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5689% → 89%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
89.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
89.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andrew HomerSimilar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+9
89.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 9 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q1 12:30
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
89.0%
Dom Dzioban punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jhaylin Embry at the BwGrn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:3211% → 12%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
88.9%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
88.9%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Taron KeithSimilar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+20
88.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 20 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
88.6%
Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
88.4%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Taron KeithSimilar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
88.4%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q1 10:51
4TH & 6
OWN 47
+11
88.5%
Matt Naranjo punt for 39 yds , Jalen Walker returns for 11 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5289% → 88%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.5%
Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.2%
Kevin Davis run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
88.1%
Tyre Shelton run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
87.6%
Dom Dzioban punt for 33 yds, downed at the BwGrn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
1 play · 62 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
86.4%
Terion Stewart run for 62 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3587% → 86%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
86.6%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Karl Brooks and Dontrez Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+6
86.2%
Tyre Shelton run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
85.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 5
OWN 23
+14
85.5%
Dom Dzioban punt for 48 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 14 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:3315% → 15%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
85.2%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-5
85.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 15
OWN 38
-3
85.1%
Matt McDonald sacked by Dominique Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 18
OWN 35
+20
84.9%
Matt Naranjo punt blocked by Chris Cavalaris blocked by Chris Cavalaris Caiden Woullard return for 20 yds to the BwGrn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:4586% → 87%
Q1 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
85.6%
Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.7%
Kevin Davis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:3414% → 16%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
86.1%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 8
OWN 21
-10
85.9%
McDonald, Matt pass complete to Keith, Taron for 1 yard to the BOWLGREEN22, PENALTY BOWLGREEN holding (Banks-Wall, Jeremiah) 10 yards to the BOWLGREEN11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 18
OWN 11
+4
85.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Nick Mosley for 4 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 14
OWN 15
+19
85.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 19 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
84.7%
Nick Mosley run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
84.1%
Nick Mosley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 2
OWN 42
-5
83.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
84.2%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
84.5%
Matt Naranjo punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:0384% → 83%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
84.4%
Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+15
84.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 15 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
84.7%
Kenny Tracy run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
84.6%
Brett Gabbert run for no gain to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
84.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
83.2%
Dom Dzioban punt for 33 yds, downed at the BwGrn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:5417% → 17%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
83.0%
Terion Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+5
82.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 5 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-5
82.7%
Matt McDonald sacked by Kameron Butler for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q2 11:41
4TH & 11
OWN 20
+3
82.9%
Matt Naranjo punt for 46 yds , Jalen Walker returns for 3 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12TD
2 plays · 63 yds · 0:0087% → 88%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
86.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 63 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-10
87.7%
MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BwGrn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:2915% → 15%
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
85.4%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-5
85.3%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (Cade Zimmerly) to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+12
85.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 12 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 1
OWN 42
-1
84.2%
Terion Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q2 8:52
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
85.1%
Matt Naranjo punt for 39 yds, downed at the MiaOh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14INT
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:5986% → 85%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
86.1%
Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+25
86.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 25 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
87.1%
Kevin Davis run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+20
86.9%
Tyre Shelton run for 20 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
87.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andrew HomerSimilar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
87.1%
Kevin Davis run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 7
OPP 32
-3
86.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q2 4:50
4TH & 10
OPP 35
-6
85.3%
Brett Gabbert pass intercepted Deshawn Jones Jr. return for 6 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 0:2414% → 13%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
85.9%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
86.0%
Taron Keith pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 10
OWN 11
-5
86.4%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 6Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 15
OWN 6
0
86.7%
Matt McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 15
OWN 6
-3
87.0%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (Demetrius Hardamon) to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q2 4:21
4TH & 18
OWN 3
+8
87.0%
Matt Naranjo punt for 40 yds , Jalen Walker returns for 8 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16TD
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:5187% → 93%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
87.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
87.4%
Kenny Tracy run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+6
86.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 6 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
87.1%
Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-5
87.1%
MIAMI OH Penalty, False Start (Mac Hippenhammer) to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+25
87.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 25 yds to the BwGrn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.6%
Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:259% → 9%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
90.6%
McDonald, Matt pass incomplete to Sims, Christian, PENALTY MIAMIOH pass interference (Boswell, Cedric) 15 yards to the BOWLGREEN40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN.Similar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
90.3%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
90.5%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin OsborneSimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-8
90.6%
Matt McDonald sacked by Lonnie Phelps for a loss of 8 yards to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 18
OWN 32
0
90.7%
Matt Naranjo punt for 30 yds, downed at the MiaOh 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18END OF HALF
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:1192% → 91%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
91.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Kenny TracySimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
91.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 3 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-1
91.4%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Walter Haire for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19TD
2 plays · 83 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+83
96.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 83 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:344% → 4%
Q3 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.3%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q3 14:27
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
96.4%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
96.6%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin OsborneSimilar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+20
96.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 20 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
96.6%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin OsborneSimilar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-10
96.7%
Matt McDonald sacked by Dominique Robinson for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 20
OWN 33
+6
96.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith for 6 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q3 11:57
4TH & 14
OWN 39
0
96.5%
Matt Naranjo punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2497% → 97%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
97.2%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+1
97.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 1 yd to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 6
OWN 19
0
97.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:28
4TH & 6
OWN 19
+7
97.0%
Dom Dzioban punt for 46 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 7 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:074% → 3%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
96.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 12 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
96.5%
Nick Mosley run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.3%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
96.4%
Nick Mosley run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+4
96.6%
Nick Mosley run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 1
OPP 23
-10
96.8%
Matt McDonald sacked by Mike Brown for a loss of 10 yards to the MiaOh 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:4497% → 98%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
97.2%
Tyre Shelton run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+9
97.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
97.6%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
97.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 7
OPP 49
-8
97.7%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Sy Dabney for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 15
OWN 43
+10
97.5%
Dom Dzioban punt for 45 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 10 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
97.4%
Matt McDonald sacked by Kameron Butler for 0 yards to the BwGrn 24 Matt McDonald fumbled, forced by Kameron Butler, recovered by MiaOh Matthew Salopek , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:4198% → 100%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
97.7%
Tyre Shelton run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+15
99.7%
Tyre Shelton run for 15 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 2:190% → 0%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.7%
Nick Mosley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-1
99.7%
Nick Mosley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 8
OWN 23
-5
99.8%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (Alex Padgett) to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 13
OWN 18
-6
99.8%
Matt McDonald sacked by Lonnie Phelps for a loss of 6 yards to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q3 2:01
4TH & 19
OWN 12
0
99.8%
Matt Naranjo punt for 47 yds, downed at the MiaOh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 27DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 5:38100% → 100%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+7
99.8%
Kenny Tracy run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 1
50
+6
99.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+7
99.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.8%
Kevin Davis run for no gain to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
99.8%
Kevin Davis run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+1
99.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+1
99.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 28DOWNS
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:570% → 0%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+17
99.9%
Jamal Johnson run for 17 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+5
99.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 5 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+6
99.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 6 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
99.9%
Matt McDonald sacked by Ed Warinner and Caiden Woullard for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
Nick Mosley run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 13
50
+9
99.9%
Matt McDonald run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin OsborneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Aveon Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
David Afari run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 5
OWN 46
-2
99.9%
David Afari run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 7
OWN 44
+9
99.9%
Dom Dzioban punt for 41 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 9 yds to the MIAMIOH 47 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Illegal Block (Anthony Hawkins) to the BwGrn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 30END OF GAME
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:180% → 0%
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
99.9%
Nick Mosley run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
Nick Mosley run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
Nick Mosley run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Tucker Melton pass incomplete to Bryce BoyerSimilar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+26
99.9%
Nick Mosley run for 26 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
100.0%
Taron Keith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+12
100.0%
Nick Mosley run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
99.9%
Taron Keith run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+6
99.9%
Taron Keith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 5
OPP 25
-1
100.0%
Nick Mosley run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:43
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 83 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q2 1:26
Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)
+5.5
TD · Q2 11:31
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 63 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com