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USF

South Florida 14 at Tulane 45

TULN
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreUSF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:11 · Andrew Stokes punt for 39 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 2 yds to the Tulan 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Home team on offense+2.3Score differential+0.8Pregame prior+12.1Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:35: Kel Joiner Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK) — USF win probability +1.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 9:29: Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for 9 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +2.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 8:17: Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 30 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +3.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 0:38: Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +8.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 9:57: Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 48 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +8.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5USF made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 9:19USF 4th & 5 at USF 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:11USF 4th & 9 at USF 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00USF 4th & 18 at USF 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:53USF 4th & 9 at USF 48, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:07TULN 4th & 6 at USF 15, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    93.5%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:05USF 4th & 4 at TULN 34, down 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.7%−0.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00TULN 4th & 11 at TULN 24, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:39USF 4th & 8 at USF 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:38USF 4th & 24 at USF 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:23TULN 4th & 8 at USF 47, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:31USF 4th & 8 at USF 47, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:19TULN 4th & 12 at USF 19, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:14USF 4th & 1 at TULN 31, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:37USF 4th & 9 at TULN 9, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:37TULN 4th & 12 at USF 47, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6USF made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 12:35USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:57TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 9:29TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 8:17TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 0:38TULN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:57TULN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:37TULN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:37USF Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USFDrive 1TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:2536% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
63.7%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
63.7%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 6 yds to the SFla 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+6
63.7%
Timmy McClain run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
63.7%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 6 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
63.7%
Timmy McClain pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+18
63.7%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 18 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
63.7%
Kel Joiner Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+24
62.4%
Kel Joiner Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 0:3663% → 64%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
62.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 5 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+69
63.6%
Tyjae Spears run for 69 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
63.2%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 8 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+3
63.1%
Brian Battie run for 3 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-18
63.1%
Timmy McClain pass intercepted Macon Clark return for 33 yds to the SFla 11 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Timmy McClain) to the SFla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:1264% → 66%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
64.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the SFla 17Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+2
64.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the SFla 15Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+6
63.9%
Michael Pratt run for 6 yds to the SFla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
66.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for 9 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
65.4%
Jaren Mangham run for 5 yds to the SFla 11Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 5
OWN 11
0
65.4%
Timmy McClain pass incomplete to Jimmy Horn Jr.Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 5
OWN 11
0
65.6%
Timmy McClain pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 5
OWN 11
+19
65.7%
Andrew Stokes punt for 29 yds SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, kick catching interference (-10 Yards) to the SFla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
69.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 30 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
68.0%
Kel Joiner Jr. run for 2 yds to the SFla 21Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+2
68.0%
Timmy McClain run for 2 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+11
68.1%
Timmy McClain run for 11 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
67.9%
Timmy McClain run for 3 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+7
67.9%
Kel Joiner Jr. run for 7 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
67.8%
Kel Joiner Jr. run for 5 yds to the SFla 49Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-4
67.6%
Timmy McClain run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 45Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
67.9%
Timmy McClain pass incomplete to Jimmy Horn Jr.Similar
Q1 8:11
4TH & 9
OWN 45
+2
68.1%
Andrew Stokes punt for 39 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 2 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 3:3771% → 80%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
71.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 6 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+44
71.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 44 yds to the SFla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
72.1%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the SFla 30Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+12
72.1%
Jha'Quan Jackson run for 12 yds to the SFla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
72.1%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the SFla 16Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+3
72.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the SFla 13Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+7
71.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 7 yds to the SFla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
79.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 0:3220% → 19%
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
79.8%
Timmy McClain pass incomplete to Sean AtkinsSimilar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
80.0%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 8 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q1 0:32
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-5
79.7%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Jaren Mangham) to the SFla 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+19
80.7%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 19 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
80.2%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 7 yds to the SFla 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+4
79.6%
Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
79.8%
Timmy McClain pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
80.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 45
-10
80.2%
Timmy McClain sacked by Nick Anderson for a loss of 10 yards to the SFla 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 45
0
80.8%
Andrew Stokes punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:0784% → 92%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
83.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
83.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+10
83.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 10 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
83.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Phat WattsSimilar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
83.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 8 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+8
83.6%
Michael Pratt run for 8 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
91.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 48 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
91.8%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Chris Carter for 6 yds to the SFla 41Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
91.1%
Kel Joiner Jr. run for 3 yds to the SFla 44Similar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
91.1%
Kel Joiner Jr. run for 3 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
91.6%
Timmy McClain pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-6
91.6%
Timmy McClain sacked by Darius Hodges for a loss of 6 yards to the SFla 41 Timmy McClain fumbled, recovered by SFla Timmy McClain , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 16
OWN 41
+12
92.4%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Brian Battie for 12 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q2 9:53
4TH & 4
OPP 47
-5
91.4%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Jaren Mangham) to the SFla 48Similar
Q2 9:53
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
91.9%
Andrew Stokes punt for 40 yds, downed at the Tulan 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12MISSED FG
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:3794% → 96%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
94.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+11
94.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 11 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
94.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 6 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+8
94.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 8 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
94.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 1
50
+31
94.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Will Wallace for 31 yds to the SFla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
94.6%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the SFla 16Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 7
OPP 16
-2
94.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 18Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+3
94.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the SFla 15Similar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
96.0%
Merek Glover 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13MISSED FG
15 plays · 46 yds · 2:024% → 4%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
96.3%
Timmy McClain sacked by Jeffery Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the SFla 11Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 19
OWN 11
0
96.3%
Timmy McClain pass incomplete to Jimmy Horn Jr.Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 19
OWN 11
+20
96.3%
Kel Joiner Jr. run for 20 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
96.1%
Timmy McClain pass incomplete to Sean AtkinsSimilar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+19
96.2%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Demarcus Gregory for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
50
+8
95.9%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 8 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+2
95.3%
Kel Joiner Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
97.3%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Demarcus Gregory for 3 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
97.6%
Timmy McClain pass incomplete, broken up by Adonis FrilouxSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+3
97.7%
Timmy McClain run for 3 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+51
96.2%
Spencer Shrader 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
97.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.7%
Tyjae Spears run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
97.7%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Tulan 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
97.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Phat WattsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
97.6%
Ryan Wright punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
98.2%
Jaren Mangham run for no gain to the SFla 23Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
98.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the SFla 25Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Timmy McClain pass incomplete to Jimmy Horn Jr.Similar
Q3 13:39
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Andrew Stokes punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
98.3%
Michael Pratt run for 14 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-7
98.4%
Michael Pratt sacked by Rashawn Yates for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 42Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 17
OWN 42
-1
98.3%
Tyjae Spears run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 41Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 18
OWN 41
0
98.3%
Michael Pratt pass intercepted Christian Williams return for no gain to the SFla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-7
98.7%
Timmy McClain sacked by Noah Seiden for a loss of 7 yards to the SFla 38Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 17
OWN 38
+3
98.7%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 3 yds to the SFla 41Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 14
OWN 41
-10
98.8%
Timmy McClain sacked by Eric Hicks Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the SFla 31 Timmy McClain fumbled, recovered by SFla Kel Joiner Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 24
OWN 31
0
98.8%
Andrew Stokes punt for 46 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for no gain to the Tulan 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+28
99.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 28 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.1%
Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd to the SFla 48Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+1
99.1%
Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd to the SFla 47Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
99.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for no gain to the SFla 47Similar
Q3 8:23
4TH & 8
OPP 47
+46
99.1%
Ryan Wright punt for 39 yds, downed at the SFla 8 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (Thad Mangum) to the SFla 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
99.4%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the SFla 6Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+4
99.4%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Chris Carter for 4 yds to the SFla 10Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+5
99.4%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Randal Copeland for 5 yds Randal Copeland fumbled, forced by Jaylon Monroe, recovered by Tulan Jaylon MonroeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21TD
2 plays · 15 yds · 2:2099% → 100%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
99.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 7 yds to the SFla 8Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+8
99.6%
Cameron Carroll run for 8 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
99.6%
Cade Fortin pass complete to Brian Battie for 8 yds to the SFla 25Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the SFla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
99.6%
Kel Joiner Jr. run for 16 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
99.6%
Kel Joiner Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 41Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+6
99.6%
Kel Joiner Jr. run for 6 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
99.6%
Cade Fortin pass incomplete to Mitchell BrinkmanSimilar
Q3 3:31
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
99.6%
Andrew Stokes punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23FG
8 plays · 67 yds · 4:31100% → 100%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+4
99.7%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+16
99.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 16 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+46
99.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 46 yds to the SFla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
99.7%
Iverson Celestine run for 2 yds to the SFla 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
99.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Phat WattsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 15
-4
99.7%
Michael Pratt run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 19Similar
Q4 11:19
4TH & 12
OPP 19
+36
99.8%
Merek Glover 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 24TD
15 plays · 66 yds · 5:370% → 0%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
99.9%
Brian Battie run for 11 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-2
99.9%
Cade Fortin pass complete to Omarion Dollison for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 45Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+15
99.9%
Cade Fortin pass complete to Brian Battie for 15 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
99.9%
Cade Fortin pass complete to Chris Carter for 1 yd to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Cade Fortin pass incomplete to Demarcus GregorySimilar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+8
99.9%
Kel Joiner Jr. run for 8 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+1
99.8%
Kel Joiner Jr. run for 1 yd to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
99.8%
Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+20
99.8%
Cade Fortin pass complete to Thad Mangum for 20 yds to the Tulan 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Cade Fortin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Cade Fortin pass incomplete to Thad MangumSimilar
Q4 11:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Kel Joiner Jr. run for no gain to the Tulan 9Similar
Q4 5:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Cade Fortin run for 9 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Iverson Celestine run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
99.9%
Iverson Celestine run for 12 yds to the Tulan 40 Iverson Celestine fumbled, forced by Isaiah Cromarty, recovered by Tulan Tyrick James for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Iverson Celestine run for no gain to the Tulan 40Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
Iverson Celestine run for 15 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
99.9%
Iverson Celestine run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 46Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Mason Courtney run for 3 yds to the SFla 43Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 8
OPP 43
-4
99.9%
Mason Courtney run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 47Similar
Q4 5:37
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Ryan Wright punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 26Uncategorized
1 play · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
Mychael Hamilton run for 1 yd to the SFla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:57
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 48 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)
+8.3
TD · Q1 0:38
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)
+8
TD · Q1 8:17
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 30 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com