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ECU

East Carolina 30 at Memphis 29

MEM
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:19 · Seth Henigan run for 5 yds to the ECaro 16 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 166Home team on offense−16.2Pregame prior+0.0Garbage-time factor−13.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.7Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:48: Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 75 yds for a TD, (David Kemp PAT MISSED) — MEM win probability +11.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:48: Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for 2 yds for a TD, (David Kemp KICK) — MEM win probability +17.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 1:29: Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK) — ECU win probability +61.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:00: David Kemp 24 yd FG GOOD — MEM win probability +39.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 1 yd to the Memph 24 Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 1 yd to the Memph 24 Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 5 yds to the ECaro 20 — ECU win probability +39.5 pts (now 72%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 6ECU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 12:24MEM 4th & 3 at MEM 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:22MEM 4th & 8 at MEM 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:16ECU 4th & 6 at MEM 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    36.9%−3.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:13MEM 4th & 4 at MEM 28, down 3
    Close callPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:04ECU 4th & 10 at MEM 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−1.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−6.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:09ECU 4th & 3 at MEM 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.0%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−6.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:27ECU 4th & 13 at MEM 28, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.7 ptsWent for it · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.2%−2.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    48.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−9.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:26MEM 4th & 3 at MEM 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.4
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:56ECU 4th & 1 at ECU 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.9%−5.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:43MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.4%−3.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:19MEM 4th & 1 at ECU 21, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 7.4 ptsWent for it · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.1%−7.4
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−29.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ECU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:03MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:50ECU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:48MEM Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    59.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:48MEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:29ECU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.5%−4.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:2957% → 57%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
56.9%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
56.9%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:39
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+13
56.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 13 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
57.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+1
57.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Rodrigues Clark for 1 yd to the Memph 37Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+4
57.0%
Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 3
OWN 41
+4
57.0%
Joe Doyle punt for 56 yds , Tyler Snead returns for 4 yds to the ECaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:4043% → 42%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
57.2%
Keaton Mitchell run for 1 yd to the ECaro 8Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+17
57.2%
Holton Ahlers run for 17 yds to the ECaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
57.1%
Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 23Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
57.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
57.4%
Holton Ahlers pass intercepted return for no gain to the ECaro 33Similar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
57.9%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3TD
3 plays · 33 yds · 1:1158% → 60%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+5
57.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for 5 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
58.0%
Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+31
60.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 31 yds for a TD, (David Kemp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5341% → 44%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.5%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
59.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 10 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
59.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 11 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
59.5%
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the Memph 48Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
59.6%
Holton Ahlers run for 5 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+15
59.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Memph 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
59.2%
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the Memph 10Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+4
59.3%
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the Memph 6Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+5
60.1%
Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the Memph 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
59.6%
Holton Ahlers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 2Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
59.7%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
56.0%
Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:0157% → 57%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
57.4%
Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
57.5%
Seth Henigan run for 2 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
57.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Khi Mathieu for 6 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
58.1%
Seth Henigan run for 2 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
58.5%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:32
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
57.7%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+17
57.0%
Joe Doyle punt for 49 yds , Tyler Snead returns for 17 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6FG
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:5543% → 46%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
56.6%
Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
56.2%
Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the ECaro 33Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+19
56.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 19 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+26
55.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 26 yds to the Memph 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+16
54.5%
Keaton Mitchell run for 16 yds to the Memph 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
54.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
54.4%
Keaton Mitchell run for no gain to the Memph 6Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
55.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
54.3%
Owen Daffer 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4655% → 53%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
55.1%
Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds to the Memph 24Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+1
55.0%
Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd to the Memph 25Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+3
53.1%
Brandon Thomas run for 3 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q2 11:13
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
52.9%
Joe Doyle punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8FG
21 plays · 65 yds · 8:0446% → 56%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
54.2%
AHLERS, Holton pass to the left complete for 20 yards to OMOTOSHO, Audie caught at the ECU36 and advanced to the ECU45 (OLIVER, Sylvonta). PENALTY ECU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on JONES, Avery enforced 5 yards from the ECU25 to the ECU20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+10
54.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 10 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
53.8%
Holton Ahlers run for 10 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
51.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
51.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+9
52.6%
Holton Ahlers run for 9 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
50.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 6 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
49.9%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the Memph 43Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+7
50.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 7 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
50.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
50.0%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the Memph 36Similar
Q2 5:59
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+19
50.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 19 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
48.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 7 yds to the Memph 10Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 3
OPP 10
0
48.3%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+9
49.3%
Rahjai Harris run for 9 yds to the Memph 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
48.0%
Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 2Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
47.8%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Jaylon Allen for 0 yards to the Memph 10Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
49.3%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+29
44.1%
Owen Daffer 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:1146% → 58%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.2%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
57.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 75 yds for a TD, (David Kemp PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10FG
14 plays · 72 yds · 2:2746% → 54%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
54.4%
Keaton Mitchell run for 7 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
52.7%
Keaton Mitchell run for 2 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
53.5%
Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
53.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 5 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+7
51.4%
Holton Ahlers run for 7 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
51.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 19 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
49.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 3 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+4
48.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 4 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+22
49.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 22 yds to the Memph 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
47.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
48.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
49.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
46.5%
Owen Daffer 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12DOWNS
14 plays · 41 yds · 6:2250% → 51%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
49.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
48.4%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECaro 32Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
49.5%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 8 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
47.3%
Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+7
47.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 7 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
46.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 11 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
46.6%
Holton Ahlers run for 6 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+3
45.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 3 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
46.1%
Holton Ahlers run for 3 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
43.2%
Holton Ahlers sacked by CamRon Jackson for 0 yards to the Memph 28Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 13
OPP 28
0
43.6%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the Memph 28Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 13
OPP 28
0
45.8%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 13
OPP 28
0
49.3%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Morris Joseph and Wardalis Ducksworth for 0 yards to the Memph 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:4451% → 51%
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
51.3%
Gabriel Rogers run for 2 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
52.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
51.2%
Seth Henigan pass intercepted return for no gain to the Memph 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14INT
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:0456% → 56%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-11
44.1%
Tyler Snead run for a loss of 11 yards to the ECaro 47 fumbled, recovered by ECaro Tyler SneadSimilar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 17
OWN 47
+39
46.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 39 yds to the Memph 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
42.4%
Keaton Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Memph 12Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+1
42.3%
Keaton Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Memph 11Similar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
43.9%
Holton Ahlers pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:1550% → 75%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
50.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 19 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
52.0%
Seth Henigan run for 6 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+18
54.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 18 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
55.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 6 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+8
57.2%
Seth Henigan run for 8 yds to the ECaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
57.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for 15 yds to the ECaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
57.5%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
57.5%
HENIGAN, Seth pass to the right incomplete intended for MATHIEU, Khi broken up by MCMILLIAN, Ja'Quan at the ECU0. PENALTY ECU Pass Interference on MCMILLIAN, Ja'Quan enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the ECU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for 2 yds for a TD, (David Kemp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16PUNT
13 plays · 27 yds · 5:4930% → 27%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 1 yd to the ECaro 26Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
69.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 11 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
68.7%
Rahjai Harris run for 8 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
66.3%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ECaro 45Similar
Q3 0:46
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+10
66.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 10 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
65.9%
Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
66.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+16
66.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 16 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
64.2%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the Memph 24Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
64.3%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Wardalis Ducksworth for 0 yards to the Memph 25Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-16
66.8%
AHLERS, Holton pass up the middle complete for 5 yards to JONES, Ryan caught at the MEM20 and advanced to the MEM20 (OWENS, Rodney). PENALTY ECU Personal Foul on JONES, Avery enforced 16 yards from the MEM25 to the MEM41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 26
OPP 41
0
70.7%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Wardalis Ducksworth for 0 yards to the Memph 48Similar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 33
OPP 48
0
72.8%
Jonn Young punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 3:0672% → 72%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
72.0%
Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the Memph 12Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+6
72.4%
Asa Martin run for 6 yds to the Memph 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
73.2%
Asa Martin run for 1 yd to the Memph 19Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
73.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for no gain to the Memph 19Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+6
71.7%
Seth Henigan run for 6 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
72.1%
Joe Doyle punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:5128% → 89%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.6%
Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
74.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 7 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+6
73.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 6 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
70.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 6 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
68.5%
Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+16
68.0%
Rahjai Harris run for 16 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
65.3%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Jaylon Allen for 0 yards to the Memph 40Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+16
72.5%
Holton Ahlers run for 16 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
69.4%
Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Memph 21Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+5
70.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 5 yds to the Memph 16Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+5
72.4%
Keaton Mitchell run for 5 yds to the Memph 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
71.1%
Keaton Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Memph 9Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+6
70.1%
Keaton Mitchell run for 6 yds to the Memph 3Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+2
72.4%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the Memph 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.3%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19FG
20 plays · 69 yds · 1:2231% → 68%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
31.3%
Seth Henigan run for 11 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
31.3%
Seth Henigan run for 11 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
31.8%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
31.0%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
25.7%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 10
OWN 47
+23
23.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 23 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
37.6%
Asa Martin run for 1 yd to the ECaro 29Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
32.4%
Seth Henigan sacked by Immanuel Hickman for 0 yards to the ECaro 31Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+10
23.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sean Dykes for 10 yds to the ECaro 21Similar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+5
25.4%
Seth Henigan run for 5 yds to the ECaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
29.8%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
26.9%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+10
19.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 10 yds to the ECaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
28.6%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
67.5%
David Kemp 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
28.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 1 yd to the Memph 24 Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 1 yd to the Memph 24 Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 5 yds to the ECaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:29
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK)
-61.1
TD · OT 0:00
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 1 yd to the Memph 24 Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 1 yd to the Memph 24 Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 5 yds to the ECaro 20
-39.5
FG · Q4 0:00
David Kemp 24 yd FG GOOD
+39
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com