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TULN

Tulane 26 at SMU 55

SMU
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2021 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Win probability · SMU
modelSMU aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playSMU scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:54 · Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the SMU 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Pregame prior+8.4Home team on offense+22.2Score differential+9.4Garbage-time factor+5.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.7Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:04: Tanner Mordecai run for 3 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) — SMU win probability +4.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:22: Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 10 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +5.6 pts (now 20%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:25: Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tommy McIntyre for 24 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) — SMU win probability +6.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:18: Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TULN win probability +5.6 pts (now 11%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:28: Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TULN win probability +4.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 8
  1. Q1 12:40SMU 4th & 2 at TULN 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    82.1%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:15SMU 4th & 3 at TULN 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    81.7%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:56SMU 4th & 4 at TULN 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.4%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    80.9%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:38TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:11TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:24TULN 4th & 7 at SMU 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    11.0%−0.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:43SMU 4th & 16 at TULN 29, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    86.0%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:17TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:20TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 33, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:08SMU 4th & 1 at SMU 39, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    92.9%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:37TULN 4th & 7 at SMU 9, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−5.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:54TULN 4th & 8 at midfield, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:00SMU 4th & 7 at midfield, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:01TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 33, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:05SMU 4th & 8 at TULN 20, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 4
  1. Q1 6:08SMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:04SMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:22TULN Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:25SMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:53SMU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:18TULN Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:33SMU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:28TULN Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:50TULN Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:01SMU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:39SMU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 4:3981% → 80%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
81.1%
Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the SMU 48Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+19
81.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 19 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
81.0%
Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
81.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Rashee RiceSimilar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+6
80.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 6 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+6
80.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 6 yds to the Tulan 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
80.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 6 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
80.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Grant CalcaterraSimilar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+1
80.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 1 yd to the Tulan 12Similar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+8
80.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 8 yds to the Tulan 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
80.5%
Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the Tulan 1Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
80.4%
Tre Siggers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 4Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
80.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Grant CalcaterraSimilar
Q1 9:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
80.3%
Blake Mazza 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1320% → 20%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.2%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.1%
Michael Pratt run for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
80.0%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 8:38
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
80.1%
Ryan Wright punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jayleen Record at the SMU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 2:1280% → 82%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+36
79.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 36 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
80.2%
Tre Siggers run for 19 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
80.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 12 yds to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
80.1%
Brandon Epton Jr. run for 11 yds to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
80.1%
Brandon Epton Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tulan 1Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.6%
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2919% → 19%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.7%
Cameron Carroll run for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
80.5%
Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the Tulan 31Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
80.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 2 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 4:11
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
80.7%
Ryan Wright punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Jayleen Record at the SMU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 2:4681% → 87%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
81.4%
Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the SMU 16Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+12
81.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 12 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
81.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 5 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+9
81.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 9 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+30
81.7%
Tre Siggers run for 30 yds to the Tulan 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
81.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Tommy McIntyreSimilar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
81.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+12
81.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 12 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
81.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 10 yds to the Tulan 6 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, Face Mask (3 yards) (Ajani Kerr) to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
81.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Grant CalcaterraSimilar
Q1 1:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.8%
Tanner Mordecai run for 3 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:2315% → 20%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
85.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 15 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+50
85.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 50 yds to the SMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
79.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 10 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 39 yds · 1:3582% → 88%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
81.9%
Brandon Epton Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 11
OPP 40
0
81.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Danny GraySimilar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+13
81.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 13 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
82.0%
Tanner Mordecai run for 5 yds to the Tulan 22 SMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Justin Osborne) to the Tulan 32Similar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+8
82.0%
Tre Siggers run for 8 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+24
88.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tommy McIntyre for 24 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:5113% → 13%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.7%
Jha'Quan Jackson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
86.9%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
87.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 13 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
86.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 15 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
86.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the SMU 42Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
86.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
86.8%
Ygenio Booker run for no gain to the SMU 42Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
87.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Phat WattsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:2789% → 88%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
89.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 13 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
89.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Rashee RiceSimilar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+22
89.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 22 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
89.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Nolan Matthews-HarrisSimilar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
89.6%
Brandon Epton Jr. run for no gain to the Tulan 23Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 10
OPP 23
-15
89.0%
Mordecai, Tanner pass complete to Rice, Rashee for 14 yards to the TULANE9, PENALTY SMU pass interference (Rice, Rashee) 15 yards to the TULANE38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 25
OPP 38
+9
88.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 9 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 16
OPP 29
+47
87.8%
Blake Mazza 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:5313% → 12%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-7
87.1%
Michael Pratt sacked by Turner Coxe for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 22Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 17
OWN 22
-5
87.6%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Caleb Thomas) to the Tulan 17Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 22
OWN 17
+20
87.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 20 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
87.1%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 2
OWN 37
-5
87.4%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Caleb Thomas) to the Tulan 32Similar
Q2 5:17
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
88.0%
Ryan Wright punt for 59 yds, downed at the SMU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 3:5789% → 96%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+21
88.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 21 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
89.3%
Tanner Mordecai run for 16 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
90.0%
Tre Siggers run for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 41Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+6
89.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 6 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+10
89.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 10 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
90.2%
Brandon Epton Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+14
90.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 14 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
90.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 4 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+22
95.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 22 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:256% → 6%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the Tulan 25Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:126% → 11%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.5%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
94.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae WyattSimilar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
94.7%
Cameron Carroll run for 6 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+9
94.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 9 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+43
95.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 43 yds to the SMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
94.6%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the SMU 11Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+11
89.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 14DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:3794% → 94%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
93.7%
Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the SMU 32Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+3
93.8%
Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the SMU 35Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+4
93.7%
Tanner Mordecai run for 4 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q3 11:08
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
93.5%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the SMU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:038% → 8%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
92.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds to the SMU 32Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+20
91.4%
Michael Pratt run for 8 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, Personal Foul (Shaine Hailey) to the SMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
91.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the SMU 9Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
91.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
92.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 7
OPP 9
0
92.5%
Ryan Wright pass incomplete to Will WallaceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 4:3794% → 99%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
93.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 3 yds to the SMU 12Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+2
94.6%
Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the SMU 14Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+8
94.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 8 yds to the SMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-4
94.9%
Tanner Mordecai sacked by JoJo Dorceus for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 18Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 14
OWN 18
0
94.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Grant CalcaterraSimilar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 14
OWN 18
+43
94.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Danny Gray for 43 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
95.4%
Tyler Lavine run for 5 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-2
95.6%
Brandon Epton Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 36Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+22
95.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 22 yds to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
95.8%
Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
99.1%
Tre Siggers run for 9 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:051% → 6%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.7%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Tyrick James) to the Tulan 20Similar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+9
98.2%
Cameron Carroll run for 9 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+23
98.7%
Cameron Carroll run for 23 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae WyattSimilar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
98.8%
Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the SMU 48Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+44
98.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for 44 yds to the SMU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:575% → 5%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
95.3%
Tyjae Spears run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 0:18
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+12
95.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 12 yds to the SMU 44Similar
Q3 0:17
3RD & 2
OPP 44
-5
95.2%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Caleb Thomas) to the SMU 49Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 49
-1
95.5%
Tyjae Spears run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 8
50
+3
95.5%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the SMU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3098% → 98%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
97.7%
Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 7
50
0
97.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Danny GraySimilar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 7
50
0
97.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Danny GraySimilar
Q4 14:00
4TH & 7
50
0
97.6%
Matt Fraanje punt for 19 yds, downed at the Tulan 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:524% → 3%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
95.8%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
96.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+2
96.6%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q4 13:01
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
96.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 21FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:1598% → 99%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
98.1%
Tyler Lavine run for 8 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+3
98.2%
Brandon Epton Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tulan 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-15
98.2%
Mordecai, Tanner pass complete to Calcaterra, Grant for 12 yards to the TULANE10, PENALTY SMU pass interference (Calcaterra, Grant) 15 yards to the TULANE37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 25
OPP 37
+2
98.2%
Brandon Epton Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 23
OPP 35
+7
98.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 7 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 16
OPP 28
+8
98.3%
Tanner Mordecai run for 8 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 9:05
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+38
98.9%
Blake Mazza 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 1:351% → 6%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
99.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+7
99.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 7 yds to the Tulan 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae WyattSimilar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
99.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+42
99.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 42 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+19
99.1%
Michael Pratt run for 10 yds to the SMU 18 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, Personal Foul (Gary Wiley) to the SMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.1%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Shae WyattSimilar
Q4 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
94.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 9 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 23TD
3 plays · 44 yds · 0:1497% → 99%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.2%
Brandon Epton Jr. run for no gain to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+44
99.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 44 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:141% → 1%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
99.3%
Kai Horton pass intercepted Isaac Slade-Matautia return for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulan 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 25TD
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:2199% → 100%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
99.3%
Brandon Epton Jr. run for 14 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.3%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Brandon Epton Jr.Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
99.4%
Blake Bedwell run for 1 yd to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+11
99.4%
Preston Stone pass complete to Simon Gonzalez for 11 yds to the Tulan 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.5%
Preston Stone run for 2 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Brandon Epton Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:200% → 0%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
100.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 6 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
100.0%
TULANE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Rashad Green) to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
100.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 17 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
100.0%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:25
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tommy McIntyre for 24 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q1 0:22
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 10 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
-5.6
TD · Q3 12:18
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com