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TEM

Temple 3 at Cincinnati 52

CIN
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2021 · Nippert Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:52 · Adam Barry punt for 41 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 5 yds to the Cincy 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Pregame prior+41.1Home team on offense+3.7Score differential+0.9Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:52: Alec Pierce 9 Yd pass from Desmond Ridder (Cole Smith Kick) — CIN win probability +0.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:42: Jerome Ford 8 Yd Run (Cole Smith Kick) — CIN win probability +2.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 5:27: Rory Bell 55 Yd Field Goal — TEM win probability +0.6 pts (now 5%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:50: Jerome Ford 75 Yd Run (Cole Smith Kick) — CIN win probability +3.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:00: Tyler Scott 38 Yd pass from Desmond Ridder (Cole Smith Kick) — CIN win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:41TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:15CIN 4th & 12 at TEM 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:26CIN 4th & 4 at CIN 37, up 3
    Close callPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:52TEM 4th & 17 at TEM 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:27TEM 4th & 17 at CIN 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.1%
    38% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:44CIN 4th & 10 at TEM 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:33TEM 4th & 9 at TEM 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:13TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:41CIN 4th & 5 at CIN 13, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:49TEM 4th & 17 at TEM 15, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:29TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 38, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:56TEM 4th & 3 at CIN 3, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:42CIN 4th & 10 at CIN 3, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:07TEM 4th & 4 at CIN 36, down 49
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 2:52CIN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:42CIN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:50CIN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:00CIN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:45CIN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:54CIN Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:15CIN Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:073% → 3%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.2%
Edward Saydee run for 4 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
97.1%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 7 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
97.0%
D'Wan Mathis sacked by Bryan Cook for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 34Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+10
96.9%
Edward Saydee run for 10 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-3
96.8%
Edward Saydee run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 41Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+30
96.7%
Adam Barry punt for 39 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 30 yds to the CINCINNATI 50 CINCINNATI Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Cincy 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 4:1997% → 96%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
96.7%
Ford, Jerome rush for 19 yards to the TEMPLE41, PENALTY CINCINNATI holding (Cooper, Jeremy) 10 yards to the CINCINNATI30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+26
96.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 26 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
96.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+21
96.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 21 yds to the Temp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
96.5%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tre Tucker, broken up by Alex OdomSimilar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+6
96.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 6 yds to the Temp 17Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+7
96.4%
Jerome Ford run for 7 yds to the Temp 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
96.4%
Jerome Ford run for 5 yds to the Temp 5Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
96.2%
Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 6Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-6
96.0%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Yvandy Rigby for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 12Similar
Q1 7:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
96.0%
Cole Smith 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 2:144% → 4%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Edward Saydee, broken up by Darrian BeaversSimilar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jose Barbon for 11 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
95.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jadan Blue for 3 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-5
95.7%
Saydee, Edward rush for 2 yards to the TEMPLE41, PENALTY TEMPLE illegal formation 5 yards to the TEMPLE34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+1
95.7%
D'Wan Mathis run for 1 yd to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-4
95.7%
D'Wan Mathis run for 1 yd to the Temp 36 TEMPLE Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (D'Wan Mathis) to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 15
OWN 31
0
95.7%
Adam Barry punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2596% → 95%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
95.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 3 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
95.4%
Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the Cincy 37Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
95.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tre TuckerSimilar
Q1 3:26
4TH & 4
OWN 37
-4
95.1%
Mason Fletcher punt for 46 yds , Jadan Blue returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 13 Jadan Blue fumbled, recovered by Cincy Ja'von HicksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 5TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:2895% → 96%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
95.4%
Ryan Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Temp 9Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
96.0%
Alec Pierce 9 Yd pass from Desmond Ridder (Cole Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 2:564% → 5%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Tayvon RuleySimilar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.7%
Tayvon Ruley run for 3 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
95.7%
D'Wan Mathis run for 8 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
95.5%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
95.5%
Tayvon Ruley run for no gain to the Temp 36Similar
Q1 0:36
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-7
95.5%
D'Wan Mathis sacked by Wilson Huber for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 29Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 17
OWN 29
+5
95.5%
Adam Barry punt for 41 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 5 yds to the Cincy 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 7TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:0295% → 97%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
95.4%
Jerome Ford run for 8 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
95.4%
Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the Cincy 44 Jerome Ford fumbled, recovered by Cincy Jerome FordSimilar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+9
95.2%
Jerome Ford run for 9 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
95.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 14 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
95.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jordan JonesSimilar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
95.2%
Charles McClelland run for 5 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+6
95.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Charles McClelland for 6 yds to the Temp 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
95.1%
Charles McClelland run for 1 yd to the Temp 21Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+4
95.1%
Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the Temp 17Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+9
94.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 9 yds to the Temp 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
97.1%
Jerome Ford 8 Yd Run (Cole Smith Kick)Similar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
97.2%
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Jeremy Cooper) to the Temp 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8FG
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:053% → 5%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.6%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.6%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 15 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
96.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (C.J. Perez) to the Temp 35Similar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+20
96.5%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Edward Saydee for 20 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
96.1%
D'Wan Mathis run for 7 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+7
96.0%
Edward Saydee run for 7 yds to the Cincy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
95.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Edward Saydee for 1 yd to the Cincy 30Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
95.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 9
OPP 30
-8
96.0%
D'Wan Mathis sacked by Darrian Beavers for a loss of 8 yards to the Cincy 38 D'Wan Mathis fumbled, forced by Darrian Beavers, recovered by Temp Adam Klein , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 5:27
4TH & 17
OPP 38
+55
95.4%
Rory Bell 55 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 9MISSED FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 2:3296% → 95%
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
95.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 11 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
95.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 7 yds to the Cincy 49Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+13
95.7%
Desmond Ridder run for 13 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
95.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 8 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 2
OPP 30
0
95.7%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tyler Scott, broken up by Cameron RuizSimilar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+4
95.5%
Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
95.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 7 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 3
OPP 19
-7
95.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
95.6%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael Young Jr.Similar
Q2 2:44
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+44
95.3%
Cole Smith 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:575% → 5%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
95.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 8 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+3
94.8%
Edward Saydee run for 3 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
95.0%
D'Wan Mathis sacked by Malik Vann for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 36Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+2
95.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jadan Blue for 2 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
95.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Jordan Smith, broken up by Ja'von HicksSimilar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
95.2%
Adam Barry punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
94.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerome Ford for 1 yd to the Cincy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
98.2%
Jerome Ford 75 Yd Run (Cole Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:312% → 2%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.9%
Edward Saydee run for 5 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
97.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jose Barbon for 4 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
97.9%
Adam Barry punt for 58 yds, downed at the Cincy 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2498% → 98%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
98.2%
Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the Cincy 9Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+4
98.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerome Ford for 4 yds to the Cincy 13Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 5
OWN 13
0
98.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael Young Jr., broken up by Cameron RuizSimilar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 5
OWN 13
0
98.1%
Mason Fletcher punt for 48 yds, Amad Anderson Jr. returns for no gain to the Temple 39, Amad Anderson Jr. fumbled, recovered by Cincy Tre Tucker, CINCINNATI Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Josh Whyle) to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 15TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:3298% → 100%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
98.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 16 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
99.6%
Tyler Scott 38 Yd pass from Desmond Ridder (Cole Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:590% → 0%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
99.6%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jose Barbon for 10 yds to the Temp 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.7%
Kyle Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-10
99.7%
D'Wan Mathis sacked by Joel Dublanko for a loss of 10 yards to the Temp 15Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 17
OWN 15
0
99.7%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 17
OWN 15
0
99.7%
Adam Barry punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 17TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Charles McClelland run for no gain to the Cincy 39Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+33
99.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 33 yds to the Temp 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.8%
Charles McClelland 28 Yd Run (Cole Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18INT
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:420% → 0%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jose Barbon for 16 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
99.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 1
50
+12
99.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Edward Saydee for 12 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jadan Blue for no gain to the Cincy 38Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-21
99.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass intercepted Coby Bryant return for 21 yds to the Cincy 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 19TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 3:57100% → 100%
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
99.8%
Jerome Ford run for 10 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
99.8%
Jerome Ford run for 9 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for no gain to the Cincy 43Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+4
99.8%
Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+27
99.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 27 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
99.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 9 yds to the Temp 17Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+5
99.8%
Charles McClelland run for 5 yds to the Temp 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
99.9%
Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the Temp 11Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q3 0:54
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Michael Young Jr. 11 Yd pass from Desmond Ridder (Cole Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:170% → 0%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 7 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 0:14
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
D'Wan Mathis run for 2 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
99.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 34Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jose Barbon for 4 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
99.9%
D'Wan Mathis run for no gain to the Temp 38Similar
Q4 12:29
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Adam Barry punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 21TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 2:03100% → 100%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Ethan Wright run for 5 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Ethan Wright run for 6 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
Ethan Wright run for 5 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Evan Prater run for 3 yds to the Cincy 42Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+58
99.9%
Ethan Wright 58 Yd Run (Cole Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 72 yds · 5:080% → 0%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Trey Blair run for 5 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Trey Blair run for 5 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
100.0%
Justin Lynch sacked by Deshawn Pace and Daved Jones Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 31Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+26
100.0%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Nazir Burnett for 26 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+33
100.0%
Justin Lynch run for 33 yds to the Cincy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
100.0%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Nazir Burnett for 4 yds to the Cincy 6Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
100.0%
Trey Blair run for 3 yds to the Cincy 3Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
100.0%
Justin Lynch run for no gain to the Cincy 3Similar
Q4 4:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Justin Lynch pass incomplete to Kadas ReamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
100.0%
Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Cincy 5Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 8
OWN 5
-2
100.0%
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Mao Glynn) to the Cincy 3Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
100.0%
Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the Cincy 3Similar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 10
OWN 3
0
100.0%
Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the Cincy 3Similar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 10
OWN 3
+9
100.0%
Mason Fletcher punt for 48 yds , Amad Anderson Jr. returns for 9 yds to the Cincy 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
100.0%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Richard Rodriguez) to the Cincy 47Similar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 15
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Justin Lynch pass incomplete to Kadas ReamsSimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+9
100.0%
Trey Blair run for 9 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+2
100.0%
Trey Blair run for 2 yds to the Cincy 36Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Justin Lynch pass incomplete to Zae BainesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:44100% → 100%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
100.0%
Evan Prater pass complete to Payten Singletary for 4 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
100.0%
Ethan Wright run for 2 yds to the Cincy 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:50
Jerome Ford 75 Yd Run (Cole Smith Kick)
+3.1
TD · Q2 9:42
Jerome Ford 8 Yd Run (Cole Smith Kick)
+2.3
TD · Q3 11:00
Tyler Scott 38 Yd pass from Desmond Ridder (Cole Smith Kick)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com