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UCF

UCF 49 at Temple 7

TEM
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadUCF aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreUCF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:32 · Edward Saydee run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 95Home team on offense−40.3Score differential−29.1Pregame prior−14.1Garbage-time factor−11.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:57: Isaiah Bowser 11 Yd Run (Daniel Obarski Kick) — UCF win probability +1.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:29: Alec Holler 13 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Daniel Obarski Kick) — UCF win probability +5.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:33: Brandon Johnson 18 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Daniel Obarski Kick) — UCF win probability +6.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:20: Alec Holler 33 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Daniel Obarski Kick) — UCF win probability +4.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:07: Ryan O'Keefe 12 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Daniel Obarski Kick) — UCF win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 9 of 10UCF made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:45TEM 4th & 2 at UCF 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    26.5%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    26.1%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:02UCF 4th & 10 at TEM 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    72.3%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:07TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:07UCF 4th & 3 at TEM 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    72.1%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    71.9%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:48TEM 4th & 8 at UCF 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    25.9%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:54TEM 4th & 1 at UCF 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    19.3%−1.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:32TEM 4th & 1 at UCF 42, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:17TEM 4th & 19 at TEM 10, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:41TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 34, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:00UCF 4th & 2 at UCF 26, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:27UCF 4th & 6 at UCF 30, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:27TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 14, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:59TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 14, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:22TEM 4th & 4 at UCF 28, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:55UCF 4th & 8 at UCF 30, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 0 of 1UCF made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 2:57UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:29UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:33UCF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:20UCF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:07UCF Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:41UCF Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:05UCF Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:28TEM Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1DOWNS
12 plays · 38 yds · 5:1520% → 23%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
19.9%
D'Wan Mathis run for 4 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
19.9%
Malik Cooper run for 5 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+11
19.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jadan Blue for 11 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
19.9%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Joseph Hooper) to the Temp 40Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+2
19.9%
Justin Lynch run for 2 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+3
19.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Randle Jones for 3 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+18
19.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jose Barbon for 18 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
19.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Randle Jones for 7 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 30
-10
19.9%
BLUE, Jadan rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the UCF28 (JEAN-BAPTISTE, Jeremiah). PENALTY TEM Holding on MOORE, Isaac enforced 10 yards from the UCF30 to the UCF40 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+11
19.9%
Edward Saydee run for 11 yds to the UCF 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 29
0
19.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 2
OPP 29
0
22.8%
D'Wan Mathis sacked by Justin Hodges for 0 yards to the UCF 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:4778% → 76%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
22.3%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 35Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+11
22.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 11 yds to the UCF 46Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
22.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
22.1%
Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+8
22.1%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 8 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
22.1%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
22.1%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Temp 40Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
22.2%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:02
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
23.8%
Andrew Osteen punt for 30 yds, downed at the Temp 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5524% → 24%
Q1 7:02
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
23.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 6
OWN 15
0
23.5%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 11
OWN 10
+5
23.8%
Edward Saydee run for 5 yds to the Temp 15Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 6
OWN 15
+2
23.8%
Adam Barry punt for 37 yds , Titus Mokiao-Atimalala returns for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 4TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 3:1076% → 79%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
50
+11
23.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for 11 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
23.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 41Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 12
OPP 41
-1
23.7%
Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 42Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 13
OPP 42
+10
24.1%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 10 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+19
24.1%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Nate Craig-Myers for 19 yds to the Temp 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
23.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Temp 11Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
21.5%
Isaiah Bowser 11 Yd Run (Daniel Obarski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:0923% → 23%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
22.7%
Malik Cooper run for 20 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
23.4%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Edward Saydee for no gain to the Temp 45Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
23.1%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+10
22.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Kadas Reams for 10 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
23.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 15
50
+5
23.2%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 5 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
24.2%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jadan Blue for 2 yds to the UCF 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
24.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
23.1%
Adam Barry punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Titus Mokiao-Atimalala at the UCF 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 6TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:1977% → 83%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
22.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for 13 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
22.5%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
22.6%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 8 yds to the UCF 41Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+6
22.1%
Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
22.0%
UCF Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Brandon Johnson) to the UCF 42Similar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+3
23.4%
Johnny Richardson run for 3 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+14
23.3%
Joey Gatewood run for 14 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
22.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+15
22.4%
KEENE, Mikey pass up the middle incomplete intended for MOKIAO-ATIMALALA, Titus thrown to the TEM0. PENALTY TEM Pass Interference on RUIZ, Cameron enforced 15 yards to the TEM20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
22.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Temp 19Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+6
22.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the Temp 13Similar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+13
17.0%
Alec Holler 13 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Daniel Obarski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7FUMBLE
13 plays · 53 yds · 6:1019% → 19%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
18.5%
Edward Saydee run for 3 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
19.0%
Randle Jones run for no gain to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+12
18.5%
D'Wan Mathis run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
50
+5
19.4%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Randle Jones for 5 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
19.5%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the UCF 43Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+2
19.6%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the UCF 41Similar
Q2 5:54
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+4
19.4%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 4 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
19.7%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 13 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
20.2%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Ra'Von Bonner for 7 yds to the UCF 17Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 3
OPP 17
-4
20.2%
Malik Cooper run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 21Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 7
OPP 21
-5
19.6%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 26Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 12
OPP 26
+14
19.4%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jordan Smith for 14 yds to the UCF 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 8FUMBLE
7 plays · 65 yds · 1:5684% → 87%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
16.0%
Isaiah Bowser run for 8 yds to the UCF 20Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+7
15.3%
Mikey Keene run for 7 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
15.3%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
15.4%
Joey Gatewood run for 3 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+7
15.4%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Alec Holler for 7 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
15.1%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 15 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 21
OWN 41
0
13.5%
Mikey Keene pass intercepted for a 1ST down return for no gain to the Temp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:5087% → 93%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
12.8%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+5
12.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the Temp 18Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+18
6.7%
Brandon Johnson 18 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Daniel Obarski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:2213% → 12%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
13.1%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
12.8%
D'Wan Mathis sacked by Big Kat Bryant for 0 yards to the Temp 45Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 45
0
11.8%
D'Wan Mathis sacked by Big Kat Bryant and Ricky Barber for 0 yards to the Temp 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:4093% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
7.4%
Mark-Antony Richards run for 6 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+1
7.4%
Mark-Antony Richards run for 1 yd to the UCF 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+8
7.7%
Ryan O'Keefe run for 8 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
7.3%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+9
7.3%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 9 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
2.8%
Alec Holler 33 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Daniel Obarski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.8%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the Temp 25 TEMPLE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (D'Wan Mathis) to the Temp 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 13TD
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
1.8%
Ryan O'Keefe 12 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Daniel Obarski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14DOWNS
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:352% → 2%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
1.9%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 9 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+15
1.9%
MATHIS, D'Wan pass to the left incomplete intended for BARBON, Jose thrown to the UCF35. PENALTY UCF Pass Interference on ADAMS, Brandon enforced 15 yards to the TEM49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
2.1%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+6
2.1%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Edward Saydee for 6 yds to the UCF 43Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+1
2.2%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the UCF 42Similar
Q3 9:32
4TH & 1
OPP 42
-2
1.6%
Edward Saydee run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 15FUMBLE
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:5698% → 99%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
1.6%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 43Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+34
1.6%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Alec Holler for 34 yds to the Temp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
1.5%
Ryan O'Keefe run for 18 yds to the Temp 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
1.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Temp 2Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
1.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Temp 1Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
1.1%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 2 fumbled, recovered by Temp Muheem McCargoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 2:151% → 1%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
0.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+9
0.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Ra'Von Bonner for 9 yds to the Temp 11Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+8
0.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jadan Blue for 8 yds to the Temp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
0.9%
D'Wan Mathis sacked by Tre'mon Morris-Brash for 0 yards to the Temp 10Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 19
OWN 10
0
0.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 19
OWN 10
0
0.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:17
4TH & 19
OWN 10
0
0.7%
Adam Barry punt for 36 yds, downed at the Temp 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:3699% → 99%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
0.8%
Johnny Richardson run for no gain to the Temp 46Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+46
0.7%
Ryan O'Keefe 46 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Daniel Obarski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
0.4%
D'Wan Mathis run for 3 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
0.4%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
0.4%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:41
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+52
0.3%
Adam Barry punt for 38 yds UCF Penalty, Personal Foul (TEAM) to the UCF 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19PUNT
13 plays · 16 yds · 4:1499% → 99%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 14
OWN 14
+5
0.8%
Johnny Richardson run for 5 yds to the UCF 19Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
0.7%
Johnny Richardson run for no gain to the UCF 19Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+7
0.8%
Joey Gatewood run for 7 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+7
0.8%
Joey Gatewood run for 7 yds to the UCF 26Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
0.6%
Joey Gatewood run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 25Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 2
OWN 26
-1
0.6%
Joey Gatewood run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 25Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+5
0.5%
Johnny Richardson run for 5 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
0.5%
Joey Gatewood run for no gain to the UCF 30Similar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.5%
Johnny Richardson run for 5 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
0.8%
Joey Gatewood run for no gain to the UCF 30Similar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
0.8%
Andrew Osteen punt for 56 yds, downed at the Temp 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
0.2%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+3
0.2%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the Temp 17Similar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 10
OWN 14
+52
0.2%
Adam Barry punt for 52 yds , Titus Mokiao-Atimalala returns for 52 yds to the Temp 14Similar
Q4 11:59
4TH & 10
OWN 14
+20
0.1%
Adam Barry punt for 52 yds , Titus Mokiao-Atimalala returns for 20 yds to the Temp 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 21TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
0.5%
Johnny Richardson run for 20 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+17
0.5%
Joey Gatewood run for 17 yds to the Temp 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
0.3%
Johnny Richardson run for 8 yds to the Temp 1Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.3%
Johnny Richardson 1 Yd Run (Daniel Obarski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22MISSED FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:340% → 0%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
0.1%
Tayvon Ruley run for 2 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+11
0.1%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Randle Jones for 11 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
0.1%
Tayvon Ruley run for 7 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+13
0.1%
D'Wan Mathis run for 13 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
0.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, Encroachment on JONES, Randle enforced (Randle Jones) to the UCF 39Similar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 15
OPP 39
0
0.1%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+6
0.1%
Tayvon Ruley run for 6 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+5
0.1%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jadan Blue for 5 yds to the UCF 28Similar
Q4 5:22
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+45
0.1%
Rory Bell 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
0.5%
Amari Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 25Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+5
0.5%
Mark-Antony Richards run for 5 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
0.5%
Joey Gatewood pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
0.5%
Andrew Osteen punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the Temp 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:270% → 0%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
0.1%
Justin Lynch run for 3 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+14
0.1%
Justin Lynch run for 14 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
0.1%
Tayvon Ruley run for 3 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+12
0.1%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Edward Saydee for 12 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
0.1%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
0.1%
Justin Lynch run for 8 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+7
0.1%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Jordan Smith for 7 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
0.1%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
0.1%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+27
0.0%
Jose Barbon 27 Yd pass from Justin Lynch (Rory Bell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:33
Brandon Johnson 18 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Daniel Obarski Kick)
-6.1
TD · Q2 9:29
Alec Holler 13 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Daniel Obarski Kick)
-5.4
TD · Q3 12:20
Alec Holler 33 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Daniel Obarski Kick)
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com