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FAMU

Florida A&M 17 at South Florida 38

USF
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadFAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreFAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:20 · Andrew Stokes punt for 29 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Pregame prior+20.4Home team on offense+24.0Score differential+16.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1Garbage-time factor+8.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:47: Timmy McClain pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 9 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK) — USF win probability +2.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:31: Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK) — USF win probability +5.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:53: Terrell Jennings run for 33 yds for a TD, (Jose Romo-Martinez KICK) — FAMU win probability +5.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: FAMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:02: Jaren Mangham run for 9 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK) — USF win probability +3.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:10: Rasean McKay pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 6 yds for a TD, (Jose Romo-Martinez KICK) — FAMU win probability +5.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: FAMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 4 of 8FAMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:05FAMU 4th & 14 at FAMU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:39USF 4th & 5 at FAMU 32, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.9%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:27FAMU 4th & 11 at USF 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:10FAMU 4th & 2 at FAMU 25, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:06FAMU 4th & 1 at FAMU 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:26USF 4th & 2 at USF 22, up 14
    Close callPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:40FAMU 4th & 8 at USF 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:41USF 4th & 19 at USF 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:10FAMU 4th & 10 at FAMU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:45USF 4th & 2 at FAMU 33, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.8%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:14FAMU 4th & 11 at USF 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:56FAMU 4th & 2 at USF 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−2.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:20USF 4th & 19 at FAMU 47, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:21USF 4th & 6 at FAMU 40, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:36FAMU 4th & 7 at USF 15, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:49USF 4th & 10 at USF 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:09USF 4th & 6 at FAMU 44, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:13FAMU 4th & 1 at FAMU 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 4 of 5FAMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 3:43USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:47USF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:31USF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:53FAMU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:02USF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:10FAMU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.2%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:18USF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USFDrive 1FUMBLE
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:5892% → 92%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.1%
Jaren Mangham run for 5 yds to the SFla 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+27
92.1%
Timmy McClain run for 27 yds to the FlaAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
92.1%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Bryce Miller for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaAM 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+31
92.1%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 31 yds to the FlaAM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
92.1%
Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+4
92.1%
Timmy McClain run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 8Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+3
91.5%
Timmy McClain run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:579% → 9%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
91.3%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 5
-4
91.3%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaAM 1Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 14
OWN 1
0
91.4%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:05
4TH & 14
OWN 1
+5
91.2%
Chris Faddoul punt for 41 yds , Xavier Weaver returns for 5 yds to the FlaAM 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2691% → 91%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
91.2%
Timmy McClain pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
91.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 35Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+3
91.2%
Timmy McClain run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 32Similar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+49
90.9%
Spencer Shrader 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 4FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:129% → 10%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.9%
Bishop Bonnett run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 29Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
90.8%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for 15 yds to the FlaAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+25
90.7%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for 25 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
90.6%
Bishop Bonnett run for 4 yds to the SFla 27Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 6
OPP 27
-5
90.6%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, False Start (Rasean McKay) to the SFla 32Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 11
OPP 32
0
90.6%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 11
OPP 32
0
90.7%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+49
89.9%
Jose Romo-Martinez 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4490% → 91%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
89.9%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 12 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
90.0%
Brian Battie run for 17 yds to the FlaAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
90.3%
Timmy McClain pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-10
90.2%
BATTIE, Brian rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the FAM39 (WILLIAMS, Deonte). PENALTY USF Holding on JENNINGS, Donovan enforced 10 yards from the FAM46 to the USF44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 20
OWN 44
+9
90.0%
Timmy McClain run for 9 yds to the FlaAM 47Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+40
90.0%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Latrell Williams for 40 yds to the FlaAM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
90.3%
Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 3Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
90.3%
Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 2Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.7%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2710% → 10%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
90.3%
Terrell Jennings run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 20Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
90.3%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+5
90.5%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for 5 yds to the FlaAM 25Similar
Q1 2:10
4TH & 2
OWN 25
+12
90.2%
Chris Faddoul punt for 36 yds , Xavier Weaver returns for 12 yds to the FlaAM 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7TD
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:2391% → 92%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
90.5%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 3 yds to the FlaAM 46Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+7
90.5%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 7 yds to the FlaAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
90.5%
Timmy McClain pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+9
90.5%
Darrian Felix run for 9 yds to the FlaAM 30Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+5
90.4%
Darrian Felix run for 5 yds to the FlaAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
90.2%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 8 yds to the FlaAM 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+6
90.2%
Darrian Felix run for 6 yds to the FlaAM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
90.2%
Timmy McClain pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+2
90.2%
Timmy McClain run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 9Similar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
92.3%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 9 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:419% → 9%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
91.5%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Kamari Young for 8 yds to the FlaAM 33Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
91.2%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
91.4%
Bishop Bonnett run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 34Similar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+51
91.4%
Chris Faddoul punt for 51 yds , Xavier Weaver returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4092% → 92%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
92.1%
Timmy McClain run for 6 yds to the SFla 20Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 4
OWN 20
0
92.1%
Kelley Joiner run for no gain to the SFla 20Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+2
91.9%
Timmy McClain run for 2 yds to the SFla 22Similar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 2
OWN 22
+11
91.7%
Andrew Stokes punt for 48 yds , Xavier Smith returns for 11 yds to the FlaAM 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 10MISSED FG
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:469% → 9%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
91.1%
Jaylen McCloud run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 45Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+15
90.9%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Matthew Hill) to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
90.6%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
90.6%
Jaylen McCloud run for 7 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 3
OPP 23
0
90.8%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 3
OPP 23
-5
91.0%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Delay Of Game (Bishop Bonnett) to the SFla 28Similar
Q2 8:40
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+45
91.3%
Jose Romo-Martinez 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:5992% → 91%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
92.1%
Timmy McClain pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
92.1%
Timmy McClain pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
91.8%
Timmy McClain sacked by Markquese Bell for 0 yards to the SFla 19Similar
Q2 7:41
4TH & 19
OWN 19
+3
91.2%
Andrew Stokes punt for 50 yds , Xavier Smith returns for 3 yds to the FlaAM 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -27 yds · 1:459% → 8%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-27
91.3%
run for a loss of 27 yards to the FlaAM 7 fumbled, recovered by FlaAM Jaylen McCloudSimilar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 37
OWN 7
0
91.7%
Bishop Bonnett run for no gain to the FlaAM 7Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 37
OWN 7
0
91.8%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 37
OWN 7
+29
91.9%
Jose Romo-Martinez punt for 48 yds , Xavier Weaver returns for 29 yds to the FlaAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13TD
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:2592% → 97%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
92.2%
Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 22Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+8
92.2%
Brian Battie run for 8 yds to the FlaAM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
92.2%
Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 10Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 6
OPP 10
-10
92.2%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FlaAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
92.2%
Timmy McClain pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+5
92.0%
MCCLAIN, Timmy pass to the left incomplete intended for DOLLISON, Omarion thrown to the FAM12. PENALTY FAM Offsides on HALL, Donald enforced 5 yards from the FAM13 to the FAM8 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+4
91.2%
Timmy McClain run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.7%
Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:214% → 4%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
95.8%
BONNETT, Bishop rush to the left for a gain of 22 yards to the FAM47 (BOYLES, Dwayne). PENALTY FAM Holding on JACKSON-WILLIAMS, Jay enforced 10 yards from the FAM25 to the FAM15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
95.8%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+12
95.9%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 12 yds to the FlaAM 27Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
96.0%
Rasean McKay sacked by Jason Vaughn and Blake Green for 0 yards to the FlaAM 25Similar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
96.1%
Jose Romo-Martinez punt for 16 yds, downed at the FlaAM 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2597% → 96%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.0%
Timmy McClain pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
97.0%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 8 yds to the FlaAM 33Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
96.8%
Timmy McClain run for no gain to the FlaAM 33Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 2
OPP 33
0
96.9%
Timmy McClain pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
95.9%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaAM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 16MISSED FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:454% → 5%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+13
96.1%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for 13 yds to the FlaAM 41Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+13
95.7%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Chris Sanders for 13 yds to the SFla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
95.3%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
95.6%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-1
95.6%
Bishop Bonnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 47Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 11
OPP 47
+19
96.0%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for 19 yds to the SFla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
95.0%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+45
95.2%
Jose Romo-Martinez 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:564% → 3%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
96.5%
Rasean McKay pass complete to David Manigo for 15 yds to the FlaAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
96.3%
Rasean McKay run for 7 yds to the FlaAM 40Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+13
96.1%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for 13 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
96.1%
Jaylen McCloud run for 2 yds to the SFla 45Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+7
96.1%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for 7 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
96.0%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for 2 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
96.1%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for 1 yd to the SFla 35Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
95.9%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+7
96.2%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for 7 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q3 10:56
4TH & 2
OPP 28
0
96.7%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:3697% → 97%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
97.3%
Timmy McClain run for 2 yds to the SFla 30Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+17
97.3%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 17 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
97.5%
Kelley Joiner run for 15 yds to the FlaAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
97.5%
Timmy McClain sacked by Isaiah Land for 0 yards to the FlaAM 47Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 19
OPP 47
0
97.4%
Timmy McClain pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:56
3RD & 19
OPP 47
0
97.3%
Timmy McClain pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 19
OPP 47
0
97.4%
Andrew Stokes punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 3:273% → 8%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
97.4%
Rasean McKay pass complete to David Manigo for 17 yds to the FlaAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.3%
Bishop Bonnett run for no gain to the FlaAM 35Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
97.3%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for 10 yds to the FlaAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
97.3%
Jaylen McCloud run for 9 yds to the SFla 46Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+10
97.1%
Jaylen McCloud run for 10 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
97.3%
Jaylen McCloud run for 3 yds to the SFla 33Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
96.9%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+33
91.6%
Terrell Jennings run for 33 yds for a TD, (Jose Romo-Martinez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 2:4394% → 99%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
93.8%
Brian Battie run for no gain to the SFla 13Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+15
93.8%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 15 yds to the SFla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
93.9%
Brian Battie run for 6 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+42
94.0%
Brian Battie run for 42 yds to the FlaAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
95.5%
Timmy McClain pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 15 yds to the FlaAM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.9%
Jaren Mangham run for 9 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:142% → 2%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
98.1%
Jaylen McCloud run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 26Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+8
98.1%
Rasean McKay pass complete to David Manigo for 8 yds to the FlaAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
98.1%
Jaylen McCloud run for 17 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-7
98.5%
run for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaAM 44 fumbled, recovered by SFla Kevin KeglerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1299% → 99%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.2%
Darrian Felix run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
99.3%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+5
99.2%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the FlaAM 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 36
-4
99.2%
run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaAM 40 fumbled, recovered by SFla Darrian FelixSimilar
Q4 14:21
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
99.3%
Andrew Stokes punt for 35 yds, downed at the FlaAM 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 23DOWNS
15 plays · 80 yds · 4:451% → 1%
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+14
98.8%
Terrell Jennings run for 14 yds to the FlaAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
98.7%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
98.7%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+40
98.8%
Terrell Jennings run for 40 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
98.8%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for 9 yds to the SFla 32Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 1
OPP 32
-5
98.5%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, False Start (Khamari Thompson) to the SFla 37Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+6
98.7%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Chris Sanders for 6 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
98.6%
Jaylen McCloud run for 5 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+8
98.5%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for 8 yds to the SFla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
98.6%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
98.7%
Terrell Jennings run for 3 yds to the SFla 15Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
99.0%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:36
4TH & 7
OPP 15
0
99.1%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:47100% → 100%
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
99.8%
Kelley Joiner run for 5 yds to the SFla 20Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 5
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:36
4TH & 5
OWN 20
-5
99.7%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the SFla 15Similar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
99.8%
Andrew Stokes punt for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 25TD
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:391% → 7%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
98.9%
Bishop Bonnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 21Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
99.0%
Bishop Bonnett run for no gain to the SFla 21Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+14
99.1%
Rasean McKay pass complete to David Manigo for 14 yds to the SFla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.0%
Jaylen McCloud run for 1 yd to the SFla 6Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.0%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
93.3%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 6 yds for a TD, (Jose Romo-Martinez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:0199% → 99%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.7%
Brian Battie run for 9 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+18
98.8%
Brian Battie run for 18 yds to the FlaAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
98.9%
Darrian Felix run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 45Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+3
98.9%
Darrian Felix run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 42Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 4
OPP 42
-2
99.2%
Darrian Felix run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaAM 44Similar
Q4 3:09
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
99.1%
Andrew Stokes punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jah'Marae Sheread at the FlaAM 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:564% → 3%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
96.3%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Chop Block (Bryan Crawford) declinedSimilar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+9
96.3%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for 9 yds to the FlaAM 14Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 1
OWN 14
0
96.8%
Rasean McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 1
OWN 14
0
96.9%
Terrell Jennings run for no gain to the FlaAM 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 28TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:5599% → 100%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
99.3%
Yasias Young run for 10 yds to the FlaAM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.3%
Yasias Young run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 1Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.3%
Yasias Young run for no gain to the FlaAM 1Similar
Q4 0:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Yasias Young run for 1 yd for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Eddie Tillman III run for no gain to the FlaAM 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:10
Rasean McKay pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 6 yds for a TD, (Jose Romo-Martinez KICK)
-5.7
TD · Q2 3:31
Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)
+5.6
TD · Q3 4:53
Terrell Jennings run for 33 yds for a TD, (Jose Romo-Martinez KICK)
-5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com