Try the model
TLSA

Tulsa 20 at Tulane 13

TULN
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · Yulman Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadTLSA aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreTLSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:53 · Ryan Wright punt for 45 yds, downed at the Tulsa 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 91Home team on offense−8.7Score differential−4.4Garbage-time factor−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8Pregame prior−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:00: Davis Brin pass complete to Ezra Naylor II for 10 yds for a TD, (Zack Long KICK) — TLSA win probability +1.7 pts (now 55%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 9:26: Merek Glover 40 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +1.4 pts (now 43%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 2:52: Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 49 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +35.5 pts (now 44%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:16: Merek Glover 23 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +13.6 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Shamari Brooks 15 Yd Run (Zack Long Kick) — TLSA win probability +19.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 10 of 12TLSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00TLSA 4th & 1 at TULN 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    56.2%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    55.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:53TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:42TLSA 4th & 4 at TULN 12, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.6%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    55.9%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:42TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00TLSA 4th & 8 at TLSA 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:26TULN 4th & 8 at TLSA 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    33.7%−3.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:22TLSA 4th & 2 at TLSA 20, up 7
    Close callPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:28TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:43TLSA 4th & 4 at TLSA 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.8
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:56TULN 4th & 10 at TLSA 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:30TLSA 4th & 5 at TULN 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    64.8%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:53TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:21TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:46TLSA 4th & 12 at TLSA 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−2.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:59TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:44TLSA 4th & 1 at TULN 47, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%−3.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:44TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−1.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00TULN 4th & 10 at TLSA 34, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.1%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    22.4%
    47% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−1.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:00TULN 4th & 13 at TULN 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:59TLSA 4th & 8 at TULN 34, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    88.8%−0.1
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%−1.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:16TULN 4th & 6 at TLSA 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−12.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−34.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 0 of 1TLSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:00TLSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 2:52TULN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.5%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TLSADrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:0053% → 55%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
46.9%
Shamari Brooks run for 19 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
46.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 4 yds to the Tulsa 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+1
46.9%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+6
46.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 6 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
46.9%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+10
46.9%
[No Huddle, Shotgun], Brin, Davis deep pass incomplete to Johnson, Josh, PENALTY TULANE holding (Candy, Jadon) 10 yards to the TULANE33, 1ST DOWN TULSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
46.9%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+4
46.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 4 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+1
46.9%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+9
46.9%
Braylon Braxton run for 9 yds to the Tulan 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
46.9%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulan 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+2
46.9%
Davis Brin run for 2 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
45.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Ezra Naylor II for 10 yds for a TD, (Zack Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
45.8%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 19Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
45.7%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+8
45.5%
Michael Pratt run for 8 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
45.5%
Ryan Wright punt for 65 yds, downed at the Tulsa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 3FG
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:4655% → 57%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
45.5%
Anthony Watkins run for 15 yds to the Tulsa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
45.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 6 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+26
45.0%
Anthony Watkins run for 26 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
44.6%
Davis Brin run for 14 yds to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
44.5%
Anthony Watkins run for 8 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 2
OPP 23
-5
44.5%
TULSA Penalty, false start (Josh Johnson) to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+3
44.5%
Deneric Prince run for 3 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+7
44.6%
Davis Brin run for 7 yds to the Tulan 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
44.5%
Anthony Watkins run for 3 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+3
44.5%
Anthony Watkins run for 3 yds to the Tulan 12Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
44.6%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+30
43.3%
Zack Long 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
42.9%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 20Similar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
42.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 5 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-2
42.9%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+7
42.2%
Ryan Wright punt for 62 yds , Kamdyn Benjamin returns for 7 yds to the Tulsa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:4657% → 57%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
42.8%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+2
42.5%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+7
42.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Ezra Naylor II for 7 yds to the Tulsa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
42.2%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
42.5%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
42.7%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
43.1%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 53 yds, downed at the Tulan 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:2240% → 43%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
40.3%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 14Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+21
40.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 21 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
40.6%
Cameron Carroll run for 6 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+4
41.4%
Cameron Carroll run for 4 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
41.3%
[No Huddle, Shotgun], Pratt, Michael sideline pass incomplete to Toles, Jaetavia, PENALTY TULSA pass interference (Davis, Tyon) 15 yards to the TULSA40, 1ST DOWN TULANE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
41.9%
[No Huddle, Shotgun], Pratt, Michael deep pass incomplete to Wyatt, Shae (Martin, TieNeal), PENALTY TULSA roughing passer (Taylor, Elijah) 15 yards to the TULSA25, 1ST DOWN TULANE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
42.6%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
42.6%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
41.7%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
43.1%
Merek Glover 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
42.0%
Deneric Prince run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 8
OWN 14
-1
42.1%
Davis Brin sacked by Adonis Friloux for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 13Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+7
42.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 7 yds to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 2
OWN 20
+9
43.0%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 52 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 9 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
41.3%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-5
42.2%
TULANE Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 34Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+4
40.6%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
40.8%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
39.7%
Ryan Wright punt for 56 yds , Kamdyn Benjamin returns for no gain to the Tulsa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
40.0%
Anthony Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 5Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+5
40.2%
Anthony Watkins run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 10Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+2
40.6%
TieNeal Martin run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 12Similar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 4
OWN 12
+4
41.2%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 42 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10MISSED FG
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:3343% → 39%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
50
+19
42.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 19 yds to the Tulsa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
43.9%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
43.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae WyattSimilar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
42.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Phat Watts, broken up by TieNeal MartinSimilar
Q2 1:56
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+48
38.8%
Merek Glover 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 11FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 1:2664% → 67%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
36.1%
Davis Brin run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+10
35.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Ezra Naylor II for 10 yds to the Tulsa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
34.5%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
34.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Ezra Naylor II for 2 yds to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
34.8%
PENALTY TULSA unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY TULANE unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+16
35.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Malachai Jones for 16 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
33.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Ezra Naylor II for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
33.6%
Davis Brin pass incomplete, broken up by Darius HodgesSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
34.1%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to JuanCarlos SantanaSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+48
33.4%
Zack Long 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
34.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
34.4%
Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
34.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd to the Tulan 41Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+4
33.4%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
32.9%
Ryan Wright punt for 45 yds, downed at the Tulsa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 83 yds · 0:0068% → 70%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
32.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 11Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+2
32.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 2 yds to the Tulsa 13Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+19
33.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Ezra Naylor II for 19 yds to the Tulsa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+59
31.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Cannon Montgomery for 59 yds to the Tulan 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
30.2%
Davis Brin run for 3 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 0
OPP 6
+2
29.7%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 9 Shamari Brooks fumbled, forced by Jaylon Monroe, recovered by Tulan Nick Anderson , return for 2 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
30.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyjae Spears, broken up by Deven LampSimilar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 9
-5
30.0%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Corey Dublin) to the Tulan 4Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 15
OWN 4
+11
30.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 11 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 4
OWN 15
-5
29.3%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 10Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 9
OWN 10
0
29.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for no gain to the Tulan 10Similar
Q3 10:21
4TH & 9
OWN 10
0
28.5%
Ryan Wright punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kamdyn Benjamin at the Tulsa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
28.7%
Davis Brin sacked by Nick Anderson for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 41 TULSA Penalty, Offensive holding (Tyon Davis) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+4
30.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 4 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-2
29.4%
Davis Brin sacked by Kevin Henry for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 43 TULSA Penalty, Offensive holding (Tyon Davis) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
31.4%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0029% → 27%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
28.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-2
27.6%
Michael Pratt sacked by Jaxon Player for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 25Similar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
26.8%
Ryan Wright punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Kamdyn Benjamin at the Tulsa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
26.9%
[No Huddle, Shotgun], Brin, Davis sacked for loss of 5 yards to the TULSA24 (Friloux, Adonis), PENALTY TULANE personal foul (Dorceus, Joseph) 15 yards to the TULSA44, 1ST DOWN TULSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
25.8%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 48Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+2
25.8%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 4
50
+3
26.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 3 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 5:44
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
27.3%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
24.4%
Cameron Carroll run for 6 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 4
OWN 16
0
24.6%
Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the Tulan 16Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+11
23.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 11 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
25.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
24.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae WyattSimilar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+5
23.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Will Wallace for 5 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 2:44
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
23.1%
Ryan Wright punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kamdyn Benjamin at the Tulsa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
23.5%
Davis Brin pass intercepted Kevin Henry return for 4 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0028% → 23%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
28.3%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Will Wallace, broken up by Jaise OliverSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
28.3%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+1
26.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 29
-5
24.3%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Tyrick James) to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+8
23.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 8 yds to the Tulsa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22INT
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:0077% → 79%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
23.2%
Anthony Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+3
23.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Davis Brin for 3 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+12
24.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 12 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
21.3%
Steven Anderson run for 12 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
20.8%
Steven Anderson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+7
20.7%
Steven Anderson run for 7 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
20.8%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
20.2%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
21.0%
Davis Brin pass intercepted Jadon Canady return for no gain to the Tulan 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
14.3%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Tulan 5Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+13
14.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 13 yds to the Tulan 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
14.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae Wyatt, broken up by TieNeal MartinSimilar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
14.6%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 8
OWN 20
-5
13.7%
Michael Pratt sacked by Jaxon Player for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 15Similar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 13
OWN 15
0
12.8%
Ryan Wright punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24PUNT
11 plays · 16 yds · 1:5390% → 92%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
50
-1
10.4%
Davis Brin sacked by Jeffery Johnson and Jaylon Monroe for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+5
10.7%
Steven Anderson run for 5 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+10
9.6%
[Shotgun], Brin, Davis deep pass incomplete to Johnson, Josh, PENALTY TULANE holding (Rakestraw, Derr) 10 yards to the TULANE36, 1ST DOWN TULSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
9.1%
Steven Anderson run for no gain to the Tulan 36Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
8.7%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 6
OPP 32
-2
8.7%
Braylon Braxton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 3:59
4TH & 8
OPP 34
0
8.2%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 29 yds, downed at the Tulan 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25TD
5 plays · 95 yds · 0:576% → 44%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
6.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 1 yd to the Tulan 6Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+45
6.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 45 yds to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
8.3%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyjae SpearsSimilar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+49
43.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 49 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 26FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 1:3140% → 61%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
40.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 20 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
46.8%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+38
45.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 38 yds to the Tulsa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
50.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 6Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
50.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q4 2:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
47.0%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
60.7%
Merek Glover 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 27INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.5%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Ezra Naylor IISimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-12
51.0%
Davis Brin pass intercepted Macon Clark return for 12 yds to the Tulsa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 28MISSED FG
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:5667% → 65%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
67.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 7 yds to the Tulsa 17Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+5
67.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
67.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 9Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
67.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:04
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+26
64.7%
Merek Glover 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 29END OF HALF TD
6 plays · 0 yds · 15:0451% → 26%
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
50.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
41.1%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
22.0%
Shamari Brooks 15 Yd Run (Zack Long Kick)Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
28.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 5 yds to the Tulsa 20Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
-5
25.5%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Duece Watts) to the Tulsa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:52
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 49 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
+35.5
TD · OT 0:00
Shamari Brooks 15 Yd Run (Zack Long Kick)
-19.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-17.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com