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AKR

Akron 21 at Miami (OH) 34

M-OH
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:36 · Ethan Slike punt for 32 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior+36.3Home team on offense+2.1Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:18: AJ Mayer pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 57 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK) — M-OH win probability +1.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:40: Zach Gibson pass complete to Tristian Brank for 15 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK) — AKR win probability +3.4 pts (now 13%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:24: Jaylon Bester run for 5 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK) — M-OH win probability +3.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:39: Keyon Mozee run for 46 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson PAT BLOCKED) — M-OH win probability +4.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:32: AJ Mayer pass complete to Andrew Homer for 7 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK) — M-OH win probability +1.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5AKR made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:15AKR 4th & 15 at AKR 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:17AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.1%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:36AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:29AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:26M-OH 4th & 28 at M-OH 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:54AKR 4th & 30 at AKR 19, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−1.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:29AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 44, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00M-OH 4th & 3 at AKR 17, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:20M-OH 4th & 8 at AKR 8, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:20AKR 4th & 2 at M-OH 44, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:13M-OH 4th & 16 at M-OH 30, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:31AKR 4th & 26 at AKR 41, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:43M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 36, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5AKR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:42M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:18M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:40AKR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:24M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:39M-OH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:32M-OH Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 3:458% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 9 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
91.8%
Blake Hester run for no gain to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
91.8%
Blake Hester run for 3 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
91.8%
Blake Hester run for 1 yd to the Akron 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-8
91.8%
Zach Gibson sacked by Ivan Pace Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 30
+2
91.8%
Blake Hester run for 2 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 15
OWN 32
0
90.9%
Ethan Slike punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:3391% → 91%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
90.9%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 6 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
91.0%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
91.0%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
91.0%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Kevin Davis for 7 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 3
OPP 45
-5
91.0%
PENALTY MIA False Start (Redding,David) 5 yards from AKR45 to AKR50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 8
50
+10
91.0%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 10 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
91.0%
AJ Mayer pass incomplete to Jack ColdironSimilar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
91.0%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the Akron 40Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+16
90.9%
Kenny Tracy run for 16 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
91.1%
Kevin Davis run for 1 yd to the Akron 23Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+23
91.0%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Andrew Homer for 23 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 3:009% → 10%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
90.6%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
90.6%
Blake Hester run for no gain to the Akron 20Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+4
90.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 4 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+5
90.8%
PENALTY MIA Offside (Boswell,Cedric) 5 yards from AKR24 to AKR29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+17
90.5%
Blake Hester run for 2 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Ivan Pace Jr.) to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
90.1%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
90.2%
Blake Hester run for 1 yd to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
90.3%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
90.2%
Ethan Slike punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 1:1890% → 92%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
90.4%
Jaylon Bester run for no gain to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+16
90.3%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 16 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
90.5%
AJ Mayer pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
90.5%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Kevin Davis for 4 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+57
92.3%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 57 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 4:498% → 8%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.7%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Tristian Brank for 6 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
91.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 6 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
91.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
91.4%
Zach Gibson run for 4 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 46
-5
91.8%
Gibson,Zach pass complete to Mumpfield,Konata for 17 yards to the MIA37 (Pace Jr.,Ivan) PENALTY AKR Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Brank,Tristian) 5 yards from AKR46 to AKR41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 41
+4
91.8%
Zach Gibson run for 4 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 45
-5
91.9%
PENALTY AKR False Start (Georges,Tony) 5 yards from AKR45 to AKR40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 40
+9
91.9%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
91.9%
Ethan Slike punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6FUMBLE
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:4292% → 92%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
92.3%
Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+5
92.4%
Kenny Tracy run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
92.4%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Jalen Walker for 8 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+7
92.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
92.4%
AJ Mayer pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
92.4%
Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 36 Keyon Mozee fumbled, forced by Andrew Behm, recovered by Akron Andrew BehmSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7TD
3 plays · 36 yds · 1:079% → 13%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
91.1%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 11 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
90.7%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 10 yds to the MiaOh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
87.3%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Tristian Brank for 15 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1689% → 93%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.0%
Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
89.1%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
89.1%
AJ Mayer run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
89.3%
AJ Mayer sacked by Andrew Behm for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+8
89.2%
Kenny Tracy run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+7
89.3%
Kevin Davis run for 7 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
88.7%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Andrew Homer for 15 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+29
88.9%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 29 yds to the Akron 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.6%
Jaylon Bester run for 5 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:248% → 9%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+15
92.1%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Andre Williams for 15 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
91.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 8 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+14
91.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 14 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
91.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 16 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
90.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
90.9%
Blake Hester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 40 Blake Hester fumbled, forced by Cedric Boswell, recovered by MiaOh Lonnie PhelpsSimilar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
90.9%
Blake Hester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 40 Blake Hester fumbled, forced by Cedric Boswell, recovered by MiaOh Lonnie PhelpsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 7 yds · 1:3293% → 92%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
93.3%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Kenny Tracy for no gain to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+13
93.3%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 13 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
93.4%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 1 yd to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+11
93.3%
AJ Mayer run for 11 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
93.5%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Jalen Walker for 3 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 13
OPP 38
-5
93.3%
PENALTY MIA False Start (Borders,Kolby) 5 yards from AKR38 to AKR43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 18
OPP 43
0
93.3%
AJ Mayer pass incomplete to Kevin DavisSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 18
OPP 43
-10
93.0%
Mayer,AJ pass complete to Coldiron,Jack for 12 yards to the AKR31 (Kelly-Powell,Jaylen) PENALTY MIA Holding (Redding,David) 10 yards from AKR43 to MIA47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 28
OWN 47
0
92.8%
AJ Mayer pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 28
OWN 47
0
92.3%
Dom Dzioban punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Konata Mumpfield at the Akron 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
92.0%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2192% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.4%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
92.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
92.2%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 15 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
92.8%
PENALTY MIA False Start (Hippenhammer,Mac) 5 yards from MIA45 to MIA40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+7
92.7%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 7 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+7
92.8%
Jaylon Bester run for 7 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+46
97.1%
Keyon Mozee run for 46 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · -4 yds · 3:403% → 3%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
96.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 6 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+2
96.3%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 2 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+8
96.4%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Oran Singleton Jr. for 8 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
96.6%
Gibson,Zach pass complete to Mathison,Michael for 0 yards to the AKR39 PENALTY AKR Holding (Murphy,Owen) 10 yards from AKR39 to AKR29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+4
96.9%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 16
OWN 33
-5
97.3%
Gibson,Zach pass incomplete to Williams,Anthony QB hurried by Butler,Kameron PENALTY AKR False Start (Murphy,Owen) 5 yards from AKR33 to AKR28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 21
OWN 28
-9
97.4%
Zach Gibson sacked by Lonnie Phelps for a loss of 9 yards to the Akron 19Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 21
OWN 28
0
97.3%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Anthony Williams Jr.Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 30
OWN 19
+13
97.5%
Ethan Slike punt for 55 yds , Jalen Walker returns for 13 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 3:2298% → 100%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
97.7%
AJ Mayer run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+7
97.8%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Kevin Davis for 7 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
97.8%
PENALTY MIA False Start (Vaughan,Sam) 5 yards from AKR45 to AKR50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 15
50
+41
97.7%
Kevin Davis run for 41 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
97.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.7%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Andrew Homer for 7 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 4:030% → 0%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.7%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+8
99.7%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
99.7%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+3
99.7%
Zach Gibson pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for 3 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.7%
Zach Gibson run for 5 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 5
OWN 49
-5
99.7%
PENALTY AKR Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Brank,Tristian) 5 yards from AKR49 to AKR44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:29
4TH & 10
OWN 44
+7
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Andre Williams for 7 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:09100% → 100%
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
99.8%
Kenny Tracy run for 12 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
99.8%
PENALTY AKR UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Johnson,Ryan) 15 yards from AKR39 to AKR24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.8%
AJ Mayer pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
99.8%
Kenny Tracy run for 5 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+2
99.8%
Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the Akron 17Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+7
99.8%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 7 yds to the Akron 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.8%
Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the Akron 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.8%
AJ Mayer pass incomplete to Nate MuerschSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.8%
AJ Mayer pass incomplete to Kenny TracySimilar
Q4 12:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
99.9%
Graham Nicholson 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 2:460% → 0%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Blake Hester for 7 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+9
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 9 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
99.9%
PENALTY AKR False Start 5 yards from AKR36 to AKR31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+13
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 13 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
Blake Hester run for 4 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 8 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
Q4 12:20
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+17
99.9%
Zach Gibson run for 17 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 27 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 4:21100% → 100%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
David Afari run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
David Afari run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Aveon Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
David Afari run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
David Afari run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-15
99.9%
MIAMI OH Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 5:13
4TH & 16
OWN 30
+17
99.9%
Dom Dzioban punt for 50 yds , Oran Singleton Jr. returns for 17 yds to the Akron 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19PUNT
13 plays · 31 yds · 2:420% → 0%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Oran Singleton Jr. for 11 yds to the Akron 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
99.9%
Zach Gibson run for 7 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+16
99.9%
Blake Hester run for 16 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Oran Singleton Jr.Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+13
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 13 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Tony Grimes Jr.Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-1
99.9%
Zach Gibson sacked by Nasir Washington for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q4 2:40
4TH & 11
OPP 44
-15
100.0%
PENALTY AKR Personal Foul (Georges,Tony) 15 yards from MIA44 to AKR41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:31
4TH & 26
OWN 41
+6
100.0%
Ethan Slike punt for 36 yds , Darez Snider returns for 6 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Darez Snider run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
David Afari run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
David Afari run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 3
OWN 36
+8
100.0%
Dom Dzioban punt for 37 yds , Oran Singleton Jr. returns for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21TD
1 play · 50 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
50
+50
100.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Andre Williams for 50 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
100.0%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:39
Keyon Mozee run for 46 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson PAT BLOCKED)
+4.3
TD · Q2 4:24
Jaylon Bester run for 5 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q2 8:40
Zach Gibson pass complete to Tristian Brank for 15 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)
-3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com