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HOU

Houston 37 at Temple 8

TEM
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadHOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreHOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:26 · Adam Barry punt for 47 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 14 yds to the Houst 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Pregame prior−28.3Home team on offense−18.7Score differential−9.5Garbage-time factor−5.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:29: Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 6 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +5.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:00: Alton McCaskill run for 34 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +4.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:22: Edward Saydee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Lynch pass to Darius Pittman for Two-Point Conversion) — TEM win probability +7.7 pts (now 10%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:20: Clayton Tune pass incomplete — HOU win probability +4.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:57: Clayton Tune pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 35 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon PAT BLOCKED) — HOU win probability +2.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 8HOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 14:01TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:13HOU 4th & 9 at HOU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:17TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:06TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:09HOU 4th & 9 at TEM 33, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    90.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:55TEM 4th & 4 at HOU 18, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.4%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:43HOU 4th & 4 at TEM 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    87.5%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:46HOU 4th & 15 at TEM 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    84.7%−2.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:47TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:35HOU 4th & 6 at TEM 26, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.0%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    87.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    85.8%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:01HOU 4th & 12 at TEM 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    84.6%−2.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:26TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:11HOU 4th & 8 at HOU 41, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:05TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:18HOU 4th & 11 at HOU 16, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:41HOU 4th & 13 at TEM 45, up 22
    Close callWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    98.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:18TEM 4th & 5 at HOU 46, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:21HOU 4th & 6 at HOU 35, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 0 of 1HOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:47HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:29HOU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:00HOU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:22TEM Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:57HOU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:13HOU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:596% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
5.7%
Justin Lynch run for 4 yds to the Temp 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
5.7%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
5.7%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:01
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
5.9%
Adam Barry punt for 42 yds , Marcus Jones returns for no gain to the Houst 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4894% → 94%
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
5.9%
Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the Houst 45Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
5.9%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
6.0%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:13
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
6.2%
Laine Wilkins punt for 44 yds, downed at the Temp 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:566% → 7%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
6.2%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+2
6.2%
Justin Lynch run for 2 yds to the Temp 13Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 8
OWN 13
0
6.2%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 8
OWN 13
0
6.5%
Adam Barry punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Temp 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:3094% → 93%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
6.4%
Clayton Tune run for 1 yd to the Temp 46Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
6.4%
Alton McCaskill run for no gain to the Temp 46Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+19
6.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 19 yds to the Temp 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
6.4%
Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+13
6.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 13 yds to the Temp 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
6.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 10 yds to the Temp 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
6.8%
Alton McCaskill run for 3 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:417% → 7%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.1%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
7.0%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
7.0%
TEMPLE Penalty, Illegal Substitution (-5 Yards) to the Temp 21Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+8
7.0%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Randle Jones for 8 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q1 7:06
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
7.4%
Adam Barry punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:5793% → 92%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
7.2%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 4
50
0
7.2%
Clayton Tune sacked by Darian Varner for 0 yards to the Houst 41Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 13
OWN 41
+25
7.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Seth Green for 25 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
7.5%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
7.5%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
7.6%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:09
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+5
8.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Gervarrius Owens for 5 yds to the Temp 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7MISSED FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:148% → 10%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
8.2%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
8.1%
Justin Lynch run for 9 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
8.3%
Justin Lynch run for 3 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
8.4%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Ra'Von Bonner for 25 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
9.3%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Isaac Moore) to the Houst 40Similar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+1
8.9%
Justin Lynch run for 1 yd to the Houst 39Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 14
OPP 39
+15
8.8%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Randle Jones for 15 yds to the Houst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
9.3%
Justin Lynch run for 4 yds to the Houst 20Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
9.3%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+2
9.9%
Justin Lynch run for 2 yds to the Houst 18Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+35
9.6%
Rory Bell 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 7:0991% → 90%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
9.1%
Clayton Tune run for 7 yds to the Houst 27Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
8.9%
Alton McCaskill run for 6 yds to the Houst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
8.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 8 yds to the Houst 41Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+15
8.7%
Alton McCaskill run for 15 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
8.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Seth Green for 11 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
8.5%
MCCASKILL, Alton rush to the right for a gain of 10 yards to the TEM23 (TYLER, Amir), out of bounds. PENALTY HOU Holding on JOHNSON, Cam'Ron enforced 10 yards from the TEM33 to the TEM43 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 20
OPP 43
0
8.6%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 20
OPP 43
+16
8.7%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 16 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
8.5%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the Temp 27Similar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+10
10.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Seth Green for 10 yds to the Temp 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
9.6%
Alton McCaskill run for 4 yds to the Temp 13Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 6
OPP 13
-3
9.6%
Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 16Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 9
OPP 16
0
9.8%
Clayton Tune sacked by Darian Varner for 0 yards to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 7:46
4TH & 15
OPP 22
+39
9.9%
Dalton Witherspoon 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:509% → 9%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
9.0%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Jose Barbon for 4 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
9.0%
Edward Saydee run for 5 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
9.0%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the Temp 30Similar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 1
OWN 30
-5
8.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, Delay Of Game (Adam Barry) to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
9.1%
Adam Barry punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10MISSED FG
16 plays · 56 yds · 5:4690% → 90%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
10.1%
Alton McCaskill run for 5 yds to the Houst 32Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+7
9.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 7 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
9.7%
Clayton Tune run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 37Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+13
10.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
50
+4
9.6%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 4 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+16
9.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 16 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
9.5%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 5 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
9.4%
Clayton Tune sacked by M.J. Griffin for 0 yards to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 13
OPP 33
+7
10.4%
Alton McCaskill run for 7 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+11
10.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Seth Green for 11 yds to the Temp 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
9.5%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 17Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 12
OPP 17
0
9.7%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 12
OPP 17
0
10.0%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 12
OPP 17
+34
10.5%
Dalton Witherspoon 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
10.6%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:3189% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
11.4%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+18
11.5%
Alton McCaskill run for 18 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
10.9%
Alton McCaskill run for 2 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+6
11.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 6 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+15
11.1%
Alton McCaskill run for 15 yds to the Temp 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
10.8%
Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 26
0
10.9%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 26
+14
11.2%
TUNE, Clayton pass up the middle complete for 14 yards to GREEN, Seth caught at the TEM12 and advanced to the TEM12 (TYLER, Amir;PAUL, Keyshawn). PENALTY TEM Personal Foul on PAUL, Keyshawn enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the TEM12 to the TEM6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
6.0%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 6 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:577% → 7%
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
7.4%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
7.3%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+2
7.3%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Randle Jones for 2 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 8
OWN 28
+14
7.3%
Adam Barry punt for 47 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 14 yds to the Houst 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:1594% → 93%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
6.3%
Alton McCaskill run for no gain to the Houst 39Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
6.4%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the Houst 40Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+1
6.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 1 yd to the Houst 41Similar
Q3 8:11
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
6.9%
Laine Wilkins punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the Temp 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:067% → 7%
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
7.3%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the Temp 18Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 8
OWN 18
-7
7.2%
QB Keeper LYNCH, Justin rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the TEM25 (HOGAN, Alex). PENALTY TEM Holding on MOORE, Isaac enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the TEM18 to the TEM9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 17
OWN 9
0
7.0%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 17
OWN 9
+10
7.0%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Randle Jones for 10 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
7.1%
Adam Barry punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:0594% → 98%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
6.0%
Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the Houst 49Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
6.0%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+21
6.1%
Alton McCaskill run for 21 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
5.8%
Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 14
OPP 34
+34
1.7%
Alton McCaskill run for 34 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17INT
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:142% → 3%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+21
2.4%
Justin Lynch run for 21 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
2.5%
Justin Lynch pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 15 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
2.6%
Justin Lynch run for 8 yds to the Houst 32Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 2
OPP 32
0
2.8%
Amad Anderson Jr. pass intercepted return for no gain to the Houst 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:2298% → 98%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
1.8%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the Houst 17Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+1
1.8%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the Houst 18Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 9
OWN 18
-2
1.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 16Similar
Q3 0:18
4TH & 11
OWN 16
0
1.8%
Laine Wilkins punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 0:382% → 10%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
2.2%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Randle Jones for 1 yd to the Houst 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+15
2.2%
LYNCH, Justin pass to the right incomplete intended for DELLA PESCA, James thrown to the HOU12. PENALTY HOU Pass Interference on MWANIKI, Thabo enforced 15 yards to the HOU29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+23
2.4%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Jordan Smith for 23 yds to the Houst 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
2.4%
Justin Lynch run for 5 yds to the Houst 1Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.2%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Lynch pass to Darius Pittman for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 3:2394% → 99%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
5.6%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+18
5.6%
Clayton Tune run for 18 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
5.2%
Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 39Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+12
5.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Alton McCaskill for 12 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
4.0%
Alton McCaskill run for 7 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+7
3.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Mulbah Car for 7 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
0.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 35 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:092% → 2%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
1.5%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Kadas Reams for 8 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
1.6%
Justin Lynch run for 1 yd to the Temp 29Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+8
1.6%
Edward Saydee run for 8 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
1.6%
Edward Saydee run for 3 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
1.6%
Justin Lynch pass intercepted return for no gain to the Temp 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:2899% → 100%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
0.8%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-3
0.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Seth Green for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 45Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 13
OPP 45
0
0.7%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:41
4TH & 13
OPP 45
+38
0.8%
Donavan Mutin run for 38 yds to the Temp 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
0.6%
Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the Temp 6Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Seth Green for 6 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:550% → 0%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.1%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Kadas Reams for 8 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
0.1%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
0.1%
Justin Lynch run for 13 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
0.1%
Justin Lynch run for 7 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
0.1%
Justin Lynch sacked by Chidozie Nwankwo for 0 yards to the Houst 46Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
0.1%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:18
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
0.1%
Adam Barry punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:57100% → 100%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
0.2%
Ike Ogbogu run for 5 yds to the Houst 20Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+11
0.1%
Chandler Smith run for 11 yds to the Houst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
0.1%
Ike Ogbogu pass complete to Shane Creamer for 5 yds to the Houst 36Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 5
OWN 36
-1
0.1%
Chandler Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 35Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
0.1%
Ike Ogbogu pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
0.1%
Laine Wilkins punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the Temp 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
0.1%
Justin Lynch pass intercepted return for no gain to the Temp 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
0.1%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:22
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Lynch pass to Darius Pittman for Two-Point Conversion)
+7.7
TD · Q3 11:29
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 6 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)
-5.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 14:20
Clayton Tune pass incomplete
-4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com