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TEM

Temple 14 at South Florida 34

USF
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:45 · run for a loss of 24 yards to the SFla 5 fumbled, recovered by Temp Keyshawn Paul
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 12Home team on offense+0.3Score differential−0.1Pregame prior+10.2Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:19: Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK) — USF win probability +6.0 pts (now 67%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:38: D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Randle Jones for 70 yds for a TD (Rory Bell KICK) — TEM win probability +10.1 pts (now 32%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:16: Edward Saydee run for 1 yd for a TD (Rory Bell KICK) — TEM win probability +11.6 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 2:41: Kelley Joiner run for 2 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK) — USF win probability +14.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:07: Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK) — USF win probability +5.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 7 of 8TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:45USF 4th & 8 at TEM 10, tied
    Close callWent for it · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    56.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    55.5%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:07USF 4th & 2 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    56.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00USF 4th & 1 at TEM 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    56.6%−0.8
    90% to make
    Punt
    54.3%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:00TEM 4th & 11 at USF 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    35.6%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:36USF 4th & 1 at TEM 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    65.0%−1.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−4.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:19USF 4th & 6 at TEM 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−5.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:17USF 4th & 13 at TEM 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−1.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.1%
    45% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:40TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 34, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:20TEM 4th & 17 at TEM 35, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−1.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:46USF 4th & 1 at TEM 11, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.5
    87% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:54TEM 4th & 12 at TEM 10, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:56USF 4th & 1 at TEM 28, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:19USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:47USF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:38TEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:16TEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:41USF Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:07USF Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USFDrive 1DOWNS
12 plays · -20 yds · 5:1561% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
61.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 8 yds to the SFla 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
61.2%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 11 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
61.2%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 43 fumbled, recovered by SFla Jaren ManghamSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+17
61.2%
Kelley Joiner run for 17 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
61.2%
Kelley Joiner run for 11 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
61.2%
Timmy McClain run for 5 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+12
61.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 12 yds to the Temp 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
61.2%
Jaren Mangham run for no gain to the Temp 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+6
61.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 6 yds to the Temp 6Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 6
-10
61.2%
QB Keeper MCCLAIN, Timmy rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the TEM4 (RIGBY, Yvandy), out of bounds. PENALTY USF Holding on CECIL, Brad enforced 10 yards from the TEM6 to the TEM16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 16
+6
61.2%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 6 yds to the Temp 10Similar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 8
OPP 10
-24
61.5%
run for a loss of 24 yards to the SFla 5 fumbled, recovered by Temp Keyshawn PaulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2INT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:1740% → 40%
Q1 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
60.4%
Edward Saydee run for 3 yds to the SFla 2Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
60.4%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the SFla 2Similar
Q1 8:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
60.4%
MATHIS, D'Wan pass to the right complete for 2 yards to BARBON, Jose caught at the USF0 and advanced to the USF0, TOUCHDOWN TEM, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY TEM Holding on STOFFEL, Victor enforced 10 yards from the USF2 to the USF12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
60.4%
D'Wan Mathis pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:4861% → 67%
Q1 4:07
4TH & 2
50
+2
61.1%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
62.0%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+11
62.0%
Jaren Mangham run for 11 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
62.2%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 36Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+8
61.8%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Chris Carter for 8 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+11
61.8%
Brian Battie run for 11 yds to the Temp 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
62.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds to the Temp 13Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+3
62.2%
Timmy McClain run for 3 yds to the Temp 10Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+2
62.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the Temp 8Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+7
61.5%
Jaren Mangham run for 7 yds to the Temp 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.4%
Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 4:1935% → 34%
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.5%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
65.7%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jordan Smith for 19 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
64.4%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Randle Jones for 2 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-10
64.2%
MATHIS, D'Wan pass up the middle incomplete intended for SMITH, Jordan broken up by LAPOINTE, Mekhi at the USF46. PENALTY TEM Holding on KLEIN, Adam enforced 10 yards from the TEM46 to the TEM36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 18
OWN 36
+5
65.6%
D'Wan Mathis run for 5 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 13
OWN 41
+19
65.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jadan Blue for 19 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-9
63.9%
Amad Anderson Jr. run for a loss of 9 yards to the SFla 49Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 19
OPP 49
+8
65.6%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jadan Blue for 8 yds to the SFla 41Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 11
OPP 41
0
65.3%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
66.5%
Adam Barry punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5TD
13 plays · 93 yds · 5:1367% → 78%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+11
66.5%
Kelley Joiner run for 11 yds to the SFla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
67.0%
Kelley Joiner run for 5 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+24
66.9%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 24 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
68.5%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 7
50
+14
68.5%
Jaren Mangham run for 14 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
73.1%
Timmy McClain pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
73.0%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 2 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+7
72.4%
Darrian Felix run for 7 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+3
71.8%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the Temp 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
73.3%
TEMPLE Penalty, Illegal use of the hands on GRIFFIN, M.J. enforced half the distance from the goal (M.J. Griffin) to the Temp 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
73.0%
Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the Temp 4Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
78.3%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Demarcus Gregory for 4 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
68.2%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Randle Jones for 70 yds for a TD (Rory Bell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:3873% → 73%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.6%
Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the SFla 27Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
72.4%
Brian Battie run for 9 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
73.3%
Brian Battie run for 3 yds to the SFla 39Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
73.7%
Timmy McClain pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+12
72.6%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Bryce Miller for 12 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+21
74.4%
Timmy McClain run for 21 yds to the Temp 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
74.6%
Kelley Joiner run for 15 yds to the Temp 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
74.6%
Kelley Joiner run for 3 yds to the Temp 10Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+2
74.4%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the Temp 8Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 5
OPP 8
-1
74.0%
Timmy McClain run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 9Similar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
75.5%
Spencer Shrader 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
73.2%
SAYDEE, Edward rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the TEM31 (LOGAN, Tramel). PENALTY TEM Holding on KLEIN, Adam enforced 10 yards from the TEM25 to the TEM15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:4426% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
74.1%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Randle Jones for 20 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
72.6%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Randle Jones for 8 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+9
71.5%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jadan Blue for 9 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
71.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+20
71.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Edward Saydee for 20 yds to the SFla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
70.4%
D'Wan Mathis run for 1 yd to the SFla 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+16
70.4%
Edward Saydee run for 16 yds to the SFla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.9%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd for a TD (Rory Bell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:5065% → 70%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
64.7%
Kelley Joiner run for 10 yds to the SFla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
65.1%
Katravis Marsh pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 7 yds to the SFla 39Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+4
67.0%
Kelley Joiner run for 4 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
66.9%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+25
66.2%
Kelley Joiner run for 25 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
68.7%
Brian Battie run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 13
OPP 35
0
67.5%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 13
OPP 35
0
65.9%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:17
4TH & 13
OPP 35
+52
70.4%
Spencer Shrader 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3731% → 30%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
69.4%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
68.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
70.4%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jordan Smith for 6 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 6:40
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
70.2%
Adam Barry punt for 33 yds, downed at the SFla 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:5973% → 90%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
72.7%
Brian Battie run for 5 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+7
74.6%
Brian Battie run for 7 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+24
75.0%
Jaren Mangham run for 24 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
75.8%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+5
75.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, Offsides (Demerick Morris) to the Temp 23Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+4
75.8%
Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds to the Temp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
75.7%
Katravis Marsh pass complete to Bryce Miller for 3 yds to the Temp 16Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+9
75.7%
Kelley Joiner run for 9 yds to the Temp 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
75.7%
Kelley Joiner run for 5 yds to the Temp 2Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.9%
Kelley Joiner run for 2 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:2114% → 12%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jadan Blue for 4 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-15
84.7%
QB Keeper MATHIS, D'Wan rush up the middle for a gain of 16 yards to the TEM45 (DAVIS, Vincent), out of bounds. PENALTY TEM Personal Foul on JONES, Randle enforced 15 yards from the TEM43 to the TEM28, from the the spot of the ball when the foul occurred, runner is credited with 14 yards on the play [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
84.8%
Tayvon Ruley run for 5 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
84.6%
D'Wan Mathis run for 9 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
84.1%
D'Wan Mathis sacked by Antonio Grier for 0 yards to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 17
OWN 35
0
86.1%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 17
OWN 35
0
86.5%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 17
OWN 35
0
88.5%
Adam Barry punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Bryce Miller at the SFla 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:5392% → 99%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
92.0%
Brian Battie run for 19 yds to the SFla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
92.7%
Katravis Marsh pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 14 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
92.8%
Kelley Joiner run for 4 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+3
92.8%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+13
92.5%
Jaren Mangham run for 13 yds to the Temp 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
92.8%
Katravis Marsh pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 1 yd to the Temp 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+18
92.8%
Brian Battie run for 18 yds to the Temp 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.8%
Brian Battie run for no gain to the Temp 1Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14INT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:422% → 2%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.5%
Edward Saydee run for 7 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
98.5%
D'Wan Mathis pass intercepted return for no gain to the Temp 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:3999% → 99%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
98.6%
Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+4
98.6%
Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+9
98.6%
Cade Fortin pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 9 yds to the Temp 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
98.6%
Darrian Felix run for 6 yds to the Temp 14Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+3
98.6%
Darrian Felix run for 3 yds to the Temp 11Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 1
OPP 11
0
98.6%
Darrian Felix run for no gain to the Temp 11Similar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 1
OPP 11
-1
98.8%
Darrian Felix run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:521% → 1%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
99.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-2
99.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jadan Blue for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 10Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 12
OWN 10
0
99.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 12
OWN 10
+4
99.2%
Adam Barry punt for 45 yds , Bryce Miller returns for 4 yds to the SFla 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 17END OF 4TH QUARTER
12 plays · 25 yds · 5:5499% → 100%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.1%
Mychael Hamilton run for 3 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+11
99.1%
Cade Fortin run for 11 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
99.1%
Yasias Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 40Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+10
99.0%
Yasias Young run for 10 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+2
99.7%
Yasias Young run for 2 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+3
99.7%
Mychael Hamilton run for 3 yds to the Temp 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.8%
Mychael Hamilton run for no gain to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.8%
Mychael Hamilton run for 1 yd to the Temp 24Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 9
OPP 24
-15
99.7%
FORTIN, Cade pass to the right incomplete intended for AKEPEU, Flaubert thrown to the TEM12. PENALTY USF Pass Interference on BERRYHILL, Logan enforced 15 yards to the TEM39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 24
OPP 39
+13
99.8%
Yasias Young run for 13 yds to the Temp 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:41
Kelley Joiner run for 2 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)
+14.2
TD · Q3 11:16
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd for a TD (Rory Bell KICK)
-11.6
TD · Q2 4:38
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Randle Jones for 70 yds for a TD (Rory Bell KICK)
-10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com