Try the model
M-OH

Miami (OH) 33 at Ohio 35

OHIO
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2021 · Peden Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:54 · Jack Wilson punt for 41 yds , Jalen Walker returns for 1 yd to the MiaOh 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Home team on offense+24.4Pregame prior−7.1Score differential+16.8Garbage-time factor+9.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:27: Isiah Cox 25 Yd pass from Kurtis Rourke (Stephen Johnson Kick) — OHIO win probability +14.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:13: Jack Sorenson 15 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson PAT failed) — M-OH win probability +11.6 pts (now 20%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:17: Jack Sorenson 82 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick) — M-OH win probability +12.3 pts (now 17%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:35: De'Montre Tuggle 46 Yd Run (Stephen Johnson Kick) — OHIO win probability +12.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:55: Mac Hippenhammer 5 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick) — M-OH win probability +23.8 pts (now 29%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9M-OH made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 13:33OHIO 4th & 15 at OHIO 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:07M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:49M-OH 4th & 6 at OHIO 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−3.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:11OHIO 4th & 13 at OHIO 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−2.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:44M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 41, down 14
    Close callPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:43M-OH 4th & 15 at M-OH 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:08OHIO 4th & 5 at M-OH 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:44M-OH 4th & 4 at M-OH 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:09M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:04M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.0%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:30OHIO 4th & 9 at M-OH 33, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    90.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    89.5%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:54OHIO 4th & 22 at OHIO 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−2.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:58M-OH 4th & 3 at OHIO 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.2%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:35OHIO 4th & 12 at OHIO 49, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−1.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:54M-OH 4th & 1 at OHIO 10, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%−2.7
    88% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−11.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:44OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 46, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:07M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 26, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.9%−1.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:42OHIO 4th & 13 at M-OH 29, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.8
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−2.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:18M-OH 4th & 3 at OHIO 9, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−2.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:16OHIO 4th & 6 at M-OH 32, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    90.4%−0.2
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%−1.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:31M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 14, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.5%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 5:06OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:12OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:27OHIO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:30OHIO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:30M-OH Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:13M-OH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    14.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:18M-OH Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    8.8%−1.4
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    10.3%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:17M-OH Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:35OHIO Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:55M-OH Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 2.0 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.1%−2.0
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:1731% → 32%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
31.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Ty WaltonSimilar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
31.5%
Kurtis Rourke run for 3 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 7
OWN 25
-8
31.8%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Ivan Pace Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 17Similar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 15
OWN 17
0
31.9%
Jack Wilson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0868% → 67%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
32.0%
Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
32.4%
Kevin Davis run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
32.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q1 12:07
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
32.7%
Dom Dzioban punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 6:3433% → 40%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
32.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+8
33.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Adam Luehrman for 8 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
33.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+6
33.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Walton for 6 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+4
33.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
34.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the Ohio 40Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
34.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 2 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+9
34.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 9 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
35.8%
Kurtis Rourke run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+2
36.1%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+39
36.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Walton for 39 yds to the MiaOh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
40.4%
De'Montre Tuggle 2 Yd Run (Stephen Johnson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4MISSED FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 4:4160% → 57%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
39.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 26 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
39.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 9 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 1
OPP 40
-2
39.2%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Michael Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 42Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+10
39.8%
Tyre Shelton run for 10 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
39.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 4
OPP 26
0
39.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+7
40.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 7 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
40.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the Ohio 18Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+3
41.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 3 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
42.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
43.2%
Graham Nicholson 33 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Kai CaesarSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:0345% → 57%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
44.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 13 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
45.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
46.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to James Bostic IIISimilar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+13
45.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
50
+2
47.9%
Kurtis Rourke run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+48
57.0%
De'Montre Tuggle 48 Yd pass from Kurtis Rourke (Stephen Johnson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3046% → 45%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
54.4%
Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+4
55.2%
Brett Gabbert pass intercepted Roman Parodie return for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3759% → 59%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
59.0%
Jake Neatherton run for 2 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-10
59.0%
Rourke, Kurtis rush for 1 yard to the OHIO49, PENALTY OHIO holding (Burton, Alec) 10 yards to the OHIO38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 18
OWN 38
+5
59.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Alec Burton for 5 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 13
OWN 43
0
59.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Chase CokleySimilar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
59.1%
Jonah Wieland punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:1642% → 39%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+20
58.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 20 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
58.0%
Mozee, Keyon rush for no gain to the MIAMIOH34, PENALTY MIAMIOH holding (Paulson, Derek) 10 yards to the MIAMIOH24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+4
58.7%
Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 16
OWN 28
+13
59.9%
Kenny Tracy run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
59.3%
Kenny Tracy run for no gain to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q2 6:44
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
60.9%
Dom Dzioban punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Javon Conner at the Ohio 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:5163% → 66%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
62.6%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Ivan Pace Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 19Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 15
OWN 19
+33
62.9%
Kurtis Rourke run for 33 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
65.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 18 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
66.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 7 yds Isiah Cox fumbled, forced by Ivan Pace Jr., recovered by MiaOh Mike BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:1736% → 33%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
64.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 12 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
64.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andrew HomerSimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
64.8%
Kevin Davis run for no gain to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-5
65.2%
MIAMI OH Penalty, False Start (Sam Vaughan) to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
66.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
67.1%
Dom Dzioban punt for 37 yds, downed at the Ohio 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11MISSED FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 1:2269% → 70%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
68.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 6 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+6
70.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 6 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
71.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 4 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Personal Foul (Matthew Salopek) to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
71.5%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Dominique Robinson for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 14
OPP 40
0
69.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Ty WaltonSimilar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 14
OPP 40
+9
69.0%
Kurtis Rourke run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+48
69.6%
Stephen Johnson 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:1633% → 31%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
66.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 6 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 4
OWN 37
0
66.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
68.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Tyre SheltonSimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
68.9%
Dom Dzioban punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Javon Conner at the Ohio 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
73.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3429% → 28%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
71.0%
Kevin Davis run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 6
OWN 13
0
70.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q3 14:18
3RD & 6
OWN 13
0
71.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q3 14:09
4TH & 6
OWN 13
+27
71.8%
Dom Dzioban punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Javon Conner at the OHIO 45 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Ryan Newton) to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15TD
2 plays · 40 yds · 0:1374% → 88%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
73.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 15 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
88.1%
Isiah Cox 25 Yd pass from Kurtis Rourke (Stephen Johnson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1614% → 13%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.2%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
86.5%
Brett Gabbert run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
86.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 3 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q3 12:04
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
87.2%
Kevin Davis run for no gain to the MiaOh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:2090% → 98%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
89.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 2 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-1
90.5%
Kurtis Rourke run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
90.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to O'Shaan AllisonSimilar
Q3 10:30
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+33
97.6%
Isiah Cox 33 Yd pass from Kurtis Rourke (Stephen Johnson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:402% → 9%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
97.9%
Brett Gabbert run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+1
98.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 1 yd to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+24
98.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 24 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+51
90.9%
Jalen Walker 51 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:5192% → 92%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
91.9%
De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 25Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 12
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to James Bostic IIISimilar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 12
OWN 25
-10
92.2%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Lonnie Phelps for a loss of 10 yards to the Ohio 15Similar
Q3 6:54
4TH & 22
OWN 15
+1
91.9%
Jack Wilson punt for 41 yds , Jalen Walker returns for 1 yd to the MiaOh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 1:178% → 20%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
92.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 7 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 3
OPP 48
0
91.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
92.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Devon DorseySimilar
Q3 5:58
4TH & 3
OPP 48
+6
92.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 6 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
92.4%
MIAMI OH Penalty, False Start (Sam Vaughan) to the Ohio 47Similar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+32
92.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 32 yds to the Ohio 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
91.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andrew HomerSimilar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
91.9%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+15
80.3%
Jack Sorenson 15 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:0088% → 88%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
87.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 14 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
88.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
88.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-2
88.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 3:35
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
87.6%
Jonah Wieland punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22DOWNS
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:2116% → 13%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
84.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 14 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
83.8%
MIAMI OH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+3
84.9%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+4
86.9%
Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+10
87.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 10 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
86.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 14 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
86.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
86.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 9 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+3
86.5%
Kenny Tracy run for 3 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
85.9%
Gabbert, Brett pass incomplete to Williams, Rhett, PENALTY OHIO roughing passer 15 yards to the OHIO19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMIOH.Similar
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
85.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 9 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q3 0:03
2ND & 1
OPP 10
0
85.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 1
OPP 10
0
86.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 1
OPP 10
-1
87.0%
Tyre Shelton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 3:0391% → 93%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+17
91.2%
Kurtis Rourke run for 17 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
91.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 9 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+4
92.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
93.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 4 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+1
93.6%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the Ohio 46Similar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
93.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Ty WaltonSimilar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
93.1%
Jonah Wieland punt for 37 yds, downed at the MiaOh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:139% → 7%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-10
91.4%
Gabbert, Brett pass complete to Hippenhammer, Mac for 55 yards to the OHIO28, PENALTY MIAMIOH holding 10 yards to the MIAMIOH7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 20
OWN 7
0
91.9%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 20
OWN 7
+16
92.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 16 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+3
92.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 3 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q4 10:07
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
93.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25MISSED FG
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:0695% → 95%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
95.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 5
OPP 21
-15
95.1%
Rourke, Kurtis pass complete to Cox, Isiah for 21 yards to the MIAMIOH0, PENALTY OHIO pass interference (Odom, Cameron) 15 yards to the MIAMIOH36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 20
OPP 36
+3
95.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 17
OPP 33
+4
95.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 4 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 13
OPP 29
+46
95.0%
Stephen Johnson 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 26TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 1:276% → 13%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
93.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 14 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
93.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 8 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+5
93.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 5 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
93.8%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+26
93.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 26 yds to the Ohio 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
92.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
92.8%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+5
93.5%
Gabbert, Brett pass incomplete to Sorenson, Jack, PENALTY OHIO 12 men on the field 5 yards to the OHIO9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 3
OPP 9
0
93.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q4 5:18
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+9
87.1%
Mac Hippenhammer 9 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 27PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 0:4991% → 94%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
91.3%
Kurtis Rourke run for 2 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+15
91.8%
Rourke, Kurtis rush for loss of 3 yards to the OHIO46, PENALTY MIAMIOH personal foul 15 yards to the MIAMIOH36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIO.Similar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
92.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+3
94.6%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 6
OPP 32
0
95.0%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Ty WaltonSimilar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 6
OPP 32
0
94.3%
Jonah Wieland punt for 27 yds, downed at the MiaOh 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 28TD
5 plays · 95 yds · 0:455% → 17%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
94.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 8 yds to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 2
OWN 13
0
94.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 2
OWN 13
+1
95.0%
Kenny Tracy run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q4 3:31
4TH & 1
OWN 14
+4
95.8%
Kenny Tracy run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+82
83.5%
Jack Sorenson 82 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 29TD
6 plays · 48 yds · 1:2581% → 97%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
81.4%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
84.7%
Armani Rogers run for no gain to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+46
97.1%
De'Montre Tuggle 46 Yd Run (Stephen Johnson Kick)Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 0
OPP 3
-5
97.6%
OHIO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 13
OWN 35
-15
96.8%
OHIO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Stephen Johnson) to the Ohio 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 30TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 0:304% → 29%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+21
96.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Rhett Williams for 21 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
95.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 17 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
94.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+13
95.0%
Brett Gabbert run for 13 yds to the Ohio 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
71.1%
Mac Hippenhammer 5 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 31END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:2593% → 95%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
92.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 49
-2
95.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:55
Mac Hippenhammer 5 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick)
-23.8
TD · Q3 13:27
Isiah Cox 25 Yd pass from Kurtis Rourke (Stephen Johnson Kick)
+14.3
TD · Q4 1:35
De'Montre Tuggle 46 Yd Run (Stephen Johnson Kick)
+12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com