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CIN

Cincinnati 31 at Tulane 12

TULN
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadCIN aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreCIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDSAFETYTDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:02 · Ryan Wright punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Pregame prior−41.3Home team on offense−3.1Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor−1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:58: Tyjae Spears run for 47 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +4.8 pts (now 17%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:19: Jerome Ford run for 3 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) — CIN win probability +4.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:12: Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 5 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) — CIN win probability +11.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 6:16: Christian Lowery 27 yd FG GOOD — CIN win probability +3.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:13: Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerome Ford for 26 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK) — CIN win probability +3.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CIN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 5:30CIN 4th & 1 at CIN 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    91.8%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:41TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.1%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:02TULN 4th & 6 at CIN 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:20TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 47, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.8%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:43CIN 4th & 7 at TULN 40, up 2
    Close callPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    79.4%−1.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:07TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 13, down 2
    Close callPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:47CIN 4th & 1 at TULN 7, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    71.1%−4.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−17.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:16TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 28, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:42CIN 4th & 6 at CIN 37, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:37CIN 4th & 22 at CIN 44, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−3.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:16CIN 4th & 9 at TULN 9, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    81.8%−7.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:02TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 29, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CIN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 1:14CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:58TULN Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:19CIN Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:12CIN Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:13CIN Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 39 yds · 6:165% → 6%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
4.5%
Kai Horton pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 15 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
4.7%
Kai Horton pass complete to Will Wallace for 13 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
4.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Cincy 49Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+3
5.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Cincy 46Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+7
5.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
5.4%
Kai Horton run for 6 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+14
5.6%
Cameron Carroll run for 14 yds to the Cincy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
5.7%
Kai Horton pass complete to Cameron Carroll for no gain to the Cincy 19Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
5.9%
Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the Cincy 19Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-16
6.2%
Kai Horton sacked by Jowon Briggs for a loss of 16 yards to the Cincy 35Similar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 26
OPP 35
-5
6.2%
TULANE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 40Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 31
OPP 40
0
6.2%
Ryan Wright punt for 39 yds, downed at the Cincy 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2TD
16 plays · 99 yds · 7:2194% → 93%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
6.3%
Desmond Ridder run for 1 yd to the Cincy 2Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
6.5%
Jerome Ford run for no gain to the Cincy 2Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+38
6.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 38 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
6.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael Young Jr.Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
6.7%
Desmond Ridder run for 7 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
7.0%
Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the Cincy 49Similar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+3
7.3%
Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
7.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerome Ford for 3 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+6
7.5%
Desmond Ridder run for 6 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+2
7.7%
Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
7.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 9 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 1
OPP 28
0
8.0%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 1
OPP 28
-9
8.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 1 yd to the Tulan 27 CINCINNATI Penalty, Illegal Block (Tyler Scott) to the Tulan 37Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+21
8.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 21 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
8.2%
Jerome Ford run for no gain to the Tulan 16Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
7.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 16 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 5:008% → 9%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
7.6%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
7.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
8.0%
Kai Horton run for 3 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
8.2%
Jaetavian Toles run for 8 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+1
8.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Tulan 46Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
8.8%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Tulan 46Similar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+2
8.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
9.3%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Tyjae SpearsSimilar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
9.3%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Cincy 48Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
9.7%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Shae WyattSimilar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
9.3%
Ryan Wright punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4SF
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:1391% → 89%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
9.1%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael Young Jr.Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
9.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tre TuckerSimilar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 10
OWN 8
-8
10.6%
Marvin Moody SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:2511% → 17%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
10.7%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+5
10.9%
Kai Horton run for 5 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+5
11.4%
Cameron Carroll run for 5 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
12.1%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
11.7%
Cameron Carroll run for 7 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+47
16.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 47 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:2685% → 90%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
15.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 12 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
15.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Leonard TaylorSimilar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+28
15.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 28 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+37
14.7%
Desmond Ridder run for 37 yds to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
10.4%
Jerome Ford run for 3 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7INT
10 plays · 23 yds · 4:0312% → 14%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+14
12.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 14 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
12.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 13 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
12.7%
Cameron Carroll run for 4 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
13.7%
Kai Horton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+5
13.3%
Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q2 3:20
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+2
13.6%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
14.5%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Will Wallace) to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 15
OWN 44
-10
13.7%
Carroll, Cameron rush for 5 yards to the TULANE49, PENALTY TULANE holding (Wallace, Will) 10 yards to the TULANE34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 25
OWN 34
-7
13.5%
Kai Horton pass intercepted Ja'von Hicks return for 7 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8INT
3 plays · -8 yds · 1:2389% → 87%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
11.0%
Jerome Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 23Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 12
OPP 23
-6
11.4%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Darius Hodges for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 18
OPP 29
-33
13.0%
Desmond Ridder pass intercepted Macon Clark return for 33 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9END OF HALF
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:2016% → 19%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
50
+15
15.8%
Kai Horton sacked by Myjai Sanders for a loss of 8 yards to the Cincy 43 Kai Horton fumbled, forced by Myjai Sanders, recovered by Tulan Rashad Green , return for 0 yards , return for 15 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+17
16.0%
Kai Horton pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 17 yds to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
16.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Cincy 24Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+41
19.0%
Merek Glover 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:1284% → 81%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
16.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerome Ford for 7 yds to the Cincy 32Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
15.7%
Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
16.8%
Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
16.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 4 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+17
16.1%
Jerome Ford run for 17 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
16.1%
Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
16.5%
Jerome Ford run for no gain to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
17.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
18.8%
Mason Fletcher punt for 35 yds, downed at the Tulan 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:2320% → 20%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
19.8%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 3Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 12
OWN 3
-1
20.1%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Tyrick James) to the Tulan 2Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 13
OWN 2
+7
20.5%
Cameron Carroll run for 7 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+4
20.0%
Jaetavian Toles run for 4 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q3 9:07
4TH & 2
OWN 13
+8
20.2%
Ryan Wright punt for 61 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 8 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 5:4879% → 88%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
20.7%
Jerome Ford run for 5 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+8
19.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 8 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
20.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 4 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+11
20.2%
Jerome Ford run for 11 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
20.5%
Desmond Ridder run for 6 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+6
19.3%
Desmond Ridder run for 6 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
19.4%
Ryan Montgomery run for 9 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+1
19.7%
Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
19.8%
Ryan Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
20.1%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+6
21.3%
Desmond Ridder run for 6 yds to the Tulan 7Similar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+2
23.3%
Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the Tulan 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
11.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 5 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:4915% → 13%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
14.5%
Spears, Tyjae rush for 4 yards to the TULANE29, PENALTY TULANE illegal motion 5 yards to the TULANE20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-6
14.5%
Kai Horton sacked by Joel Dublanko and Myjai Sanders for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 14Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+2
13.7%
Kai Horton run for 2 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+17
13.0%
Kai Horton pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 17 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 0:23
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
13.7%
TULANE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 0:16
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
12.7%
Ryan Wright punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:1887% → 86%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
13.0%
Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the Cincy 33Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
13.1%
Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the Cincy 33Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+9
15.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 9 yds to the Cincy 42Similar
Q4 13:47
4TH & 1
OWN 42
-5
14.1%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 37Similar
Q4 13:42
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+44
14.5%
Mason Fletcher punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULANE 29 TULANE Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Tulan 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15INT
5 plays · 33 yds · 2:0414% → 17%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
13.7%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Tulan 19Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+11
13.9%
Kai Horton pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 11 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
14.3%
Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+15
15.6%
Tyjae Spears run for 15 yds to the Cincy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
16.9%
Kai Horton pass intercepted Coby Bryant return for no gain to the Cincy 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:1386% → 88%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
14.2%
Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the Cincy 16Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+6
13.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerome Ford for 6 yds to the Cincy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
12.9%
Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+30
12.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 30 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
9.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-2
9.4%
Charles McClelland run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 12
OPP 46
-10
9.9%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Nick Anderson for a loss of 10 yards to the Cincy 44Similar
Q4 7:37
4TH & 22
OWN 44
0
11.6%
Mason Fletcher punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0712% → 12%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
11.7%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
11.5%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Tulan 10 Tyjae Spears fumbled, forced by Joel Dublanko, recovered by Cincy Curtis BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18FG
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:5692% → 95%
Q4 7:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
8.4%
Jerome Ford run for 5 yds to the Tulan 5Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
8.4%
Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the Tulan 4Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
8.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josh WhyleSimilar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 0
OPP 4
-5
8.8%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 9Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
5.0%
Christian Lowery 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 9
OWN 35
+15
5.0%
TULANE Penalty, Personal Foul (Macon Clark) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:587% → 6%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
6.5%
Kai Horton sacked by Myjai Sanders for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 23Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
6.4%
Kai Horton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+6
6.1%
Kai Horton pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 6 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
5.9%
Kai Horton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20TD
2 plays · 29 yds · 0:4296% → 99%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
4.2%
Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+26
1.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerome Ford for 26 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21Uncategorized
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:302% → 2%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
1.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
1.9%
Christian Daniels pass complete to Tyrick James for 8 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
1.9%
Christian Daniels run for 2 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+9
2.0%
Christian Daniels run for 9 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
2.0%
Christian Daniels pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 6 yds to the Cincy 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:12
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 5 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK)
-11.6
TD · Q2 7:58
Tyjae Spears run for 47 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
+4.8
TD · Q2 6:19
Jerome Ford run for 3 yds for a TD, (Christian Lowery KICK)
-4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com