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TULN

Tulane 28 at Memphis 33

MEM
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2021 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:18 · Ryan Wright punt for 27 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 85Home team on offense−1.1Pregame prior+5.7Score differential−2.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:52: Seth Henigan pass complete to Rodrigues Clark for 15 yds for a TD, (David Kemp KICK) — MEM win probability +8.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:11: Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +22.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:57: Asa Martin 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — MEM win probability +17.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:31: Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 25 yds for a TD, (David Kemp KICK) — MEM win probability +13.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:57: Duece Watts 21 Yd pass from Michael Pratt (Merek Glover Kick) — TULN win probability +20.8 pts (now 24%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 9TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:46MEM 4th & 3 at MEM 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:51MEM 4th & 1 at MEM 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    61.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:05TULN 4th & 1 at MEM 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    38.7%−1.7
    72% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−5.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:46MEM 4th & 7 at MEM 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:44TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:13MEM 4th & 13 at TULN 32, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.7 ptsWent for it · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.5%−1.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    62.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    60.0%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:18TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:56MEM 4th & 1 at TULN 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    60.6%−2.6
    85% to make
    Punt
    52.1%−11.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:29MEM 4th & 8 at TULN 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−9.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:38MEM 4th & 10 at TULN 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−8.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:21TULN 4th & 3 at MEM 11, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    29.7%−1.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−13.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:54TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 32, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.8%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:47MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 42, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:36TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 37, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.2%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:17MEM 4th & 9 at TULN 36, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:17TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:02MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:34TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:52MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:11TULN Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:57MEM Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    72.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:31MEM Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:57TULN Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0062% → 62%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 5
OWN 36
0
61.9%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
61.9%
Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 1
OWN 40
-2
61.9%
Seth Henigan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 38Similar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
61.8%
Joe Doyle punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 5:1438% → 42%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
61.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+6
61.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the Tulan 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
61.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 13 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
61.6%
Michael Pratt sacked by Rodney Owens for 0 yards to the Tulan 36Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+16
61.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 16 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
61.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 4 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
61.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+14
61.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 14 yds to the Memph 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
61.0%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+8
61.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 8 yds to the Memph 18Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+4
60.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 4 yds to the Memph 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
58.2%
Michael Pratt run for 14 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:0959% → 63%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.1%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
58.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 8 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
58.9%
Seth Henigan run for 1 yd to the Memph 34Similar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
58.3%
Marquavius Weaver run for 2 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
58.5%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-4
58.3%
Rodrigues Clark run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 32Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+14
57.5%
Seth Henigan run for 14 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
58.5%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
58.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Marcayll Jones for 9 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+4
58.6%
Asa Martin run for 4 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
58.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Marcayll Jones for 9 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+9
59.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Marcayll Jones for 9 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
58.9%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+16
58.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for 16 yds to the Tulan 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
58.8%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-1
58.2%
Asa Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 13Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+13
62.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 13 yds for a TD, (David Kemp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:0741% → 48%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
59.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 11 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
59.1%
Jha'Quan Jackson run for 5 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
58.9%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Memph 36Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+9
59.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 9 yds to the Memph 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
58.4%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
58.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the Memph 22Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+7
58.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 7 yds to the Memph 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
58.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Memph 11Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 6
OPP 11
-5
58.0%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 16Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+9
58.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 9 yds to the Memph 7Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+7
51.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:2054% → 64%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
54.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 11 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
54.4%
Rodrigues Clark run for 1 yd to the Memph 40Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+22
54.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for 22 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
55.6%
TULANE Penalty, Roughing the Passer on HODGES, Darius enforced (Darius Hodges) to the Tulan 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
63.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Rodrigues Clark for 15 yds for a TD, (David Kemp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6INT
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:1440% → 45%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.0%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+22
60.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
50
+7
57.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+12
57.2%
Michael Pratt run for 12 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
56.7%
Michael Pratt sacked by CamRon Jackson and Jaylon Allen for 0 yards to the Memph 33Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 12
OPP 33
0
56.0%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+11
57.3%
Tyjae Spears run for 11 yds to the Memph 22Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+4
57.1%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the Memph 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
54.9%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
55.1%
Michael Pratt pass intercepted return for no gain to the Memph 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3361% → 59%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
61.2%
Rodrigues Clark run for 5 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-2
62.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 30Similar
Q2 5:53
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
60.2%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:46
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
59.2%
Joe Doyle punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5842% → 40%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
58.0%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
58.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
58.8%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
59.7%
Ryan Wright punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9DOWNS
13 plays · 46 yds · 4:1761% → 59%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
61.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for 14 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
63.2%
Marquavius Weaver run for 1 yd to the Memph 48Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 9
OWN 48
-5
63.1%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Illegal Snap on LIKES, Jacob enforced (-5 Yards) to the Memph 43Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+14
61.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 14 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
63.6%
Seth Henigan sacked by Larry Brooks for 0 yards to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+6
63.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 6 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+9
63.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Marcayll Jones for 9 yds to the Tulan 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
64.5%
Marquavius Weaver run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 30Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
64.1%
Seth Henigan sacked by Jeffery Johnson for 0 yards to the Tulan 32Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 13
OPP 32
0
61.1%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 13
OPP 32
+11
59.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 11 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3043% → 41%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
57.0%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:24
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
58.0%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:18
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
59.2%
Ryan Wright punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 3:3263% → 66%
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
63.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Rodrigues Clark for 5 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+9
63.9%
Rodrigues Clark run for 9 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
63.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 17 yds to the Tulan 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
64.6%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
64.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for 7 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+2
63.2%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+2
61.7%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the Tulan 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
64.5%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+2
64.5%
Seth Henigan run for 2 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
63.2%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+27
66.0%
David Kemp 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13FUMBLE
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:1536% → 41%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
64.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
62.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
63.1%
Tyjae Spears run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 36Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
63.9%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+17
65.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 17 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
60.5%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
60.8%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+13
62.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 13 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
59.2%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-7
59.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for a loss of 7 yards to the Memph 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:0668% → 73%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
67.5%
Asa Martin run for 2 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
68.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for 4 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+12
67.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for 12 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
69.9%
TULANE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Tulan 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
70.4%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
70.4%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
69.0%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+40
73.1%
David Kemp 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1130% → 56%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+57
70.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 57 yds to the Memph 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
63.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Memph 17Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+4
62.6%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Memph 13Similar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+2
64.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Memph 11Similar
Q3 2:21
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+9
66.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 9 yds to the Memph 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
44.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:0353% → 76%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
52.5%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
51.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 3 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+24
50.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 24 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
57.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 13 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+29
58.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 29 yds to the Tulan 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.0%
Asa Martin 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17TD
3 plays · 29 yds · 1:0676% → 90%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
76.1%
Asa Martin run for 3 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+1
76.2%
Asa Martin run for 1 yd to the Tulan 25Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+25
89.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 25 yds for a TD, (David Kemp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18INT
8 plays · 56 yds · 3:1412% → 12%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.7%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
88.3%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 11:54
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+7
88.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 7 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
86.5%
Michael Pratt run for 5 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+1
87.7%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the Tulan 45Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+36
89.6%
Tyjae Spears run for 36 yds to the Memph 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
88.2%
Michael Pratt pass intercepted return for no gain to the Memph 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 4:0493% → 96%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
92.7%
Rodrigues Clark run for 5 yds to the Memph 15Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+9
93.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 9 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
93.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for 14 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
94.3%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
95.9%
Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
96.1%
Seth Henigan sacked by Dorian Williams for 0 yards to the Memph 42Similar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
96.0%
Joe Doyle punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:117% → 7%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
93.0%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+14
93.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 14 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
92.1%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
92.9%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+7
93.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q4 4:36
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
93.1%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:1597% → 97%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
96.6%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+5
97.1%
Rodrigues Clark run for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 3
OPP 30
-1
97.6%
Seth Henigan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 4:21
4TH & 4
OPP 31
-5
97.2%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 36Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 9
OPP 36
0
97.2%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:034% → 24%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
96.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Will Wallace for 7 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+7
97.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
50
+8
97.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 8 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+1
96.8%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the Memph 41Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
96.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
97.0%
Michael Pratt sacked by Wardalis Ducksworth for 0 yards to the Memph 39Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+18
97.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 18 yds to the Memph 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
76.3%
Duece Watts 21 Yd pass from Michael Pratt (Merek Glover Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+23.7
TD · Q3 2:11
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
-22.4
TD · Q4 1:57
Duece Watts 21 Yd pass from Michael Pratt (Merek Glover Kick)
-20.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com