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TULN

Tulane 10 at UCF 14

UCF
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:38 · Ryan Wright punt for 53 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior+23.6Home team on offense+2.6Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score differential+0.5Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:22: Tyjae Spears 8 Yd Run (Merek Glover Kick) — TULN win probability +15.2 pts (now 39%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 9:22: Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the UCF 28 — UCF win probability +7.8 pts (now 68%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. SACK · Q4 14:00: Mikey Keene sacked by JoJo Dorceus for 0 yards to the Tulan 35 — UCF win probability +11.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. TD · Q4 5:55: Brandon Johnson 23 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Daniel Obarski Kick) — UCF win probability +25.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:55: Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27 — TULN win probability +10.0 pts (now 25%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 7 of 9TULN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:05UCF 4th & 6 at UCF 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:31TULN 4th & 1 at UCF 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.4%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    21.0%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:38TULN 4th & 12 at TULN 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:59UCF 4th & 15 at UCF 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:16TULN 4th & 10 at UCF 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    18.7%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:27UCF 4th & 3 at UCF 28, up 7
    Close callPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:21TULN 4th & 6 at UCF 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:26UCF 4th & 3 at UCF 14, up 7
    Close callPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:11TULN 4th & 6 at UCF 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−3.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:02UCF 4th & 6 at UCF 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:26TULN 4th & 7 at UCF 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−12.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:17UCF 4th & 20 at TULN 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−4.7
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    42.7%−11.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:00TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:13UCF 4th & 22 at TULN 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−3.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    48.7%−0.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:45UCF 4th & 1 at TULN 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    49.0%−3.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    33.7%−18.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:41TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 31, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%−1.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:05UCF 4th & 9 at UCF 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−2.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 1 of 2TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:40UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:22TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:55UCF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:5580% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.2%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.2%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 5 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
80.2%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Alec Holler for 6 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
80.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
80.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the UCF 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+2
80.2%
Mikey Keene run for 2 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+18
79.4%
Andrew Osteen punt for 43 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 18 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2DOWNS
12 plays · 59 yds · 6:3421% → 23%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
79.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
79.3%
run for 3 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+14
79.3%
Tyjae Spears run for 14 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
79.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 10 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
79.2%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
79.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 8
OPP 32
-5
79.3%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 37Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 13
OPP 37
+22
79.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 22 yds to the UCF 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
79.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 8 yds to the UCF 7Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 2
OPP 7
-1
79.2%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 8Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
79.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the UCF 6Similar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 1
OPP 6
0
77.1%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 3TD
7 plays · 94 yds · 2:5177% → 81%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+20
77.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 20 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
77.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the UCF 27Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+1
77.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the UCF 28Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+53
77.2%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 53 yds to the Tulan 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
78.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+1
78.4%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 1 yd to the Tulan 15Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+15
80.6%
Ryan O'Keefe 15 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Daniel Obarski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:0220% → 20%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
79.8%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
79.7%
Michael Pratt sacked by Tatum Bethune and Tre'mon Morris-Brash for 0 yards to the Tulan 21Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+2
80.2%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
80.2%
Ryan Wright punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3980% → 79%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
79.9%
Ryan O'Keefe run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+1
79.7%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the UCF 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-5
79.4%
UCF Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 19
0
79.3%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:59
4TH & 15
OWN 19
0
78.9%
Andrew Osteen punt for 43 yds, downed at the Tulan 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:4321% → 20%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
78.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 16 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
78.3%
TULANE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulan 49Similar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 15
OWN 49
-5
79.0%
Tyjae Spears run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 20
OWN 44
+4
79.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 4 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 16
OWN 48
+6
79.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 6 yds to the UCF 46Similar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
79.6%
Ryan Wright punt for 38 yds, downed at the UCF 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:4980% → 79%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
79.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for 13 yds to the UCF 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
79.7%
run for 6 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+1
79.9%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 1 yd to the UCF 28Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
79.4%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 3
OWN 28
+26
78.8%
Andrew Osteen punt for 51 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 26 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0622% → 21%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
78.1%
Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the Tulan 47Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
78.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 5 yds to the UCF 48Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 5
OPP 48
-1
78.1%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 49Similar
Q2 7:21
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
79.4%
Ryan Wright punt for 42 yds, downed at the UCF 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:4979% → 78%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
79.4%
Joey Gatewood pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
79.3%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+7
78.7%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 7 yds to the UCF 14Similar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 3
OWN 14
0
78.4%
Andrew Osteen punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -24 yds · 1:5622% → 20%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
77.8%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 27
OWN 31
0
79.5%
Michael Pratt sacked by Corey Thornton for 0 yards to the Tulan 21Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 37
OWN 21
+3
80.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-17
78.3%
TULANE Penalty, Face mask (17 yards) (Michael Pratt) to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 34
OWN 24
0
80.5%
Ryan Wright punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11FUMBLE
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:4680% → 81%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-4
79.9%
Joey Gatewood run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 24Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 14
OWN 24
+24
79.5%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 24 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
81.3%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 8 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+6
81.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
81.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Tulan 38Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
81.4%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 5 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
80.9%
Mikey Keene sacked for 0 yards to the UCF 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12MISSED FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3325% → 23%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
74.7%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
75.2%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the UCF 26Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+1
76.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 1 yd to the UCF 25Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
77.1%
Merek Glover 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:3121% → 39%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
79.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 20 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
78.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 15 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
77.3%
Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd to the UCF 44Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+3
77.3%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the UCF 41Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 41
-5
77.6%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 46Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+23
78.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 23 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
75.9%
PRATT, Michael pass to the left complete for 8 yards to WYATT, Shae caught at the UCF21 and advanced to the UCF15 (BETHUNE, Tatum). PENALTY Before the snap, UCF Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the UCF23 to the UCF18. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 5
OPP 18
-3
75.8%
Tyjae Spears run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 21Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+3
75.8%
UCF Penalty, Illegal use of the hands on CELISCAR, Josh enforced half the distance from the goal (Josh Celiscar) to the UCF 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
75.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 1 yd to the UCF 8Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
60.6%
Tyjae Spears 8 Yd Run (Merek Glover Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2068% → 66%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the UCF 28Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
68.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the UCF 29Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
67.5%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:02
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
65.6%
Andrew Osteen punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16FG
7 plays · 54 yds · 3:3637% → 46%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
63.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 6 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-2
61.9%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 42Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+47
62.3%
Cameron Carroll run for 47 yds to the UCF 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
59.0%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+5
59.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 5 yds to the UCF 6Similar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
54.4%
Merek Glover 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17MISSED FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:0959% → 55%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
59.0%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 50 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
65.7%
Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+14
64.8%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 14 yds to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
65.7%
Mikey Keene run for 3 yds to the Tulan 11Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 7
OPP 11
-10
65.0%
RICHARDSON, Johnny rush to the left for a gain of 11 yards to the TLN0, TOUCHDOWN UCF, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY UCF Holding on SCHNEIDER, Cole enforced 10 yards from the TLN11 to the TLN21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 17
OPP 21
0
64.0%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 17
OPP 21
-3
59.4%
Johnny Richardson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 24Similar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 20
OPP 24
+42
55.4%
Daniel Obarski 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:1747% → 48%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
52.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 11 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
50.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
48.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
49.1%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:00
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
51.6%
punt blocked by blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 1:4764% → 51%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
63.6%
Mikey Keene sacked by JoJo Dorceus for 0 yards to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 16
OPP 35
0
60.5%
Mikey Keene sacked by Nick Anderson for 0 yards to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 27
OPP 46
+5
55.7%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 5 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q4 12:13
4TH & 22
OPP 41
0
51.0%
Andrew Osteen punt for 40 yds, downed at the Tulan 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20PUNT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0051% → 49%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
48.9%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 3Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
49.2%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:13
3RD & 8
OWN 3
0
50.6%
Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the Tulan 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 21TD
9 plays · 38 yds · 4:5056% → 85%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
56.3%
Johnny Richardson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-2
56.3%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 38Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+11
54.6%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 11 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
59.6%
Johnny Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 28Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+6
59.4%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Alec Holler for 6 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+4
56.5%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 4 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+2
54.2%
Mark-Antony Richards run for 2 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-7
59.6%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 23Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 17
OPP 23
+23
85.3%
Brandon Johnson 23 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Daniel Obarski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1425% → 22%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.3%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
74.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 4 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
75.0%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:41
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
78.3%
Ryan Wright punt for 69 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:3686% → 89%
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
86.2%
Johnny Richardson run for 5 yds to the UCF 25Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+9
86.4%
Johnny Richardson run for 9 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-6
86.5%
Mikey Keene run for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 28Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 16
OWN 28
+1
89.5%
Johnny Richardson run for 1 yd to the UCF 29Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 15
OWN 29
+6
88.9%
Johnny Richardson run for 6 yds to the UCF 35Similar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 9
OWN 35
+3
88.5%
Andrew Osteen punt for 47 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 3 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24END OF GAME
10 plays · 40 yds · 2:059% → 13%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
91.1%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
91.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 5 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+11
91.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 11 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
90.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 6 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
88.5%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+5
89.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 5 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
88.8%
Michael Pratt run for 12 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
87.5%
Michael Pratt sacked by Quadric Bullard for 0 yards to the Tulan 49Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 21
OWN 49
+12
90.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for 12 yds to the UCF 39Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
87.5%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:55
Brandon Johnson 23 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Daniel Obarski Kick)
+25.7
TD · Q3 9:22
Tyjae Spears 8 Yd Run (Merek Glover Kick)
-15.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+12.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com