Try the model
M-OH

Miami (OH) 10 at Army 23

ARMY
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Michie Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:06 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:18: Christian Anderson run for 72 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) — ARMY win probability +0.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 13:16: Graham Nicholson 29 Yd Field Goal — M-OH win probability +1.5 pts (now 31%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:13: Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 4 — ARMY win probability +4.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 15:00: Christian Anderson run for no gain to the MiaOh 18 — ARMY win probability +5.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:03: Kevin Davis 80 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick) — ARMY win probability +4.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 8 of 9M-OH made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:18M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:14ARMY 4th & 8 at M-OH 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    71.0%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:08ARMY 4th & 13 at M-OH 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    71.2%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:16M-OH 4th & 11 at ARMY 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    24.1%−3.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:03M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 38, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:50ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 23, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:13M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 27, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:27ARMY 4th & 4 at M-OH 4, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.3%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    71.0%−4.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:12M-OH 4th & 13 at M-OH 39, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−1.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00ARMY 4th & 22 at ARMY 31, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−3.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:02M-OH 4th & 2 at ARMY 31, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    21.5%−1.8
    54% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−3.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:02M-OH 4th & 1 at ARMY 1, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    19.8%−3.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−12.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:13ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 10, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    77.7%−2.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:03ARMY 4th & 20 at ARMY 34, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−3.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:45M-OH 4th & 11 at M-OH 2, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:56ARMY 4th & 2 at M-OH 32, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−0.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−1.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:06ARMY 4th & 3 at M-OH 22, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:18ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
68.2%
Kevin Davis run for no gain to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
68.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
68.2%
Brett Gabbert run for no gain to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
68.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
68.2%
Dom Dzioban punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 1:3768% → 69%
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
68.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the Army 24Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+4
68.1%
Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+72
68.7%
Christian Anderson run for 72 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.8%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.8%
David Afari run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
68.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
68.8%
Dom Dzioban punt for 34 yds, downed at the Army 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+21
69.4%
Christian Anderson run for 21 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
69.7%
Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+3
69.7%
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 5
OPP 41
-3
69.6%
A.J. Howard run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
69.2%
Zach Harding punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
69.8%
AJ Mayer pass intercepted Cameron Jones return for no gain to the Army 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
70.4%
Tyrell Robinson run for 7 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+11
70.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
70.5%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-3
70.5%
Anthony Adkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 13
OPP 44
0
70.0%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
69.5%
Zach Harding punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 6:2630% → 31%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
70.2%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+13
70.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 13 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
70.0%
Kevin Davis run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+1
69.9%
AJ Mayer run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+13
70.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
50
-3
69.3%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Andre Carter II for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+8
69.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 8 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+23
69.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 8 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, personal foul (Cameron Jones) to the Army 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
68.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 12 yds to the Army 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
68.5%
David Afari run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 12Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+1
69.4%
Brett Gabbert run for 1 yd to the Army 11Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
70.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q2 13:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
68.7%
Graham Nicholson 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
72.5%
Christian Anderson 75 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
72.7%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 11 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
72.2%
David Afari run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+4
72.7%
Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
72.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack ColdironSimilar
Q2 13:03
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
73.2%
Dom Dzioban punt for 44 yds, downed at the Army 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
73.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 21Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+1
72.9%
Christian Anderson run for 1 yd to the Army 22Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+1
72.4%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 23Similar
Q2 10:50
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
71.8%
Zach Harding punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
73.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
73.9%
AJ Mayer run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
74.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack ColdironSimilar
Q2 9:13
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
74.8%
TEAM punt blocked by Reikan Donaldson blocked by Reikan DonaldsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12FG
8 plays · 10 yds · 3:4575% → 75%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
75.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+6
75.2%
Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+1
74.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
75.2%
Christian Anderson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
75.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
74.6%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q2 4:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
75.0%
Cole Talley 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:1525% → 24%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
75.1%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, personal foul (Nolan Cockrill) to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-7
74.0%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Jaylen Jacobs and Nolan Cockrill for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 17
OWN 35
+4
75.4%
Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 13
OWN 39
0
75.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 13
OWN 39
+46
76.1%
TEAM punt, downed at the ARMY 30 ARMY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Reikan Donaldson) to the Army 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0074% → 76%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
73.8%
Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the Army 17Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+14
73.7%
Tyrell Robinson run for 14 yds to the Army 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
74.1%
Christian Anderson run for 5 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+3
74.9%
Cade Barnard run for 3 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+6
74.7%
Cade Barnard run for 6 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
75.7%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
77.9%
Brandon Walters run for 9 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
78.6%
Anthony Adkins run for 9 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
79.3%
HOWARD, A.J. rush for 1 yard to the ARMY44 (Butler, Kameron), PENALTY ARMY illegal block 15 yards to the ARMY28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 28
+1
77.8%
Cade Barnard run for 1 yd to the Army 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 24
OWN 29
-1
77.5%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 26 Christian Anderson fumbled, recovered by Army Christian AndersonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 27
OWN 26
0
76.7%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston, broken up by Cedric BoswellSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 27
OWN 26
+5
75.9%
MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive offside (Lonnie Phelps) to the Army 31Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 31
0
76.0%
Zach Harding punt for 45 yds, downed at the MiaOh 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 75 yds · 0:0023% → 25%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+37
77.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 37 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
74.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
74.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+8
75.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 8 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+3
75.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 3 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
72.9%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer, broken up by Marquel BroughtonSimilar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+10
73.3%
Brett Gabbert run for 10 yds to the Army 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
72.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 11 yds to the Army 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
72.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q3 12:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
72.8%
David Afari run for 6 yds to the Army 1Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
74.2%
David Afari run for no gain to the Army 1Similar
Q3 12:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
75.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack ColdironSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17TD
18 plays · 99 yds · 10:5180% → 88%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
79.6%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 4Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+2
79.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 6Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+4
78.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Army 10Similar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 1
OWN 10
+2
77.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
79.7%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-8
79.5%
Reikan Donaldson run for a loss of 8 yards to the Army 4 Reikan Donaldson fumbled, forced by Kameron Butler, recovered by Army Reikan DonaldsonSimilar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 18
OWN 4
+42
78.5%
Christian Anderson run for 42 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
81.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
81.9%
Cade Barnard run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+2
81.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
82.1%
Christian Anderson run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+21
82.0%
Anthony Adkins run for 21 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
87.6%
Christian Anderson run for no gain to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
87.6%
Anthony Adkins run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+7
86.7%
Tyrell Robinson run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
87.6%
Anthony Adkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
87.6%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
88.1%
Anthony Adkins 4 Yd Run (Cole Talley PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
91.6%
Kevin Davis 80 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.5%
Anthony Adkins run for 1 yd to the Army 26Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
93.5%
Christian Anderson run for 6 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
93.5%
Christian Anderson run for 12 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
94.1%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
93.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 8
OWN 46
-2
93.7%
Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 39 Tyhier Tyler fumbled, forced by Kobe Hilton, recovered by Army Cade BarnardSimilar
Q4 11:03
4TH & 15
OWN 39
-5
92.7%
ARMY Penalty, false start (Brandon Walters) to the Army 34Similar
Q4 11:03
4TH & 20
OWN 34
0
92.7%
Zach Harding punt for 63 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
93.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for no gain to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
93.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Keyon MozeeSimilar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 10
OWN 3
0
93.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen Walker, broken up by Malkelm MorrisonSimilar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 10
OWN 3
-1
93.8%
MIAMI OH Penalty, delay of game (Ivan Pace Jr.) to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 11
OWN 2
0
93.8%
Dom Dzioban punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21END OF GAME
13 plays · 23 yds · 3:5096% → 98%
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
96.1%
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+2
96.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+3
96.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q4 5:56
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+3
95.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
96.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+2
97.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+2
97.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+4
97.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
98.1%
A.J. Howard run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 3
OPP 11
-4
98.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 7
OPP 15
-2
98.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 15:00
Christian Anderson run for no gain to the MiaOh 18
+5.5
TD · Q4 11:03
Kevin Davis 80 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick)
+4.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 7:13
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 4
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com