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CHSO

Charleston Southern 28 at East Carolina 31

ECU
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadCHSO aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreCHSO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:58 · Nathaniel Toole 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by , Malik Fleming return for no gain to the ECaro 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 167Pregame prior+4.4Home team on offense+18.1Garbage-time factor+5.1Score differential+6.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8Time remaining+2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:10: Keaton Mitchell run for 74 yds for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK) — ECU win probability +2.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:00: Mason Garcia run for 3 yds for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK) — ECU win probability +4.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:09: Ja'Quan McMillian 23 Yd Interception Return (Owen Daffer Kick) — ECU win probability +4.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CHSO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:58: Jack Chambers run for 8 yds for a TD, (Sam Babbush KICK) — CHSO win probability +9.2 pts (now 13%) (top driver: CHSO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:50: Jack Chambers pass complete to Geoffrey Wall for 2 yds for a TD, (Sam Babbush KICK) — CHSO win probability +28.6 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9CHSO made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00CHSO 4th & 4 at ECU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:35ECU 4th & 6 at ECU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:35ECU 4th & 13 at ECU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:35CHSO 4th & 3 at ECU 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:43CHSO 4th & 10 at ECU 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−4.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:37CHSO 4th & 12 at CHSO 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:38ECU 4th & 15 at CHSO 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    76.0%−3.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:56CHSO 4th & 6 at CHSO 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:10CHSO 4th & 2 at ECU 34, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.2%−0.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:31CHSO 4th & 26 at CHSO 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:58ECU 4th & 2 at ECU 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:41CHSO 4th & 5 at CHSO 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:46ECU 4th & 2 at ECU 20, up 17
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:16CHSO 4th & 16 at CHSO 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−1.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:16ECU 4th & 1 at CHSO 48, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.2%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:03CHSO 4th & 16 at CHSO 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:11ECU 4th & 2 at ECU 32, up 10
    Close callPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:58CHSO 4th & 6 at ECU 25, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.8%−0.9
    66% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−2.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:11ECU 4th & 8 at ECU 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:37ECU 4th & 5 at CHSO 42, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    92.5%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%−2.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4CHSO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:29CHSO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:18CHSO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:10ECU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:00ECU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:31ECU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:09ECU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:58CHSO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:50CHSO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.6%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CHSODrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:315% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.7%
Garris Schwarting run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+14
94.7%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Geoffrey Wall for 14 yds to the ChaSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+5
94.7%
Jack Chambers run for 5 yds to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
94.7%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
94.7%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+5
94.7%
Jack Chambers run for 5 yds to the ECaro 14Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
94.7%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Demetrius Jones for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
50
+7
94.7%
JD Moore run for 7 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
94.7%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Garris Schwarting for 9 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+4
94.7%
Jack Chambers run for 4 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
94.7%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
94.7%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Geoffrey Wall for 3 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+3
94.7%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Garris Schwarting for 3 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q1 10:55
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+5
93.8%
BABBUSH, Sam field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD [kick was spotted at ECU21], score nullified by penalty, clock 10:55. PENALTY ECU Offsides enforced 5 yards from the ECU14 to the ECU9 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
93.7%
Jack Chambers run for 3 yds to the ECaro 6Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
93.1%
JD Moore run for 6 yds for a TD, (Sam Babbush KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4493% → 93%
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
93.3%
Keaton Mitchell run for no gain to the ECaro 36Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-3
93.3%
Holton Ahlers run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 33Similar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+7
93.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 7 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
92.5%
Jonn Young punt for 58 yds, downed at the ChaSo 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 3TD
8 plays · 98 yds · 2:178% → 10%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
92.5%
JD Moore run for no gain to the ChaSo 2Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+22
92.5%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Cayden Jordan for 22 yds to the ChaSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
92.5%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Geoffrey Wall for 2 yds to the ChaSo 26Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
92.5%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+16
92.5%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Geoffrey Wall for 16 yds to the ChaSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
92.3%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Garris Schwarting for 3 yds to the ChaSo 45Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+17
92.3%
JD Moore run for 17 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
90.1%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Kale Anderson for 38 yds for a TD, (Sam Babbush KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:3891% → 89%
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
90.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 9 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+9
90.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
50
0
90.9%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 10
50
-6
90.9%
Holton Ahlers run for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 44Similar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 16
OWN 44
+3
90.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 3 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 13
OWN 47
+20
88.6%
Jonn Young punt for 35 yds EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Kick Catch Interference on MAUNEY, Demetrius enforced at the deadball spot for (-15 Yards) to the ChaSo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 5MISSED FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 4:5212% → 17%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
88.3%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Garris Schwarting for 11 yds to the ChaSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
88.1%
run for 13 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
88.1%
JD Moore run for 3 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
88.1%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+4
88.2%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Geoffrey Wall for 4 yds to the ECaro 36Similar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+5
88.3%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Cayden Jordan for 5 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
88.1%
JD Moore run for 7 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q1 0:27
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
85.2%
JD Moore run for no gain to the ECaro 24Similar
Q1 0:27
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+12
85.1%
Jack Chambers run for 12 yds to the ECaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
84.4%
JD Moore run for 4 yds to the ECaro 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
-3
84.4%
Jack Chambers run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 11
-1
84.6%
Jack Chambers run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 12Similar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+29
83.4%
Sam Babbush 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:3384% → 87%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
83.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 6 yds to the ECaro 26Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+74
86.8%
Keaton Mitchell run for 74 yds for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:2814% → 14%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
86.5%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, False Start (Jacob Tylski) to the ChaSo 12Similar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 15
OWN 12
0
86.6%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 15
OWN 12
0
86.7%
Jack Chambers sacked by Teagan Wilk and Suirad Ware for 0 yards to the ChaSo 5Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 22
OWN 5
+10
87.0%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Garris Schwarting for 10 yds to the ChaSo 15Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 12
OWN 15
0
86.1%
Miller Braddock punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 3:5986% → 84%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
86.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
86.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 15 yds to the ChaSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
86.7%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
86.7%
Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 33Similar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+11
86.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 11 yds to the ChaSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
87.1%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ChaSo 22Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+17
87.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 17 yds to the ChaSo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
87.1%
Holton Ahlers run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 6Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
87.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
86.7%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Nick Salley for 0 yards to the ChaSo 15Similar
Q2 7:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
83.8%
Owen Daffer 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3716% → 15%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
84.1%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Cayden Jordan for 4 yds to the ChaSo 22Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
84.0%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
84.6%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:56
4TH & 6
OWN 22
+13
84.6%
Miller Braddock punt for 46 yds , Tyler Snead returns for 13 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:5685% → 89%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-15
84.8%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Fernando Frye) to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
84.8%
Keaton Mitchell run for 1 yd to the ECaro 47Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+19
84.7%
Holton Ahlers run for 19 yds to the ChaSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
84.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 31 yds for a 1ST down pass complete to Tyler Snead for 34 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
89.1%
Mason Garcia run for 3 yds for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 1:5013% → 14%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
87.4%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Demetrius Jones for 22 yds to the ChaSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
86.2%
JD Moore run for no gain to the ChaSo 47Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+8
86.4%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Demetrius Jones for 8 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+3
86.1%
JD Moore run for 3 yds to the ECaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
86.0%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
86.0%
Jack Chambers run for 8 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 2
OPP 34
0
85.8%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:10
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+51
85.8%
Sam Babbush 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 66 yds · 0:3987% → 91%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
87.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 6 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
88.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+60
90.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 60 yds for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 13PUNT
14 plays · 22 yds · 2:009% → 8%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
90.7%
CHAMBERS, Jack sacked for a loss of 10 yards at the CSU15 (CROWLEY, Liam;BIVENS, Bruce). PENALTY ECU Face mask on MCIVER, Xavier enforced 15 yards from the CSU25 to the CSU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
90.1%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Geoffrey Wall for a loss of 2 yards to the ChaSo 38Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
90.6%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+12
90.8%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Demetrius Jones for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
50
+13
89.4%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Garris Schwarting for 13 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
88.8%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
88.8%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 10
OPP 37
-10
89.3%
CHAMBERS, Jack pass to the left incomplete intended for SCHWARTING, Garris thrown to the ECU15. PENALTY CSU Holding on PERRY, Nick enforced 10 yards from the ECU37 to the ECU47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 20
OPP 47
0
91.0%
Jack Chambers sacked by Bruce Bivens for 0 yards to the ChaSo 47Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 26
OWN 47
+21
91.6%
Miller Braddock punt for 34 yds , Tyler Snead returns for 21 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
92.5%
Holton Ahlers run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:5391% → 91%
Q3 14:51
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+10
90.7%
AHLERS, Holton pass to the right incomplete intended for MITCHELL, Keaton thrown to the ECU28. PENALTY CSU Holding on CLINE, Cody enforced 10 yards from the ECU26 to the ECU36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
91.4%
Keaton Mitchell run for 5 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-1
91.7%
Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 40Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+4
91.2%
Holton Ahlers run for 4 yds to the ECaro 44Similar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
91.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
91.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 3 yds to the ECaro 26Similar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
90.7%
Jonn Young punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Garris Schwarting at the ChaSo 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 16INT TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:499% → 5%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
90.9%
Jack Chambers pass complete to JD Moore for 12 yds to the ChaSo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
90.7%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Kyris Barnett for no gain to the ChaSo 20Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-23
95.2%
Ja'Quan McMillian 23 Yd Interception Return (Owen Daffer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:225% → 5%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
95.1%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+3
95.2%
JD Moore run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 19Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+16
95.3%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Garris Schwarting for 16 yds to the ChaSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
94.8%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Geoffrey Wall for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 34Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
95.2%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+6
95.3%
Jack Chambers run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 40Similar
Q3 8:41
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
95.1%
Miller Braddock punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5596% → 96%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
96.2%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECaro 14Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+2
96.2%
Tyler Snead run for 2 yds to the ECaro 16Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+4
96.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 4 yds to the ECaro 20Similar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
95.9%
Jonn Young punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Garris Schwarting at the ChaSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:305% → 4%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
95.0%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
95.2%
Kyris Barnett run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 33Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
95.4%
Jack Chambers sacked by Immanuel Hickman for 0 yards to the ChaSo 26Similar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 16
OWN 26
0
95.7%
Miller Braddock punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20INT
9 plays · 53 yds · 4:1996% → 97%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
96.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 12 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
96.6%
Keaton Mitchell run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 3
50
+2
96.6%
Keaton Mitchell run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 48Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-1
96.5%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 48 fumbled, recovered by ECaroSimilar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+2
96.2%
Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-7
96.6%
Tyler Snead run for a loss of 7 yards to the ECaro 47Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 17
OWN 47
+32
96.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 32 yds to the ChaSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
96.6%
Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 16Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
96.9%
Holton Ahlers pass intercepted return for no gain to the ChaSo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 21TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 1:594% → 13%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
96.2%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Geoffrey Wall for 4 yds to the ChaSo 23Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
96.1%
JD Moore run for no gain to the ChaSo 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+21
96.3%
Jack Chambers pass complete to JD Moore for 21 yds to the ChaSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+26
95.9%
Jack Chambers run for 26 yds to the ECaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
95.2%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Geoffrey Wall for 3 yds to the ECaro 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+13
95.2%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Cayden Jordan for 13 yds to the ECaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
95.2%
Jack Chambers run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 8Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
95.9%
JD Moore run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+3
95.9%
JD Moore run for 3 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
86.7%
Jack Chambers run for 8 yds for a TD, (Sam Babbush KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 22INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:1392% → 91%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
91.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 1 yd to the ChaSo 47Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-1
91.5%
Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 48Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
90.5%
Holton Ahlers pass intercepted return for no gain to the ChaSo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:4512% → 8%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
88.1%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
88.7%
Jack Chambers run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 45Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 8
OWN 45
-5
88.8%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, False Start (Preston Nichols) to the ChaSo 40Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 13
OWN 40
0
90.3%
Jack Chambers sacked by Immanuel Hickman for 0 yards to the ChaSo 37Similar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 16
OWN 37
0
92.5%
Miller Braddock punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5292% → 92%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
91.6%
Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
91.7%
Keaton Mitchell run for no gain to the ECaro 27Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+5
91.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 5 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 2
OWN 32
+29
92.4%
Jonn Young punt for 44 yds EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the ChaSo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 25MISSED FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:139% → 8%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
90.7%
Jack Chambers run for a loss of 2 yards to the ChaSo 37Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 12
OWN 37
0
92.2%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+23
92.7%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Geoffrey Wall for 23 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
90.2%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Demetrius Jones for 11 yds to the ECaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
88.6%
Jack Chambers sacked by Jireh Wilson for 0 yards to the ECaro 35Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 16
OPP 35
+1
89.7%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Geoffrey Wall for 1 yd to the ECaro 34Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 15
OPP 34
+9
91.3%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Cayden Jordan for 9 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q4 3:58
4TH & 6
OPP 25
0
91.8%
Nathaniel Toole 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by , Malik Fleming return for no gain to the ECaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4794% → 94%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
94.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
94.0%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
93.9%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
94.2%
Jonn Young punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Garris Schwarting at the ChaSo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 27TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 1:216% → 37%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
94.5%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Geoffrey Wall for 12 yds to the ChaSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
94.3%
Jack Chambers run for 12 yds to the ChaSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
93.3%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+32
93.4%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Garris Schwarting for 32 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
92.1%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+13
91.8%
CHAMBERS, Jack pass to the left incomplete intended for JONES, Demetrius broken up by JOHNSON, Nolan at the ECU1. PENALTY ECU Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Nolan enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the ECU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+15
92.2%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Targeting on WARE, Suirad enforced (Suirad Ware) to the ECaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
91.8%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on OTTAWAY, Bailey ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
63.2%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Geoffrey Wall for 2 yds for a TD, (Sam Babbush KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:0687% → 94%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+29
86.9%
Keaton Mitchell run for 29 yds to the ChaSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
89.7%
Keaton Mitchell run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 46Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+3
90.9%
Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 43Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+1
90.4%
Keaton Mitchell run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 42Similar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
93.5%
Jonn Young punt for 39 yds, downed at the ChaSo 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 29END OF GAME
4 plays · 44 yds · 0:3711% → 11%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+11
89.5%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Cayden Jordan for 11 yds to the ChaSo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
88.8%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Cayden Jordan for 10 yds to the ChaSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
88.5%
Jack Chambers run for no gain to the ChaSo 24Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+23
89.0%
Jack Chambers pass complete to JD Moore for 23 yds to the ChaSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:50
Jack Chambers pass complete to Geoffrey Wall for 2 yds for a TD, (Sam Babbush KICK)
-28.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+11
TD · Q4 13:58
Jack Chambers run for 8 yds for a TD, (Sam Babbush KICK)
-9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com