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HOU

Houston 40 at Tulane 22

TULN
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2021 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadHOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreHOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:20 · Ryan Wright punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Home team on offense−22.3Pregame prior−2.1Score differential−9.4Garbage-time factor−9.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:45: Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 13 yds for a TD, (Christian Daniels pass to Michael Pratt for Two-Point Conversion) — TULN win probability +9.9 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q2 2:11: Tyjae Spears run for 39 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +10.1 pts (now 44%) (top driver: One-score game).
  3. TD · Q3 13:18: Michael Pratt pass complete to Will Wallace for 29 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +18.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:20: Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 29 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — HOU win probability +22.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:28: Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 8 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +15.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 9 of 10HOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:18TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:55TULN 4th & 2 at HOU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    34.8%−0.8
    23% to make
    Punt
    35.2%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:20TULN 4th & 3 at HOU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    35.2%−0.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    35.0%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:43TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:38HOU 4th & 7 at HOU 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:04HOU 4th & 2 at HOU 33, up 6
    Close callPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:59TULN 4th & 23 at TULN 12, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−3.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:33HOU 4th & 7 at TULN 29, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−4.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:16HOU 4th & 16 at HOU 32, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−3.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:26HOU 4th & 1 at HOU 29, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    57.0%−3.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:31HOU 4th & 5 at HOU 30, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:16HOU 4th & 7 at TULN 7, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−11.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:00TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 47, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:45HOU 4th & 1 at TULN 43, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    42.9%−5.7
    28% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−4.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:48TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.4%−2.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:20TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:42HOU 4th & 3 at HOU 39, up 11
    Close callPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:21TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.4%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:02TULN 4th & 21 at HOU 47, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3HOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 8:04HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:22HOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:45TULN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    33.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    33.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:11TULN Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:18TULN Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:20HOU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    65.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:28HOU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:03HOU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:4235% → 36%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
35.1%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Will Wallace) to the Tulan 20Similar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
35.2%
Jaetavian Toles run for 2 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+10
35.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for 10 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
35.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for no gain to the Tulan 32Similar
Q1 13:18
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
35.8%
Ryan Wright punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 5:0364% → 66%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
35.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 4 yds to the Houst 28Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
36.0%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+11
36.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 11 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
36.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 9 yds to the Houst 48Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+5
36.2%
Alton McCaskill run for 5 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
36.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 3 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+26
36.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 26 yds to the Tulan 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
36.3%
Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the Tulan 17Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+10
36.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 10 yds to the Tulan 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
36.6%
Alton McCaskill run for 6 yds to the Tulan 1Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 0
OPP 1
-5
36.5%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Dekalen Goodson) to the Tulan 6Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 0
OPP 6
-5
36.5%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Seth Green) to the Tulan 11Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
34.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 11 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 44 yds · 4:2935% → 36%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
35.3%
Michael Pratt sacked by Logan Hall for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulan 12Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+34
35.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 34 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
36.0%
Shae Wyatt pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
35.7%
Ygenio Booker run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 6
50
+4
36.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 4 yds to the Houst 46Similar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+3
35.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 3 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
36.5%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the Houst 42Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+7
36.6%
Jha'Quan Jackson run for 7 yds to the Houst 35Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-1
36.6%
Michael Pratt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 36Similar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 3
OPP 36
0
36.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:4866% → 71%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
34.5%
Alton McCaskill run for 3 yds to the Houst 39Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
34.1%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+8
34.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 8 yds to the Houst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+36
33.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 36 yds to the Tulan 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
33.4%
Alton McCaskill run for 3 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-3
33.3%
Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 17Similar
Q1 0:22
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+17
29.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 17 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1730% → 29%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
30.1%
Michael Pratt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 23Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
30.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Ygenio Booker for 3 yds to the Tulan 26, Pratt fumbled snap.Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-1
29.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 25Similar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
29.1%
Ryan Wright punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5772% → 71%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
28.4%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 3 yds to the Houst 30Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
28.1%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jaylen ErwinSimilar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
28.4%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 7
OWN 30
+14
28.7%
Laine Wilkins punt for 47 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 14 yds to the Tulan 44 TULANE Penalty, Illegal Block (Matt Smith) to the Tulan 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:2729% → 40%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+21
29.0%
Michael Pratt run for 6 yds to the Tulan 48 HOUSTON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Garrison Vaughn) to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+25
29.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Will Wallace for 25 yds to the Houst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
29.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 13 yds to the Houst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
29.7%
Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd to the Houst 13Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
39.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 13 yds for a TD, (Christian Daniels pass to Michael Pratt for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 0
OPP 3
+2
40.4%
HOUSTON Penalty, Substitution Infraction (2 Yards) to the Houst 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:4165% → 65%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
35.4%
Tune, Clayton pass complete to Herslow, Jake for 9 yards to the HOUSTON34, PENALTY HOUSTON pass interference 12 yards to the HOUSTON13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+1
35.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 1 yd to the Houst 14Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 21
OWN 14
0
36.0%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+19
36.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 19 yds to the Houst 33Similar
Q2 9:04
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+60
35.2%
Laine Wilkins punt for 53 yds, downed at the TULANE 14 TULANE Penalty, Offensive Holding (7 Yards) to the Tulan 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:5236% → 34%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
36.0%
Michael Pratt run for 5 yds to the Tulan 12Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+13
36.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Ygenio Booker for 13 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
35.6%
Michael Pratt sacked by Latrell Bankston for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 24Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-4
35.5%
Ygenio Booker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 20Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-8
34.5%
Michael Pratt sacked by Elijah Gooden for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulan 12Similar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+14
34.1%
Ryan Wright punt for 51 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 14 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:1168% → 69%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
31.8%
Alton McCaskill run for 7 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
31.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for no gain to the Tulan 42Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+10
32.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 10 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
31.4%
Alton McCaskill run for 2 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+1
31.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Alton McCaskill for 1 yd to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
31.9%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+46
31.2%
Dalton Witherspoon 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:1232% → 44%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
32.1%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
32.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Cameron CarrollSimilar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+20
31.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for 20 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
33.5%
Pratt, Michael pass incomplete to Wyatt, Shae, PENALTY HOUSTON pass interference (Smith, Chandler) 16 yards to the HOUSTON36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE.Similar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
34.2%
TULANE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Corey Dublin) to the Houst 46Similar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+7
33.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 7 yds to the Houst 39Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 13
OPP 39
0
33.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae WyattSimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 13
OPP 39
+39
43.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 39 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 1:4059% → 56%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
41.3%
Alton McCaskill run for 4 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
41.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 9 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-12
40.0%
Clayton Tune sacked by Macon Clark for a loss of 12 yards to the Houst 26Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 22
OWN 26
+10
42.2%
Alton McCaskill run for 10 yds to the Houst 36Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 12
OWN 36
-4
42.7%
Clayton Tune sacked by Angelo Anderson for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 32Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 16
OWN 32
+8
44.2%
Laine Wilkins punt for 45 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 8 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:1043% → 43%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
43.2%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
43.2%
Cameron Carroll run for 4 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1360% → 58%
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
40.3%
Alton McCaskill run for 9 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
38.9%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
40.3%
Alton McCaskill run for no gain to the Houst 29Similar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
42.0%
Alton McCaskill run for no gain to the Houst 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15TD
1 play · 29 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
60.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Will Wallace for 29 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:3946% → 43%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
54.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 3 yds to the Houst 28Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
54.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 6 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-4
53.9%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Cam'Ron Johnson) to the Houst 30Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
55.6%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel DellSimilar
Q3 11:31
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
57.4%
Laine Wilkins punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:4558% → 62%
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
58.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+4
59.4%
Cameron Carroll run for 4 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+13
59.3%
Cameron Carroll run for 13 yds to the Houst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
61.6%
Pratt, Michael pass incomplete to Toles, Jaetavian, PENALTY TULANE holding 10 yards to the TULANE43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+11
59.3%
Cameron Carroll run for 11 yds to the Houst 46Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 9
OPP 46
-19
62.0%
Michael Pratt sacked by D'Anthony Jones for a loss of 19 yards to the Tulan 35 Michael Pratt fumbled, forced by D'Anthony Jones, recovered by Houst D'Anthony Jones , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 18FG
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:0949% → 49%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+30
51.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 30 yds to the Tulan 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
51.0%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 7Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
51.3%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jake HerslowSimilar
Q3 8:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
52.8%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
51.1%
Dalton Witherspoon 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:0854% → 53%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+19
54.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 19 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
57.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+2
57.6%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Houst 49Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-4
57.2%
Michael Pratt sacked by Derek Parish for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
53.4%
Ryan Wright punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 20TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 4:2946% → 70%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
53.6%
Mulbah Car run for 9 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+19
51.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 19 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
49.7%
KeSean Carter run for 6 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+3
48.7%
Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
49.2%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to KeSean CarterSimilar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+6
52.4%
Mulbah Car run for 6 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
49.9%
Mulbah Car run for no gain to the Tulan 37Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
50.3%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+10
51.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 10 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
48.8%
Henry, Ta'Zhawn rush for 6 yards to the TULANE21, PENALTY HOUSTON holding (Paul, Patrick) 10 yards to the TULANE37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+8
51.9%
Mulbah Car run for 8 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+29
29.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 29 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:1237% → 40%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
37.3%
Cameron Carroll run for 9 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+3
38.8%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Tulan 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
38.1%
Cameron Carroll run for 7 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+4
40.5%
Cameron Carroll run for 4 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
38.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-6
39.2%
Michael Pratt sacked by Logan Hall for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+11
36.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 11 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
39.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Phat WattsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 3:1771% → 90%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
29.3%
Mulbah Car run for 4 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
27.8%
Mulbah Car run for no gain to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+10
28.8%
Mulbah Car run for 10 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
26.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 16 yds to the Tulan 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
26.0%
Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the Tulan 8Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
10.3%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 8 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0214% → 13%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
13.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
14.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Ygenio Booker for no gain to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
13.4%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:20
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
13.0%
Ryan Wright punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3089% → 90%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
10.6%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 5 yds to the Houst 37Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
9.2%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds to the Houst 39Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
9.3%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q4 6:42
4TH & 3
OWN 39
+10
9.8%
Laine Wilkins punt for 38 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 10 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25DOWNS
11 plays · 20 yds · 3:3412% → 6%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
11.6%
Michael Pratt run for 5 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
11.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for no gain to the Tulan 38Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
11.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae WyattSimilar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+15
9.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 15 yds to the Houst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
12.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
11.4%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Houst 45Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+9
10.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for 9 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-7
11.2%
Michael Pratt sacked by David Anenih for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 43Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 17
OPP 43
0
9.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae WyattSimilar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 17
OPP 43
-4
7.2%
Michael Pratt run for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 47Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 21
OPP 47
0
6.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 26TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 1:5395% → 99%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
4.8%
Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 44Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+7
4.7%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 7 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+12
4.3%
Alton McCaskill run for 12 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
3.3%
Alton McCaskill run for no gain to the Tulan 37Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
3.3%
Alton McCaskill run for 2 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+35
0.9%
Alton McCaskill run for 35 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:521% → 1%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
0.7%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-7
0.7%
Michael Pratt sacked by Nelson Ceaser for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:20
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 29 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-22.2
TD · Q3 13:18
Michael Pratt pass complete to Will Wallace for 29 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
+18.5
TD · Q4 9:28
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 8 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)
-15.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com